chance of bowl: 13.6%
Purdue was at Ohio State though. Guiton played one series at Indiana and one or two series at MSU, but Braxton came back in for both of them. I'm not sure which road game he's talking about.
Hard to say how good OSU is. They have had the good fortune of playing just above their level of competition in most of their games. Their worst games have been against their worst competition. Is that luck, or good coaching? I have been watching football for over 30 years and I still am not sure. I do know that if the OSU team that showed up against Cal, Purdue, or UAB had shown up against Penn State or Nebraska, OSU would not be undefeated.
where Michigan and OSU partisans are arguing strenuously about how much worse their own recruiting has been than their rival's.
Thank god for our D.
This is honestly a fun comparison because the strengths and weaknesses of both teams are completely evident. OSU is great at stopping the run (via RB or running QB), but struggles with spread QB's who deliver accurate passes in the intermediate game. When teams have not been able to make OSU pay for this weakness, OSU has won by multiple scores (See Miami, Nebraska). So the question comes down to Denard, as it should. Because as good as Michigan's D has been, I don't think they will completely stop Miller, Hyde, the Smiths, Philly Brown, and Stoneburner. OSU will score in this game. First, will Denard be healthy enough to be full go in The Game? And if he is, will he be accurate enough to exploit OSU's weakness? I don't think Denard goes on the road and runs for 200. Meyer will make Denard's injured arm beat OSU. I don't see it happening this year for Michigan simply because Denard has never proven he could go on the road for a big game and beat someone through the air even when healthy.
is Braxton better than Denard? That should start some fireworks. Braxton is getting the Heisman hype right now, but when the two college careers are complete, who will have the numbers? What would Urban do with Denard? What would he do with Devin? For my money, Devin and Braxton are twins, and if Devin had the starting job thrust upon him as a (rs?) freshman would he be getting Heisman hype now?
For it to work correctly, you need to compare Sophomore Miller to Sophomore Robinson as that was the first full year of starting for both. Braxton has a higher ceiling. He has better passing mechanics and a stronger arm than sophomore Denard and is a different runner. He has about 25-30 pounds on Denard as well as a couple inches which allow him to power through tackles a little more. Denard is faster, but Braxton is shiftier. Braxton also turns the ball over less as a sophomore than senior Denard does. From watching both, I'd take Braxton and it's not because I'm biased. Braxton is just a better run/pass combo.
And their careers won't be looked at just for numbers. Otherwise, Graham Harrell would be considered one of the greatest college QBs in history.
And no, Braxton and Devin are not twins. If Devin was as good as Braxton he would never have been moved to WR. He had plenty of opportunity to show the coaches that he is a QB.
I won't debate your statement thats Braxton is a better passer and stronger with respect to fighting off tackles because you're probably right, but I think you are 100% incorrect when you say that Braxton is "shiftier" than Denard. Watch more video and see how Denard changes direction at full speed - there are very, very few runners at any level that can do that at such a high rate of speed.
And you're wrong that their careers will not be looked at just for numbers. Braxton will not have won anything significant in his time at OSU due to circumstances beyond his control and everyone will remember Denard's record-breaking performances for Michigan (especially if he becomes the all-time leading rusher among QBs).
On what are you basing your prediction about Braxton not winning anything "significant?"
Braxton Miller is shiftier/has better moves than Denard. He's on Reggie Bush's level for open field moves. It's silly. Denard has strong cutbacks and is faster/accelerates faster, but if you don't think Braxton's moves are better, you haven't watched a lot of Braxton Miller's moves. Also, I'm not sure how you can say Miller won't win anything. He's about to have his junior and senior seasons as the Heisman favorite and he will be leading a team that is projected to go undefeated? Barring injury (which, very possible, knock on wood), OSU is the safest bet to win the B1G/go 12-0 next year?
Ohio is better than us right now
I don't disagree with this.
UM is in a virtual tie with Ohio according to the Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings (which are the most accurate in predicting future game outcomes). Why? According to Sagarin, UM has played the #1 and #2 teams in the nation--both on the road--while Ohio hasn't played anybody in the top twenty. Seemingly, their toughest was Neb=#25, but they played that at home. Thus, if you subtract 3 points from Neb's ratings for the Ohio home field advantage, Ohio's toughest game actually was MSU, a #35-rated team that they beat by one point.
Also, when Robinson played most of the game (up until last week), UM had nearly a 3 point lead over Ohio in the Sagarin ratings--meaning that the game in Columbus would have been a tossup (after spotting Ohio a 3 point advantage for home field).
I guarantee The Game will be close. I have my doubts based on Hoke's road record that we will pull it out, but with our defense anything's possible. As for being better than Ohio, Michigan always is.
current(RIGHT NOW) state of the team, I say, and it pains me greatly to say this....NO WAY! There are problems up front on offense, the QB spot is a HUGE question if Denard is hurt and the secondary seems to be giving up more big plays. Although our pass defense is rated no. 1 in the country.
Denard being healthy and the oline being able to open holes is the key to the whole show. If the running game works, we're competitive against anyone in the B1G. If Denard is out or we can't rush the ball, we're in HUGE trouble. It all hinges on Denard's health/ No offense to Bellomy. He's a redshirt freshman. The poor kid has seen no action and the receivers weren't catching for him.
This week is a big indicator of where the team is.