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Michigan QBs - 2001 To Present - A High-Level Summary

By LSAClassOf2000 — November 21st, 2012 at 11:27 AM — 11 comments
Filed under:
  • football

With many threads in the past month devoted to the quarterback situation for the Wolverines, I thought it might be interesting to take a holistic view of Michigan quarterbacking going back to a decade or so and compare the performance of our personnel to the average in the conference.

 

One thing that I found illuminating right away is that only in the last three seasons have we remained consistent above the conference average composite rating, if you will. Further, it was also interesting to see one particularly violent fluctuation in the numbers whereas the conference average remained more or less stable.

 

The graph for completion percentage shows that Michigan, for the most part, has stayed within earshot of the conference average in this statistic, typically a few percentage points in either direction, so we essentially trend with the conference.  Interceptions, as I am sure some will note, are definitely trending in a direction other than what we might like, but as has been said repeatedly on this board, there is one game this year which is a total aberration. Remove it, and the story is very different.

 

When it comes to yards per attempt, this is another area in which we’ve been more or less near the conference mean, and actually, in the last couple years, we have slowly improved whereas the rest of the conference has taken a small slide. We have been historically more productive in the area of passing TDs as well, with the only below average years in the studied span being 2008 and 2009.

 

Anyway, below are some thumbnail links to the graphed data.

 

Michigan QBs – Overall Rating – 2001-2012 (to date):

Photobucket

 

Michigan QBs – Overall Completion Percentage – 2001-2012 (to date):Photobucket

 

Michigan QBs – Total Interceptions – 2001-2012 (to date):

Photobucket

 

Michigan QBs – Yards Per Attempt  – 2001-2012 (to date):

Photobucket

 

Michigan QBs – Passing TDs – 2001-2012 (to date):

Photobucket

 

Michigan QBs – Passing Yards – 2001-2012 (to date):

Photobucket

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November 21st, 2012 at 11:37 AM | Nice... I always enjoy your (Score:0 Overrated)
TSS
TSS's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 1340

Nice... I always enjoy your diaries... what happened in 2008 BTW?  That was so long ago...Oh well... it will come back to me... nice charts.

Less INTs please...

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November 21st, 2012 at 11:54 AM | What happened in 2008? (Score:3 Insightful)
Daniel
Daniel's picture
Joined: 11/26/2011
MGoPoints: 488

Chad Henne graduated in April.

Formerly 'mgoblaniel.'

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November 21st, 2012 at 3:07 PM | That's right...it was the (Score:0 Overrated)
TSS
TSS's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 1340

That's right...it was the guys who left. /s. I don't want to go there...but I guess I just did. It was what it was.

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November 21st, 2012 at 11:36 AM | Wow (Score:1)
DealerCamel
DealerCamel's picture
Joined: 07/25/2012
MGoPoints: 362

That dip in 2008 across the board is just brutal.

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November 21st, 2012 at 1:15 PM | I say (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
MGoSoftball's picture
Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3596

we get the Physics Lab to improve the Flux Capacitor and melt the entire 4th Qtr of 2008 into oblivion.  The Space-Time Continuum would relieve us of so much pain.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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November 21st, 2012 at 12:43 PM | Enlightening to see... (Score:1)
Mich Mash
Mich Mash's picture
Joined: 10/01/2012
MGoPoints: 261

...the Denard effect on interceptions.  The huge divergence from the mean from 2010-2012 is the proof in the pudding, as they say. (Not sure who says that or what it means though) 

Howeva, in my opinion, this has been offset by the Average pass yards per attempt, QB Rating and TD passes during Denard's reign. (Not to mention WINS! Which, Michigan is 4th in the league from 2010-today with 26 wins.  State has 27, Ohio and Wisconsin lead the league with 29 wins.  So we're not too far off from the top of the conference.)

Another interesting chart would be to see Rush Yards per whatever (game, carry, season) for the QB position.  I bet we might see some domination there.

Two roads diverged in a wood, and I—
I took the one less traveled by,
And that has made all the difference.

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November 21st, 2012 at 12:50 PM | Conference Trend (Score:2)
DonAZ
DonAZ's picture
Joined: 12/05/2011
MGoPoints: 663

I'm intrigued by the "conference" line trending down the last couple of years on nearly every graph.

I wonder if that's a reflection of pass defenses just getting better?

Midwestern born and raised ... now living in the heat of the Arizona desert

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November 21st, 2012 at 2:32 PM | Question for the OP. Wouldn't you expect the (Score:2)
MadMonkey
MadMonkey's picture
Joined: 04/08/2010
MGoPoints: 1675

conference average to have less variance over time?  Depanding on the distribution of a population, shouldn't an average from a population be expected to have less variance than a single subject from that population. Caveat: my only stats course was many eons ago.

Your opinion has no value.

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November 21st, 2012 at 2:41 PM | Tight Variances... (Score:3 Informative)
LSAClassOf2000
LSAClassOf2000's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 8746

Yes indeed. The averages are smoothing out a lot of individual bumps from individual teams in the conference - it makes for a more convenient comparison, I think. That being said, there is actually not as much variation in some of the raw data even across teams, depending on the statistic in question, at least in this instance.

The scales on the graph admittedly distort the fact that the variances on some of these, over the period discussed, are actually very tight. Indeed, the variance for the year-over-year conference average for YPA is 0.1% with a standard deviation of 0.26% - Michigan's individual variance is 16.2%. Another example actually is the variance of Michigan's interception totals in this period, which is 10.1, and the variance of the conference averages in this timeframe is 1.9.

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3

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November 21st, 2012 at 2:32 PM | Threet/Sheridan......wow (Score:2)
mm92.
Joined: 10/10/2012
MGoPoints: 86

Threet/Sheridan......wow

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November 21st, 2012 at 4:27 PM | Context (Score:3 Normal)
PurpleStuff
PurpleStuff's picture
Joined: 04/21/2009
MGoPoints: 10412

43.3% completions on 141 attempts, 7 TD, 5 INT, good for a QB rating of 105.69

51.0% completions on 200 attempts, 9 TD, 7 INT, good for a QB rating of 105.26

The second numbers are Steven Threet's from his freshman year in 2008.  The first are from Ryan Mallet's freshman year in 2007.  Threet netted an extra 200 yards on the ground as well, while Mallet finished in the red.

It is spelled HOKEAMANIA.  Our coach is an ass-kicking American citizen, not one of the Beatles, for Christ's sake!

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