...talks about how UConn hasn't been in contact and how they're out. (HT: UMHoops)
formerlyanonymous
Baseball Stat Watch: Conference Midpoint
Now that we've reached the conference midpoint and looked at the conference outlook, it's time to take a look at the team stats. Unlike in previous editions, the graphics will include some pitching related stats despite too small of a sample size to be that meaningful. The pitching stats are starting to show some trends, though.
As another reminder, these stats aren't official, but they should be pretty close. I have to compile these by going through every box score and input them into Excel tables. Many times, box scores contain errors that are corrected in the official statistics, but they may not be adjusted in the online box score.
So, as I start each of these posts, we'll look at the three major derived stats that are readily available in the college game (batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage):
In that AWESOME EXCEL GRAPH, you can see each of the percentages as they accumulate over the season. It should be pretty obvious that as the season goes along, the lines should normalize to the average as more data comes in. What may be a bit more difficult to see is that Michigan's offense peaked in the Central Michigan game. At that time Michigan was hitting .328 (BA) and .411(OBP). The slugging picked up a bit since then, peaking in the offensive explosion in Illinois game one, with a .477 slugging percentage.
Michigan currently sits at .321 (BA), .404 (OBP), and .470 (SLG). That ranks 3rd, 3rd, and 4th in the Big Ten respectively (more on this below). In terms of conference only stats, Michigan is at .322 (BA), .411 (OBP), and .469 (SLG), which means we've done a little bit better in conference in terms of getting on base, but everything else has been pretty similar to the non-conference season. That's pretty surprising given the difference in talent we've faced, but at the same time, Michigan has had a couple of anemic offensive games against some of the Big Ten's best pitchers (Hippen, Bischoff, Leininger), and they've had some explosive games against some of the not so good (Illinois win).
Speaking of talent difference between conference and nonconference, the purple line in the above graph, for those who didn't pay attention last time, represents the RPI of our opponents. The number one team in Boyd Nation's pseudo-RPI would be a 1.000, and a team holding the #302 RPI (or any non-D1 opponents if you're a Buckeye who plays AND LOSES to D2 and NAIA teams) would register as a 0.000 score. From that, you can see that our non-conference schedule was pretty difficult with two games against #1 Coastal Carolina, but our last few games, as well as the Big Ten regular season are quite a drop in competition.
The second graph I tend to post up is per nine innings stats, particularly runs, hits, strikeouts, and walks. These are just the sum of our total stats accumulated over the number of innings Michigan has batted (a home win normally only has 8 innings, as compared to any road game having 9 innings). Taking a peak:
Looking at the above, we can clearly see the differences between "OMG WE LOST LAMARRE" and the the team becoming stable. LaMarre came back against Central Michigan, where we can see a small jump in hits and runs, but not much in terms of long term changes. The only long term pattern that comes from the post-LaMarre return is a slight drop in strikeouts, a product of Krantz and Stephens getting less at bats.
At the time of LaMarre's return, I probably would have predicted an increase in hits and runs per game, but as we'll see in a bit, a couple of players have really cooled down over the last few weeks, most notably Coley Crank.
For individuals and a brief look at pitching, follow the jump. Warning, it gets long. Probably unnecessarily long. But it is what it is.
Michigan Baseball Greats – Barry Larkin
This weekend's critical series against Big Ten co-leaders Ohio State has a side story that deserves just as much attention as a battle for the Big Ten title. Michigan's greatest shortstop, Barry Larkin, will have his number 16 jersey retired on Saturday afternoon.
Barry was born in Cincinnati in 1964, a city that he would forever be tied to. He grew up and attended Moeller High School, a great school in Ohio sport history. It produeced not just Larkin, but Ken Griffey, Jr., and someone many Michigan fans hold dear: Gerry Faust. At Moeller, Larkin set the school record for batting average for a career at .482, hitting 12 triples and 11 homers, stealing 26 bases.
He would win the team MVP as a senior in 1982 and was drafted in the 2nd round by the hometown Cincinnati Reds. Larkin chose not to sign with the Reds however, and instead enrolled at the University of Michigan to play football. Yes, football. Following the 1982 season, he informed then coach Bo Schembechler that he would also be trying out for the baseball team. That was the last time Larkin would be part of the football team, as he became a regular immediately on the baseball squad.
On the diamond, Larkin made an immediate impact. The 1983 season would see Larkin named the Big Ten Tournament player of the year and make Baseball America's Freshman First Team. That season was also a College World Series for the Wolverines. In game one against Maine, Larkin had two doubles in a 6-5 win. Michigan would ultimately be eliminated by Texas in the semi-final. Michigan's final record was 50-9, the highest winning percentage by any Wolverine team ever.
That wasn't Larkin's last trip to Omaha. [Ed: continued after the jump.]
Baseball: Conference Midpoint Recap
Side Note: Derek Dennis's status is day-to-day with an undisclosed injury.
With half of the Big Ten regular season complete, it's time to take a look at the conference to see where Michigan is and what it will take to get a good seed in the Big Ten Tournament. In this post, we'll walk through the series we've already completed and then look at the opponents we still have on the schedule.
So, for all you late comers to the baseball season, here's what you need to know.
Where We've Been
| @Indiana | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Series Record | 2-1 | ||
| Scores | 16-10 | 6-4 | 6-26 |
| Game One | Wild and crazy high scoring affair as it goes back and forth after Michigan was all but dead early. Dufek wins it in the 10th with a RBI double. Two bench clearings. Crazy. | ||
| Game Two | Brosnahan is sporadic but his emotion carries him through for the win in a well pitched game by both teams. Michigan's early lead is enough to get by. | ||
| Game Three | Katzman makes the start and can't get through the first. Yours truly quits the game early as Michigan was down 17. | ||
| Outlook Then | For as exciting and tense as the first two games of the series | ||
While not much has changed in terms of outlook, Indiana hasn't turned out just as good as I expected either. They've been quite inconsistent, with their top hitters going ice cold the weak after they torched us. That freeze of course happened against Ohio State, giving the Buckeyes a pretty easy 2-1 series victory. They did sweep Iowa, though, something Michigan couldn't do.
| Purdue | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Series Record | 2-1 | ||
| Scores | 5-8 | 6-4 | 9-4 |
| Game One | Alan Oaks continued to struggle and Michigan could do nothing with Purdue's Matt Bischoff in the loss. | ||
| Game Two | Big inning early and a solid Brosnahan start allows Michigan to coast to a victory with Burgoon locking down the 8-9th. | ||
| Game Three | Brandon Sinnery gets his first start and makes good. A 7-run 4th inning caps off Ryan LaMarre's POTW winning series. | ||
| Outlook Then | Michigan is going to continue to make decent to good pitchers | ||
The loss to Bischoff is still nothing to worry about. It really would have helped for Michigan to get a sweep. Ohio State isn't on their schedule, but I'm not sure if that helps or hurts us. Purdue may be able to steal a game from the Buckeyes, or they may get blown out in all three.
| @Illinois | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Series Record | 2-1 | ||
| Scores | 17-1 | 2-6 | 11-4 |
| Game One | Alan Oaks is back! 8 innings of great pitching and the offense explodes for 17 runs? We're rolling. | ||
| Game Two | The bats fall asleep and Brosnahan has his shaky start that should be good enough for a win. Bad defense doesn't help. | ||
| Game Three | After 3 ugly innings by both teams, Tyler Burgoon steps in and shuts down the Illini for Pitcher OTW honors. Offense explodes late, sparked by POTW Patrick Biondi. | ||
| Outlook Then | 2-1 series win over a BTT contender will work. We really had | ||
Things haven't changed much here in a week. Illinois lost 2 of 3 at Michigan State, which means the Spartans are just keeping pace with us.
| Iowa | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Series Record | 1-2 | ||
| Scores | 2-5 | 3-5 | 7-5 |
| Game One | Jarred Hippen is really good. He overshadowed anything Michigan related in this game. | ||
| Game Two | Due to rain in the forecast, it was a double header, & Hippen momentum carried right through game 2. Michigan grabbed an early lead then blew a big inning. Brosnahan's luck runs dry. | ||
| Game Three | Michigan jumps ahead and, for the most part, stays ahead. Offense finally shows up late in the game. | ||
| Outlook Then | 1-2 isn't going to cut it. Losing one to Iowa in the Hippen | ||
That happened. Nothing has happened in our season and it still stings. I can't wait for this weekend to come so I can get it out of my head. Plus, the Buckeyes did us a favor losing a home series to Penn State just so we could keep pace.
After the jump, we look at the present and then haphazardly predict the future.
Baseball: Iowa Recap
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About being back… not so much. (image from MGoBlue)
If you would have asked me what the worst case scenario would be walking into the Iowa series, my answer would have been Jarred Hippen throws a complete game in the first half of the double header, and that momentum would carry Iowa through game two for Michigan to be swept on Friday. I would have then said that rain would cancel Saturday's game for the first Iowa sweep of Michigan in Ann Arbor in recent memory. Unfortunately, the first half of that prediction came true.
Luckily, Saturday had only overcast skies and Michigan was able to redeem themselves (somewhat) by salvaging a 1-2 weekend. Michigan exits the series half a game back of the Big Ten leading Buckeyes, who visit Ann Arbor next week. That's right people, it's HATE WEEK for the baseball team.
But before we get to that, we look at the Iowa series. Recaps after the jump:
Baseball: Iowa Preview
| Michigan (24-12, 6-3) | vs | Iowa (14-20, 3-6) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday 2:30pm ET, Ray Fisher Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI | |||||
| Alan Oaks (4-4, 3.60 ERA) | vs | Jarred Hippen (2-3, 3.86 ERA) | |||
| Stats | Audio (WCBN) | ||||
| Notes: Michigan is 100-43 all time, Last year: 2-1 series win. Hippen is a LHP. | |||||
| Michigan | vs | Iowa | |||
| Friday 30 minutes after Game One, Ray Fisher Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI | |||||
| Bobby Brosnahan(4-3, 4.26 ERA) | vs | Nick Brown (2-4, 7.27 ERA) | |||
| Stats | Audio (WCBN) | ||||
| Notes: | |||||
| Michigan | vs | Iowa | |||
| Saturday 1:05pm ET, Ray Fisher Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI | |||||
| TBA | vs | Phil Schreiber (3-3, 5.29 ERA) | |||
| Stats | Audio (WCBN) | ||||
| Notes: My guess is Burgoon if available, Sinnery otherwise. It may not matter due to weather. | |||||
The Hawkeyes come to Ann Arbor this weekend to close out the first half of Big Ten play. The Hawkeyes started the year with an inflated RPI by losing almost every game they had to some of the best teams in the nation, but since returning north, they've struggled offensively and fallen to #169 of 301 (Boyd's Pseudo RPI).
Full preview after the jump:
Volleyball: 2010 Schedule Announced
MGoBlue announced the release of the 2010 volleyball schedule today and while it's a bit disappointing compared to last season, this schedule may set up well for Michigan to make a run to return the the volleyball version of the Elite 8.
A look:
|
Date |
Team |
Location |
|
Toledo Invitational |
||
|---|---|---|
| 8/27 | Loyola (MD) | Toledo, OH |
| 8/28 | Binghamton | Toledo, OH |
| 8/28 | @Toledo | Toledo, OH |
|
Oregon State Invitational |
||
| 9/3 | UNLV | Corvallis, OR |
| 9/4 | Florida Gulf Coast | Corvallis, OR |
| 9/4 | Oregon State | Corvallis, OR |
|
Michigan/Adidas Invitational |
||
| 9/10 | Youngstown State | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 9/11 | Chicago State | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 9/11 | Miami (OH) | Cliff Keen Arena |
|
Arizona State Invitational |
||
| 9/17 | Utah | Phoenix, AZ |
| 9/18 | @Arizona State | Phoenix, AZ |
| 9/18 | Pacific | Phoenix, AZ |
|
Big Ten Season |
||
| 9/24 | Iowa | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 9/25 | Minnesota | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 10/1 | @Ohio State | Columbus, OH |
| 10/2 | @Penn State | State College, PA |
| 10/8 | Wisconsin | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 10/9 | Illinois | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 10/13 | Michigan State | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 10/15 | Northwestern | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 10/22 | @Indiana | Bloomington, IN |
| 10/23 | @Purdue | West Lafayette, IN |
| 10/29 | @Illinois | Champaign, IL |
| 10/30 | @Wisconsin | Madison, WI |
| 11/5 | Penn State | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 11/6 | Ohio State | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 11/12 | @Minnesota | Minneapolis, MN |
| 11/13 | @Iowa | Iowa City, IA |
| 11/19 | Purdue | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 11/20 | Indiana | Cliff Keen Arena |
| 11/24 | @Michigan State | East Lansing, MI |
| 11/27 | @Northwestern | Evanston, IL |
Unfortunately, we weren't picked for the AVCA Invitational in Omaha, but we did pick up two quality tournaments in PAC-10 country. Michigan will face only one tournament team from 2009 in the non-conference, that being Binghamton. So compared to last season's schedule is quite a bit weaker.
The Oregon State trip is a return for last year's game, a 0-3 Michigan loss in Ann Arbor, and should be the marquee game of the non-conference. OSU does lose their best player in Rachel Rourke, but they do return a lot of players that should see them competing for a slot in the top of the PAC-10.
In conference season, Penn State and Ohio State remained paired on our schedule, with Michigan headed to State College and Columbus early in the season and getting the two at home early in the 2nd round of games. Michigan starts out the season with a home heavy schedule, which just means they have to end the season with a lot of tough road games.
Michigan should be poised for a very high winning percentage as it returns Lexi Zimmerman for her 4th year as well as junior defensive specialist/libero Sloan Donhoff, junior middle Karlee Bruck, leading kill returner, junior left side Alex Hunt (pictured right from MGoBlue), and junior middle Courtney Fletcher. Maybe this year will be the one where Penn State finally gets knocked off by Michigan.
