Today one of the fastest swim meets in the world kicks off in Indianapolis. First the good news, Michigan is favored to win. Heavily favored to win. If things hold according to seed, Michigan would win by over 200 points. That would be a massive beat down.
The bad news, however, is that the seeding rarely goes according to plan and we really only have room to go down.
More good news: Michigan has 17 swimmers invited to the meet, more than any other team. It would take a complete botched taper job by Mike Bottom to blow a 200 point lead. .
I think there are 2 keys for Michigan to win the meet. First, I believe the morning swims will be more important than the evening swims. With their depth, they can drop a seed line or 2 in the evening, but as long as they get into the A or B finals in the morning their final placing matters less (unless they DQ). [Top 8 make it into the “A” final, 9-16 make it to the “B” final] Second, the relays are important. The scoring for relays can lead to big swings in the point total. Michigan dominated the relays at Big Ten Championships and are poised to do really well at NCAA. Hold on to those points and victory is assured.
I predict Michigan wins by 100 points or so. This is still a comfortable margin. Our main competitors will be Florida, Cal, USC, and Auburn. So cheer hard against them.
Day 1 - Prelims begin at 11AM EDT, Finals begin at 7PM EDT
200 Free Relay UM seeded 2nd
500 Freestyle UM seeded 2nd 4th 14th 16th 17th
200 IM UM seeded 3rd 4th
50 Free UM seeded 5th 8th 17th
400 Medley Relay seeded 1st
If you want to watch it the prelims on all 3 days and today’s finals will be shown here:
Finals on Friday and Saturday will be shown on ESPN3 [DirecTV doesn’t have ESPN3 but I think we will otherwise be occupied on Friday at 7pm].
If your work blocks streaming like my old employer you can get real-time results here [currently shows the women, but the url suggests that they will change over later today]:
Also check out the free app called Meet Mobile. Search for meets (just type NCAA and you will get the Men’s and Women’s).
Edit: Fixed the Real Time Results link