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A Short Minnesota MBB Preview

By robbyt003 — January 17th, 2013 at 11:03 AM — 13 comments
Filed under:
  • basketball

[Ed-S: Bumped]

Record: (15-2, 3-1 Big Ten)

 

Wins vs top 100 opponents

Wins (RPI 1-50)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
18 Dec. 31 Michigan State 76-63
14 Jan. 9 @ Illinois 84-67
 
Wins (RPI 51-100)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
96 Nov. 18 Richmond 72-57
61 Nov. 23 Memphis* 84-75
78 Nov. 24 Stanford* 66-63
65 Nov. 27 @ Florida State 77-68
90 Dec. 4 South Dakota State 88-64
63 Dec. 11 North Dakota State 70-57

 

Losses

Losses (RPI 1-50)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
1 Nov. 22 Duke* 71-89
13 Jan. 12 @ Indiana 81-88

 

Starting Five

SR(6th year). Trevor Mbakwe. F. 6'8" 245lbs

9.5 ppg. 8.1 rpg. 1.5 blk.

SR. Rodney Williams. F. 6'7" 205lbs

12.5 ppg. 5.9 rpg. 1.5 blk.

JR. Austin Hollins. G. 6'4" 185lbs

10.9 ppg. 4.5 3pa. 3.5 rpg.

SO. Joe Coleman. G. 6'4" 200lbs

10.9 ppg. 4.1 rpg. 1.5 stl

SO. Andre Hollins. G. 6'1" 200lbs

14.4 ppg. 4.6 3pa. 43% 3pt. 

 

What I make out of all of this

This is the best team we have seen so far this year and they are extremely athletic.  If we want to steal a win at their place, we need to beat them on the glass.  They lead the Big Ten in offensive rebounds, so we need to box out.  They are an above average 3pt shooting team and fourth in the Big Ten in FG%.

I hope we got our road game jitters out of the way on Sunday, because "The Barn" is not going to be a very friendly atmosphere for us.  

Prediction Michigan 63, Minnesota 61. In a game that goes down to a missed Minnesota three in the final seconds.  

 

 

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January 17th, 2013 at 11:18 AM | Trevor Mbakwe is a beast so I (Score:1)
pessiMICHtic
pessiMICHtic's picture
Joined: 10/24/2012
MGoPoints: 440

Trevor Mbakwe is a beast so I am thinking we may see Mitch/Jordan/Horford all have opportunities against him to see who can contain him the most.

3-3-5 til the day I die y'all

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January 17th, 2013 at 11:36 AM | Mbakwe was a beast. (Score:1)
MN Go Blue
Joined: 02/23/2012
MGoPoints: 223

He still seems a bit slowed by injuries this year.  He is not the player he was before he got hurt.  That being said Minnesota has a lot of players that can hurt you.  If they are to get a win tonight they can't get off to a slow start like they have in so many games this year.

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January 17th, 2013 at 11:37 AM | I see this game as more (Score:1)
WhoopinStick
Joined: 03/16/2010
MGoPoints: 204

I see this game as more important that the OSU game.  We get the chance to give a loss to Ohio when they come to Crisler.  This is the only time we play Minny, so this is the only chance we have to give them a loss. 

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January 17th, 2013 at 11:56 AM | We definitely weren't given (Score:2)
robbyt003
robbyt003's picture
Joined: 10/25/2010
MGoPoints: 2591

We definitely weren't given any favors when it came to BIG scheduling.  Our home one and dones are Iowa and Nebraska and our aways are Minnesota and Wisconsin.  

“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing” - Bo Schembechler

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January 17th, 2013 at 11:58 AM | Another,BIG GAME (Score:1)
marco dane
marco dane's picture
Joined: 07/01/2008
MGoPoints: 1005

for Michigan. Minny isn't no joke. Coach Smith will have these boys pump and with a plan. I'm looking for a close affair with Michigan pulling away with the d leading to a victory. 

Hopefully,the pick and roll is working,along with a fast start!!

Also,hand checking is called moreso than the last game. Please tell me Hightower isn't working this game...??

Lucky enough to have my own JT wristband!!

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January 17th, 2013 at 12:46 PM | They seem like an extremely (Score:2)
GVSUGoBlue
GVSUGoBlue's picture
Joined: 01/12/2011
MGoPoints: 389

They seem like an extremely balanced and long team. This is going to be a great game to watch.

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January 17th, 2013 at 12:49 PM | I also never realized that (Score:2)
GVSUGoBlue
GVSUGoBlue's picture
Joined: 01/12/2011
MGoPoints: 389

I also never realized that Mbakwe is a 6th year senior. I cannot wait until he graduates.

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January 17th, 2013 at 1:29 PM | This Will Be A Good Game... (Score:1)
LSAClassOf2000
LSAClassOf2000's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 8746

It was discussed some yesterday, but we're fairly closely matched in some important respects in this game and one of the keys might be in playing that disciplined, efficient game that Michigan can play. Even looking at defensive points per possession, for example, we average 0.94 and Minnesota averages 1.01, so exploiting little things like taking advantage of the fact that Minnesota fouls more than we do will perhaps play a role in this game.

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3

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January 17th, 2013 at 1:33 PM | Keep Mitch on Mbakwe as much (Score:1)
WestVirginia Wo...
Joined: 01/12/2013
MGoPoints: 60

Keep Mitch on Mbakwe as much as possible. Gives us our best chance at keeping him off the glass.

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January 17th, 2013 at 2:53 PM | I don't think McGary can (Score:2)
Needs
Joined: 08/05/2008
MGoPoints: 4163

I don't think McGary can handle him in the post. He's not strong enough yet. I think Morgan's the key, he's a really good post defender, even if he doesn't contest.

We're going to need big time production from Hardaway and Robinson, as well as Morgan and McGary on the glass (the good news being that we're 2nd in the nation in defensive rebounding and that McGary does do a very good job of finding bodies to block out when the shot goes up.)

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January 17th, 2013 at 1:37 PM | I think Minnesota is a lot (Score:1)
Soulfire21
Soulfire21's picture
Joined: 03/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3135

I think Minnesota is a lot better than Ohio State, and given that we shit the bed only to scoop most of the shit off but still lost at OSU, I've got to think that Minnesota takes this one.

We really haven't looked good at all in our last two outings, shooting under 40% both times against Nebraska and OSU.  Stauskas' regression to the mean makes me sad, he's missed 15 of his last 22 3-point attempts.  Perhaps my pessimism stems from our absolutely disastrous first half at OSU, but this game is going to be a lot harder, and well, we lost the easier one, so..

That said, I'm open to being completely wrong.

HAIL.

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January 17th, 2013 at 1:45 PM | If we are to win the Big Ten (Score:1)
wolver767
wolver767's picture
Joined: 05/16/2011
MGoPoints: 316

If we are to win the Big Ten we have to steal a couple of these huge road games.

ty

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January 17th, 2013 at 2:49 PM | Defensive rebounding (Score:2)
Needs
Joined: 08/05/2008
MGoPoints: 4163

Rebound. the. basketball. 

That's the key. If Minny's offensive rebound % is below 30, I feel really good about this game. Above that, I get nervous. If they hit their average, an absolutely crazy 48%, we'd have to shoot +65 eFG% to win or get a boatload of turnovers (and we don't really turn teams over much).

Big game for McG, Morgan, Timmy, and GRIII on the glass. The good thing is that Minny commits so much effort to the offensive glass that, if we can get the defensive boards, there should be opportunities to run.

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