Corsi Charts: Michigan Hockey Games 3 & 4

Submitted by Adam Schnepp on

So I'm finishing up the chart for the first game of the series on Wednesday night. I had Fox Sports Detroit on before I started watching the game on my DVR, which I thought nothing of because it's pretty typical for me to have Fox Sports Detroit on. After I finish charting, however, I hit stop on the recording and the Red Wings game comes on and PRETTY MUCH BURNS MY RETINAS WHY IS THIS ICE SO BRIGHT. Hockey in high def is most definitely not what Fox Sports College Atlantic or whatever it was was broadcasting for these Michigan games. Like Brian said in his post, it was basically like watching a legal stream. That wandering anecdote was my way of saying that the Corsi charts have some values that may not be perfect. I'm not really concerned though, as there are things that I may have marked a shot that missed the net or vice versa that even each other out in the overall numbers. This is why I don't change numbers in the shots column to match the official score sheet; it should work itself out when considering all of the categories.

Friday, 10/18/13 at UNH

1st Period

  Michigan UNH
Goals 1 0
Shots 8 8
Missed 10 6
Blocked 5 5
Total 24 19
% 55.81 44.19

2nd Period

  Michigan UNH
Goals 0 1
Shots 9 11
Missed 4 8
Blocked 4 2
Total 17 22
% 43.59 56.41

3rd Period

  Michigan UNH
Goals 0 0
Shots 2 16
Missed 4 6
Blocked 4 4
Total 10 26
% 27.77 72.23

Overtime

  Michigan UNH
Goals 0 0
Shots 1 2
Missed 0 1
Blocked 0 3
Total 1 6
% 14.29 85.71

Overall

  Michigan UNH
Goals 1 1
Shots 20 37
Missed 18 21
Blocked 13 14
Total 52 73
% 41.6 58.4

Assorted Thoughts

  • Things that are good: spending time not in the penalty box. Things that are bad: spending time in the penalty box. Of UNH's 37 shots 11 came on the power play. Of their misses, 7 of 21 came on the power play. Of UNH's blocked shots, 7 of 14 came on the power play. That's 29.7% of their shots, 33.3% of their misses, and 50% of their blocks. Worried about being outshot? Try to keep five guys on the ice.
  • Even though Michigan was handily defeated in terms of possession, the game was a little more open than the numbers indicate. A lot of this game was played in the neutral zone, with each team trying and failing to create an offensive zone presence. An argument could be made, however, for UNH carrying the play because whoa that third period was rough. Michigan was circling and circling and circling in the defensive zone and I had to keep pausing the recording so I could mark more stuff down for UNH.
  • UNH's numbers look pretty dominant in overtime but we're looking at a five minute sample. UNH had possession but I can't remember any part of OT where I thought Michigan dodged a bullet. 

Saturday, 10/19/13 at UNH

1st Period

  Michigan UNH
Goals 1 1
Shots 7 3
Missed 7 2
Blocked 6 1
Total 21 7
% 75.00 25.00

2nd Period

  Michigan UNH
Goals 1 1
Shots 11 12
Missed 3 7
Blocked 2 5
Total 17 25
% 40.47 59.53

3rd Period

  Michigan UNH
Goals 0 0
Shots 9 8
Missed 3 6
Blocked 6 3
Total 18 17
% 51.43 48.57

Overtime

  Michigan UNH
Goals 1 0
Shots 1 1
Missed 1 0
Blocked 1 0
Total 4 1
% 80.00 20.00

Overall

  Michigan UNH
Goals 3 2
Shots 28 24
Missed 14 15
Blocked 15 9
Total 60 50
% 54.54 45.46

Assorted Thoughts

  • This was a game of extended periods of back-and-forth punctuated by furious bursts of offensive zone activity. Michigan looked like they were handily outplayed in the second period (especially the second half of the second period, where they couldn't clear the puck for anything) and the numbers bear this out. At one point UNH went on a tear of four consecutive shots on goal in what had to be under a minute. It looked like the tide of the game may have been turning, but the clock mercifully ran out.
  • UNH picked up where they left off and generated a number of chances early in the third period. Their offensive zone time came in smaller bursts, however, and the game transitioned back to an up-and-down affair. Michigan eventually got their own extended offensive zone time and ended up with a slight advantage overall in Corsi for the period.
  • Special teams were the theme of Friday night but weren't a factor after the first two periods on Saturday. In the first period 12 of Michigan's 21 shots (57.14%) came on the power play. In the second period 10 of UNH's 25 shots (40.00%) came on the power play. After that? Not even a power play opportunity for either team. 
  • I like Nagelvoort and his giant leg pads. They're like belly putters in golf; comedically oversized but effective in their own right.

Comments

BrownJuggernaut

October 25th, 2013 at 10:11 AM ^

That broadcast made it seem like Whittemore had stage lighting without a stage.

I would look at those PP chances for UNH not just as a portion of the whole, but also in terms of effectiveness. Not just having more stuff happen but having stuff happen and threatening with it. It looks like one of the things that Red is gonna have to do is get the boys to show up stronger in the second and third periods.

HAIL 2 VICTORS

October 25th, 2013 at 10:20 AM ^

The kid came in stone cold but that save he made on the terrible call for a penalty shot made me believe.  

These pads are big enough for Taylor Lewan to play between the pipes.