for a while. No chance of Maxwell coming in at QB unless Cook is hurt.
2013 Turnover Analysis – MSU Preview
Turnover Comparison: MSU is just not turning the ball over this year. With 1.1 giveaways per game, they are ranked #16 in the nation. That would be a lot better if MSU did not have an almost unbelievably poor 17% recovery rate (ranked #121) on their own fumbles. Sparty is not doing as good on takeaways with 1.9 takeaways per game – ranked #43. Overall, their turnover margin of +0.7 is excellent and ranked #18. At home, MSU is +1.0 in TOM and away they are +0.3
On paper, Michigan's giveaways are 2.43 per game and ranked #103. However, M dug itself into a huge hole with 12 giveaways in the first 4 games (an average of 3.0 per game). Over the last 3 games, Michigan has 5 giveaways (an average of 1.67 per game which would be ranked #58 ). Michigan is doing very good in takeaways with 2.14 per game and is ranked #28. At home, M is 0.0 for TOM and away we are –1.0.
Gardner threw 8 interceptions in the first 4 games (an average of 2.0 per game) but has thrown just 2 in the last 3 games (0.67 per game which would be ranked #22). Since it will be very difficult for Michigan to run the ball against MSU, Gardner will be tossing the ball around a lot.
Obviously, going into the game, MSU has the statistical advantage for turnovers. However, TOs are highly variable from game to game and are not very predictable. Almost all teams that end the year with very good TOMs have one or more games with negative TOMs during the year.
Keep your fingers crossed.
National Rankings: The chart shows Michigan's detailed turnover numbers (top 3 rows) compared to MSU's. All rankings include games between two FBS teams ONLY and are from TeamRankings except for forced fumbles which is from CFBStats. The four columns with *** show the best correlation to offense and defense (per Advanced NFL stats).
I swear that 2011 weather was crazy. Atleast we have a QB who can throw the ball 30 yards deep and it isnt a punt. Only problem for Gardner is the turnovers and the fact that he might get killed because he will have like 20-25 runs and 30 throws (Penn State). Gallon can do his thing but we need a 2012 Dileo to win this game. All eyes got o Funchess, he want to prove he can play widereciever and not just big guy in the redzone, against MSU's physical corners is the best opportunity.
if you lose the TO margin, you can pretty much take it to the bank that you will lose the game. Hopefully Gardner will come through with ball security. That's the biggest key to the game in my mind.