Getting Back Down to 85 Scholarships

Submitted by alum96 on

Per informal policy we won't discuss specific names....

Please review handy MGoTable for scholarships by year:

With what is looking like 30 scholarships (and 31 players) in the 2016 class, UM will have a very young roster with 36% of players true freshman - up from 16% a year ago at this time.  Harbaugh is basically trying to cram a 5 year time frame into 3 years with aggressive roster management. 

With the departures of a few 5th year seniors, plus Green & Henry, UM has 62 non freshman scholarships devoted.*  Adding 30 scholarships to that takes you to 92 scholarships. 

# Players Eligibility
20* 1 yr
15 2 yr
17 3 yr
40 4 yr
   
92  

*This does not include Ryan Glasgow who under most circumstances at most schools would certainly be given a scholarship his senior year, and Kenny Allen who at most places also would.  Glasgow I guess you can make a case based on financial situation of family (well off parents, brother about to get NFL money) but based on merit certainly it's unusual to not get a scholarship as one of the top 8-10 best players on the team.  In a world you give these 2 scholarships UM will be at 94 scholarships with only 85 allowed.

 

The path to 85:

1) No scholarships for 5th year seniors Glasgow/Allen as discussed above.

Keeps you at 92

2) Exit Brian Cole for off field troubles - I am only mentioning the specific name because Brian basically confirmed this in yesterday's Mgoboard post. 

Drops you to 91.

3) Exit a QB from any class.  Even if Gentry goes to TE down the road you have 5 scholarship QBs with none being a senior.  I assume one is going to depart to look for playing time even if if means sitting out a year. 

Drops you to 90.

4) Little used 5th year senior departures pre or post spring game.  Call these Allen Gant types. These are the "easiest" to deal with as UM fulfilled its responsibility in giving a 4 year scholarship and player can easily move on to another FBS school without sitting out.   There are 2 obvious candidates here who have played little to no meaningful time in their 4 years at UM.  I am going to assume both "don't make the team" post spring game.

Drops you to 88.

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That's the easy part - the last 3 spots are not as easy to triangulate:

5) Contributing 5th year seniors.  Call these Keith Heitzman types.  You have 1 or 2 guys here who have played meaningful time, including 1 guy who did well in the Citrus Bowl who the dark edges of the internet say was a candidate to leave if he didn't show well.  There is also one OL many have whispered would leave if he was not a starter but with Raulerson not coming here it would seem strange to see that exit for depth purposes but who knows.

So in theory if these 3 fifth year seniors do depart you are 85 and you haven't done anything SEC-y.  All these guys could find a landing spot immediately elsewhere although you lose some experienced depth on the roster.

6) Non 5th year seniors depart.  This is the group where it gets squishy. You have multiple WRs and DBs (up to 4) who have played little to none in their career and are now upperclasmen.  But not guys who could play immediately if they depart  - unless like a Raulerson type they finished their degree in 3 years.  If that is the case for any of the 4 it becomes less squishy.  But you could also say they saw the writing on the wall, UM just didn't work out, etc etc.

7) A "surprise" out of the blue guy.  This would be a Blake Countess type.

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So that's the path to 85 from 92.  Obviously if you want to give Glasgow and Allen a scholarship you need to find another 2 guys.

Sean Bean Game Of Thrones - Brace yourself Winter is coming

Comments

DoubleMs

January 28th, 2016 at 11:32 PM ^

As far as I know, situation #1 (you implied in your pre-list text that Glasgow can self-pay-to-play and not count) isn't possible - if he plays, he counts towards the limit regardless of if he's given a scholarship or not.

alum96

January 29th, 2016 at 8:16 AM ^

Not accurate

Most guys are given 4 year scholarships at the onset.  Walkons are on a year to year basis with "annual scholarships" that might be leftover.  i.e. if you have only 83 of those 4 year scholarships used you have 2 you can use in a pinch for that year. 

Just because you play football doesn't mean you are on scholarship.  You see all those videos on the internets where walkons are given a scholarship in front of the whole team and everyone goes crazy etc.

It would be highly unusual not to give Glasgow a scholarship.  Jim Harbaugh is highly unusual.  If there is not enough attrition it might be something he has to do.  

With Cole now gone we are down to 91.  Still need 6 departures.  From there if you take any grad transfers in they get scholarships to attract them so then you'd need more departures to offset the grad transfers. 

After all that is done and you are still at 85 there is not a scholarship for the 2 walk ons.  So more will need to go.

Scottwood

January 29th, 2016 at 2:54 AM ^

Guys that were here 3 years were fast tracked and will graduate by summer. They and the 5th seniors and a QB or two will be heading out. So, look at players who fit that description that didn't contribute last year and are likely backups this year.