Wolv In Ex's BCS Standing update

Waaaaaaaaaaaay to early, there's a lot of football to be played, but overall I like your breakdown.  I would like to point out that you forgot to mention Boise St already played and beat Viriginia Tech, so there's NO WAY they would match-up again.  You correctly chose Stanford over Boise, but feel you forgot to mention this as it adds more weight to your decision

I hate to throw a wrench in your scenario and maybe there was an assumption that I missed but from my understanding a three way tie for the Big Ten championship is decided based on BCS ranking. This would make Wisconsin the Big Ten champion if the season ended today.

beats Iowa then Wisc and OSU will go to the BCS and sparty can enjoy their one breakthrough year landing them in the capital one bowl

ESPN "experts" have Boise State in either the Rose Bowl against Michigan State or Sugar Bowl against Auburn(!?) (That prediction has Oregon vs. TCU in the National Championship...)

**thinking Auburn will lose to Alabama maybe?

This scenario is exactly why the Big East should not be an automatic qualifier. Pitt getting to go to a BCS bowl game over an undefeated Boise is an outrage.

the BCS always seems to royally screw a team or two every year.  Through no fault of it's own an undefeated Boise State is gonna get thrown under the Big East bus.  (and if it's not Boise State it's gonna be somebody because the Big East and ACC are not good this year)

Seeing Va Tech and Pitt playing in BCS games, while Boise gets left out would be really unfortunate!  I will always be in favor of an 8 team playoff.  The top 8 BCS teams get in.  They could even call the various playoff games different bowls (i.e. NC is Rose Bowl, etc.).  Then everybody else still fills in the less prestigious bowl games just like usual.  That way the bowl sponsors still get their games, not much gets interupted, and you end up with 7 high-quality bowl games (4,2,1) instead of just 4.  The first round probably take place a little earlier than usual, second round on New Year's Day and NC still happens 1 week later. 

Maybe I am missing something in your analysis, but I looked over BCS rules and I'm not sure why you have Boise getting "screwed". They would have to be included in the BCS games because they, like TCU, will be in the top 12 of the BCS standings.

It is included in your analysis for TCU (rule 3.A), so why wouldn't that apply to the Broncos?

Boise would be the WAC champions and inside the top 12 of the BCS standings and therefor would gain an automatic bid. 

didn't realize your username was the shortened part in the title of the diary, so I skimmed it thinking (excitedly) that we were mentioned somewhere in the BCS updates (not as a contender, obviously, but maybe as a sidenote for the huge scoring game we just had, or for next year predictions)

Maybe a piece of advice (word to the wise from one less wise, as it were): just put "BCS Standing Update" or put the word "My" before the title. It says your name right under it anyway on the sidebar. Or put WIE's or something. I'm sure it's not a huge deal, since I'm probably the only idiot who was confused.

After all this idiocy on my part, I actually took time to read the diary in more depth, and I must applaud your breakdown. I agree wholeheartedly with almost everything in it. Anything I don't agree with wholeheartedly, I agree with probably three-quarters-heartedly. I look forward to more. Here's hoping we demolish in a win-out and somehow get mentioned in your final update!

Go Blue.

I thought they had changed the rules so that you had to win your conference championship to play in the NC game?  Therefore, Auburn cannot be #2 after losing that game, no?

Am I wrong??  Certainly would not be the first time.

LSU won't be in the NCG. The only way for that to happen is if Auburn loses both of their last two games and LSU goes to the SEC CG. I have to imagine that if Auburn were to lose 1 and then lose the CG, most of their votes would go to TCU, not LSU considering that LSU lost to Auburn.

BTW, you say that OSU is 1-1 against B10 contenders. They are actually 0-1 because they haven't played Iowa or MSU. I can't wait until we get that B10 CG, because MSU's team is overrated and I think they would get blown out by OSU if they had to play.

It's a shame that Pitt gets to play in a BCS game and Boise doesn't. I think what would really shake the foundation of the BCS is if Auburn loses to Bama, but still wins the SEC. TCU should go to the NCG. MSU vs. BSU. Nebraska vs. Wisconsin. VaTech vs. Stanford. Auburn vs. Pitt. TCU, BSU, Stanford, and Auburn win. BOOM! BCS implosion.

I'm not sold on picking Stanford over Boise State.  The Orange Bowl needs to sell seats.  Stanford does not travel remotely well and certainly not cross country.  I actually think it would be a toss up on which school travels better, despite the size and conference different.   Plus, i'm also not buying the "protecting their own".  The Orange Bowl only cares about the Orange Bowl and couldn't care who plays in it as long as they sell all their seats and get high ratings. 

Plus, I think a rematch with Virginia Tech will get both bases fired up because there is definitely chatter than Boise State got lucky in facing them early in the year (and I guess so did JMU) before they really meshed together and started playing well. 

...provides clarification on Rose Bowl non-AQ selection rules here.

It's very possible we could see the Pac-10 champion (Oregon) against a team from a non-AQ conference (TCU or Boise State) in the title game Jan. 10 in Glendale.

If that's the case, would the Rose Bowl still have to replace Oregon with a team from a non-AQ league?

I checked with the Rose Bowl and the answer is no. If TCU goes to the national title game, the Rose Bowl would not have to select Boise State, or vice versa. However, the Rose Bowl could select TCU or Boise State as an at-large selection and fulfill its obligation to take a team from a non-AQ league once during the four-year cycle.

This presents an interesting decision for the folks in Pasadena if, say, Boise State is available for an at-large pick. The Rose Bowl could pick the Broncos, who have won BCS bowl games and have spent all season in the national spotlight. The bowl game also would be off the hook with teams from non-AQ leagues for the next three years.

Alternatively, the Rose Bowl could stick with the traditional Big Ten versus Pac-10 matchup and select a team like Stanford to face the Big Ten champion. Stanford certainly looks worthy of a BCS bowl, and it's likely that the Rose Bowl will once again lose the Big Ten or Pac-10 champ to the title game sometime in the next three years.

So, if TCU or Boise State make the BCS Championsip Game, the Rose Bowl has the option of selecting a non-AQ qualifier to fulfull its once every four years requirement or it could stick with a traditional Big Ten - Pac 10 matchup.