Blind Resumes

Submitted by Paps on

This is by far the best part of college basketball season, and the brackets and selections are my favorite.  One thing that I always love doing is looking at the blind resumes of teams that are on the bubble.  ESPN shows graphics that the announcers play this game with, but it doesn’t leave enough time to actually see what the tournament criteria of the teams are.  So I decided to take 18 teams that the experts (Lundari, Palm, and Crashing the Dance) have just in or just out of the bubble, and make my own blind resumes. The idea is that it takes all of the possible bias out the equation, because you don't know who the teams are. Just click the link after each chart to see which teams were represented in that chart.  All stats are as of 3/8/13. 

Blind Resume Table #1:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

20-10

20-10

20-9

Conference Record

9-8

11-6

8-7

RPI

94

54

43

BPI

65

46

47

Strength of Schedule

133

82

79

Non-Conference SOS

286

74

218

Home

15-4

15-2

13-1

Away

4-5

4-7

5-8

Neutral

1-1

1-1

2-0

Record vs. RPI Top 25

2-1

0-3

2-5

Record vs. RPI Top 50

4-4

1-4

3-6

Record vs. RPI Top 100

6-8

6-9

7-7

Last 10 games

4-6

6-4

6-4

Good Wins

Colorado, UCLA, 

California, @ Colorado

Missouri, @ Ole Miss

@ Creighton, UNLV,

Colorado State

Bad Losses

Depaul, @ Utah

@ Georgia

@ Utah, @ Nevada

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #1.

 

Blind Resume Table #2:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

20-10

21-7

22-8

Conference Record

10-7

11-4

11-4

RPI

70

39

42

BPI

43

45

64

Strength of Schedule

134

98

88

Non-Conference SOS

302

121

87

Home

17-1

11-2

11-1

Away

3-8

8-5

9-6

Neutral

0-1

2-0

2-1

Record vs. RPI Top 25

2-2

1-1

0-3

Record vs. RPI Top 50

4-2

2-2

0-4

Record vs. RPI Top 100

7-3

5-6

3-7

Last 10 games

5-5

8-2

6-4

Good Wins

@ Wisconsin, NC State,

UNC, Duke

Villanova, Butler, @ VCU

Denver

Bad Losses

Delaware, @ George Mason,

vs. Old Dominion,

@ Wake Forest, @Clemson

Central Connecticut State

@ Marshall

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #2.

 

Blind Resume Table #3:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

22-8

22-8

20-10

Conference Record

10-5

11-6

8-9

RPI

40

57

86

BPI

57

44

54

Strength of Schedule

72

162

123

Non-Conference SOS

68

294

298

Home

13-3

16-1

16-3

Away

8-4

5-6

3-6

Neutral

1-1

1-1

1-1

Record vs. RPI Top 25

1-3

0-2

1-4

Record vs. RPI Top 50

3-3

1-3

2-4

Record vs. RPI Top 100

9-5

6-6

3-8

Last 10 games

8-2

5-5

5-5

Good Wins

vs. Syracuse, La Salle,

Saint Louis, @ Villanova

Missouri, Tennessee 2x

NC State, Duke

Bad Losses

Duquesne

@ South Carolina,

@ Mississippi State

@ Boston College,

@ Georgia Tech

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #3.

 

Blind Resume Table #4:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

19-12

17-13

18-11

Conference Record

10-8

9-9

10-7

RPI

52

77

56

BPI

59

90

63

Strength of Schedule

17

57

49

Non-Conference SOS

144

29

49

Home

12-4

11-3

12-3

Away

6-7

4-9

4-7

Neutral

1-1

2-1

2-1

Record vs. RPI Top 25

4-1

1-1

1-2

Record vs. RPI Top 50

5-7

3-5

2-3

Record vs. RPI Top 100

7-10

7-6

8-9

Last 10 games

6-4

4-6

7-3

Good Wins

Louisville, Syracuse,

@ Connecticut,

Marquette, Georgetown

vs. Miami (FL),

@ Wichita State,

Creighton

Wichita State, Florida,

Massachusetts, Kentucky

Bad Losses

Columbia

@ Morehead State,

@ Southern Illinois,

@ Missouri State,

Drake 2x, @ Bradley

Georgia 2x

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #4.

 

Blind Resume Table #5:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

20-10

18-10

20-10

Conference Record

10-7

8-7

12-6

RPI

50

55

49

BPI

39

95

53

Strength of Schedule

54

62

37

Non-Conference SOS

148

80

70

Home

16-1

10-4

11-5

Away

3-8

7-4

6-5

Neutral

1-1

1-2

3-0

Record vs. RPI Top 25

1-4

0-2

2-2

Record vs. RPI Top 50

3-7

1-6

5-5

Record vs. RPI Top 100

6-8

7-8

8-9

Last 10 games

6-4

5-5

8-2

Good Wins

Kansas State, Oklahoma,

Oklahoma State

@ La Salle, Ohio

Oregon 2x, @ Arizona,

UCLA, Colorado, @Denver

Bad Losses

@ Texas Tech

George Washington

Harvard

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #5.

 

Blind Resume Table #6:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

18-11

26-5

17-13

Conference Record

11-6

14-2

8-9

RPI

62

34

69

BPI

67

32

49

Strength of Schedule

85

124

30

Non-Conference SOS

78

138

43

Home

12-3

16-1

11-5

Away

4-8

9-2

4-7

Neutral

2-0

1-2

2-1

Record vs. RPI Top 25

0-1

0-2

0-5

Record vs. RPI Top 50

0-4

1-2

1-5

Record vs. RPI Top 100

7-7

5-3

4-10

Last 10 games

6-4

9-1

3-7

Good Wins

vs. Villanova, Kentucky

Creighton, BYU 2x

Oklahoma State,

@ Kentucky, BYU

Bad Losses

Tulane, @ Auburn,

Mercer

vs. Pacific,

vs. Georgia Tech

Northwestern, Charleston

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #6.

 

I hope this game was fun, and maybe opened your eyes to some teams that you might not have considered as tournament contenders.  It feels great knowing Michigan won't be sweating out these last few games like they have had to do in previous seasons.  Thanks for reading, and go blue!

Basketball
march madness
blind resume
Bubble Teams
2013 NCAA tournament

Comments

mGrowOld

March 8th, 2013 at 7:36 PM ^

Wow Paps this was FUNtastic!  Great, great work and you are absolutely right that in each one the team I picked was a "wtf you're kidding me"when I saw who it was.  Thanks for putting this together and taking the time to assemble it.

Joined: 10/04/2010

MGoPoints: 211780

B-Nut-GoBlue

March 8th, 2013 at 7:28 PM ^

Here are my guesses: I promise I didn't cheat.  That will be a redundant statement when I go look at the answers after posting this.  I initially wrote that I'd use a Last Four In/Out list of teams but I didn't really use that, all off the top of my head.  Again, probably will be obvious.

Table 1: A- Arizona. St. B- Kentucky  C- Colorado

Table 2: A- Virginia B- LaSalle  C- Southern Miss

Table 3: A-  B- Mississippi  C- Maryland

Table 4: A- Providence B-I ndiana St.  C- Alabama

Table 5: A- Iowa St./Baylor??  B- C- Cal

Table 6: A- Temple  B- Witchita St.  C- Boise St.

 3A and 5B got me...

Edit: Whelp, I got more than I thought I would.

Joined: 09/30/2011

MGoPoints: 43651

Sambojangles

March 8th, 2013 at 7:43 PM ^

Could you do one of these after the weekend with the teams being considered for 1, 2, and 3 seeds? I think Michigan's resume is better than people think.

Also, a suggestion: make the quality wins/bad losses blind as well by referring to them by Kenpom or RPI rankings. It's pretty easy to guess who is who, defeating the whole purpose of the exercise.

This is a lot of fun, though. Thanks for putting the effort in to do it!

Joined: 12/15/2008

MGoPoints: 10985

Paps

March 8th, 2013 at 7:57 PM ^

Thanks for that suggestion- I'll make one for the 1-2-3 seeds (or I guees just the top 10 or so teams). I'll try to put that out Monday or Tuesday sometime after all of the big games this weekend.

As for the rankings instead of teams -that is actually a really good idea! I orriginally thought of that, but forgot about it while I was making the charts.  Would using kenpom or RPI rankings be a better idea? 

Joined: 09/29/2012

MGoPoints: 2240

Paps

March 8th, 2013 at 7:46 PM ^

The object really isn't to see how many teams you can correctly identify.  There are several schools though that are quite obvious by the criteria- when your good wins and bad losses are a bunch of teams from the same conference, it's easier to pick out who that team might be.  Thank you for the positive feedback- this was my first diary on mgoblog and I'm just happy I didn't make a horrible mistake.  

Joined: 09/29/2012

MGoPoints: 2240

buddhafrog

March 8th, 2013 at 10:40 PM ^

Yes, make one for the top 16 seeds or so - that would be fantastic.

However, the intended goal isn't realy to see if you can guess the team, it is to see who deserves to be in the tournament and/or what seed - right? (though admitedly, you can do with this whatever makes you happy).

I had a very hard time giving any value to conference record without knowing the conference.  a 7-9 Big Ten record is far superior to a 10-6 SEC record imo.

Joined: 09/28/2009

MGoPoints: 21340

steve sharik

March 9th, 2013 at 12:21 PM ^

...it's about the number of top 25, top 50, and top 100 wins, when we're considering bubble teams.  By their very nature, bubble teams will either have lots of quality wins and lots of bad losses, or few of either.  Bubble teams won't be playing bad teams, so the question becomes, can you beat good teams?  I think it's pretty obvious the 2013 Kentuckys of the world can't, and, therefore, shouldn't be in the tournament.

When good teams have a bad day, they don't cover the spread, play teams too close, or pull a Michigan at Penn State.  These games are almost virtually ignored when it comes time to select the field and seeds.  But when a bubble team has a bad day, the consequences are enormous.  I think too much so.

At the end of the day, can you beat good teams?  What you don't see (and what I'd like to see) is record vs. top 25, 50 and 100 teams away from home (neutral or road).

Joined: 08/08/2009

MGoPoints: 13860

MaizeAndBlueWahoo

March 9th, 2013 at 11:11 AM ^

It's actually relatively easily explained.  1) we suck on the road, as do most ACC teams this year for some reason, and 2) for two of the CAA losses we were missing our senior point guard and for the third he was just back and Joe Harris had the flu, for which he was hospitalized the next day.  I think the committee will semi-excuse the first two due to the injury, and decide there's no excuse for losing to ODU even if you had nothing but five one-armed nuns on your side, and penalize accordingly.

Joined: 07/02/2008

MGoPoints: 41586

Paps

March 9th, 2013 at 10:48 AM ^

Thanks for all of the feedback.  For the next edition I will make this for the top 15 teams that could be in consideration for a 1 seed.  Instead of putting the actual teams in for the "good wins" and "bad losses" section, I will instead do Good Wins: RPI #3, RPI #19, etc. Bad Losses: RPI #256, etc. 

Also, because the conference records can be a bit misleading (Saint Mary's 14-2 non conference record just means gonzaga is the only good team in that conference), I will include a conference RPI, which is pretty much just an average RPI for all of the teams that the team played in their conference.  That will put a little more justification to the conference record.  As it stands now, Michigan's is 75.2

This will hopefully make the blind resumes 100% blind becasue you can't figure out who the teams are.  Thanks for the feedback, and if there's anything else I should include, just tell me. 

Joined: 09/29/2012

MGoPoints: 2240

steve sharik

March 9th, 2013 at 12:39 PM ^

Yes:

  • Arizona State
  • Virginia
  • LaSalle
  • Temple
  • Villanova
  • California
  • St. Mary's (I guess, gun to head)

No:

  • Kentucky
  • Boise State
  • Southern Mississippi
  • Mississippi
  • Maryland
  • Indiana State
  • Tennessee
  • Iowa State
  • Massachusetts
  • Alabama
  • Baylor

In the Bracket Matrix, about 8 of these teams make the field, and that's with no "spot stealers:" teams that win their conference's autobid who would not have made the field otherwise, and their conference's best team is good enough to get an at-large berth.  So, I'm taking 7 teams, and if it goes down to 6, b-bye St. Mary's.

Joined: 08/08/2009

MGoPoints: 13860