Mini-Preview & Open Thread: Indiana

Submitted by Tim on

The Essentials

WHAT Michigan v. Indiana
WHERE Ann Arbor, MI
WHEN 4:00 PM EST
February 12th, 2011
THE LINE Michigan -6.5
TELEVISION BTN

If Michigan wants to make the tournament, this game is a must win. Hell, if they want to make the NIT, it's probably a must-win. Take care of business today, and you can worry about bigger goals later. Enough said. 

Tempo-Free Breakdown

With a few games under each team's belt, it's finally reasonable to look at the stats. If you need an explanation of the stats, check out Ken Pomeroy.

Michigan v. Indiana: National Ranks
Category Michigan Rank Indiana Rank Advantage
Mich eFG% v. IU Def eFG% 59 117 M
Mich Def eFG% v. IU eFG% 179 40 II
Mich TO% v. IU Def TO% 25 134 MM
Mich Def TO% v. IU TO% 236 178 I
Mich OReb% v. IU DReb% 308 118 II
Mich DReb% v. IU OReb% 42 135 M
Mich FTR v. IU Opp FTR 344 329 I
Mich Opp FTR v. IU FTR 61 199 MM
Mich AdjO v. IU AdjD 45 91 M
Mich AdjD v. IU AdjO 76 56 I

The Wolverines are having a much better season than the Hoosiers, but the stats are nearly even. Part of that is a tougher schedule for the Wolverines. Though Michigan went down in Bloomington in embarrassing fashion, Indiana has yet to win a game on the road this season.

The Wolverines are playing some of their best ball of the season right now, whereas IU lost to Iowa last week... at home. Two of their most important contributors, Maurice Creek and Christian Watford, are injured and likely to miss today's game.

Predictions

Pomeroy likes Michigan, 68-63, but I'm a little more optimistic, especially with IU's injury situation. I think Michigan comes away with a 65-53 victory in Crisler.

Elsewhere

UMHoops and The Crimson Quarry preview the game. Inside the Hall brings a preview from IU assistant Steve McClain.

Comments

bronxblue

February 12th, 2011 at 6:55 PM ^

I'm fine with the game because the team won.  If this team doesn't make the NCAA tournament (which is my guess), it will be because of the 6-game losing streak in the middle of the season (including those blowout losses to IU and NW) and not being able to pull a big upset against OSU, Syracuse, or Kansas.

I love this team, and would be happy with an NIT bid after last year.

MH20

February 12th, 2011 at 11:50 PM ^

Nope.  It's a win, and shows up as a win in the record books.  The team made some mistakes and had mental lapses, but guess what, they kicked ass to get that 20 point lead.

Also, Michigan did close out the game because, well, they won.

ijohnb

February 12th, 2011 at 8:57 PM ^

IU' ass today.  If what you came away with was negatives, it is because you are not taking the whole product at face value.  The end was not pretty, but bottom line, Hoosiers were disposed of in short order, M looking good, one win away from square on the bubble.

Go Blue.