Synopsis for Turnovers: The game ended with no turnovers from either team. However, the "non-turnover" by Gallon on the fumbled KO return that went out of bounds on M's 2 yard line with 3:25 left in the half was a killer. The score was 21-10. Instead of mounting some kind of drive and perhaps getting some points, M punted from our own 4 yard line. Hagerup boomed one 55 yards but it was returned 22 yards to the M37. PSU scored to go up 28-10. Unless the defense improves significantly, it now appears M must win the TO battle by at least a +2 margin in each game to come close to winning another game. (The +2 TOM in a game would equate to 2 defensive stops.)
Overall, M remained at –3 TOM and the national ranking slipped to #84. M continues to be excellent in holding on to the ball and ranks #31 in turnovers lost. But, turnovers gained are just 60% of the average team and M is ranked #106 in TO gained.
BTW, blocked punts, blocked field goals, on-side kick recovered by the opposing team, roughing the kicker penalties, etc. are not considered to be "official" turnovers but have the same effect. I will continue to track these also.
Synopsis for Special Teams: M's net punting ranking was negatively impacted by the pooch punt and the 22 yard return on Hagerup's 55 yard punt from the M 4 yard line (which could not have come at a worse time).
Due to a bizarre NCAA requirement that punters must have a minimum of 3.6 punts per game, Hagerup does not have enough punts to make the national rankings. With just 24 punts in 8 games, Will is not likely to get enough punt attempts to qualify for the national rankings (at least let's hope he doesn't). Hagerup would need 9 punts against Illinois and eventually 43 punts in 12 games to get to 3.6 punts per game. That would be an average of 5 punts per game for the remaining 4 games.
Hagerup also took over the KO duties after the first KO by Broekhuizen (that went 40 yards). Will averaged 65 yards per KO (to the 5 yard line) and had one touchback. However, M has been ranked consistently high in KO return yardage allowed (currently #13). Although touchbacks on a KO are always great, this has NOT been one of M's problems this year. (Hopefully not too much time is being spent on KO distance at the expense of others – like field goals.)
Details for Turnovers: Here is the Summary by Game. According to the folks at Football Outsiders a first down TO is worth 5 points, second down TO is worth 4.5 points, and a third down TO is worth 4.0 points (regardless of field position!).
The extrapolation is a straight line [Totals] X [13 Total Games / Games Played]. AQ Best and AQ average is over the past 10 years. AQ Best is kind of funky because the team with the "best" in each category is different so the numbers don't add. But, it does provide a point of reference.
Here is the detail of each fumble/interception and a comment providing insight if the turnover (or lack thereof) was significant. Note, blocked punts are not considered a turnover and an interception of an extra point is not considered a turnover (player does not get credit for a interception).
Here is the overall summary by player (data in yellow was affected by this week's game).
Details for Special Teams: Here are the Punting and Kickoff statistics. (Touchbacks are included as –20 yards when determining net yards.)
Remember here are the correlations of TOM to WLM at season's end.