I think this is as good an estimate as any. I think it's really anyone's guess exactly how the lineup will look next year. Manny and Deshawn are obviously the two absolutes.
Here's my guess:
I agree I think Grady probably starts the year starting PG and ultimately splits time with Morris. Ideally Morris ends up good enough to take the reins by the end of the year but that's a huge "if". Yes, I realize there was no actual mention of the word "if" in that sentence.
Also ideally Deshawn spends most of his time at the 4, next year, about 30 minutes a game. Hopefully Gibson/Cronin/Mclimans/Morgan can eat up the rest of the 4/5 minutes so Novak really only plays a little bit of it if at all. In this situation Novak mostly backs up Manny at the 3ish position. I think he ends up up with about 12-13 minutes again, 10 to spell Manny and a few more random "you're-the-glue-guy" minutes. I love Wright for his NCAA tourney performance but I just don't know how he's gonna see the court except in times that someone at the 3 or 4 is playing badly.
At the 2, it'll probably just be a "who's hot" carousel. Both LLP and Stu can play a little bit of PG as well. Neither are really whole game starters but I think Stu will probably start like he did most of this year. Vogrich sounds like a higher touted version of Stu, so I would expect him to steal some minutes. Stu and LLP will have about as many minutes as this year because they can both play the 1 for short spurts of time.
At the 1, Grady will I think almost certainly start the year, but ideally Morris takes over eventually. To start the year they will probably split minutes. The problem is from what I hear, Morris' problem is making stupid decisions, something Beilein will obviously not like. If Morris is not mature enough then more minutes at the 1 will go LLP or Stu because I don't see Beilein giving Grady too many more minutes. If this happens look for Vogrich to pick up more minutes at the 2.
Ultimately I think Puls, Wright, and Corey Person will be the garbage minute guys. I agree that either Morgan or Mclimans will be redshirted. My guess is Mclimans cus that guys is just way too thin and I see Morgan at least as someone that can contribute with rebounding