2015 Caris Early Entry?

Submitted by My name ... is Tim on

http://nbadraft.net/2015mock_draft

Not sure if anyone had posted this prior - if so, feel free to remove - but it appears as if Caris Levert is getting some NBA love now? NBADraft.net has him listed as a first-round pick in the 2015 draft. I am perhaps not the largest Caris Lavert supporter but his development, offensively at least, has been amazing. That said, I'm skeptical of this projection. I'm just not sure where he would project to in the NBA given his size and skill set.

Thoughts?

Related, Stephen Ross should just start mailing Lavall Jordan envelopes full of cash now.

Mercury Hayes

February 12th, 2014 at 3:39 PM ^

We aren't allowed to talk about the future. /crossthread.

Seriously though next year should be awesome too and I will talk about this year and the future and the same time if I want. If you don't want to talk about next year then don't.

Farnn

February 12th, 2014 at 3:44 PM ^

I don't think anyone should be surprised by this.  If LeVert puts in the same amount of work this summer as he did last summer he will go into next year finally close to a D1 playing weight and has an uncanny ability to get close to the basket.  Once he can muscle through contact a bit more he will be very dangerous.  Throw in some improved shooting and passing and cutting down on dribling the air out of the ball and I don't see why he can't be a first round pick.

reanimator

February 12th, 2014 at 3:45 PM ^

Caris has the brightest future at the pro level out of all the guys on our roster. Draftexpress just placed him in the 2nd round of 2015 a few days ago and he is going to rise...

Avon Barksdale

February 12th, 2014 at 3:46 PM ^

Am I the only one to surprised to see Mitch going in the 2nd round of that projection in 2015? 6'10 guys that can defend, rebound, shoot (just enough), and produce down low typically don't get past the top 20 picks.

mGrowOld

February 12th, 2014 at 4:06 PM ^

Don't be so sure.  An old (by NBA terms) center with back problems might not be the lottery lock you think he'll be.  The problem Mitch has is to fix one problem (prove his back issues are behind him) will make his second problem (his age) worse.

I think he comes out this year if he's healthy.  And it's one reason I wouldnt completely rule him out of the NCAA tourny if he's physically able to play.  It's the one way he could show scouts he's healthy without sacrificing another year on the clock.

Brandon Brown

February 12th, 2014 at 4:27 PM ^

Caris is averaging 1.7 TO's per game. That's less than Marcus Smart, Keith Appling, Yogi Ferrell, Doug McDermott, Aaron Craft, Jabari Parker, CJ Fair, and on and on.

Compare Caris's rate to someone like Tyler Ennis who has been one of the most effective point guards in the nation who is averaging 1.4 TO's per game.

Caris looks a little crazy with the ball, but he's not turning it over much at all.

Michigan4Life

February 12th, 2014 at 11:01 PM ^

Caris is at 15.7%

Appling is at 14.7%

McDermott is at 10.5%

Parker is at 13.5%

Craft is at 23.9%

Smart is at 16.1%

Yogi is at 18.7%

PG will always have high TO Rate % because they handle the ball a ton where as C typically get the lowest TO Rate %.  That being said, Appling is very impressive considering he's a PG and takes care of the ball.  Yogi and Smart turn the ball over just like any other PG in the league while Craft turns the ball over at a much higher rate.

Caris is pretty solid with the ball in his hands but not great at it beacuse of his recklessness.

JHendo

February 12th, 2014 at 5:38 PM ^

Not Just A Shooter beat me to it.  That's a grossly unfair comparison to compare the amount of turnovers per game that a secondary ballhandler has in comparison to a point guard or a teams primary offensive weapon.  To truly point to his total turnovers as a plausible method of determining his place among ballhandlers in the country, you'd have to come up with it in relation to some sort of statistic that takes into account the amount time handling the ball per game, which I'm sure is damn near impossible to come up with.  But if such a stat did exist, Caris would easily be at the bottom of the list when compared to every player you just mentioned.

Is he an absolutely terrible ballhandler or a pure turnover machine?  Of course not.  But you're fooling yourself if you can't watch the game and realize he needs crap ton of work in that department.

Buddy the Wolverine

February 12th, 2014 at 4:29 PM ^

Whenever THJ handled the ball, especially with his high dribble in transition, he was a turnover waiting to happen. He improved throughout his Mich career, but still never really had handle. Caris coughs it up sometimes but he creates a lot more than Timmy did and actually has some pretty sweet moves. Caris will get stronger with the ball and be much more than a one dribble and pull up player in the NBA.

Michigan4Life

February 12th, 2014 at 11:05 PM ^

THJ TO Rate %

Freshman: 11.1% (50th in the nation)

Sophomore: 14.4% (292 in the nation)

Junior: 15% (402 in the nation)

He took care of the ball well. TO Rate % increased because he gained more responsibility on handling the ball.

michchi85

February 12th, 2014 at 3:54 PM ^

If he keeps up this level of play his hat will be in the ring for that draft too.  Damn you Beilein and your ability to get so much out of a PG!  /s

Also I'm sure the McGary in the 2nd round is just a precaution as they don't know what will come from his back injury recovery.  

gmoney41

February 12th, 2014 at 4:23 PM ^

Guys like GR3, Mcgary, Levert and Stauskas all have a ton of potential and the NBA loves potential, but good lord, none, I mean none of them are NBA ready.  Show me a consistent year of dominant production, and maybe I'll change my tune, but right now I just don't see it.  Look at Deshawn Thomas, he was an absolute stud last year and he is playing in Europe. 

Stauskas is the only one I would say is even remotely ready for the jump, but teams have found ways to completely shut him down.  I love these guys, but I don't see NBA readiness yet from any of them.

rob6reid

February 12th, 2014 at 4:50 PM ^

Question: how exactly do players leaving early for the draft effect the teams APR in the eyes of the NCAA? IIRC, arent you penalized every time a player doesnt graduate? Because it seems like just about all of our recruits are leaving early for NBA now. 

Along with that, what a good pitch to have if you're Beilein. Manny Harris, Darrius Morris, Trey Burke, Time hardaway, and eventually Mitch Mcgary, Nike stauskas, Glenn Robinson, and Levert.

bronxblue

February 12th, 2014 at 4:56 PM ^

Sure, he might leave in 2015, but that's a long time away.  In 2014, with all that talent in the draft and his physical limitations, I don't see a team taking a chance in the 1st round, and thus it is unlikely he'd even consider leaving.  But yeah, this is the annoyance with having a good team with good players; they tend to leave early for the NBA.  Again, as somebody who lived through the Elerbe/Amaker years, I'll take it.

aiglick

February 12th, 2014 at 5:02 PM ^

The question I have is how does Florida seem to have experienced talent every year? Their team made it to the Elite 8 three years in a row. Why didn't any of their four current seniors enter the draft? Anyway, I'd hope recruits are paying attention since it seems Michigan has turned into NBA U in addition to a mecca for point gaurds.

goblue16

February 12th, 2014 at 5:21 PM ^

I dont think Caris is NBA ready even next season. He reminds me too much of Manny Harris. Aggressive player with good shooting skills but too erratic. He makes too many mistakes and i dont think NBA scouts would want him