Back on August 8, I posted this in a thread (edited to bring up the word count):
I see clear-cut top teams in Ohio State and Wisconsin. After that it's a toss up for 3rd with Iowa, Michigan, Michigan State, Northwestern, and Penn State.
Iowa: home versus Penn State and Michigan State, at Michigan and Northwestern
Michigan: home versus Iowa and Michigan State, at Penn State, Northwestern off
Michigan State: at Iowa, Michigan, Northwestern and Penn State
Northwestern: home versus Iowa and Michigan State, at Penn State, Michigan off (also OSU off)
Penn State: home versus Michigan, Michigan State, and Northwestern, at Iowa
If we see these teams as evenly matched and hold serve at home in these matchups, and we assume that when any of these teams play Ohio State or Wisconsin they lose and Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, and Purdue as wins, we get:
1/2: Ohio State/Wisconsin (8-0/7-1)
3: Penn State (6-2)
4: Northwestern (6-2) (loses tie-breaker w/Penn State based on head-to-head Penn State win)
5: Michigan (5-3)
6: Iowa (4-4)
7: Michigan State (3-5)
8-11: I don't care
I'd like to start a rational discussion on what we think might happen in the Big Ten season this year.
Obviously, the above is according to Hoyle, but I think the surprises will even out for the most part. Prediction: one of the teams in the "Fight for 3rd" category will implode and one will catch fire.
So, let me hear you, MGoNation.