Adjusted Open Field Yards Adjusted OL Stats for the 2012 FBS

Submitted by TESOE on

It turns out Michigan led the nation in adjusted open field rushing yards (AOFY) in 2012. What I mean by that is whenever a team got their RB 10 yards past the line of scrimmage on any given play – Michigan on average had more added yards than any other team in the nation. Unfortunately Michigan wasn’t very good at getting ball carriers 10 yards past the LOS. Here’s the run down for the entire FBS up until the bowls.

Adjusted Open Field Yards - FBS 2012

Team Conf AOFY AOFY AOFY Rate AOFY Rate
    AVG RNK % RNK
Michigan Big Ten  16.31 1 10.84% 74
Utah State WAC  15.72 2 12.57% 52
Houston  USA 14.26 3 11.20% 67
Kent State MAC  13.53 4 15.59% 27
Texas A&M SEC 13.25 5 14.73% 19
Georgia SEC 12.82 6 14.25% 56
Oregon Pac-12  12.59 7 16.21% 3
Wisconsin Big Ten  12.52 8 16.83% 14
San Diego State MWC  12.51 9 12.63% 9
California Pac-12  12.28 10 14.40% 25
Miami (Florida) ACC  12.28 11 11.08% 100
New Mexico MWC  12.17 12 14.19% 11
Eastern Michigan MAC  12.04 13 11.31% 38
Purdue Big Ten  12.00 14 12.50% 51
UCLA Pac-12  11.93 15 13.71% 21
Oklahoma Big 12  11.90 16 11.43% 94
Texas State WAC  11.88 17 16.00% 13
Florida SEC 11.60 18 14.12% 69
Tulsa  USA 11.59 19 11.44% 84
UCF  USA 11.42 20 13.42% 64
Wake Forest ACC  11.39 21 6.80% 105
Nebraska Big Ten  11.37 22 15.60% 4
Northern Illinois MAC  11.14 23 14.59% 6
LSU SEC 11.14 24 9.44% 85
Michigan State Big Ten  11.06 25 8.10% 117
North Texas Sun Belt  11.00 26 9.86% 109
UNLV MWC  10.80 27 10.70% 80
Texas Big 12  10.71 28 12.47% 50
Vanderbilt SEC 10.63 29 10.36% 104
Louisiana-Lafayette Sun Belt  10.52 30 15.56% 34
Notre Dame IND 10.51 31 12.53% 26
Mississippi State SEC 10.49 32 10.98% 92
Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt  10.45 33 12.56% 86
Middle Tennessee Sun Belt  10.44 34 12.01% 101
San Jose State WAC  10.39 35 7.80% 120
TCU Big 12  10.30 36 9.57% 87
Florida International Sun Belt  10.27 37 10.84% 91
Hawai'i MWC  10.18 38 7.98% 121
Northwestern Big Ten  10.17 39 13.29% 47
USC Pac-12  10.16 40 15.49% 28
Georgia Tech ACC  10.16 41 13.17% 29
Indiana Big Ten  10.16 42 9.58% 107
Tennessee SEC 10.15 43 11.33% 36
Cincinnati Big East  10.11 44 14.78% 59
Central Michigan MAC  10.08 45 11.80% 39
Nevada MWC  10.07 46 12.85% 55
Florida State ACC  10.04 47 18.44% 1
Marshall  USA 9.98 48 12.59% 76
North Carolina ACC  9.91 49 13.75% 33
Western Kentucky Sun Belt  9.90 50 14.04% 83
Baylor Big 12  9.79 51 12.94% 37
Fresno State MWC  9.70 52 11.79% 53
West Virginia Big 12  9.65 53 16.80% 10
Kansas Big 12  9.59 54 12.53% 93
Virginia Tech ACC  9.53 55 10.77% 88
Arizona Pac-12  9.42 56 17.51% 15
Oklahoma State Big 12  9.41 57 13.82% 18
Western Michigan MAC  9.34 58 12.13% 40
Louisiana Tech WAC  9.32 59 13.50% 12
UTSA WAC  9.25 60 12.36% 60
Boston College ACC  9.24 61 12.13% 96
Arkansas State Sun Belt  9.22 62 13.36% 8
Alabama SEC 9.16 63 15.80% 2
Iowa Big Ten  9.15 64 9.73% 114
Ohio MAC  9.11 65 13.43% 63
Ohio State Big Ten  9.09 66 17.55% 7
Bowling Green MAC  9.07 67 11.29% 65
Rutgers Big East  9.07 68 8.26% 119
Rice  USA 8.97 69 12.01% 62
Idaho WAC  8.96 70 8.00% 122
Temple Big East  8.94 71 16.13% 41
Army IND 8.89 72 14.74% 22
Ball State MAC  8.85 73 12.18% 32
Oregon State Pac-12  8.84 74 10.98% 82
Boise State MWC  8.80 75 14.02% 75
South Alabama Sun Belt  8.77 76 8.41% 90
Missouri SEC 8.50 77 9.77% 58
Air Force MWC  8.46 78 11.85% 49
UTEP  USA 8.46 79 11.27% 66
Pittsburgh Big East  8.45 80 11.24% 106
Navy IND 8.44 81 12.13% 24
South Florida Big East  8.33 82 12.73% 57
Colorado State MWC  8.32 83 10.57% 77
Akron MAC  8.32 84 11.22% 54
Troy Sun Belt  8.26 85 11.99% 45
Toledo MAC  8.21 86 14.58% 5
Stanford Pac-12  8.20 87 11.92% 72
Wyoming MWC  8.19 88 8.51% 97
Florida Atlantic Sun Belt  8.10 89 8.75% 113
Memphis  USA 8.08 90 9.39% 99
SMU  USA 8.05 91 13.27% 23
Auburn SEC 7.98 92 12.61% 35
Utah Pac-12  7.97 93 9.02% 103
Colorado Pac-12  7.94 94 9.91% 110
Clemson ACC  7.86 95 13.60% 71
Texas Tech Big 12  7.81 96 15.38% 17
Maryland ACC  7.79 97 8.21% 115
Kentucky SEC 7.74 98 12.19% 79
BYU IND 7.69 99 10.95% 46
Connecticut Big East  7.66 100 7.51% 124
Syracuse Big East  7.61 101 9.49% 73
East Carolina  USA 7.42 102 9.84% 61
New Mexico State WAC  7.41 103 9.32% 95
Southern Mississippi  USA 7.27 104 12.47% 20
Penn State Big Ten  7.09 105 7.05% 108
Washington Pac-12  7.02 106 12.43% 31
Buffalo MAC  7.00 107 11.27% 44
Virginia ACC  6.81 108 12.00% 81
Mississippi SEC 6.75 109 14.29% 48
Iowa State Big 12  6.68 110 13.12% 89
South Carolina SEC 6.60 111 11.69% 68
Duke ACC  6.59 112 9.09% 111
Louisville Big East  6.55 113 12.84% 70
Kansas State Big 12  6.53 114 14.12% 43
Arkansas SEC 6.50 115 11.39% 30
Illinois Big Ten  6.43 116 11.17% 42
Arizona State Pac-12  6.20 117 12.77% 16
UAB  USA 6.08 118 14.24% 78
Washington State Pac-12  6.06 119 9.52% 118
Miami (Ohio) MAC  5.94 120 12.18% 102
North Carolina State ACC  5.56 121 7.42% 116
Massachusetts MAC  5.36 122 9.52% 112
Minnesota Big Ten  4.79 123 10.86% 98
Tulane  USA 4.21 124 5.62% 123

These are conditionally formatted – Blue to Red with the hue indicating the spread of these numbers. Michigan is the clear leader in this contrived stat.

To see Michigan leading the nation in any offensive stat was a surprise to me – and I thought I’d share it. It’s not an official stat by any means but it’s one that I came upon while looking to quantify Offensive Line (OL) performance. What I wanted to see was an offensive line performance stat/summary for 2012 based on the metrics Football Outsiders (FO) uses for the NFL.

What I’m finding is not what I wanted with respect to OL work but I’ll share some of that since it explains the table above.

Scheme is by far the more telling factor in rushing success in the FBS than NFL caliber OL talent or all-American status. Triple option teams do extremely well but without the boss hogs or broad reach blocking lineman of the primo run spread teams that I expected to dominate these stats. I don’t want to take anything away from any of these teams however. What they have done in rushing stats – doesn’t happen if the OL is not playing like a team.

Here’s the standard rushing yards per game with some minor tweaks. There are interesting differences between this and the OL stats I pulled and present later on…

Standard Rush Stats 2012

(minus sacks and FCS games)

 

Team Conf % Rush Plays % Pass Plays Rush /G Rush Yds/G Rush Yds /G Rush Rush
    % % AVG RNK RNK AVG STD
Army IND 86.65% 13.35% 383.27 37 1 5.60 7.85
Oregon Pac-12  63.53% 36.47% 333.36 4 2 6.32 10.13
Air Force MWC  83.68% 16.32% 317.82 53 3 5.05 6.74
Georgia Tech ACC  78.88% 21.12% 305.00 49 4 5.41 7.73
New Mexico MWC  80.18% 19.82% 304.17 93 5 5.82 9.24
Navy IND 77.87% 22.13% 277.00 82 6 5.28 6.89
Wisconsin Big Ten  65.11% 34.89% 261.92 55 7 6.08 10.10
Nebraska Big Ten  59.57% 40.43% 261.33 25 8 5.89 9.75
Northern Illinois MAC  59.54% 40.46% 258.00 16 9 5.94 9.24
Ohio State Big Ten  63.32% 36.68% 257.67 42 10 5.83 8.54
Nevada MWC  59.93% 40.07% 256.55 13 11 5.26 7.54
Texas A&M SEC 49.76% 50.24% 252.10 3 12 6.09 9.17
Kent State MAC  60.69% 39.31% 248.92 61 13 6.05 10.32
San Diego State MWC  61.53% 38.47% 239.73 59 14 5.65 9.15
Tulsa USA 57.76% 42.24% 236.92 33 15 4.93 8.51
Northwestern Big Ten  59.56% 40.44% 234.18 67 16 5.27 8.14
Alabama SEC 59.77% 40.23% 232.50 36 17 6.04 7.65
Louisiana Tech WAC  48.48% 51.52% 231.75 2 18 5.44 7.70
Baylor Big 12  52.41% 47.59% 231.09 1 19 5.31 7.96
Arizona Pac-12  48.38% 51.62% 230.73 9 20 5.85 8.70
UCLA Pac-12  51.72% 48.28% 224.08 15 21 5.55 9.17
Ohio MAC  55.70% 44.30% 223.27 30 22 5.07 7.67
Kansas Big 12  61.80% 38.20% 222.64 96 23 5.03 7.82
Ball State MAC  52.15% 47.85% 220.00 19 24 5.19 7.26
Rice USA 57.31% 42.69% 219.58 41 25 4.87 7.11
Clemson ACC  53.47% 46.53% 217.18 7 26 5.00 6.87
Florida SEC 61.74% 38.26% 216.64 103 27 5.43 8.89
Toledo MAC  52.75% 47.25% 215.36 24 28 5.48 7.21
Florida State ACC  51.68% 48.32% 215.09 22 29 6.15 9.16
Arkansas State Sun Belt  53.45% 46.55% 211.27 20 30 5.35 7.59
Notre Dame IND 56.14% 43.86% 210.00 51 31 5.35 8.16
Temple Big East  63.67% 36.33% 204.80 112 32 5.08 8.22
Oklahoma State Big 12  49.59% 50.41% 204.27 5 33 5.26 7.86
Georgia SEC 54.45% 45.55% 201.75 26 34 5.66 9.48
Arizona State Pac-12  52.98% 47.02% 200.55 29 35 4.77 6.04
Cincinnati Big East  54.87% 45.13% 199.20 50 36 5.35 8.49
Michigan Big Ten  59.95% 40.05% 197.33 77 37 5.35 9.88
Louisiana-Lafayette Sun Belt  53.33% 46.67% 197.09 32 38 5.53 8.90
LSU SEC 57.49% 42.51% 196.36 72 39 4.85 7.30
North Carolina ACC  48.54% 51.46% 196.00 18 40 5.39 8.25
California Pac-12  49.54% 50.46% 195.73 70 42 5.74 9.79
West Virginia Big 12  44.64% 55.36% 195.73 8 41 5.56 8.97
Texas State WAC  49.09% 50.91% 195.00 86 44 6.13 9.42
Western Kentucky Sun Belt  57.36% 42.64% 195.00 84 43 5.19 7.59
Kansas State Big 12  62.27% 37.73% 194.45 62 45 4.87 6.22
Utah State WAC  49.67% 50.33% 193.55 31 46 5.69 10.54
UCF USA 53.47% 46.53% 190.15 60 47 5.35 8.84
Middle Tennessee Sun Belt  58.20% 41.80% 189.91 68 48 4.82 8.28
Texas Big 12  54.29% 45.71% 188.58 38 49 5.04 8.84
Marshall USA 40.79% 59.21% 182.55 6 50 4.96 8.21
Mississippi SEC 53.51% 46.49% 181.55 47 51 4.68 6.68
Stanford Pac-12  55.43% 44.57% 180.38 88 52 4.74 6.98
Eastern Michigan MAC  56.86% 43.14% 180.00 105 53 4.97 8.58
Purdue Big Ten  47.12% 52.88% 179.09 65 54 5.24 9.61
Buffalo MAC  52.59% 47.41% 177.64 94 55 4.59 6.08
Boise State MWC  54.51% 45.49% 176.75 79 56 4.88 7.89
Syracuse Big East  50.23% 49.77% 175.91 21 57 4.48 5.79
Troy Sun Belt  45.76% 54.24% 175.50 11 58 4.76 6.77
Fresno State MWC  45.09% 54.91% 175.00 14 59 4.94 8.05
BYU IND 48.35% 51.65% 172.09 58 60 4.61 6.72
Southern Mississippi USA 56.76% 43.24% 171.92 108 61 4.59 6.91
South Florida Big East  48.77% 51.23% 167.55 91 62 4.89 7.22
Virginia Tech ACC  51.73% 48.27% 166.55 73 63 4.38 7.97
TCU Big 12  52.32% 47.68% 166.27 69 64 4.38 7.22
USC Pac-12  44.60% 55.40% 164.25 28 65 5.55 8.73
Vanderbilt SEC 56.01% 43.99% 163.82 83 66 4.34 8.12
UTEP USA 51.20% 48.80% 163.33 85 67 4.60 7.21
Florida International Sun Belt  52.68% 47.32% 163.17 71 68 4.33 7.65
Houston USA 38.11% 61.89% 163.08 17 69 5.22 9.51
Michigan State Big Ten  48.59% 51.41% 162.75 90 70 4.52 6.23
Tennessee SEC 44.20% 55.80% 162.64 23 71 4.94 7.46
South Carolina SEC 54.25% 45.75% 160.91 75 72 4.40 6.15
Bowling Green MAC  49.14% 50.86% 159.82 98 73 4.73 6.80
Penn State Big Ten  48.76% 51.24% 159.33 46 74 4.21 4.85
North Texas Sun Belt  53.89% 46.11% 159.27 87 75 4.21 8.14
Memphis USA 60.68% 39.32% 159.09 114 76 4.11 6.25
Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt  42.81% 57.19% 157.58 34 77 4.85 7.73
Oklahoma Big 12  41.18% 58.82% 157.18 12 78 4.94 9.27
UNLV MWC  45.49% 54.51% 157.08 92 79 4.92 8.06
Western Michigan MAC  41.12% 58.88% 154.91 45 80 5.04 7.31
Pittsburgh Big East  51.15% 48.85% 154.90 66 81 4.35 6.92
Iowa State Big 12  48.17% 51.83% 153.64 97 82 4.44 6.31
East Carolina USA 45.98% 54.02% 152.73 52 83 4.59 5.75
UTSA WAC  48.59% 51.41% 151.63 80 84 4.68 7.67
Auburn SEC 56.58% 43.42% 151.09 122 86 4.66 7.10
Washington Pac-12  45.95% 54.05% 151.09 102 85 4.80 6.52
Missouri SEC 48.32% 51.68% 150.18 95 87 4.25 7.13
Illinois Big Ten  51.51% 48.49% 149.27 123 89 4.37 6.11
Miami (Florida) ACC  43.10% 56.90% 149.27 35 88 5.05 8.49
Minnesota Big Ten  55.93% 44.07% 148.64 116 90 4.13 5.17
Texas Tech Big 12  37.64% 62.36% 147.73 10 91 5.21 7.51
Colorado State MWC  49.79% 50.21% 147.64 101 92 4.64 6.71
SMU USA 39.51% 60.49% 146.36 89 93 5.21 7.02
Central Michigan MAC  46.33% 53.67% 144.36 78 94 4.93 7.72
Mississippi State SEC 46.81% 53.19% 144.27 76 95 4.71 7.72
South Alabama Sun Belt  48.09% 51.91% 143.50 104 96 4.14 6.29
Utah Pac-12  52.07% 47.93% 143.00 113 97 4.17 6.00
Wyoming MWC  47.59% 52.41% 142.55 54 98 4.17 6.19
Louisville Big East  47.35% 52.65% 142.27 43 99 4.28 6.56
Virginia ACC  43.42% 56.58% 140.82 74 100 4.43 6.04
Kentucky SEC 44.82% 55.18% 135.45 118 101 4.66 6.92
UAB USA 40.85% 59.15% 135.36 40 102 4.42 6.23
Indiana Big Ten  39.20% 60.80% 133.64 39 103 4.40 7.28
Colorado Pac-12  44.66% 55.34% 132.64 115 105 4.25 6.70
Oregon State Pac-12  42.55% 57.45% 132.64 44 104 4.33 7.03
San Jose State WAC  46.38% 53.62% 132.00 27 106 4.04 6.77
Duke ACC  42.05% 57.95% 131.55 64 107 4.11 5.71
Maryland ACC  55.83% 44.17% 131.18 120 108 3.59 6.29
Iowa Big Ten  46.95% 53.05% 130.09 121 109 4.22 6.27
Arkansas SEC 41.69% 58.31% 126.00 56 110 4.39 6.11
Akron MAC  35.61% 64.39% 125.64 57 111 4.56 7.26
Hawai'i MWC  45.82% 54.18% 124.27 119 112 3.89 6.13
Rutgers Big East  51.32% 48.68% 124.09 106 113 3.89 6.17
North Carolina State ACC  40.99% 59.01% 121.36 48 114 3.67 4.96
New Mexico State WAC  42.66% 57.34% 120.45 107 115 4.26 5.83
Florida Atlantic Sun Belt  45.01% 54.99% 118.18 100 116 3.79 6.13
Wake Forest ACC  44.30% 55.70% 116.73 117 117 3.80 6.68
Massachusetts MAC  44.26% 55.74% 108.67 124 118 3.45 5.39
Connecticut Big East  47.83% 52.17% 106.33 110 119 3.31 5.69
Idaho WAC  40.60% 59.40% 106.27 111 120 3.90 5.70
Miami (Ohio) MAC  35.42% 64.58% 104.55 63 121 4.24 5.76
Boston College ACC  36.56% 63.44% 103.55 99 122 4.19 8.60
Tulane USA 30.48% 69.52% 60.08 109 123 2.90 4.83
Washington State Pac-12  20.77% 79.23% 53.18 81 124 3.48 5.87

I formatted standard deviation in green – because I’m not sure what’s good in that regard. I would say looking at the data however that a reasonably high spread in general is a sign of success.  Std Dev is a tell for scheme and some of the OL stats I was breaking out when I came to Open Field Yards.

FO has done some good stuff with respect to offensive line performance. They contrived a few ways to tweeze out relative OL performance. Curiously I couldn’t find these methods applied to college ball. I gave it a quick whack in the first diary and came up with a gross reality check that pretty much matched my gut – OL performance was not good in that game and adjusted line yards were significantly lower.

Check the FO link and previous diary to define Adjusted Line Yards but here is a quick chart and definition of their derived stats for Adjusted Line Yards (ALY), Second Level Yards (SLY) and Open Field Yards (OFY) as compiled by FO.

image_thumb7_thumb

What’s going on here is they are taking yards per play and giving them value based on the outcome. The concept is simple – the initial yards are more relevant to OL performance. The second level yards less so. The open field yards…not so much.

Adjusted Line Yards (<=10 yards)– are conceptually on the offensive line – no block no gain

  • Losses: 120% value – because if you don’t block at all that’s a TFL

    0-4 Yards: 100% value
    5-10 Yards: 50% value
    11+ Yards: 0% value e.g. 10 yard gain is worth 7 yards… 20 yard gain is worth 7 yards…

Second Level Yards (6-10 yard gains) – are a combined ball carrier and OL stat

  • Losses – 5 yards: 0% value

    6-10 Yards: 100% value e.g. 6 yard gain is worth 1 SLY…
    11+ Yards: 0% value e.g. 10 yard gain is worth 5 SLYs… 20 yard gain is worth 5 SLYs…

Open Field Yards (11+) = are conceptually on the ball carrier

  • Losses – 10yards: 0% value
    11+ Yards: 0% value e.g. 11 yard gain is worth 1 OFY … 20 yard gain is worth 10 OFYs…
    Caveat 1 - I took out Sacks.
    Caveat 2 – I took out games involving FCS teams. Which is a gift to Mich since we played UMass.

Caveat 3 – I include QB rushing here. I did this because it’s college and … well… duh… Denard. Scrambles don’t make much difference in the overall here and the NCAA counts them as rushes so … be it.

I looked at this data and tried to make sense of it. It didn’t look good for Michigan. So I did what any good MGoBlog diarist does and adjusted it to suit my thesis.

It still doesn’t look good for Michigan but this is what I did.

Adjusted Adjusted Line Yards AALY

  • I normalized the losses over 10 yards to –10 yards. I did a sampling and these were snap issues (still an OL issue but not what I’m concerned about) – reverse plays gone wrong or mis-tagged sacks*. (*There’s plenty of errors in the cfbstats.com data BTW – but I don’t think they are significant. Most of them appear to be due to NCAA/Scoring issues anyway.)

Adjusted Second Level Yards ASLY

  • I took out the plays that went for zero yards – in general you can’t hold it against the ball carriers if they didn’t get to the second level.

Adjusted Open Field Yards AOFY

  • Same as above – I took out plays that went for less than 11 yards to isolate these from the mean OFY totals.
    With these adjustments in mind I added two columns for SLY rate and OFY rate to represent the % of plays that a team sprang ball carriers for these distances.

Here’s a revised chart with these adjustments…the distributions are better and the model is better for what these derivative stats are intended to represent.

image_thumb28_thumbimage_thumb29_thumb

I added an ASLY % rate to the summary table to show how often teams got their rusher to the second level as well as an AOFY % rate. These are important and significant changes over the FO yards stat. Their NFL rates of 2nd level and Open Field plays are rolled into their summary yards.

Since I had the data summarized I added the FO convention for Success Rate % for all rushing plays defined as follows:

  • 1st downs that achieve 50% of yardage needed to convert or score
  • 2nd downs that achieve 70% of yardage needed to convert or score
  • 3rd/4th downs that convert or score
    Stuffed rate is defined as Percentage of runs where the running back is tackled at or behind the line of scrimmage. This includes QB runs minus sacks (this appears to be a press box discretion as there are negative QB runs that are not accounted as Sacks – I should look at this more closely but I don’t think it’s significant here.)

Finally I tallied Power Success straight up to the FO definition as percentage of runs on third or fourth down, two yards or less to go, that achieved a first down or touchdown. This also includes runs on first-and-goal or second-and-goal from the two-yard line or closer.

At this point I’m stultified by the challenge that OL statistical summarization presents wrt CFB (or any kind of football for that matter.)  If I had time I’d follow the FO path and normalize this data to FBS averages… look at the individual ball carriers…take out garbage time… but I also kind of want to watch some bowl games and MSS wants me to take down the tree... and little TSS wants to ski.  Let’s just say this is a work in progress.

Regardless of my problems… here’s the table that I was able to get up today…I added in Sack Rate (which I’m  very skeptical of in terms of an OL criteria as I have seen previously when comparing the different SRs for Denard, Bellomy and Devin.) I went to three letter acronyms for the conferences.  It is what it is.

OL Stats 2012 – FBS

Team Conf AALY ASLY  AOFY  Stuff Rate ASLY Rate AOFY Rate Power Success Rate Success Rate Sack Rate
    AVG AVG AVG % % % % % %
Alabama SEC 3.67 3.49 9.16 12.77% 39.61% 15.80% 6.49% 52.16% 7.40%
Army IND 3.56 3.48 8.89 10.89% 34.66% 14.74% 7.84% 49.54% 8.62%
Northern Illinois MAC  3.47 3.56 11.14 14.01% 37.43% 14.59% 8.25% 48.75% 3.11%
Navy IND 3.41 3.36 8.44 14.38% 34.49% 12.13% 6.93% 49.91% 10.98%
Toledo MAC  3.41 3.49 8.21 17.36% 37.50% 14.58% 6.94% 48.38% 5.43%
Air Force MWC  3.36 3.44 8.46 15.32% 32.08% 11.85% 7.51% 47.25% 5.19%
Ohio State B1G  3.36 3.61 9.09 16.23% 37.36% 17.55% 7.55% 51.70% 9.45%
Ball State MAC  3.35 3.37 8.85 13.16% 33.60% 12.18% 6.29% 46.95% 2.14%
Arizona P12  3.33 3.81 9.42 15.67% 35.94% 17.51% 7.60% 48.62% 3.89%
Texas State WAC  3.31 3.62 11.88 15.43% 36.00% 16.00% 5.14% 47.71% 7.71%
Florida State ACC  3.31 3.57 10.04 20.26% 40.26% 18.44% 3.90% 51.17% 7.22%
Oregon P12  3.30 3.66 12.59 18.97% 38.79% 16.21% 6.55% 50.69% 5.11%
SMU USA 3.29 3.44 8.05 16.83% 34.63% 13.27% 3.56% 44.98% 5.50%
Louisiana Tech WAC  3.29 3.37 9.32 17.03% 36.01% 13.50% 7.05% 52.25% 1.84%
Georgia Tech ACC  3.29 3.43 10.16 14.94% 34.02% 13.17% 8.58% 49.70% 6.08%
San Diego State MWC  3.27 3.36 12.51 18.20% 36.40% 12.63% 8.35% 47.54% 10.62%
Texas A&M SEC 3.26 3.63 13.25 17.39% 34.78% 14.73% 7.00% 49.52% 4.78%
Arizona State P12  3.23 3.42 6.20 18.83% 35.71% 12.77% 6.71% 46.10% 9.02%
Arkansas State SBC  3.23 3.38 9.22 16.59% 36.64% 13.36% 8.76% 51.38% 3.44%
Notre Dame IND 3.22 3.41 10.51 17.83% 34.39% 12.53% 7.22% 48.20% 4.35%
New Mexico MWC  3.22 3.42 12.17 18.02% 36.04% 14.19% 6.54% 46.57% 7.10%
North Carolina ACC  3.21 3.72 9.91 16.75% 33.50% 13.75% 7.00% 47.75% 2.59%
Western Michigan MAC  3.21 3.44 9.34 15.98% 32.54% 12.13% 7.69% 45.56% 3.93%
Nevada MWC  3.21 3.52 10.07 16.76% 31.47% 12.85% 8.57% 48.79% 5.01%
Kansas State B12  3.21 3.67 6.53 18.22% 32.35% 14.12% 7.74% 48.52% 4.51%
Baylor B12  3.20 3.66 9.79 15.87% 32.78% 12.94% 8.14% 48.23% 3.22%
California P12  3.19 3.53 12.28 16.80% 34.40% 14.40% 3.73% 45.07% 10.21%
Buffalo MAC  3.19 3.40 7.00 16.20% 32.16% 11.27% 5.16% 38.97% 7.29%
Nebraska B1G  3.18 3.49 11.37 19.92% 37.78% 15.60% 6.77% 50.75% 7.76%
USC P12  3.18 3.65 10.16 21.13% 34.08% 15.49% 5.35% 43.38% 3.85%
Texas Tech B12  3.16 3.67 7.81 20.19% 35.58% 15.38% 5.45% 45.83% 3.29%
Ohio MAC  3.16 3.72 9.11 15.70% 30.79% 13.43% 5.79% 40.70% 6.75%
Clemson ACC  3.14 3.73 7.86 16.32% 29.92% 13.60% 8.16% 45.61% 6.25%
Kansas B12  3.12 3.58 9.59 16.02% 28.34% 12.53% 5.13% 42.92% 7.97%
Northwestern B1G  3.12 3.57 10.17 19.02% 32.11% 13.29% 7.77% 46.01% 4.22%
Kent State MAC  3.12 3.67 13.53 18.62% 34.21% 15.59% 6.28% 42.91% 5.31%
BYU IND 3.11 3.31 7.69 19.22% 32.12% 10.95% 8.03% 43.80% 6.15%
LSU SEC 3.11 3.29 11.14 15.06% 28.76% 9.44% 8.09% 44.49% 6.69%
Penn State B1G  3.11 3.10 7.09 13.88% 25.99% 7.05% 8.59% 43.39% 4.40%
Stanford P12  3.11 3.30 8.20 16.36% 29.90% 11.92% 6.67% 41.41% 4.77%
Washington P12  3.10 3.45 7.02 17.63% 33.82% 12.43% 6.65% 43.64% 8.11%
East Carolina USA 3.10 3.40 7.42 17.49% 30.87% 9.84% 7.38% 43.44% 6.51%
Wisconsin B1G  3.09 3.66 12.52 20.50% 35.98% 16.83% 5.22% 44.29% 9.39%
Rice USA 3.09 3.38 8.97 16.82% 30.87% 12.01% 6.84% 44.18% 7.69%
Western Kentucky SBC  3.08 3.68 9.90 16.95% 29.06% 14.04% 8.72% 42.37% 7.49%
Texas B12  3.08 3.59 10.71 16.48% 32.07% 12.47% 9.58% 45.66% 3.70%
Oklahoma State B12  3.08 3.53 9.41 20.37% 35.13% 13.82% 6.32% 48.01% 2.30%
UCLA P12  3.07 3.47 11.93 19.81% 34.67% 13.71% 4.95% 44.57% 9.39%
UCF USA 3.07 3.65 11.42 19.05% 30.74% 13.42% 7.79% 46.10% 5.72%
Louisiana-Lafayette SBC  3.07 3.73 10.52 20.41% 33.42% 15.56% 5.87% 43.88% 3.50%
South Florida BEC  3.06 3.31 8.33 18.04% 31.30% 12.73% 7.43% 45.09% 4.80%
West Virginia B12  3.06 3.72 9.65 20.16% 36.18% 16.80% 8.53% 46.51% 4.17%
UNLV MWC  3.05 3.35 10.80 16.97% 29.24% 10.70% 7.83% 39.95% 4.79%
Syracuse BEC  3.05 3.15 7.61 16.44% 29.86% 9.49% 8.33% 43.75% 3.27%
Temple BEC  3.04 3.95 8.94 22.58% 32.51% 16.13% 4.71% 40.94% 8.70%
Cincinnati BEC  3.04 3.78 10.11 18.55% 30.91% 14.78% 5.91% 42.20% 3.59%
Colorado State MWC  3.02 3.51 8.32 19.71% 29.43% 10.57% 4.86% 39.14% 7.37%
Georgia SEC 3.02 3.60 12.82 18.69% 31.31% 14.25% 7.01% 46.50% 6.42%
Central Michigan MAC  3.01 3.32 10.08 20.50% 32.61% 11.80% 4.66% 44.41% 3.75%
South Carolina SEC 3.01 3.46 6.60 19.40% 30.10% 11.69% 7.71% 40.05% 9.14%
Troy SBC  3.01 3.46 8.26 17.42% 32.13% 11.99% 7.24% 46.83% 2.86%
Michigan State B1G  3.00 3.35 11.06 13.89% 24.54% 8.10% 7.41% 40.74% 4.16%
Purdue B1G  3.00 3.47 12.00 18.62% 31.91% 12.50% 6.38% 40.16% 4.98%
Utah State WAC  3.00 3.52 15.72 20.05% 31.82% 12.57% 4.81% 43.85% 4.22%
Tennessee SEC 2.98 3.33 10.15 20.44% 32.87% 11.33% 5.25% 46.96% 1.75%
Miami (Florida) ACC  2.98 3.57 12.28 20.00% 27.38% 11.08% 4.62% 39.08% 3.96%
Minnesota B1G  2.98 3.49 4.79 19.19% 27.78% 10.86% 3.79% 39.14% 4.81%
Florida SEC 2.97 3.83 11.60 20.50% 30.07% 14.12% 5.01% 41.69% 12.87%
Kentucky SEC 2.97 3.72 7.74 20.00% 29.38% 12.19% 4.38% 40.63% 6.60%
Fresno State MWC  2.96 3.61 9.70 21.28% 31.79% 11.79% 6.67% 43.08% 4.42%
Marshall USA 2.95 3.54 9.98 18.52% 29.63% 12.59% 5.43% 40.99% 4.59%
Illinois B1G  2.93 3.03 6.43 21.54% 32.45% 11.17% 4.52% 44.15% 10.45%
Houston USA 2.93 3.45 14.26 20.00% 30.40% 11.20% 6.13% 42.13% 2.96%
Mississippi State SEC 2.93 3.41 10.49 21.96% 28.49% 10.98% 5.04% 43.92% 4.18%
Arkansas SEC 2.92 3.28 6.50 19.94% 33.86% 11.39% 4.43% 43.67% 3.85%
Oklahoma B12  2.91 3.58 11.90 18.29% 28.00% 11.43% 8.57% 47.14% 2.20%
Bowling Green MAC  2.91 3.54 9.07 22.85% 30.65% 11.29% 5.65% 44.62% 3.12%
Mississippi SEC 2.90 3.47 6.75 22.72% 32.08% 14.29% 8.20% 46.37% 8.09%
Southern Mississippi USA 2.90 3.33 7.27 21.16% 34.74% 12.47% 4.23% 44.54% 8.48%
Indiana B1G  2.90 3.39 10.16 17.37% 26.05% 9.58% 7.78% 38.92% 3.28%
Miami (Ohio) MAC  2.88 3.76 5.94 21.77% 26.57% 12.18% 4.80% 34.32% 7.09%
New Mexico State WAC  2.88 3.34 7.41 19.29% 27.97% 9.32% 5.47% 41.16% 9.09%
Virginia ACC  2.88 3.38 6.81 18.00% 29.14% 12.00% 6.00% 40.57% 5.48%
Tulsa USA 2.88 3.43 11.59 19.76% 28.77% 11.44% 8.84% 44.89% 1.90%
UTEP USA 2.88 3.52 8.46 23.00% 30.52% 11.27% 6.34% 40.14% 7.39%
Middle Tennessee SBC  2.87 3.50 10.44 19.17% 27.25% 12.01% 6.47% 41.57% 2.57%
Duke ACC  2.86 3.41 6.59 17.90% 25.85% 9.09% 5.11% 41.48% 3.92%
Boise State MWC  2.85 3.69 8.80 20.92% 29.66% 14.02% 5.75% 41.84% 2.20%
UTSA WAC  2.85 3.74 9.25 22.01% 30.89% 12.36% 5.02% 44.79% 2.55%
Auburn SEC 2.85 3.64 7.98 21.85% 33.33% 12.61% 5.04% 42.30% 12.77%
Florida International SBC  2.85 3.43 10.27 19.25% 28.54% 10.84% 6.42% 42.92% 9.11%
Colorado P12  2.84 3.52 7.94 19.24% 25.95% 9.91% 6.71% 37.03% 11.06%
Akron MAC  2.84 3.40 8.32 20.46% 31.68% 11.22% 5.94% 42.57% 4.38%
Louisiana-Monroe SBC  2.84 3.65 10.45 20.26% 28.72% 12.56% 7.44% 41.54% 4.22%
TCU B12  2.83 3.48 10.30 19.38% 28.71% 9.57% 4.55% 36.84% 6.56%
Michigan B1G  2.82 3.45 16.31 21.44% 29.80% 10.84% 8.13% 44.70% 5.07%
Eastern Michigan MAC  2.81 3.32 12.04 26.38% 32.66% 11.31% 5.28% 42.46% 6.29%
Wyoming MWC  2.81 3.36 8.19 19.68% 27.93% 8.51% 7.18% 37.23% 6.28%
South Alabama SBC  2.80 3.15 8.77 22.84% 28.61% 8.41% 6.01% 36.54% 6.68%
UAB USA 2.79 3.87 6.08 20.18% 29.38% 14.24% 8.01% 42.43% 8.40%
Memphis USA 2.79 3.33 8.08 19.72% 27.70% 9.39% 6.81% 41.08% 7.61%
Iowa State B12  2.79 3.69 6.68 22.31% 28.61% 13.12% 6.30% 38.06% 3.66%
Utah P12  2.77 3.37 7.97 20.69% 26.53% 9.02% 3.98% 34.22% 7.20%
Missouri SEC 2.76 3.41 8.50 23.39% 31.11% 9.77% 5.91% 40.87% 6.73%
Pittsburgh BEC  2.75 3.55 8.45 20.51% 26.12% 11.24% 5.62% 40.73% 9.71%
San Jose State WAC  2.74 3.28 10.39 22.01% 23.96% 7.80% 5.01% 39.83% 5.78%
Virginia Tech ACC  2.73 3.43 9.53 21.29% 28.71% 10.77% 6.22% 40.91% 4.87%
Oregon State P12  2.73 3.38 8.84 19.58% 29.08% 10.98% 7.42% 40.65% 5.05%
Iowa B1G  2.70 3.34 9.15 20.94% 25.37% 9.73% 7.67% 39.82% 5.74%
Idaho WAC  2.66 3.31 8.96 20.33% 20.67% 8.00% 6.67% 35.33% 5.01%
NC  State ACC  2.63 3.24 5.56 20.05% 24.73% 7.42% 5.49% 37.64% 6.30%
Louisville BEC  2.63 3.64 6.55 25.41% 30.05% 12.84% 7.92% 41.26% 5.65%
Florida Atlantic SBC  2.61 3.22 8.10 21.28% 25.66% 8.75% 6.41% 37.03% 6.21%
Hawai'i MWC  2.53 3.55 10.18 21.94% 21.37% 7.98% 5.41% 33.05% 9.64%
Vanderbilt SEC 2.53 3.57 10.63 24.58% 26.51% 10.36% 7.95% 38.07% 7.06%
Rutgers BEC  2.52 3.27 9.07 26.50% 24.22% 8.26% 3.99% 33.33% 2.40%
Wake Forest ACC  2.47 2.99 11.39 25.74% 26.33% 6.80% 5.92% 39.05% 6.12%
North Texas SBC  2.46 3.31 11.00 25.72% 25.96% 9.86% 6.73% 36.30% 1.40%
Boston College ACC  2.41 3.80 9.24 31.25% 27.94% 12.13% 2.57% 36.03% 6.78%
Washington State P12  2.38 3.49 6.06 25.60% 24.40% 9.52% 4.76% 35.12% 8.42%
Tulane USA 2.35 3.04 4.21 24.90% 20.48% 5.62% 6.02% 31.73% 5.63%
Maryland ACC  2.34 3.25 7.79 27.86% 24.88% 8.21% 3.73% 32.84% 11.95%
Massachusetts MAC  2.28 3.42 5.36 27.25% 25.66% 9.52% 5.82% 34.92% 6.72%
Connecticut BEC  2.26 3.25 7.66 22.80% 19.69% 7.51% 4.92% 29.79% 7.84%

These stats don’t correlate directly to standard stats…but AALY does the best.  Regardless of any correlation there is nothing to celebrate with respect to relative Offensive Line performance this year.

image

Same data but with Rank…

Offense Team Name Conference Name  AALY ASLY  AOFY  Stuff Rate  ASLY Rate  AOFY Rate  Power Success Rate  Success Rate Sack Rate
    RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK
Alabama SEC 1 55 63 2 2 2 60 2 93
Army IND 2 60 72 1 22 22 22 10 106
Northern Illinois MAC  3 41 23 6 6 6 12 13 15
Navy IND 4 96 81 7 24 24 47 8 120
Toledo MAC  5 58 86 32 5 5 46 16 59
Air Force MWC  6 70 78 10 49 49 33 23 57
Ohio State B1G  7 32 66 18 7 7 32 3 114
Ball State MAC  8 91 73 3 32 32 68 26 5
Arizona P12  9 4 56 12 15 15 31 14 29
Texas State WAC  10 30 17 11 13 13 95 21 97
Florida State ACC  11 37 47 80 1 1 119 5 89
Oregon P12  12 22 7 52 3 3 58 7 56
SMU USA 13 69 91 28 23 23 123 41 61
Louisiana Tech WAC  14 93 59 31 12 12 42 1 3
Georgia Tech ACC  15 74 41 8 29 29 6 9 67
San Diego State MWC  16 94 9 43 9 9 10 22 119
Texas A&M SEC 17 29 5 34 19 19 44 11 46
Arizona State P12  18 77 117 51 16 16 52 33 108
Arkansas State SBC  19 89 62 23 8 8 3 4 21
Notre Dame IND 20 80 31 38 26 26 40 18 39
New Mexico MWC  21 78 12 41 11 11 59 28 87
North Carolina ACC  22 11 49 24 33 33 45 20 12
Western Michigan MAC  23 71 58 15 40 40 29 38 31
Nevada MWC  24 49 46 25 55 55 8 12 53
Kansas State B12  25 18 114 44 43 43 27 15 43
Baylor B12  26 21 51 14 37 37 15 17 17
California P12  27 46 10 26 25 25 121 40 117
Buffalo MAC  28 83 107 17 44 44 94 103 90
Nebraska B1G  29 54 22 69 4 4 50 6 98
USC P12  30 25 40 93 28 28 90 62 28
Texas Tech B12  31 20 96 78 17 17 87 35 20
Ohio MAC  32 14 65 13 63 63 81 89 83
Clemson ACC  33 10 95 19 71 71 14 37 71
Kansas B12  34 36 54 16 93 93 96 65 100
Northwestern B1G  35 40 39 53 47 47 26 34 36
Kent State MAC  36 19 4 49 27 27 69 66 58
BYU IND 37 106 99 57 46 46 18 56 69
LSU SEC 38 111 24 9 85 85 17 48 80
Penn State B1G  39 121 105 4 108 108 5 61 41
Stanford P12  40 110 87 20 72 72 55 79 45
Washington P12  41 66 106 37 31 31 57 59 102
East Carolina USA 42 84 102 36 61 61 38 60 76
Wisconsin B1G  43 23 8 88 14 14 93 50 112
Rice USA 44 90 69 27 62 62 48 51 96
Western Kentucky SBC  45 17 50 29 83 83 4 70 94
Texas B12  46 34 28 22 50 50 1 36 25
Oklahoma State B12  47 47 57 82 18 18 66 19 8
UCLA P12  48 61 15 68 21 21 103 46 113
UCF USA 49 24 20 54 64 64 24 32 64
Louisiana-Lafayette SBC  50 9 30 83 34 34 79 54 22
South Florida BEC  51 109 82 42 57 57 35 39 48
West Virginia B12  52 13 53 76 10 10 9 29 34
UNLV MWC  53 98 27 30 80 80 23 96 47
Syracuse BEC  54 120 101 21 73 73 11 57 18
Temple BEC  55 1 71 107 41 41 109 84 107
Cincinnati BEC  56 6 44 47 59 59 77 72 23
Colorado State MWC  57 52 83 65 77 77 105 99 91
Georgia SEC 58 33 6 50 56 56 43 30 75
Central Michigan MAC  59 104 45 86 39 39 110 49 26
South Carolina SEC 60 65 111 62 68 68 28 95 111
Troy SBC  61 64 85 35 45 45 39 27 13
Michigan State B1G  62 97 25 5 117 117 37 87 33
Purdue B1G  63 63 14 48 51 51 64 93 51
Utah State WAC  64 48 2 74 52 52 106 55 37
Tennessee SEC 65 103 43 84 36 36 92 25 2
Miami (Florida) ACC  66 38 11 72 100 100 111 101 32
Minnesota B1G  67 56 123 56 98 98 120 100 49
Florida SEC 68 3 18 87 69 69 102 75 124
Kentucky SEC 69 12 98 73 79 79 115 91 78
Fresno State MWC  70 31 52 95 53 53 54 63 42
Marshall USA 71 44 48 46 76 76 88 83 44
Illinois B1G  72 123 116 99 42 42 113 52 118
Houston USA 73 67 3 71 67 67 71 73 14
Mississippi State SEC 74 82 32 103 92 92 98 53 35
Arkansas SEC 75 112 115 70 30 30 114 58 27
Oklahoma B12  76 35 16 45 94 94 7 24 6
Bowling Green MAC  77 45 67 111 65 65 83 45 16
Mississippi SEC 78 62 109 108 48 48 13 31 101
Southern Mississippi USA 79 101 104 94 20 20 116 47 105
Indiana B1G  80 86 42 33 107 107 25 104 19
Miami (Ohio) MAC  81 7 120 100 102 102 107 118 86
New Mexico State WAC  82 99 103 60 95 95 86 81 109
Virginia ACC  83 87 108 40 81 81 74 92 60
Tulsa USA 84 72 19 67 84 84 2 42 4
UTEP USA 85 51 79 112 66 66 65 94 92
Middle Tennessee SBC  86 53 34 55 101 101 61 76 11
Duke ACC  87 81 112 39 111 111 97 78 30
Boise State MWC  88 15 75 91 75 75 82 74 7
UTSA WAC  89 8 60 105 60 60 100 43 10
Auburn SEC 90 27 92 101 35 35 99 71 123
Florida International SBC  91 73 37 59 91 91 62 64 110
Colorado P12  92 50 94 58 110 110 53 109 121
Akron MAC  93 85 84 85 54 54 75 67 40
Louisiana-Monroe SBC  94 26 33 79 86 86 34 77 38
TCU B12  95 59 36 61 87 87 112 111 77
Michigan B1G  96 68 1 98 74 74 16 44 55
Eastern Michigan MAC  97 105 13 120 38 38 91 68 73
Wyoming MWC  98 95 88 64 97 97 41 108 72
South Alabama SBC  99 119 76 110 90 90 73 112 79
UAB USA 100 2 118 77 78 78 19 69 103
Memphis USA 101 102 90 66 99 99 49 82 95
Iowa State B12  102 16 110 106 89 89 67 106 24
Utah P12  103 92 93 90 103 103 118 119 88
Missouri SEC 104 79 77 113 58 58 78 86 82
Pittsburgh BEC  105 42 80 89 106 106 84 88 116
San Jose State WAC  106 113 35 104 120 120 101 97 66
Virginia Tech ACC  107 75 55 97 88 88 70 85 50
Oregon State P12  108 88 74 63 82 82 36 90 54
Iowa B1G  109 100 64 92 114 114 30 98 65
Idaho WAC  110 107 70 81 122 122 56 115 52
North Carolina State ACC  111 117 121 75 116 116 85 107 74
Louisville BEC  112 28 113 116 70 70 21 80 63
Florida Atlantic SBC  113 118 89 96 113 113 63 110 70
Hawai'i MWC  114 43 38 102 121 121 89 121 115
Vanderbilt SEC 115 39 29 114 104 104 20 105 85
Rutgers BEC  116 114 68 121 119 119 117 120 9
Wake Forest ACC  117 124 21 119 105 105 76 102 68
North Texas SBC  118 108 26 118 109 109 51 113 1
Boston College ACC  119 5 61 124 96 96 124 114 84
Washington State P12  120 57 119 117 118 118 108 116 104
Tulane USA 121 122 124 115 123 123 72 123 62
Maryland ACC  122 115 97 123 115 115 122 122 122
Massachusetts MAC  123 76 122 122 112 112 80 117 81
Connecticut BEC  124 116 100 109 124 124 104 124 99

The best take home was the Adjusted Open Field Yards where Michigan did so well – granted with a limited sample. I don’t think it’s too hard to figure that as an homage to Denard. It has always been about Denard ever since he showed up. Too bad we had such a difficult time getting him into the open field this year. Alas that stat is pretty meaningless to the winning games when you can’t get your ball carrier into the open field to begin with.

Hopefully this bowl game will offer him a stage to flaunt his NFL talents.

Just of few data points.  Hopefully I will get a chance to look at the relative defense stats (which is the flipside of this data) and previous years. 

Happy bowling season to you all.  Sorry for any typos… I’m not going to be able to proof this – and if I don’t post it – I may not come back to it.

Go Blue!

Comments

colin

December 31st, 2012 at 8:54 PM ^

Thanks for running all this.  At first glance I see mostly just confirmation of what we saw: it takes an elite back like Denard just to get to the second level and beyond with our OL quality. That combined with his production once he got into the open field...holy crap.  Insanely talented.  Mike Hart took slightly better OL talent and turned losses into 5 yard gains.  Denard turns them into TDs.