the just released schedules were a flat-out statement that the B10 doesn't believe SOS will matter in playoff selection
By The Numbers - Big 10 Player Ranks - Week 10
Filed under:
All numbers are points per game vs an average team. They are adjusted
for strength of opponent. No 1AA games or stats are included.
For more detailed questions on how the
numbers come about, click here.
Quarterbacks
National performance of the week: Nick Florence, Baylor vs Missouri +26 (427 yds, 4 total TDs)
Big 10 Performance of the week: Kirk Cousins, Michigan State vs Western Michigan +17 (353 yards, 2 TDs) - 10th best overall performance
Kirk Cousins and Daryll Clark sit at the top of the conference at nearly a touchdown a game. Kafka, Forcier and Pryor are all in the second tier at about +4 points/game. After those 5 its a mess of 1-2 pointers. The values roughly correlate to the passer rating, although the value+ numbers reflect rushing yards, strength of competition and reward or punish volume of passes depending on success. Nationally, Cousins and Clark are in the top 25 range, the Tate and company are in the top 50 or so and everyone past Pryor are in the bottom half or so of D1 quarterbacks.
Running Backs
National Performance of the Week (BCS competition): Jordan Todman, Uconn vs Cincinnati +14 (195 combined yards, 4 TDs)
Big 10 Performance of the Week: Brandon Minor, Michigan vs Purdue +7 (154 yards, 3 TDs)
The spread between the top and bottom on running backs is much closer. Minor would have a clear advantage if not for several games of limited action. Saturday's game will feature the 3 highest rated running backs in the conference with John Clay of Wisconsin and Michigan duo of Minor and Brown (if they're healthy, of course).
Wide Receivers
National Performance of the Week: Dana Alexander, Missouri vs Baylor +15 (214 yards, 1 TD)
Big 10 Performance of the Week: Roy Roundtree, Michigan vs Purdue +10 (126 yards, 1 TD)
Michigan held Keith Smith slightly below his average (+6) for the week, but it was still enough for Smith to hold a half point lead over the shelved Eric Decker. Still no Michigan receivers with the catches to qualify for the standings.
Quarterbacks
National performance of the week: Nick Florence, Baylor vs Missouri +26 (427 yds, 4 total TDs)
Big 10 Performance of the week: Kirk Cousins, Michigan State vs Western Michigan +17 (353 yards, 2 TDs) - 10th best overall performance
| Player | Team | G | Value+ | Value | Rating | Rush Yards |
| Kirk Cousins | Michigan State | 8 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 144.3 | 17.6 |
| Daryll Clark | Penn State | 9 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 136.5 | 26.1 |
| Mike Kafka | Northwestern | 9 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 125.2 | 41.8 |
| Tate Forcier | Michigan | 9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 128.0 | 40.9 |
| Terrelle Pryor | Ohio State | 10 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 131.9 | 70.6 |
| Adam Weber | Minnesota | 10 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 121.8 | 7.9 |
| Ben Chappell | Indiana | 9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 124.8 | 6.6 |
| Scott Tolzien | Wisconsin | 8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 127.7 | 17.6 |
| Joey Elliott | Purdue | 10 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 125.1 | 34.3 |
| Ricky Stanzi | Iowa | 9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 129.4 | 15.1 |
| Denard Robinson | Michigan | 6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 43.9 | 36.5 |
| Juice Williams | Illinois | 8 | 0.1 | -1.2 | 116.0 | 57.4 |
| Keith Nichol | Michigan State | 7 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 129.6 | 15.0 |
| Eddie Mcgee | Illinois | 5 | -1.7 | -1.5 | 48.6 | 12.0 |
Kirk Cousins and Daryll Clark sit at the top of the conference at nearly a touchdown a game. Kafka, Forcier and Pryor are all in the second tier at about +4 points/game. After those 5 its a mess of 1-2 pointers. The values roughly correlate to the passer rating, although the value+ numbers reflect rushing yards, strength of competition and reward or punish volume of passes depending on success. Nationally, Cousins and Clark are in the top 25 range, the Tate and company are in the top 50 or so and everyone past Pryor are in the bottom half or so of D1 quarterbacks.
Running Backs
National Performance of the Week (BCS competition): Jordan Todman, Uconn vs Cincinnati +14 (195 combined yards, 4 TDs)
Big 10 Performance of the Week: Brandon Minor, Michigan vs Purdue +7 (154 yards, 3 TDs)
| Player | Team | G | Value+ | Value | Yards | TD | YPC | Rec Yards |
| John Clay | Wisconsin | 8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 113 | 1.3 | 5.01 | 15 |
| Brandon Minor | Michigan | 8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 60 | 1.0 | 5.42 | 1 |
| Carlos Brown | Michigan | 8 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 60 | 0.5 | 6.17 | 25 |
| Duane Bennett | Minnesota | 10 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 34 | 0.6 | 3.87 | 25 |
| Jaycen Taylor | Purdue | 7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 30 | 0.6 | 5.44 | 38 |
| Montee Ball | Wisconsin | 5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 36 | 0.6 | 3.71 | 17 |
| Evan Royster | Penn State | 9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 87 | 0.6 | 5.26 | 19 |
| Ralph Bolden | Purdue | 10 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 85 | 0.7 | 4.79 | 23 |
| D Eskridge | Minnesota | 8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 31 | 0.4 | 4.11 | 9 |
| Larry Caper | Michigan State | 8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 43 | 0.8 | 3.97 | 24 |
| Brandon Saine | Ohio State | 10 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 50 | 0.0 | 4.74 | 21 |
| Adam Robinson | Iowa | 7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 81 | 0.6 | 4.72 | 13 |
| Jordan Hall | Ohio State | 6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 41 | 0.2 | 5.17 | 5 |
| Darius Willis | Indiana | 7 | -0.8 | -0.5 | 66 | 0.9 | 4.57 | 22 |
| D Mccray | Indiana | 6 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 39 | 0.2 | 5.22 | 10 |
| Zach Brown | Wisconsin | 6 | -0.9 | -0.7 | 28 | 0.2 | 3.65 | 7 |
| S Concannon | Northwestern | 5 | -1.5 | -0.9 | 33 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 29 |
| Dan Herron | Ohio State | 7 | -1.5 | -0.9 | 50 | 0.9 | 3.99 | 17 |
| Brandon Wegher | Iowa | 9 | -1.6 | -1.2 | 55 | 0.7 | 3.82 | 14 |
| Glenn Winston | Michigan State | 5 | -2.7 | -2.1 | 36 | 0.4 | 3.33 | 6 |
The spread between the top and bottom on running backs is much closer. Minor would have a clear advantage if not for several games of limited action. Saturday's game will feature the 3 highest rated running backs in the conference with John Clay of Wisconsin and Michigan duo of Minor and Brown (if they're healthy, of course).
Wide Receivers
National Performance of the Week: Dana Alexander, Missouri vs Baylor +15 (214 yards, 1 TD)
Big 10 Performance of the Week: Roy Roundtree, Michigan vs Purdue +10 (126 yards, 1 TD)
| Player | Team | Value+ | Value All | Rec | Yards | YPR | TD |
| Keith Smith | Purdue | 7.1 | 5.3 | 7.1 | 86 | 12.2 | 0.4 |
| Eric Decker | Minnesota | 6.6 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 95 | 15.2 | 0.6 |
| Devier Posey | Ohio State | 6.0 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 67 | 14.9 | 0.7 |
| Marvin Mcnutt | Iowa | 5.7 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 71 | 29.4 | 0.7 |
| Andrew Brewer | Northwestern | 5.6 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 67 | 13.9 | 0.6 |
| Derek Moye | Penn State | 5.4 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 73 | 16.2 | 0.5 |
| Aaron Valentin | Purdue | 5.3 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 60 | 12.6 | 0.7 |
| Blair White | Michigan State | 5.3 | 3.2 | 5.4 | 72 | 13.2 | 0.6 |
| Tandon Doss | Indiana | 5.0 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 78 | 12.7 | 0.4 |
| D J-Koulianos | Iowa | 4.9 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 67 | 17.3 | 0.3 |
| D Belcher | Indiana | 4.8 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 62 | 12.7 | 0.3 |
| Graham Zug | Penn State | 4.5 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 53 | 11.7 | 0.6 |
| Keshawn Martin | Michigan State | 4.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 42 | 20.9 | 0.5 |
| D Sanzenbacher | Ohio State | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 54 | 20.1 | 0.7 |
| Nick Toon | Wisconsin | 3.7 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 58 | 15.0 | 0.3 |
| B Cunningham | Michigan State | 3.5 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 50 | 11.8 | 0.2 |
| Isaac Anderson | Wisconsin | 3.5 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 56 | 15.6 | 0.3 |
| Garrett Graham | Wisconsin | 3.5 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 47 | 11.8 | 0.4 |
| Tony Moeaki | Iowa | 3.3 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 38 | 14.7 | 0.6 |
| Z Markshausen | Northwestern | 3.1 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 67 | 9.0 | 0.2 |
Michigan held Keith Smith slightly below his average (+6) for the week, but it was still enough for Smith to hold a half point lead over the shelved Eric Decker. Still no Michigan receivers with the catches to qualify for the standings.
November 11th, 2009 at 11:26 PM | 
Dude, this stuff is the bomb.
Dude, this stuff is the bomb.
November 12th, 2009 at 12:14 AM |
It is good, thanks...
It is good, thanks...
I still think we can whip up a shoot out and beat them. It will take a lot of holding on to the ball but hope springs eternal.
November 12th, 2009 at 9:45 AM |
Going into the season I
Going into the season I
Going into the season I thought we had so much depth at RB and at WR. I still think this is very true.
What is interesting is that no Michigan WR had the catches to make the chart, as noted above. Obviously there were some injuries mixed in, but I think it's telling that we don't necessarily have a #1 "go to" receiver week in, week out.
That may not be a bad thing at all, to me it just means Tate is distributing the ball over the course of the season, and also means that Rich Rodriguez is sincere when he says every week is open competition for playing time.
Touchdown Michigan!
November 12th, 2009 at 12:33 PM |
Great!
Great!
I too found this encouraging. Wisconsin is beatable, and we'll be ready and extremely hungry. I think these players played outstandingly for their coach when he was on the hot seat at the beginning of the year, and they'll do it again now. That said, he was never actually on the "hot seat" and he isn't on one right now, but those who don't know or don't "get it" are purporting that idea.
As for the WR situation. They will have a WR lead the conference when it is the right guy. They will always spread the ball around, but if there was one guy who separated himself significantly from the competition, RR would find ways to get him the ball. That is coming to a Big House near you soon.
Dude, this stuff is the bomb. Seriously.
I would have never guessed that Stanzi and Tolzien were that close. I really believe that Stanzi was a big reason why we stayed so close to Iowa. He kept on making bad passes to guys who were open and shut down drives. That is, when he wasn’t torching the secondary. FML.
Then, again, Joey Elliot was a flying mofo out there. Though, Purdue's offense is more pass heavy than Wisconsin's as demonstrated by the receiver ranking. Still, FML.
I still think we have a shooter's chance in a shoot out so if Tolzien is really as unreliable as Stanzi, I like our chances a whole lot more. Sadly, I still don’t like our chances. FML.