the just released schedules were a flat-out statement that the B10 doesn't believe SOS will matter in playoff selection
Your Thursday Bubble Watch Rooting Guide
Tales from Last Night
Last night went much better for Michigan than did Monday. The relevant results for the Wolverines:
- Michigan State beat Iowa 85-66. You wanted State to win this game so they'd stay in the RPI top-50. Michigan won't compete head-to-head with them on the bubble, and Saturday's game will effectively be the decider between the two if necessary.
- North Carolina beat Florida State 72-70. Florida State is a fellow bubble team, so losing to the Tar Heels hurt them.
- Miami beat Maryland 80-66. Terps are probably done as a bubble team.
- East Carolina upset Memphis 68-57. This was a huge blow to Memphis and Conference USA's likelihood of getting more than 2 bids.
- SMU fell to UCF 48-51. You wanted SMU to knock the Knights out of bubble contention.
- St. Louis upset Dayton 69-51. This closes the door on Dayton's at-large hopes.
- UAB beat Southern Miss 67-66. Both are bubble teams, and we were mostly indifferent as to the result.
- St. Joseph's lost to Richmond 54-69. The Spiders strengthened their resume by not falling victim to an upset.
- Iowa State beat Colorado 95-90. BUffaloes are no longer a viable bubble team.
- LSU lost to Georgia 53-73. This would have been a huge upset, so there's really not much lost by the Bulldogs staying on the bubble.
- Cincinnati beat Marquette 67-60. That should knock the Golden Eagles behind Michigan in the pecking order.
- Northwestern beat Minnesota 68-57. There were reasons to pull for each team, so we're mostly indifferent to this result.
- Clemson lost to Duke 59-70. We probably wanted Clemson to win this game as a former Michigan opponent, but there were plenty of reasons to pull for the Blue Devils (Clemson is also a bubble team). We'll be pulling HARD for Clemson against Virginia Tech on Saturday.
- Utah lost to Colorado State 65-78. We wanted the Utes to win, as a former Michigan opponent, but this result was expected.
- UTEP beat Marshall 82-74. Both are bubble teams, so we were pulling for the past Michigan opponent.
- I forgot to include this one in yesterday's games to watch, but Kansas beat Texas A&M 64-51. The Jayhawks are a past Michigan opponent.
This was an excellent day of results for Michigan, as the only games that didn't fall the right way were longshots. We also got a couple important upsets.
Looks like The Matrix isn't going to update before tonight's relevant games start, so the table below comes from yesterday's update.
Per the Bracket Matrix:
|Bids||Bubble In||Bubble Out||Change|
|Big East||11||Marq (10)||Marquette will fall, but maybe not all the way out of the matrix.|
|SEC||6||Tenn (9), UGa (10), Bama (12)||Bama will drop out as soon as the matrix is updated.|
|Big Ten||6||Ill (10), MSU (11), Mich (12)||Minn, PSU||Minnesota is done. Michigan State might move up slightly.|
|ACC||5||BC (12), VT (10), FSU (9)||Clem, Mary||Florida State and Clemson were hurt last night. Maryland was probably knocked out for good.|
|Big 12||5||KSU (8)||Neb, Bay, Colo, OkSt||Colorado took a big hit by losing to a bad Iowa State team.|
|Pac-10||3||Wash (9), UCLA (8)||USC, Washington St.|
|Atlantic 10||3||Richmond (11)|
|Mountain West||3||UNLV (7)||Colo St|
|West Coast||2||Zaga (12), St Mary's (11)|
|Colonial||2||Old Domin (8)||VCU|
|CUSA||2||Memphis (11), UAB (12)||USM, UTEP, Marsh, UCF|
|WAC||1||Utah State (9)|
|Horizon||1||Butler (12)||Cleve St, UW-Mil|
|Summit||1||1-bid Oakland (13)|
|Ivy||1||1-bid Princeton (13)||Harvard|
When the Matrix is next updated (before tonight's games - how inconvenient), I think it will look a liiiittle bit better for Michigan.
Wednesday is a HUGE night for college basketball, so there are going to be tons of games to watch. You're rooting against bubble-ish teams, though things get more complicated when a past Michigan opponent is involved.
- Tennessee @ South Carolina (7:00, ESPN). Pull for South Carolina to drag Tennessee onto the bubble (they're currently in as a 9 seed).
- South Carolina State @ NC Central (7:30). NC Central is a past Michigan opponent.
- Wisconsin @ Indiana (9:00, ESPN). I think you're probably pulling for Indiana, so they don't drop below 200 in RPI and give Michigan a bad loss. Ain't gonna happen though.
- UCLA @ Washington (9:00, ESPN2). The Bruins are the higher seed, and you want them to knock Washington down in the pecking order.
- USC @ Washington State (10:00). USC's resume is worse than Washington State's so you want the Trojans to win.
After a huge rooting list last night, tonight's roster is much smaller. Of course, we're also pulling for 4 underdogs. Considering that only 1 or 2 of these games is actually useful to Michigan (especially in terms of knowing who to root for), it should be a relaxing night.
Or a good one to get on an airplane and not watch any basketball - but I'm also missing the State game. :(