2010 Prediction Thread

Submitted by formerlyanonymous on
Now that it's the off season, time to make your predictions:
  • UCONN - 60%
  • Notre Dame - 50% (depends their losses)
  • UMASS - 98%
  • Bowling Green - 85%
  • Indiana - 65%
  • Michigan State - 55%
  • Iowa - 45%
  • Penn State - 55%
  • Illinois - 60%
  • Purdue - 55%
  • Wisconsin - 45%
  • Ohio State - 45%
That gives me 7.18 wins, or 7. I admit that many of those numbers are probably closer than what they should be just because I haven't looked closely at players leaving yet. I imagine that will change a ton after the spring game or so.

MGOARMY

November 21st, 2009 at 5:10 PM ^

13-0 National champions. We beat osu 3,493 to 0.Then all the fans who sold their tickets to osu fans, and gave up and turned on the program will line up outside my apt. They will then stand in line as I kick them in the balls one by one for being fairweather fans. Then right after the thomping of osu a gay porn of tressel surfaces. then tp kills steals and murders his whole team.

M-Wolverine

November 21st, 2009 at 5:10 PM ^

Though looking at that schedule, 7-5 looks like a good bet. U-Conn W (or we might as well start the coaching search right there, because the season will be HELL!!! to listen to), ND - they go overhaul, it could be a w, but I'll say L for now (possible swing game), WWW, MSU W (or start the coaching search here...CAN'T start 0-3), L but could be a big swing for the positive if we can take Iowa at home, L- PSU, WW (could swing to the negative..yikes), Wisky L, OSU L....and God help us all if it goes to 0-3 and 7 in a row.

mstorm88

November 21st, 2009 at 5:12 PM ^

I see 8-4 being a slightly pessimistic finish. 5-0 start followed by a tougher schedule. I'm guessing 9-3, though I wouldn't argue with 7-5 to 10-2, bowl obviously excluded.

Korean Wolverine20

November 21st, 2009 at 5:15 PM ^

Sept. 4 CONNECTICUT - W Sept. 11 at Notre Dame - Depends on who declares to the draft Sept. 18 MASSACHUSETTS - W Sept. 25 BOWLING GREEN - W Oct. 2 at Indiana* - W Oct. 9 MICHIGAN STATE* - Undecided Oct. 16 IOWA* (HC) - Undecided Oct. 30 at Penn State* - Undecided Nov. 6 ILLINOIS* - W Nov. 13 at Purdue* - W Nov. 20 WISCONSIN* - Undecided Nov. 27 at Ohio State* - Undecided Optimistic Scenario- 12-1 w/ a Bowl Win Pessimistic Scenario- 5-7 w/ RR being fired and the hippity hoopla that follows What I'll go with- 11-2 w/ a Bowl Win. I'm an optimistic person :)

MC Hammer

November 21st, 2009 at 5:17 PM ^

FWIW, I think that these predictions taken right after the season are the most rational and accurate. After RR was hired, we all said, "If Mallett transfers and we don't get Pryor, we're gonna suck." But after both those things happened, we rationalized why we would be good, leading Brian (among others) to predict 8-4. At the end of the season, we said "We'll be lucky to make a bowl game next year." Then, as the offseason went on, our expectations crept up until most of us expected no less than a bowl game by the beginning of the season.

UMAmaizinBlue

November 21st, 2009 at 5:20 PM ^

More unfounded "Fire RR" speak. Texts from my Spartan relatives about their "streak" against us. People to call for DG to start every game if Tate makes an incompletion...ever. More people to love the SEC and bash the Big Ten. My hangovers b/c of loses My hangovers b/c of wins. Space Emperor of Space, Zoltan Mesko to release the secrets of space travel to our species...except Ohio (species inclusion questionable). I will finally travel to see Michigan in a bowl game. That is all.

Bobby Boucher

November 21st, 2009 at 5:25 PM ^

7-5, Bowl game or bust. 2 more wins next year shouldn't be too much to ask. I agree that a opener loss would probably result in a coaching search. No matter what I don't see us going into Columbus and winning unless the team is just ridiculously awesome. It's going to take a miracle to brake this spell Tressel has on us. I like RR, but if he can't get it going next season it's a good sign that it wasn't meant to be. I see him saving his job though with a 7-5 and going to a bowl game.

bronxblue

November 21st, 2009 at 5:32 PM ^

UConn will be a huge game to start. ND will likely be starting over with a new QB and, maybe, a new HC. Expect a team closer to 2008 than 2009. Umass and BGSU means 3-1 or 4-0. Indiana will be a tough game, but MSU will probably be the turning point of the season. Beat MSU, and I see this team staying hot against teams like Purdue and Illinois. Lose, and who knows. 8-4 is what I expect, maybe even 9-3. OSU is very beatable at home, but going on the road probably precludes a win next year. But if the defense plays close to how it played today, you never know.

maizenbluedevil

November 21st, 2009 at 5:49 PM ^

Initial thoughts: Non-conference: - Basically, switch out Baby Seal U for UMass. - Bowling Green is probly comparable to Eastern(?) - UConn is a significantly more challenging game than Western. Frankly, the UConn game worries me. It is by no means a gimme. They almost beat Cinci and either beat or kept it very close w/ WVU on the road, I can't remember which. UConn will be a must-win level 10/10 just because if we start w/ a loss... well... You know, and I don't even want to think about it. - ND - Is a wild card. Depends if Fat Charlie, Clausen, and the WRs are back. Frankly I think it's all-or-nothing. If ND switches coaches, they bolt. What's the benefit to them starting over under a new coach as seniors when they can get paid serious $$$ to play on Sunday? So, that being said, if Weis leaves, Clausen and Tate probly leave, and we thrash them. If those guys stay, it's a toss-up. Conference: This is basically the exact same schedule we had this year, except, of course changes in venue. Even the order is the same except the season isn't puncuated w/ a respite from B10 competition for a snacky cake. - I think we beat Indiana. - I think MSU is probably a tossup but we have them at home and I think we beat them. - Illinois is sans Juice next year and this can only help us. I'll chalk that one up as a win as well. - The rest, frankly, are tossups at this point. As far as the overall schedule, there is not a single game I look at on that schedule and have no hope. However that said, I think there are only 3 real "gimme"s - Bowling Green, UMass, and Indiana. (I'm tempted to count Illinois as a fourth, however......yeeeeahhhh.) That said, I'm going to predict UConn as a win at this point. I think we'll win 1 out of ND and MSU. I think we'll beat Bowling Green, UMass, and Indiana. That puts us at 5-1 to start. (Does this sound scarily familiar?) Beyond that, I don't know what to say. On the one hand, we will have more experience next year. But, so will the teams we're facing. And, I think this year a lot of us underestimated the second half of our schedule, which, is almost the exact same next year. But, working from the 5 win baseline, you have to think that of the remaining games we must be able to grab 1-2 more wins...right? Right? I mean, we'll be much improved next year, we'll certainly be able to beat a couple of these other teams. I think so. But I thought the same this year. Many of us did. We saw how that panned out in reality. I'm optimistic, still, but sitting down and looking at this schedule, my optimism is much more reserved. However it's still very early. Nine months between now and August, so, I'll hold off on a more concrete definition of my expectations for now. EDIT: I really can't believe that there are as many people as there are predicting 8-4 or 9-3 results. I mean, *right* after what we just saw this year, while it's still fresh, when the expectations for this year were so much higher... I just can't believe people aren't more reserved in their expectations. The lack of experience, and on defense lack of experience *and* depth, while it improves from this year to next, it doesn't go away completely. And our schedule doesn't look much different, in fact, it's probably more difficult. We need to tak these things into account. I mean, I hope 8-4 or 9-3 does happen. That'd be friggin sweet. I, however, would be thrilled w/ 7-5.

bronxblue

November 21st, 2009 at 6:18 PM ^

I somewhat agree with your surprise about the predictions for next year, but this is MGoBlog. We are a blindly optimistic herd. That said, ND will likely not be the same team next year (Clausen, Tate, Floyd, etc. might not be around). Playing a Juice-less Illinois is huge. Purdue will be breaking in a new QB again, and you have a sense that they cupboards are not super-stocked in West Lafayette. MSU will be tough, but winnable. Their defense will take a hit with graduation, but the QB situation should be better. Of course, they are also being smoked by PSU right now, continuing their streak of being destroyed by anyone half-decent. OSU will probably be a loss, but what do you expect? It will take time to catch them. PSU without Clark will be interesting - the defense will be solid as usual, but a new QB is a new QB. We already saw what a new QB can do for a team (both positive and negative). Wiscy will probably be the class of the Big 10 next year, and might even compete for a MNC late into the season. They look scary. Indiana will be decent, but they still don't have that much talent and I cannot imagine that they'll improve immensely. Probably a bowl team next year, but not much better. UConn will be a tough game, but this team should be able to beat them at home, with a fresh season and a team with something to prove. So 8-4 doesn't look crazy, especially if ND doesn't return that many players. Losses to OSU and Wiscy are likely, and who knows about MSU, PSU, and ND. So maybe 7-5, but some voodoo magic against the latter 3 and 8-9 wins are possible.

maizenbluedevil

November 22nd, 2009 at 1:19 AM ^

Good points. I hadn't thought about Clark graduating. I dunno though... Maybe there's more cause for optimism than I see at this point, but, I'm also accounting for the prevalence of Murphy's law/entropy/chaos/Michigan ____ hating god/whatever-you-want-to-call-it in college football and especially relative to Michigan. I mean, I was thinking that we would beat Illinois and Purdue this year *for sure*. It's a good thing I'm not a gambler. I'm optimistic that RR will do great things here long-term. I'm just hoping we can do well enough next year that he gets to stick around and make it happen. Frankly, I think it's gonna be close. I think 7 wins is what he needs and I think that's what we'll get. Hopefully we do finish 8-4 or 9-3 though so there's some breathing room there. It'd be nice to make a statement rather than just squeak by the baseline expectation.

Wapuche

November 21st, 2009 at 5:50 PM ^

The offense will continue to improve, but the defense is still going to take some time. We'll lose to good defenses, but should perform better in shootouts. We will win one game we weren't supposed to (Iowa or PSU), and lose one that we were (let's hope to god it isn't MSU again).

Muttley

November 21st, 2009 at 6:09 PM ^

and they competed like a Michigan team. I'm a Tate Forcier fan, but to state the obvious, the entire difference in the game was that Pryor took care of the ball (only one turnover), while Tate gave it away five times. The first (fumble for TD), fourth (throw across the field on 2nd & goal), and the fifth (right to the LB) were particularly bad. Those aren't RichRod's fault. They are the fault of a true freshman QB going against what's likely the best defense in the B10. The stats are almost even, except for the turnover category. First Downs tUOS 18, Mich 16. Total Yards tUOS 318, Mich 309. If the team competes like that next year, and Tate improves his decision-making, then I think we can hope for 7-5 or 8-4.

pasadenablue

November 21st, 2009 at 6:12 PM ^

CONNECTICUT - push - randy edsall's done a great job. this is going to be tougher than more people think. at Notre Dame - win - they lose too much, plus nd's up for a tumultuous time with a coaching change looming MASSACHUSETTS - win - yes BOWLING GREEN - win - bowling green - they lose their best player (barnes sr WR) at Indiana - win - they dont have the talent MICHIGAN STATE - loss - msu returns 2 on the line and all skill position players. IOWA (HC) - loss - they return a lot of players on that defense of theirs. Oct. 30 at Penn State - win - no more daryl clark, no more evan royster, nor more navorro bowman, no more sean lee Nov. 6 ILLINOIS - win - eddie mcgee or jacob charest? Nov. 13 at Purdue - win - i think our defense finally figures out how to stop them. Nov. 20 WISCONSIN - push - they are experienced, but hopefully we'll be humming along by now. Nov. 27 at Ohio State - loss - we aren't there yet, but 2011 is different. so somewhere around 8-4 is a realistic goal.

BlueinLansing

November 21st, 2009 at 6:17 PM ^

a killer @ND, @PSU @OSU, this team has been physically manhandled by Illinois and Penn State two years in a row. I don't see that gap closing much. Wisconsin probably would have been the same if not for Bielema's coaching last year. Its actually going to be tough to be better than 6-6

bronxblue

November 21st, 2009 at 6:28 PM ^

That's presuming ND returns a bunch of guys. If Clausen, Tate, Floyd, etc. all leave - which would make sense if Weis leaves - then they are breaking in a mostly new offense. Don't expect miracles. PSU and OSU will likely be losses, but who knows with PSU without Clark, Royster, etc. Illinois didn't really manhandle this team as much as Juice did. Lose him, and Illinois is a mediocre team without an identity and a crappy defense.

letsgoblue213

November 21st, 2009 at 6:20 PM ^

The offense should get better. Forcier will have had more experience and should make an improvement. Minor and Brown didn't get to play much this year, so they won't be missed as much as they would have been had they stayed healthy this year. Aside from Minor and Brown we will lose Mathews, Ortmann, and Moosman. I think they can all be replaced and the other players at their positions will start to step up. Roundtree and Smith are poised to become great players. On defense, Graham and Brown are gone, with a possibility that Warren leaves for the NFL. If Warren stays, I think the defense has a chance to get better. They will miss Graham, but the supporting players should be a lot better than they were this year. Martin and van Bergen looked impressive this year and they should only get better. Hopefully this defense can take their solid play against OSU and move forward. I'll pre3dict that this team will go 7-5, but I could see them doing even better.

Tater

November 21st, 2009 at 6:58 PM ^

Next year, the kids will be older, larger, and more experienced. Look for the QB position to finally be solidified and defense to learn from today and improve greatly. UM should be good enough that the games that were close losses this year become wins. CONNECTICUT - Win. Sure, they beat ND, but they are still a mediocre Big Least team. at Notre Dame - win. They should have a spiffy new coach and offense, but I think they will be breaking in a new QB. MASSACHUSETTS - win. What was that about baby seals? BOWLING GREEN - win. Should be a "we are Michigan and you're not" game. at Indiana - win. Indiana is still a bottom-feeder. Let's hope they don't injure anybody this time. MICHIGAN STATE - win. Same Old Sparty. UM cannot lose three times to such a pusball team. They will go in healthy and come out happy. IOWA - loss. If Stanzi returns for his senior year. Oct. 30 at Penn State - loss. Still too many athletes. Nov. 6 ILLINOIS - win. No streaks allowed. See MSU. Nov. 13 at Purdue - win. - See above. Nov. 20 WISCONSIN - loss. UM looks ahead toward OSU. Nov. 27 at Ohio State - win. The "buck" stops here. And so does Tressel's dominance. UM will continue to force Pryor to beat them with his arm, and this time the defense will take advantage of his mediocrity and the offense will convert enough opportunities to win. As usual, it comes out to 9-3, with anybody's guess who they play in a bowl. To me, that is the first benchmark that says "UM is back." And it is the first step to competing for the National Championship the next year.

Logan88

November 21st, 2009 at 7:43 PM ^

The answer is...7-5. Wins: UConn, UMass, BGSU, Indiana, MSU, Illinois and Wisconsin. Losses: ND, Iowa, PSU, Purdue and OSU. I can't remember what the new bowl line-up will be like in 2010, so I can't predict in which bowl UM will play, but UM will win that game and finish 8-5.

M-Wolverine

November 21st, 2009 at 8:09 PM ^

One of them better be OSU. I'd say MSU too, but I get the feeling a win in Columbus would trump everything, maybe even another losing season. If it's 7, MSU is a must...and probably at least one other big win...PSU, ND, Iowa. 8 and he's probably safe no matter what, but winning 8 and not finding a way to beat MSU would would hard figure how he'd get there.

G-Man

November 21st, 2009 at 9:54 PM ^

Wwe have the player talent to go at least 9-3 next year. Our offense was #1 in the Big Ten this year, and should be even better next year. We lose Matthews, Ortmann, Moosman and Minor. We should be better at every one of those positions except maybe running back (Smith, Touissant, Shaw). Forcier either makes a jump - qbs improve the most from first year to second - or gets beat by #1 QB recruit in the country. The O will be good enough to win the conference. The D loses Graham from the deepest position group on the team, save Wide Receiver.Either Roh puts on weight and LaLota takes his spot with everyone else maturing, or RVB moves out and Campbell starts. Warren's going to stay and we'll have some combination of Turner/Cullen/Floyd (with a whole year at that position) on the other side. That puts Woolfolk back at safety with Vlad/Williams/Kovacs/Floyd/Gordon manning the other spot. Fitzgerald goes through spring actually getting the starter's reps, Mouton has to get somewhat better or Cam Gordon replaces him and B.Smith / MRob replace Stevie. With our O, our defense just has to be middle of the pack to compete for the Big Ten. Thus, catastrophic injury to Tate aside, anything less than 8-4 or 9-3 is insufficient improvement. With actual depth (other options if projected starters are busts) and non walk-ons (real options) that RR recruited, any excuses made next year will be far less justifiable.

MGoBlueEyes

November 22nd, 2009 at 8:48 AM ^

UCONN - 65% Notre Dame - 60% ( I assume G. Tate is heading for the NFL ) UMASS - 99% Bowling Green - 85% Indiana - 65% Michigan State - 50% Iowa - 45% Penn State - 25% Illinois - 60% Purdue - 60% Wisconsin - 25% Ohio State - 25% I predict a season not too unlike this one, a hot start followed by a tough slog through the B10. However hopefully the team will be improved in general, we return most starters and will have a chance at finally starting a QB w/some experience and a defense w/ consecutive season with the same coaching staff.