I read consistent comments from posters here, most recently regarding the Stuart Mandel article thread, that express a gamut running from optimism all the way through outright certainty that the offense will be better next year with Tate running it. This has two large assumptions in it, first that Forcier will win the starting job, and second that he will be pretty good as a freshman. Where does this come from? As far as I can tell, Forcier is an excellent High School QB with a 4 star rating (one of many, most of whom will redshirt or not start), but he is not a 5 star, nor is he rated nearly as highly as Henne was entering his freshman year. And we see almost all freshman struggle, even those rated far higher that Tate is. I am far from certain that he will even win the starting position from Threet, much less be a productive starter. Of course, I'm praying he does both, but I seem to be in a minority.
chance of bowl: 13.6%