chance of bowl: 13.6%
|Michigan||Ohio St.||Penn St.||Iowa|
|MSU||Moby Dick||BE 1 (Pitt?)||Wisconsin|
|B12 2 (Mizzou?)||Illinois||BE 2 (RU/Cuse?)||Minnesota|
|Indiana||Northwestern||Purdue||B12 1 (Neb?)|
In here I'm assuming that we will poach at least 2 Big XII and 2 Big East teams. Moby Dick may be ND, Texas, or any other random school.
I attempted to preserve as many rivalries with the divisions as I could, while at the same time balancing geography and football prestige. The Fry/Osborne division is the only one I feel solidly about, the other 3 can flex around a bit to find the best fit.
To go along with the divisions, I decided to include 2 protected games for each team, much like the Big Ten's current format, to preserve up to 2 big rivalries/develop new ones. Without complete knowledge of rivalries of all teams, I tried my best.
Cross Divisional Protected Games
|Michigan||Ohio St||Ohio St||Michigan|
|Michigan||Minnesota||Ohio St||Penn St|
|MSU||Penn St.||Moby Dick||Purdue|
|MSU||Northwestern||Moby Dick||B 12 1|
|B 12 2||Illinois||Illinois||B 12 2|
|B 12 2||B 12 1||Illinois||Indiana|
|Penn St||Ohio St||Iowa||Penn St.|
|BE 1||Minnesota||Wisconsin||BE 2|
|BE 2||B 12 1||Minnesota||BE 1|
|Purdue||Indiana||B12 1||B12 2|
|Purdue||Moby Dick||B12 1||BE 2|
The 3 Divisional games and 2 protected matchups should ideally be played in the first 5 weeks of conference play.* Then we move onto:
Weeks 6-7 are a semi-randomized* draw. Each team will play 1 home and 1 away game. I call this a semi-randomized draw because there are rules. You cannot play
- Anybody you played in weeks 1-5
- Anybody you played in weeks 6-7 of randomized draw from the last year
- Anybody you played in the conference weeks 8-9 last year
At the end of Week 7, we lock into seeding for mini-playoffs in weeks 8-9
The conference splits in 2 for weeks 8 and 9. The top half of the conference is put into 2 divisions, seeded by conference record, H2H matchups, point differentials, and et cetera. These two divisions would play 1v4, 2v3, then winners vs.winners and losers vs. losers. The two winners that would emerge would then play for the Mega Ultra Super Explosion Conference Championship Game (Sponsored by State Farm)
The other bracket, tentatively named I can Has Bowl? Will follow much the same format, only all of these teams will be pretty much battling it out for the last few bowl berths available in conference. If scheduling trends continue with MACrifice type games, most of these teams can get to 6-6 if they win out. They're jostling for position, much like any teams that lose any of the games in the championship bracket. Keep in mind this new conference would probably send at least 2, and as many as 4 teams to the BCS every year.
As a final note, if 2 lower seeded teams have the same record, the conference can decide to flip them to give a better (IE, non divisional or teams that have not played this year) matchup
To illustrate this, I'll provide an example season
After 7 weeks of conference play, the standings are**:
|Michigan (6-1)||Ohio St. (7-0)||Penn St. (5-2)||Iowa (6-1)|
|MSU (3-4)||Moby Dick (4-3)||BE 1 (Pitt?) (4-3)||Wisconsin (6-1)|
|B12 2 (Mizzou?) (5-2)||Illinois (4-3)||BE 2 (RU/Cuse?) (0-7)||Minnesota (0-7)|
|Indiana (0-7)||Northwestern (2-5)||Purdue (2-5)||B12 1 (Neb?) (2-5)|
Which would lead to this type of week 8-9 seeding
|Seeds||Champion 1||Champion 2||I can has bowl?||I can has bowl?|
|1||Ohio St. (7-0)||Iowa (6-1)||Illinois (4-3)||MSU (3-4)|
|2||Wisconsin (6-1)||Michigan (6-1)||Northwestern (2-5)||Purdue (2-5)|
|3||B12 2 (Mizzou?) (5-2)||Penn St. (5-2)||B12 1 (Neb?) (2-5)||Indiana (0-7)|
|4||BE 1 (Pitt?) (4-3)||Illinois (4-3)||Minnesota (0-7)||BE 2 (RU/Cuse?) (0-7)|
Winner of Champion 1 v Champion 2 would compete in the Mega Ultra Super Explosion Conference Championship Game (Sponsored by State Farm)
And to be clear: All lower seeds have home field advantage throughout weeks 8-9. Conference Championship held at neutral site NFL stadium.
So there you have it. Let's lauch into Pro-Con
- Pretty much everybody can keep traditional rivals, either through divisional lineups or protected matchups. The only exception will be if Moby Dick turns out to be Notre Dame. In which case, to hell with Notre Dame, you shouldn't have made us make a 16 team conference. You'll get nothing and like it.
- In the end, you play with your skill level. Even if your Division and rivals all had down years AND your random seeds turned out to be bad, you will still be forced to win 3 games against quality opponents to win the Big Ten.
- You are guaranteed to see at least 2, hopefully 3-4 new teams a year due to the randomization in weeks 6-7. This should see you cycle through the conference every 4 years or so, not ideal, but hopefully it'll all work out.
- It makes my head hurt: Yeah, it makes my head hurt too
- Divisions are fairly static: Yep, I guess we could make a provision that realignment can happen every X amount of years, assuming this conference survives.
- Some teams may be screwed out of position due to the 8/9 cutoff: Yeah, but were we really expecting them to win the championship anyways? They should have won more games in weeks 1-7.
- The losers bracket sucks: You suck. That and 3-6 of those teams are angling for bowls, everybody else gets to play for pride and a chance to screw somebody out of a bowl.
- Some teams will invariably play each other twice in a season. This is not necessarily good or bad. In the championship bracket, it's a shot at redemption! In the losers bracket... it's a shot at redemption.
Feel free to let me know. I don't care about the hyphenations, but I suppose everything else is fair game.
*Truly random schedule generation would lead to weird results like playing Ohio State 3x
**This may or may not make sense with Divisions/rivalry matchups. I don't care. The total wins and losses add up correctly, and that's all I really care about to illustrate an example
4 - Upvoting and Downvoting are enabled. First recorded negbangs happen shortly after.
6 - HTTV 2009 was released.
9 - You can follow Tate's mother's twitter, and we discovered a Forcier - Roundtree connection. Go back and posbang him. Also, the first forum topic about points.
12 - It's the offseason. Bad Movies that looked good.
13 - Still the off season when we're talking about fictional Michigan Alumni. Also, consensus 7-5?
14 - Tim Hardaway Jr. is scouted. Boundless optimism about the season
15 Still the offseason. Underrated Movies
16- Kurt Wemers transfers, trashes program
21, 22 - New Rivals 100 and 250 are released. We are very concerned.
22- Rick Reilly writes a Tiger Woods article that portrays him in a negative light. Even though he's mainly right, Reilly is still a tool.
24- Mgoblog and Varsity Blue combine.
25- Justin Feagin is dismissed from the team.
27- A thread on showering.
29- Rich Rod likes him some RAWK MUSIK. Let's talk about the band.
30- UCONN is announced as the 2010 opener. Reactions.
31- Offseason is almost over, but here's a 130 response thread on fast food.
3- Coner isn't the only rapper on the team.
4- Donovan Warren likes GERG. Mgoboard talks about Chicks, man.
7. Bouje complains about losing 7 mgopoints. The future will not be good to him. Also, if we go into E. Lansing 4-0. I don't think anybody made a correct prediction from that thread.
9- Feagin situation is revealed. Freep starts Jihad. Team learns..
11- Reaction. Michael Rosenberg hit job.
12- Brodie resurrects his own thread from January. The title is the most entertaining part.
13- Mustaches for Michigan
14- Reaction to Rosenberg. Denard is fast. You can find out which posters are shut in alcoholics.
15- Talk about yourself
17- Wondering about lunch in Ann Arbor?
21- Sommy hates Fernando Rodney. (Dude... he produced)
23- You should learn about swimming.
24- OH MY GOD 3 QUARTERBACKS PLAY AGAINST WESTERN?
26- Another alcohol related thread. This will be useful as the season progresses. Also, Shredder starts his MS Paint masterpieces.
28- Jay passes Brian in Mgopoints. Everything goes on as normal. MLIA.
30- The week before the opener, the Freep goes nuts.
SEPTEMBER (FOOTBALL IS BACK!)
1- Somebody comes to the defense of Rosenberg? Herbie's got our back. Or just read this entire page. (Link will only work for... a day?). In this recap here's Brian recapping himself.
3- College football is back. Hey, come back and check to see how wrong you were on your predictions and cry yourself to sleep!
3- Brian has been doing a section season preview. The only part that was egrigriously wrong was The Linebackers. Every other position grouping was pretty accurate.
5- More alcohol. Why? Because I just read Brian's season prediction.
6- Hey, we beat Western!
7- Mgoblog was sponsered by the M-Den for awhile. This is why you should never judge a team after week 1 unless its Illinois.
8- Free Jihad still on. Panic?
10- Shoutout to Box. Rosenberg Punches Dolphins.
13- We Beat ND. It was glorious. This, however, scarred me.
15- Jonas Mouton punched a guy
16- I blame this guy for the ensuing season.
20- We beat Eastern. There's a lot of contentious talk over standing up. This thread is an example.
24- I'm not a fan, but Helmet Stickers?
25- We fall off the wagon. Also, the first rule of Mgopoints is to NEVER TALK ABOUT MGOPOINTS.
27- We beat Indiana. However, people really aren't happy. Bill Lynch throws gum, makes my day.
As September draws to a close, we are 4-0. The rest of the year will be a long, drawn out trail of tears, full of frustration, anger, and sadness. There are 80 full pages of MgoBoard threads left, and 40 pages of content. I fear I won't make it through.
1- Denard will sign your forehead.
3- Let's all blame GERG
4- We lose to MSU. The people are restless
6- Tigers choke away division. I die a little inside.
7- "Superfan" is kind of a dick. Aside: the "superfan" during my senior year couldn't keep a f***** beat with a cowbell.
8- You should watch the E:60 Elliott Mealer story.
9- Mgoblog suffers a schitzophrenic break. I blame Fernando Rodney.
11- There are rumors we will wear White pants at Iowa, and they refuse to die.
12- We lose to Iowa. Requisite monthly long Mgopoint thread. Denard was in, Tate was concussed.
14- Look over here! its baseball!
15- Rich Leach goes off on Lloyd.
16- Tom VH interviews defensive recruits. This thread is titled "I hate you all"
17- We beat down Delaware State.
21- Bill Martin is retiring. Blogfight vs. Deadspin.
22- I have no idea why this thread has 151 responses.
24- People are now angry at Rich Rod.
24- We lose to PSU.
25- Somebody suggests Sheridan start.
27- Cissoko dismissed from the team. More
28- "Negbangs are out of control"
31- It's Halloween. And the Illinois game. Dong Punch.
We are still above .500 thanks to Baby Seal U. We can still make a bowl game...
1- Let's look towards next year
2- Brian turns emo (but not em0)
3- Carvin Johnson commits. People start grumbling about 3*s again.
5- TKoB, people want him banned.
6- Baskeball starts
7- This is an ugly thread. This one isn't much better. This one is the worst.
7- I've been avoiding hockey. This is part of the reason. We also lost to Purdue. Sigh.
9- This is a poorly reasoned argument.
11- Mgoblog was down. I was lost in the wilderness.
14- Henri, otter of ennui. Or a Wisconsin loss.
16- Michael Wilbon spreads dumb rumors
18- Linked only for the sweet picture. Mike Valenti has sources, man.
19- Senior Haikus. Henri strikes many down. k06em01 wonders where he should unload his speculative rumor. Incredibly, he has -666 points at the time of this posting.
21- A game happened.
22- em0 starts to deteriorate.
23- Let's just go to the fetal postion. OMG A GIRL!
29- Basketball falls twice in Old Spice classic.
30- ND loves Bob Stoops
1- Let's poke at the dead body of the Freep. We talk about hot chicks, man, in the avatar thread and the only reason I mention it is because I got in a Rick Roll.
2- Basketball vs. BC... Discussion
4- People are douchebags when Ray Vinopal commits. But seriously, stop hating.
12- Happy Trails, random guy I've never seen post.
15- Big Ten Expansion? GRID OF JUDGEMENT
This was this month. Hopefully you didn't forget what happened here last week.
Finally, I didn't get through the diaries. There are many great ones, but no good way to page through all of them that I've found. The back half of the year had lots more content, not all of it good. There were quite a few meltdowns that I didn't document, and much uglyness that has been deleted.
Here's to wildly optimistic projections for the future:
5 - Will Campbell re-committed to Michigan, and there was much (slightly creepy) rejoicing. Also, first mention I can find of the "Rich Rod recruits 3*s meme") Slightly ironic that it comes on the day a 5* commits.
7 - Tom VH interviews Tate
9 - Everybody hates Fox broadcasting the MNC game. (seriously, there are more topics than I want to link to)
12 - Brian is compared to Drew Sharp. Hilarity ensues.
16- GERG! floated as a name, then commits on the 20th
19 - 7 people decided to comment on Tom VH's Cullen Christian interview
22 - I missed the lovefest, and am sad that I'm not Enjoy Life's friend
25 - Conboy and Tropp commit a crime
29 - It's been an up and down month for basketball, but we lose to OSU and are 4-5 in conference. Tourney aspirations are dimming.
30 - Possibly the first mention of BLACK UNIFORMS!!!, but certainly not the last.
2 - Refs screw us over twice in the same day. My hatred of Jim Burr grows
4- Signing day. We lose 2 DTs, gain Q-wash and Jeron Stokes, Adrian Witty and Denard Robinson
5- WLA takes over Mgoblog
6- Tim and Paul are guest posting. Baby Seal U is announced as a game, the people are unimpressed
12- Dex helpfully UFRs the Ohio State game from November for those who were misinformed
13- Who's your favorite obscure player?
16- Threet transfers
23- We, uh, lose to Iowa in OT
25- Somehow, there are 299 comments in the Maker's Mark boycott post.
27- We proceed to beat Purdue.
Liveblog is a curse meme lives on strong throughout this month.
2- Seriously guys? 70% of Mgoblog votes against having a liveblog for the last game of the basketball season, against Minnesota
3- Brian realizes he is a harbinger of bad luck
4- Remember Craven Morehead? He's banned. Oh, the simple days.
8- There is a counter petition to the petition to get night games. In other news, people believe that online petitions are noticed. Also, MAIZE JERSEYS!!! And people think that MSU is fraudulent and won't do well in the tourney
12- DG commits
16- Basketball makes the tourney
19- And we beat Clemson!
23- then lose to man-child Blake Griffin and OU. People discover Poole1dan and make fun of him.
25- Spring practice has begun, Hockey bracket is posted,
27- We lose to the zoomies.
28- Speculation on Denard starting starts
29- Oh hey, I found the a classic McFarlin thread.
30- Just so you know, Diclemeg with -1635 points as of posting, thinks Denard will start at QB, and stakes his reputation to it.
31- To help you cope, Coner drops some mad rhymes
7 - I didn't attend the inaugural Mgotailgate at the spring game as I was far too drunk, but here's the plan
9 - Hello: Evan Metrics
13- Tate drops bombs in the spring game
15- Greg Paulus is seriously considering playing quarterback in college. Hey, another McFarlin thread! Also, people seriously hate the thought of Greg Paulus.
19- Somebody mentions USC's lack of institutional control. Way to be 8 months early, and use U$C.
20- Barkavious Mingo vs. Iris Macadangdang in the name of the year.
24- Backlash against new posters commences
30- Drew Dileo commits, people are not happy.
5 - McFarlin is banned. This thread is entertaining.
11- Brian addresses the bitching and overall creepyness. Anton Scalia bashes Ohio State
18 - "Douchey Mgoblog Users" reminded us to stop talking on our cell phones when ordering sandwiches.
21- People haven't gotten word that online polls won't get us a night game.
25- Mgopoints are halfheartedly introduced. I start planning my mgopoint retirement fund.
May was kind of a slow month. I didn't link to the variety of small fights about oversigning, stars, etc.
1- Kelvin and Kevin Grady come back into the fold
3- I include this link only because of Brian's throwaway line at the end: "Daily continues murdering Detroit papers, this time landing an extensive interview with Toney Clemons" Sadly, the Freep just sat on their interview...
10- WLA vs. GBMW blogfight escalates. Topic had GOOD MOTOR but FAILS to resolve CONFLICT PEECEFULY. Also, every month must have the requisite 3* recruit post.
29 - Tim Hardaway Jr. commits to michigan
30 - Mgoblog's secondary USA soccer craze comes to an end with a loss in the Confed Cup to Brazil
Another slow month. Hopefully I'll get the 2nd half of the year up sometime tomorrow.
From a media relations standpoint this story sucks. Michigan is getting dragged through the dirt and most people won't read far beyond the headline.
From a team standpoint, this is probably a huge unifying moment, the line in the sand, us against the world. Think about how angry the Mgoblog community is, and consider the fact that it wasn't your teammates that were mislead and ambushed, it wasn't your coach, the guy you work with every day, who was dragged through the mud. Your anger probably doesn't even approach the team's collective anger about the situation.
With the Athletic Dept and coaches probably instructing players not to talk to any media, there's no outlet, no way to defend their coach. Each passing day is only going to make the anger more intense, as more BS is piled on. The only way to improve the situation is going to be on the field. Come Saturday, every WMU player might as well be wearing a Snyder or Rosenberg Freep jersey. I have no doubt that Michigan will be hitting hard right out of the gate.
(Note: I'm not saying we're going to be head hunting/doing stupid things like a Crable or Butler. I think it will be a tight, focused anger. Execute, execute, execute, without pity. Also I'm told there's an ESPN article that corroborates some of this. Go Obi.)
There's been some talk about this being a distraction. While I agree that this is impacting our greater community and possibly Rich Rod himself, I doubt the players that have bought into his system (aka, the starters and key contributors) give a flying f*** about Rosenberg's allegations. Do you think they're going to take Rosenberg's side over Rodriguez's, that this story has instilled doubt into their minds? They know the results of their summer work. They know they have to avenge a 3-9 season. They know only winning will shut the critics up and will be more motivated than ever.
And on the flip side, Rosenberg, and the Freep by extension, will probably lose lots of access with regard to Michigan athletics. Good luck talking the athletes and coaches now; they probably wouldn't even admit that the sun is shining or that snow is wet to a Freep staffer (Rich Rod forces students, players, to fight, with snow!)(Follow up: anonymous players state: "I've never seen anything like this" "He just stood there and laughed")
So, to summarize: Team is Angry. Will try and use anger on the field to win the games. This strategy may work. Pad levels will be good. However, if Pad Levels are bad, this strategy also may not work. Watch the game to find out.
One of responses in a forum post got me to thinking about whether a Big Ten Championship game would be helpful in propelling a team to the MNC game.
The short answer is no. Analysis follows: let's see what couldhave happened the past 3 years.
- 2008 Last year Ohio State and Penn State shared the Big Ten Championship. They probably would have played in a hypothetical B10 championship... but PSU had already beaten OSU earlier in the year. Even had they played a championship game, PSU would not have gone to the MNC game had they won, and OSU (and the B10 in general) probably would have lost out on the 2nd BCS bid. Reverse the situation and OSU doesn't get to the MNC with a win, and PSU may lose a BCS bid if they lose. The net result is negative: one BCS game, a bunch of teams bumped down a peg, and a random mediocre Big Ten team may get shut out of a bowl.
- 2007, The Michigan-Ohio State game has a slightly different meaning. If Michigan wins, The B10 championship is suddenly Michigan-Illinois. If Ohio State wins, the B10 championship is Michigan-OSU. Playing the hypothetical game here can take you to all sorts of different places. Anyways, tOSU won, and In the 1-2 week after rematch, Henne and Hart are still banged up meaning we probably lose again. If OSU wins they still go to the MNC, while Michigan still goes to the Citrus Bowl. If OSU loses, they probably don't go to the MNC game, Michigan goes to the Rose Bowl, OSU probably gets an at large BCS bid, and Illinois is shut out of the BCS. There is no possible gain here in Big Ten terms, they have 2 BCS teams regardless, but they could potentially lose a MNC contender.
- 2006, UM and OSU have a titanic showdown in The Game. This is where it gets interesting. If UM loses, it would prompt a rematch in the B10 championship, as they had beaten 1 loss Wisconsin early in the year. If Ohio State loses, then what? Michigan would have beaten both teams, both with 1 loss. Who plays in the B10 game? Assuming OSU wins the regular game again, the Big Ten Championship is still fraught with peril. If OSU wins again they still get to go to the NC, and Michigan is eliminated from any talk about going to the National Title game. If Michigan wins, there's a 4 team logjam at the top, with UM, UF, USC, and OSU, as well as a 1 loss UW team that would probably be out of the running. The MNC has the potential to shut out both Big Ten teams, and let UF and USC play. The Big Ten had a legitimate shot at putting 2 teams in the national title game, and in this scenario, could end up with 0.
There are plenty of other messy scenarios out there. What happens in the case of a 3 way tie (ala the B12 last year). Hell, the Big Ten has even had a 4 way conference championship tie, what then? Sure the Big Ten could split into divisions, but who's the 12th school? Bringing back U-Chicago's athletics? Will we change our name (Because you have to admit 11 schools in the Big Ten is pushing it, 12 would just make it too confusing) to the Big Lake Conference? Do we go to 10 schools? Are we kicking Northwestern out?
Oh, and if you were wondering, there's no way a B10 championship would have helped in: 2005 (12-0 Texas/USC), 2004 (12-0 USC/Oklahoma), 2002 (12-0 OSU/Miami), 2001 (Undefeated Nebraska/Miami), 2000 (Oklahoma, 1 loss FSU. Big Ten Champ was 4 loss Purdue), 1999 (Undefeated VTech/FSU), or 1998 (Undefeated Tennessee/FSU)
The only time a championship game could have hepled was in 2003, when 1 loss Michigan wins the Big Ten. That year, 1 loss Michigan and USC were on the outside looking in while 11-1 LSU and Oklahoma were playing for the NT. We were a distant 4th to the 3 other teams, but a Big Ten championship game MAY (may!) have pushed us over the edge.
1 opportunity to improve the Big Ten's situation out of 11 isn't really great. You have to trade that off with 3 potential opportunities that a Big Ten team can stumble and not go to the NT game. And yes, a conference championship would most likely bring in lots of revenue and exposue. However, without a championship game, the Big Ten has one of the easier routes to the National Title game, and it looks like a championship game would be an obstacle for a perfect team more often than it would be to boost a 1 or 2 loss Big Ten team in.
So to start off: William Campbell is not enrolled at the University of Michigan…yet.
Uniqnames are given out to people with affiliations to the university. Having a uniqname does not mean that you are a student or faculty at U-M. Go ahead and do some random last name searches on directory. You’ll find a variety of titles, from volunteers to doctors to janitors. Uniqnames are necessary for Mcards, so anybody that has an Mcard has a uniqname. So we can all agree: uniqname does not equal enrollment.
William Campbell is probably not going to be a “Office Assistant, Senior”, you argue. Ok, here’s the second hint. Look at his affiliation. He doesn’t have one, does he?
As a background, students create their uniqnames after they pay their $200 enrollment deposits. The keyword there was not enrollment, but DEPOSIT. As a high school senior, you have the option of paying as many deposits as you want, provided you get into all of those schools. However, in the end you eventually pick one school you go to. The deposits merely hold your place in line, so that the universities don’t give your spot to somebody else. You are free to change your mind at any time, so long as you don’t mind losing that $200. Now, as you may guess, Scholarship Athletes are exempt from paying the $200. They are free to create a uniqname whenever Admissions admits them.
Students are not enrolled at the university until they sign up for their first class. Up until that point, students are free to go to whatever institution they want. For winter term students, this means the first day of winter term. For fall students, this generally means summer orientation. So, until that point, students will HAVE their uniqnames, but WILL NOT be enrolled at U-M…yet.
Once you register for classes, batch security will update your directory account. You will receive an affiliation (Student, Undergraduate Kinesiology) and you will be all set for life as an undergrad. If you notice, Tate Forcier, William Campbell etc. don’t have affiliations and such. Check Elliot Mealer or Martavious Odoms for examples of this.
This was long and probably very unnecessary, but hopefully this will prevent annual internet blowups.