Tracking 2010 Turnovers -- Updated Thru ND
I’ve added a summary for each player.
Synopsis: An excellent game as far as turnovers! Only 1 fumble by DR and no lost fumbles. No passes intercepted and 3 interceptions made.
Just as in the UConn game, turnovers were a significant factor in the win. The +3 TOM was certainly counteracted by all those penalties (8 for -99 yards)making this game a lot closer than it should have been.
|
TO Lost |
|
|
|
|
TO Gained |
|
|
|
|||||
|
Opp |
FMB |
FL |
Int |
Tot |
|
Fmb |
FL |
Int |
Tot |
|
TOM |
Score |
WLM |
|
Uconn |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
1 |
30-10 |
1 |
|
ND |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
|
3 |
28-24 |
1 |
|
Total |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
|
4 |
|
2 |
|
Extrap |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
6 |
6 |
18 |
24 |
|
24 |
||
|
Per Game |
2.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
1.50 |
2.00 |
|
2.00 |
||
|
AQ Avg |
1.63 |
0.80 |
0.97 |
1.77 |
|
1.73 |
0.85 |
1.03 |
1.88 |
|
0.11 |
||
|
% of AVG |
123% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
29% |
59% |
146% |
107% |
The Extrapolation is a straight line: [Totals] X [12 Total Games / Games Played].
Here is the detail of each fumble/interception and a comment providing insight if the turnover (or lack thereof) was significant.
|
Qtr |
Time |
Down |
Spot |
Player |
Lost |
Int |
Force |
Recover |
Int By |
Score |
Result of Drive |
|
1 |
8:12 |
2-9 |
V25 |
ND |
1 |
Mouton |
7-0 ND |
M TD (7-7) |
|||
|
1 |
3:06 |
2-1 |
M44 |
DR |
0 |
7-7 |
M TD (M14-7) |
||||
|
2 |
6:36 |
1-10 |
V48 |
ND |
1 |
Floyd |
14-7 Mich |
Punt |
|||
|
3 |
4:38 |
1-10 |
M23 |
ND |
|
1 |
|
|
Kovacs |
21-17 Mich |
Punt |
Here is the overall summary by player.
|
|
TO Lost |
|
|
|
TO Gained |
|
|
|
|
Player |
FMB |
FL |
INT |
|
|
Force |
Rcvr |
INT |
|
Denard |
2 |
0 |
|
|
Floyd |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Grady |
1 |
0 |
|
|
Ezeh |
|
1 |
|
|
Gallon |
1 |
0 |
|
|
Mouton |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kovacs |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
4 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total |
1 |
1 |
3 |
Remember here are the correlations of TOM to WLM at season’s end:
TOM is a significant contributing factor in determining the WLM.
90% of teams with a positive TOM of 5.0 or greater had winning records
84% of teams with positive TOM had winning records
Only 41% of teams with negative TOM had winning records
Only 28% of teams with a negative TOM of -5 or worse had winning records
62% of teams with a positive TOM of 5.0 or greater had WLM of +4 or better (8-4 record or better)
38% of teams with a TOM of 0 to +4.0 had a WLM of 4 or better
Only 25% of teams with a TOM 0 to -4.0 had a WLM of +4 or better
Only 8% of teams with a negative TOM of -5 or worse had WLM of +4 or betterDetails here: http://mgoblog.com/diaries/turnover-analysis-part-3-what-impact-winning
September 13th, 2010 at 6:13 PM ^
To think if we were as disciplined as we were against UConn we probably would have won by at least 10-14 points. Really great to have not turned the ball over yet, hopefully that will be a continued trend as the season goes on. Great work sir, thanks for the diary.
September 13th, 2010 at 7:06 PM ^
My only nitpick is that I feel like missed field goals should be considered turnovers (which would make us +1 on Saturday instead of +3).
September 14th, 2010 at 12:52 AM ^
Well then, your'e not in the f**ckin' club! (Mitch Hedberg reference)
September 14th, 2010 at 3:14 PM ^
Yes, it is also true that blocked punts and even an on-side kick are NOT considered turnovers. I kinda get the blocked punt (the other team was going to get the ball with the punt) but the on-side kick baffles me -- is it because the offense never had possession?
Comments