Vicious Electronic Questioning: Sugar Bowl Comment Count

Brian

 

thekeyplay_logo[1]

Talking turkey (HA!) with The Key Play, a Virginia Tech blog of some renown.

It looks like VT's vaunted special teams are mediocre or worse this year. What's with the net punting under 34 yards? Blocks, fumbles, a bad punter? Has VT made its usual complement of the gamechanging special teams plays that might not show up in the conventional numbers?

The starting punter going into the season, Scott Demler, had a lower back injury from his freshman year in 2008 that compromised his leg strength. Beamer went with him early, but it became clear he could not do the job. Beamer turned to true freshman Michael Branthover who has tremendous leg strength, but is woefully inconsistent with his drop due to inexperience with two-step punting. When he became so erratic that it threatened to cost them games, Beamer turned to receiver Danny Coale, who has kicked much better, but it has limited his touches in the passing game.

The Hokies were blessed with an outstanding return game the last two seasons. Beamer decided to benefit from Hosley and Wilson as returners, and taking field position, rather than blocking kicks. This season, the Hokies have been poor with their blocking on kickoff returns, and teams have kicked away from Wilson to Tony Gregory, who is in replacing an injured Dyrell Roberts.

On the punt return, every team has rugby and directionally punted away from Hosley. It has neutralized any attempt to block kicks (although the Hokies got a hand on punt versus Clemson that the ACC officials said never happened), but the Hokies have often benefited from a short field.

David Wilson: scary dude. What are his strengths and weaknesses? If you had to compare him to a back familiar to Big Ten fans who would that be? 

Wilson has Michael Bennett-like speed, he set all sorts of Tech records in the weight room, and is a very tough runner. At times, he looks to make the big play rather than the smart play. If you need three and he has a small hole, he will still look to bounce, causing a large number of plays that would result in first downs to go backwards. He doesn't have Ryan Williams's field vision, and he looks for lanes going towards the sideline, rather than finding the cutback lane. That running style has caused the Hokies to abandon much of their one-back zone plays. At the same time, the kid runs really hard, and can make chicken salad out of garbage.

How did Clemson hold Wilson to 36 yards on 11 carries in the championship game?

Simple. The Hokies could not run up the middle because the inside of the o-line was dominated, so much so that Clemson moved both of their safeties up like 3-4 outside linebackers. Aside from Logan Thomas on designed runs, the Hokies have found their success running outside. If you take that away, they have been hesitant to even try up the middle.

logan-thomas[1]QB Logan Thomas is a 6'6" athletic tank in the Tebow/Pryor/Newton mold but is only gaining about 32 yards a game. Is he a dangerous runner or just a guy to keep defenses honest playing Wilson?

Thomas is not as natural of a runner as Newton, nor as quick. However, they have similar builds and Thomas is a much better thrower at this point in his career. When asked to, Logan is essentially the Hokies' power back. On third and short, he is getting the ball. I think the 32 yards per game is misleading. He was not used as much against weaker teams, and he has taken a bunch of sacks in close games. He has delivered a highlight-reel-worthy steamroll on at least one guy every game this year. (Here is much more on Thomas.)

How is the passing game? Who are the dangerous guys?

If Michigan plays cover 3 or soft man, they are screwed. The Hokies have struggled against effective press coverage. They run a ton of deep combo routes, and bubble screens. Other than the bubble screens, most of their patterns involve all the receivers going deep, so they take time to develop.

Chris Drager has been effective on short curl routes from the tight end spot. Jarrett Boykin tends to be effective on double move posts and deep curls, but even with humongous hands he is good for one drop a game. Danny Coale is an outstanding blocker, and has a knack for always getting open, but Logan Thomas can miss him while looking deep. Marcus Davis has the speed and jumping ability to be a tremendous deep threat, but he is a poor blocker and terrible route runner. DJ Coles is physical, outstanding at blocking and catching the ball on screens, and he probably is the best Hokie receiver running after the catch. His route running could be sharper. He was the Hokies' best player against Clemson in the ACC Championship.

Virginia Tech's had a weird season, blowing out a pretty decent Virginia team 38-0 and putting around that much on Miami and GT but struggling against some of the worst teams on the schedule in a 17-10 win against ECU and a 14-10 win against Duke. What's the deal with the offense? Is it really that schizophrenic?

I think the offense was erratic due to matchups. If the Hokies could not run outside the tackles, or if the opposing team took away short throws and could rush the passer, the Hokies struggled.

On defense, I'm sure we're going to see a lot of eight man fronts. How has VT done against spread option teams this year?

Kyle Fuller Martavis Bryant Clemson v Viginia LFCHeoEpaq9l[1]The defensive ends will crash on the dive, leaving Robinson one-on-one with either Kyle Fuller (right, #17) or Tariq Edwards. [ED: Edwards is a linebacker, Fuller a S/LB hybrid actually listed as a CB on the VT roster because he is basically a corner. Fuller may be the only corner to ever rack up 14.5 TFLs. VT's defense is weird and aggressive.]

The Hokies defense dominated the four offenses that played the same style as Michigan (Appy State, ECU, Marshall, and Arkansas State), but none have Michigan's talent.

Do you think VT will blitz Robinson or lay back for him to make a mistake? (I think I know the answer to this one, but...)

They will blitz him.

Who should Michigan look out for on defense? Who is your insane undersized pass rusher du jour?

Kyle Fuller is one of the best open field tacklers I have seen in college football. He started the season at corner opposite Jayron Hosley, but moved to Whip linebacker after starter Jeron Gouveia-Winslow was lost for the year and his backup Alonzo Tweedy suffered a high-ankle sprain/didn't play well. Senior corner Cris Hill comes off the bench to replace Fuller at corner. Expect a lot of "nickel personnel" out of our 4-3 looks and scheme. The Hokies will use robber coverage and show man to bait Robinson, then jump routes from zones.

Once the Hokies got into the meat of the ACC schedule, aside from UVa, they could not generate pass rush from just the front-four. Sophomore James Gayle was the guy most of us thought would be the next big time defensive end at Tech. He's an athletic freak and won the Excalibur Award, the highest honor in the Hokies' strength and conditioning program. He has 7 sacks in 12 games, but has been hobbled by a sprained left ankle since Miami.

What makes you nervous about the game? What gives you confidence?

A possible lack of focus makes me nervous, and if we were in the Orange Bowl, again, I'd be even more anxious. More often than not bowl games are won by the team who wants it more. Being that it's Michigan's first BCS game since the 2007 Rose Bowl, and they're coached by a new staff looking to make their mark, I have to believe they're going to be super focused. At least more than the team who has only missed out on the BCS once in the last five seasons.

What gives me a little confidence is that I'm wrong a lot. After getting crushed by Clemson, the Hokies thought they'd finish out the season against an irrelevant SEC team in the Peach Bowl. Ho-hum. Then the Sugar Bowl came along and raised them up. (I went there.) The players and coaches are extremely excited for the game and matchup. They have a real second chance, an opportunity to end the season on a big stage with a win against a ten win team.

Prediction?

I'll take the Hokies in a close game.

Does VT actually jingle keys? If so, can we start a movement to redirect the scorn Michigan gets for that activity to its proper place? Michigan used to but hasn't in five or so years.

"The Key Play.com" /coughs

I don't think I've ever heard any opposing fan in Lane, on the road, or in a bar hate on us for that. I guess they never get tired of saying, "go win a national championship." [ED: Why do we get so much guff for it, then?]

Comments

profitgoblue

December 21st, 2011 at 11:54 AM ^

Anyone opposing fan/writer who doesn't list Denard Robinson as something that makes them nervous has zero credibility in my book.  Obviously kidding but, seriously, how does Denard not make everyone nervous?  The plain vanilla "possible lack of focus" answer was plain vanilla.

UofM Die Hard …

December 21st, 2011 at 12:06 PM ^

I was expecting that whole paragraph to mostly be about Denard.....minus credibility points.

 

I really dont know what to think about this game, I watched two Hokie games this year and they dont look better than us but who knows....I hope we beat the shit out of them and send a message to the nation  "Better recognize bitches"

 

 

Mr. Yost

December 21st, 2011 at 12:23 PM ^

34-20, Michigan in a game that lands between the Ohio game and the Nebraska game.

 

I expect Michigan to control the LOS just like Clemson did. We held Boom Herron in check, our focus on defense has always been stopping the run...Va Tech's strength is the run. I really expect Mike Martin and RVB to go WILD.

 

I'm saying 34-20, and that's because OSU got some big plays and some more near big plays on us. However, if we come to play like we'd been playing on defense prior to that game. If we play defense like we did vs. Illinois and Nebraska. This could EASILY be a 38-13 type game. I don't see that as a huge "IF" either.

 

With that said, VA Tech is a good team and they'll be ready to play. I think they'll keep it close in the first half and we'll shut them down in the 2nd, allowing our offense to slowly pull away. 21-10 (Michigan) at the half --- 34-20 final. Win for the Wolverines.

Mr. Yost

December 21st, 2011 at 12:38 PM ^

...Here you go!

7-0 Michigan: 2 yard TD run by Denard Robinson (10:58) 
14-0 Michigan: 11 yard TD catch by Junior Hemingway from Denard Robinson (5:01)
---End of First Quarter---

14-3 Michigan: 28 yard FG by Cody Journell (14:55)
21-3 Michigan: 33 yard TD run by Fitzgerald Toussaint (3:49)
21-10 Michigan: 6 yard TD run by Logan Thomas (:07)
---Halftime---

21-13 Michigan: 49 yard FG by Cody Journell (11:34)
24-13 Michigan: 40 yard FG by Brendan Gibbons (8:51)
27-13 Michigan: 32 yard FG by Brendon Giboons (4:22)
---End of Third Quarter---

27-20 Michigan: 19 yard TD catch by Jarrett Boykin from Logan Thomas (14:19)
34-20 Michigan: 44 yard TD catch by Jeremy Gallon from Denard Robinson (12:06)
---Final---

One Inch Woody…

December 21st, 2011 at 12:11 PM ^

Unfortunately, the two games we lost also happened to be two of the best quarterback/running back combinations we had seen this year. With that, I'm sort of nervous for Thomas + Wilson. If our defense keeps improving like it has been, though, and Denard retains his newfound ability to scramble, I think we can eat them alive.

MaizeAndBlueWahoo

December 21st, 2011 at 12:55 PM ^

I don't think I've ever heard any opposing fan in Lane, on the road, or in a bar hate on us for (jingling keys.)

Then he's apparently never been to Lane, the road, or a bar.  Or he's blocked it out.  Or he's just not counting UVA fans.  Or he brushes it off cause they beat us all the time.  We give Tech shit all the time for that.  The empty trophy case, too, yes, but the keys, we can be ruthless about this.  "Shake those tractor keys" and whatever else.  No need to worry that VT gets away with not getting any guff and Michigan doesn't.

dmetVT

December 21st, 2011 at 10:30 PM ^

I think he meant that he had never heard a football fan complain about it, lacrosse fans are different.  In their case we just tune out the criticism and respond with a simple: "Scoreboard."

I feel bad that my first post on an opponent's site is negative.  I'm not usually that guy and I look forward to a good game with the Maize and Blue part of you, but the Wahoo part lost 38-0 and still trash talks.

lhglrkwg

December 21st, 2011 at 1:38 PM ^

The fact that he admits that their interior O-line is weak makes me even more confident. RVB and Mike Martin will be living in the backfield and if they can stuff the middle, we can contain the outside.

Also the fact that he said their front four could not generate any pass rush makes me think we're going to totally dominate the trenches. Stopping Arkansas State != stopping Denard and his cohort David Molk

dmetVT

December 21st, 2011 at 10:34 PM ^

has beed the recipe for beating Tech for a while now, which is why this game worries me.

On the other hand, while it's certainly true that Michigan is in a completely different class than Ark St, that's the sort of offense we've had success against all year.  Denard is something special, but I'd be more worried if he was in a pure pro-style, power running offense, even if that is not to his strengths.

I like this Michigan team and I've been rooting for you guys all year, so hopefully we have a good game.