Various Things On Basketball Comment Count

Brian

Due to hockey and my mom's lack of HD Net I've only been able to catch a couple of the basketball team's blowouts over really terrible nonconference opposition. Yesterday was my first opportunity to see them play a team with a pulse. I've been told the UTEP game was an all-around crapfest that should temper any enthusiasm from a road win against a program that returned most of a 21-10 ACC team that got a seven-seed in the NCAA tourney.

With that in mind…

Holy crap, we're… big? The turnaround in overall team size resulting from moving Zack Novak from power forward to one of the two pretty-much-indistinguishable guard spots that aren't point guard now means Michigan runs out a lineup that can seem bigger than opponents even if Tim Hardaway, Jr., is nowhere near the 6'7" the announcers bizarrely kept insisting he was.

6'3" Stu Douglass is the shortest guy to see any playing time and the PF spot is split between a couple freshman who will have approximately PF size once they are not freshmen. The point guard is huge, and everyone else is average or a little above average. Last year Kenpom had Michigan 239th in effective height, which must have been near the bottom when it comes to power conference programs; this year Michigan will improve that vastly.

Speaking of Zack Novak moving away from the four…

The inner life of Zack Novak.

cat_cocaine

With apologies to The Run of Play.

This just looks like a basketball team. By this I mean it doesn't look like a three-ball-gunning, shot-clock-draining, 1-3-1-playing collection of misfit toys with itchy trigger fingers. Morris clearly loves to go to the hoop and has a green light to do so; he's not going to put up many threes. With Morgan terrified to put up anything outside the lane, the only misfit toy types are Smotrycz and McLimans. The former plays a position that does see its fair share of three pointers launched these days; the latter is getting about ten minutes a game.

Morgan = Graham Brown. Morgan's not yet at the level where he's a rebound-vacuuming moose that sets screens so lethal you need a background check before you can run one—remember when Brown turned Wisconsin's Guy Who Looks Like Chris Rock Guy into a fruit rollup?—but he is way ahead of Brown at the same stage in their careers. Yesterday's game showed Morgan's assets:

  • Excellent hands that minimize Courtney Sims-style layup-to-turnover whoopsies.
  • Excellent post defense. He was active denying the post and when Clemson got it on the block their bigs almost invariably put up contested shots falling away from the basket. Morgan specialized in those bumps that don't get called fouls. It was like watching a Wisconsin center play on your team.
  • An iron-clad knowledge of his role. He doesn't care if there are five seconds left on the shot clock, he is not shooting a 17-footer.

That last one may not be an asset in that situation but he's a guy who knows his strengths and weaknesses and plays to them. He doesn't seem like a redshirt freshman. Yet, anyway.

Morris = Mini-Denard. As in "this is a ridiculous amount of improvement." Morris is now getting those shots that are tough to get but not that hard to make when you get them—a runner in the lane from the first half stands out, as does Morris's Billups-like hesitation move for a short bank shot. He looked good against the early-season patsies, but this was my first opportunity to see him against real opposition and he didn't fall off much. He might have an issue against guards approximately his size, if he actually finds any.

Preseason the hype focused on Hardaway; six games in it seems likely Morris will be widely regarded as the team's best player by year's end. You can see it in the minutes: Morris averages nearly 34 a game. Novak is second at 29, Hardaway third with 26. (Foul trouble has something to do with that.)

Lingering bothersome bit. Small sample sizes and all but so far they still can't shoot threes, as they're clunking along at 29%. Hardaway has by far the most attempts and is hitting just 28%; hopefully that comes around given his reputation. If Vogrich doesn't pick it up (3 of 15 so far) he won't get even the limited playing time he's getting so far; ditto McLimans, who's started his career 0-10.

One highly encouraging sub-bit of this bit: Stu Douglass is 10-24 so far and has not been launching bad ones.

These men need ham. Smotrycz and McLimans especially—McLimans is listed at 240 the same way that Courtney Avery and Terrance Talbott are listed at 5'11". Teams with two guys who can bang in the post are going to crush the power forward spot.

Hardaway: maybe not quite yet. You can see where he's going and get excited about it, but it's probably going to take a year before he can approach the star player mantle placed on him in the offseason. He has a bit of Manny Harris disease, taking the ugly, lazy shots you can get away with in high school because you're a zillion times better than anyone else on the court. Harris never grew out of that—a major reason he was never an efficient scorer—but Hardaway should, especially since he's not going to have to take on the defacto point guard role Harris did last year. He should be getting the ball in positions to drive or pull up, not creating his own shot all the time.

Expectations: maybe up a tad? This is still an exceedingly young team that apparently threw up all over itself against UTEP and will have halves they spend throwing the ball off each other's faces, but that was an impressive performance against a team that should be legitimately good and you can maybe see an extra win or two down the road because of it. That might be enough to get them an NIT bid. That would be officially encouraging with zero seniors, zero early entry threats, and two highly-touted guards coming in next year.

Comments

msoccer10

December 2nd, 2010 at 9:51 AM ^

I believe you were negged because your comment of being relegated to the pile of "never going to make it" is way fucking wrong. He was always supposed to be an inside player to replace Sims. He was just injured. He was one of the first post players recruited by Beilien since he came to Michigan. You weren't negged for  your positive post but rather your lack of knowledge.

dahblue

December 2nd, 2010 at 10:28 AM ^

You couldn't be more wrong (I'll leave out the "fucking".  Why is this blog so full of venom lately?).  The coaches, obviously, hoped he could be a solid player when they recruited him and offered him a scholarship.  He came from the same high school as one of our former assistants, so clearly they had a good connection with Jordan.  Then, he had multiple injuries and his practice performance was not giving them a ton of hope.  They always liked him, but their confidence level had dropped a lot.  My info comes from the coaching staff directly.  Not a blog, not a reporter, not a cat.  I'll say it again...Good for you, Jordan!  Keep doing your thing.

Farnn

December 1st, 2010 at 1:28 PM ^

I don't watch much basketball but it seemed to me Beilein did a really good job of keeping the team from giving up their lead. Seemed to call time outs at the right moments to stop skids before they got out of hand. Maybe that's normal, but with a team this young it seems like that might be pretty important throughout the season.

betheballdanny

December 1st, 2010 at 4:38 PM ^

I didn't watch the UTEP game.  I've only seen the Cuse and Clemson games this year, and I was very pleased with what I saw until we started getting to the bench (besides Stu).  In both games I recall thinking that we look remotely solid and more than competitive in the first 6 minutes or so.  Then the bench players came in, and I foresaw a season where our lack of depth was going to cost us games.

They're young and will eventually prove worthy with more ham, so I think that's fine.  I'm just saying that without watching, I'm writing off the UTEP game to a team lacking depth and not having gas (again, ham?) in the second of back-to-back games.

betheballdanny

December 2nd, 2010 at 12:38 PM ^

Great.  That gives me more confidence that this team will be a tougher out than I originally thought this season. 

We still have a ways to go though, because all I could think while watching the MSU/Duke game last night was that they're in a different league.  They're automatic final four, while we're hoping for NIT.

bdneely4

December 1st, 2010 at 7:29 PM ^

they just looked like a good basketball TEAM out there last night.  They limited their turnovers, finished their shots, and Morgan looked great last night.  I am excited to see this young team develop.

GO BLUE!

champswest

December 1st, 2010 at 11:13 PM ^

pretty good when you recall that we finished 2 games under last year and lost our 2 studs.  I also think that Beilein is giving us the straight poop when he says that they need to play efficient, play hard and play good defense in order to be any good.  I think that we will likely see some big upsets and some melt downs this year.  We should be a NCAA tourney team in 2011 and very good in 2012.

It is nice having a superstar who can take over a game and just dominate, but I actually prefer a team of good talent that plays really well together and that is what we could have.

When you see guys make one year leaps like Morris and Robinson have, I think that speaks of good coaching and individual effort.

Final note: when Morgan signed I looked at him and his game and thought that hopefully by the time he was a senior he could be capable of giving us 8-10 points and 6-8 rebounds a game.  Now I think that he is capable of doing that in his first year.