Keith Nichol should not be averaging more rushing yards than Daryll Clark. The spread HD has to be able to us his athleticism a little better me thinks
By The Numbers - Big 10 Player Ranks
|Player||Team||G||Value||Yards||TD||INT||Rush Yards||Rush TD|
|Daryll Clark||Penn State||4||5.61||241||2.25||1.50||12||0.00|
|Kirk Cousins||Michigan State||3||3.91||222||1.33||0.67||2||0.00|
|Terrelle Pryor||Ohio State||4||3.28||173||1.25||1.00||62||0.50|
|Keith Nichol||Michigan State||3||2.40||84||1.00||0.67||18||0.00|
QB stats don't include sacks or fumbles. Denard only listed for 3 games because he didn't attempt a pass against ND.
|Player||Team||G||Value||Rush||Yards||TD||Rec Yards||Rec TD|
|Evan Royster||Penn State||4||2.11||15||71||0.75||25||0.33|
|Brandon Saine||Ohio State||4||1.36||8||45||0.00||21||0.00|
|Larry Caper||Michigan State||3||1.14||8||35||0.67|
|Caulton Ray||Michigan State||3||-0.21||7||24||0.33|
|Dan Herron||Ohio State||4||-0.87||15||53||1.25||17||0.00|
Not noted on the stat detail, but any passes from running backs are included in the total value figure.
Player - WR - Season
|Mark Dell||Michigan State||2||6.59||3.52||5.50||97||0.50|
|B Cunningham||Michigan State||3||6.42||3.37||6.00||79||1.00|
|Keshawn Martin||Michigan State||2||5.47||3.35||2.50||76||1.00|
|D Sanzenbacher||Ohio State||4||5.31||5.13||3.00||69||1.00|
|Derek Moye||Penn State||4||5.22||3.05||3.75||63||0.50|
|Blair White||Michigan State||3||5.07||3.49||4.67||62||0.67|
|Chaz Powell||Penn State||4||4.27||3.60||3.75||53||0.50|
|Devier Posey||Ohio State||4||3.46||1.85||3.75||40||0.25|
|Graham Zug||Penn State||3||3.22||2.66||4.00||51||0.67|
|Mickey Shuler||Penn State||2||1.08||-0.53||1.00||4||0.50|
Value column is on completions only, Value+ column is all in, catches and targeted incompletions/interceptions. Not noted on the stat detail, but any runs (Tandon Doss) or passes from wide receivers are included in the total value figure.
Wide receivers' value numbers will always skew high because they don't have much for negative plays working against them, they just don't get the ball if they make a bad play, so even with the adjusted numbers, the totals are generally a self-selected group.
Two things: 1. Nichol isn't even close to the passer that Clark is, Clark also has a much better team around him, so Nichol will rely on his legs more than Clark will.
2. Nichol may be a better runner than Clark is. Seriously, Nichol is a run first QB; Clark can run when he needs to, but is a passer first.
Clark has also faced Iowa's tough run defense, while Nichol padded his rushing numbers with one long run against Wisconsin's backups.
I don't think they are running Clark much because of the nummy cupcakes. I think they don't want to chance him in the open field if they don't need to, I bet with the loss to Iowa and the Big Ten Season they open up the playbook more.
why you left Denards ND stats off?
why is Mathews not in the WR stat chart? is he not even listable?
does it make logical sense that MSU has 4 WRs in the top 10 (184.108.40.206) yet their QB is #5? i love statistical analysis, but there must be a flaw here somewhere.
Incompletions produce negative value and are included in the QBs overall numbers. The value of the negative depends on the situation. As noted, the receivers have two metrics. The Value metric does not change if a receiver is targeted but the pass is incomplete. However, the value+ metric brings in the incompletions and the receivers are dinged if an incompletion is thrown their direction.
Couple things to note. Notice how the value+ is much lower in relation to the value for the MSU receivers versus receivers near them in the rankings. This means they are being targeted a lot, they are making some plays but there are also being targeted more. The second thing to note is that MSU plays 2 QBs. Their QBs combined would be the #1 QB in the conference in total value added, and in the team rankings, MSU is first in overall pass offense.
...if you also combine Tate and DRob. :^D
On Denard, this is adjusted to zero, so some players are negative, its not like more plays automatically mean higher ratings. Denard has been pretty effective the plays he has participated in. Plus, QB ratings don't take into account rushing stats. The QB ratings are just that QB ratings, not passer ratings.
As for Tolzien, remember, the NCAA/Big 10 official stats include games against 1AA competition, I do not. Second, everything is opponent adjusted. Tolzien has two solid games, a +6 against MSU and a +4 against Northern Illinois. However, he had a mediocre (not bad) performance against Fresno State, who so far hasn't exhibited a great pass defense.
It's all about situation and opposition.
did you explain how you arrive at that value number in another post?