Upon Further Review: Defense vs Florida Comment Count

Brian

HomeSure-Lending_logo_tagIt lives part II! When Homesure Lending sponsored these posts, Matt admonished me that his sponsorship was contingent on me actually doing all of them. So, yeah, next time you see him buy him a beer and get a mortgage. Matt just pinged me in case a refi made sense, demonstrating that 1) he's always on the lookout if he can save you money and 2) rates must be even more absurdly low than they were a couple years ago.

Matt's got a ticket offer going for a Michigan football or basketball game. If you're buying a home or refinancing, he's the right guy to call. (No pants required.)

Formation notes: Michigan spent almost the entire game in nickel, as you would expect against a spread. There were only a few plays on which they deployed odd formations. Here RJS is a standup DT in a dime package on third and eleven:

dime standup dt

This was "dime standup DT," because sometimes obvious is obvious. Michigan also had a couple plays where they walked out a bonafide linebacker over WR bunches:

ryan-split

But it was mostly standard stuff as Florida failed to threaten those formations.

Substitution notes: Peppers missed this game with a broken hand. Michigan moved Lewis inside and played Clark and Stribling on the outside. Thomas and Hill rotated at one safety spot next to Wilson. LB was the usual Morgan/Bolden pairing with both guys getting spotted by Gedeon.

DL was variable, with Wormley seeing time at three tech and SDE; Charlton was at WDE and SDE; RJS got a lot of WDE time. Hurst and Henry started at DT and got the bulk of the snaps. Marshall saw some snaps at WDE. Godin and Strobel saw scattered snaps on the interior. Brady Pallante even got a few plays in.

[After THE JUMP: way less data than the offense provided.]

Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel even Run N/A Power O Morgan 0
No Peppers; instead both Clark and Stribling are on the outside with Lewis over the slot. Thomas slides down just before the snap. UF motions in a WR/TE type guy to an H-back spot and runs power to him. This gets zilch as Morgan(+2) runs up to pound the pulling G. TE/H guy tries to block down on Wormley(+1), which is dumb, and Wormley does what he does. No room and Morgan rips through the block to tackle.
O25 2 10 Shotgun trips tight bunch 4-3 even Pass N/A Waggle scramble Wormley 9
Ross comes in for Clark, which is pretty weird on second and ten with a spread formation on the field. UF runs a waggle to Ross’s side of the field; Morgan(-1, cover -1) overplays the run and his guy is wide open. Ross(+1, cover +1) does a good job on the underneath guy and eventually drops into the deeper route as the imprecise UF WRs converge. QB could have pulled the trigger but isn’t good and doesn’t. He gets the edge as Wormley(-2, pressure -2) goes upfield of the TE blocking him and gets way too deep; needs to shed that guy and run right down the LOS to prevent a big scramble pickup.
O34 3 1 Pistol trips tight bunch unbalanced 4-3 over Run N/A Zone stretch Hurst 1
Hurst(+2) blasts into the backfield and forces the RB to bend around him; now he’s headed way outside and that’s bad bad news for UF. Ross(-2) runs up and crushes a WR type trying to lead it out for the RB and then he screws up, leaving the interior and pursuing outside, where Morgan and Wilson already outnumber the opposition. Taylor cuts back inside and barely squeezes out the first down as Henry(+0.5) and Wormley(+0.5) flow down the line and almost get Taylor down short.
O35 1 10 ??? ??? Penalty N/A Illegal substitution N/A -5
Oops
O30 1 15 Shotgun empty 2H Nickel even Pass 4 TE out Bolden Inc
Morgan walks up over the C and fakes a blitz before dropping out. Charlton(+1, pressure +1) gets a TE matchup and rips through the guy; ball has to go out fast and does. Not sure if Bolden(+1, cover +1) gets a PBU here or if it’s just a drop but he’s in good position to tackle this for about five and is definitely making the completion more difficult. RPS +1; fake blitz got Charlton an easy matchup.
O30 2 15 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel even Run N/A Inverted veer give Morgan 4
Florida OL doesn’t get anyone to release to Morgan, who flows free. Looks like a pure screwup from them, with the LT chasing Morgan in a chagrined fashion. Morgan(+0.5) does a good job to flow and tackle; Lewis(+1), still at nickel, shoved his blocker back a couple yards to constrict space so that this play actually gets made. Bolden(-1) ends up getting blown downfield by a WR/TE type.
O34 3 11 Pistol trips tight bunch Dime standup DT Pass 3 Scramble RJS 17
M lines up RJS as a standup DT and backs him out. I guess the idea here is that it lets you play man to man against a mobile QB. Henry(+1) runs over a TE and threatens, forcing Harris up in the pocket. Hurst is stymied in his runs and switches to contain mode effectively; RJS(-2, tackling -2) is supposed to be spying Harris; he gets too aggressive and juked; Harris breaks to the outside, away from Hurst, and he’s sailing for a first down. RPS -1; this was a big ask for RJS, who was in a bunch of space with a fast dude and little help.
M49 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel even Pass 4 PA Fly Clark Inc
This plays off the earlier waggle, looking superficially like it for a second before Harris stops his roll and forms up, looking long. Pressure(-2) is not coming until Bolden(+1) reads that he doesn’t have anyone to cover and shoots up at Harris. This panics Harris, who throws a ball way way short. Clark(-2, cover -2) almost turns this into a big play for Florida by fading and fading and fading, allowing the WR to undercut him and almost snag it. High point the ball. WR simply drops it. Pallante and Godin your DTs.
M49 2 10 Pistol twin TE Base 3-4 Pass 4 Jailbreak screen Ross 26
UF pulls a guard the other way, which gets Morgan(-1) to bite, understandably. There will be damage as a result but Ross(-3) makes it much worse than it has to be by biting on an inside move and allowing the WR to burst outside the numbers. If Ross forces back to help Morgan might be able to hold this to less than a first down.
M23 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel even Run N/A Split zone Godin 2
Strobel in at NT now. He gets doubled and blown back. Godin(+2) does a nice job to fire into the C, rock him back, and disengage at the LOS for a tackle more or less by himself. M had put on a blitz that got the LG blocking nobody and had Gedeon in position to make a tackle if Godin hadn’t made his play. RPS +1.
M21 2 8 Pistol trips TE Nickel even Pass 4 Throwaway Wormley Inc
Harris looking for some short stuff that’s covered(+1) and double-pumps. Strobel(+0.5) has driven the C back enough to spook him a bit now; he has to reset. By the time he does Wormley(+1, pressure +1) has evaded a cut block from the RB and provides serious pressure. Harris rolls out and flicks it OOB to avoid sack yardage.
M21 3 8 Shotgun 3-wide Dime even Pass 5 Fly Clark Inc
M sends Thomas off the edge and that’s not effective, but Harris is just punting up a fade route almost as soon as he gets the snap so no time for anyone to get to the QB. Clark(+2, cover +2) is beat by a step, maybe, but this ball is pretty well thrown and he gets to the WR, wrapping his arms around and getting a PBU. He is a hair early and if they hit him with a PI call you couldn’t complain, but rubbin’s racin’.
M21 4 8 Field goal Field goal Pass N/A Power shovel RJS Inc
A fake FG since UF has no FG kicker. Nobody elects to block RJS(+1), who’s right in the center of the D, and he breaks up the attempted shovel pass.
Drive Notes: Turnover on downs, 0-0, 10 min 1st Q. No Peppers on that drive at all.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Shotgun trips TE Nickel even Run N/A QB power N/A 1
Harris has trouble with the snap and disrupts the timing of this play. Tough to tell a result without this but I think it’s not more than a couple yards as M runs a blitz from Bolden with Morgan(+0.5) fighting over the top and even a well executed play probably meets him at the LOS for little. RJS(+1) was let go and redirected well to bend Harris to the outside.
O26 2 9 Ace twins 4-3 even Pass 4 Waggle sack Bolden 1
Waggle w just two guys in the route. Wilson(+1) and Stribling(+1) give Harris no options(cover +2) and he ends up running OOB harassed by Bolden(+0.5).
O27 3 8 Shotgun empty Dime even Pass 5 Hitch Wilson 5 (Pen +5)
Florida goes tempo and M looks caught off guard but Wilson(+1, tackling +1) rallies to tackle on a five yard hitch to the wide side of the field. Ball took a long time to get there. Wilson still stuck the guy well. M gets hit with illegal substitution after the play. RPS -1. Tempo’d.
O32 3 3 Ace trips tight bunch 5-3 bear Pass 4 Waggle RB flat N/A 15
Tight formation from Florida; they run a pick play on which Morgan is blocked by an outside WR as he tries to cover the flat route. That’s not even close to legal—guy is not running a route at all—but refs don’t call it and Florida gets an easy first down. RPS -2. Refs -2.
O47 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide tight Nickel even Penalty N/A Offsides Strobel 5
Strobel -1.
M48 1 5 Shotgun 3-wide tight Nickel even Pass 4 PA corner Lewis 27
This DL is a motley crew indeed: Marshall, Pallante, Godin, and Charlton. Charlton gets doubled and nobody else can get close, pressure -2. Corner route pops wide open as Harris has time. This is a shaky judgment here since I can’t really see what’s going on but Gedeon(-1) has nothing in front of him and should be dropping more to make this harder; I think it’s Lewis(-2, cover -2) who doesn’t pass off his guy in this zone coverage and ends up leaving the dude open.
M21 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 4-3 Ryan split Pass 4 Fade-post Lewis 20
Goofy formation from M with Gedeon over a trips bunch; WR motions away from it. Ross is rolled up to the LOS with Bolden the only true LB in an LB slot; Wilson kind of fills in behind. FL motions a WR away from this and he’s the man. He draws Lewis(-1, cover- 1) and Lewis gets beat. WR initially sells a fade route before slanting inside, ripping through Lewis’s attempted route disrupt and getting FL down inside the five. Rare.
M1 1 G Goal line Goal line Run N/A Pitch sweep Ross -1
Ross(+1) thunders back an H/back type at the POA. Wormley(+2) does the same and then discards a tackle to punch through and tackle. Wilson(+0.5) does a pretty good job with the kickout guy and constricts space. Bolden(+0.5) times a blitz well and gets through clean, joining the mass of humanity.
M2 2 G Ace 3TE Goal line Pass N/A Throwaway Henry Inc
Nobody bites on PA that is far from convincing. Morgan(+0.5) and Bolden(+0.5, cover +1) bracket the only real option. Henry(+1) bowls over a G and pressures up the gut with Charlton(+0.5) and Gedeon(+0.5) defeating blocks to contain and force the throwaway.
M2 3 G Shotgun 3-wide Goal line Pass N/A Hijinks N/A 2
Harris moves away from center to fake an audible; snap to tailback, end around to WR, throw to Harris. Morgan(-1) did bite on the run action away too hard but meh. RPS -1.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 7-7, 2 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O20 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 4-3 even Run N/A QB power Bolden 5
Wormley is set free for the pulling G to get. Hurst(+1) rocks the C back; G gets caught up and loses his momentum; now he’s easy pickings for Wormley(+1), who shoves and sheds him. Unfortunately there’s no contain as Bolden(-1) does not get outside of the fullback also pulling around; he does manage to chase Harris out after a few yards but if he maintains leverage this is a TFL for someone.
O25 2 5 Shotgun 3-wide tight 4-3 over Run N/A Counter Morgan 2
This is not exactly textbook from Morgan(+1, tackling +1) but it gets the job done. He’s attacking a lead block from the fullback pulling across the formation and gets blown up backwards, whereupon he falls directly in the path of the RB and makes a tackle for little gain. Results-based charting. RJS(+0.5) shot inside a block and picked off a lineman, forcing the FB to bend and giving Morgan the opportunity.
O27 3 3 Shotgun 4-wide Okie one Pass 6 Circle Stribling 10
Blitz mostly picked up, in part because Morgan appears to get held (refs -1); pocket still collapsing but time to throw. Stribling(-1, cover -1) is probably beat on this anyway; he slips when the WR cuts back outside and gives up a chunk of YAC.
O37 1 10 Pistol trip TE 4-3 over Pass 4 Post Wilson Inc
WR lined up as an inline TE with the two TE types flanked just outside of him in H-back spots. Stays in to block and does well as Harris has all day all day (pressure -3) and can find one of the H-backs in a deep post route in the middle of various DBs. Harris throws a perfect strike that his dude flat drops. Wilson(-1, cover -1) and Hill(-1, cover -1) in the area but unable to find the dude.
O37 2 10 Shotgun trips TE Nickel even Pass 4 Throwaway Charlton Inc
Harris drops the snap and this throws his rhythm off. RJS(+0.5) threatens, flushing him; Charlton(+2, pressure +2) beat his guy after a slight delay and tackles Harris, who flings the ball OOB well short of the sticks. Ref makes up some bulllllshit to prevent this penalty, which is 12 yards and loss of down, from counting. Refs -3.
O37 3 10 Shotgun empty 3-2-6 Dime Pass 4 Tunnel screen Morgan 5
Morgan(+2) caught off guard by the motion and is still getting into position on the snap. Despite this he swims past a TE’s block, sees the WR commit upfield, swims past an OL block, and makes the tackle. Thomas helps out because everyone’s trying to block Morgan.
Drive Notes: Punt, 7-7, 13 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O37 1 10 Shotgun trips tight bunch 4-3 under Pass 4 Waggle deep cross Ross 17
Wormley does a much better job on this rollout, extending to the sideline and forcing a throw. Ross(-1, cover -2) appears to be in a short zone; he is fine for most of the play and then runs up on the flat route, giving Harris a window to hit the deeper guy. Gedeon is chasing and it might look like he’s the issue but given the way this play develops it’s gotta be zone. In that case Ross needs to drop back and give up the cheap 5. Gedeon(-1) should be in position to tackle, though, since he’s got no other threats.
M46 1 10 Ace twins 4-3 even Pass 4 Flea flicker scramble Gedeon 20
M covers(+2) the two downfield guys and gets quick pressure on Harris so the big play doesn’t happen. Pocket is completely disjointed because of the flea flicker and Harris breaks for some yards. Henry and Ross cut off the edges of the field; Gedeon(-2, tackling -2) is unblocked in a relatively narrow corridor but doesn’t stay square and gets cut behind after about eight, doubling the yardage he gets. Bolden(-2) ran around the very edge of the OL when the trick play was revealed; he ends up duplicating RJS’s rush and is a major reason there’s so much space to shut down.
M26 1 10 Pistol 3-wide Nickel even Run N/A Split zone Hurst 4
Hurst(+0.5) drives his guy back and restricts options. He gets tossed to the ground eventually but does force it to the front. Henry(-0.5) does a decent job with his guy but when he fights to the gap Taylor is attacking he doesn’t get a full shed and the OL ends up driving him off the LOS. Taylor still has to cut around him but can do so with reasonable production. Gedeon(+0.5) shed an OL pretty quick but gives back a little because his tackle allows some YAC.
M22 2 6 Shotgun 2TE 4-3 even Pass 4 TE skinny post Stribling Inc
WR comes in motion for an end around fake. This is designed to open up a gap for a skinny post for a TE to the backside and almost does; Stribling(+2, cover +2) is in a deep third to the short side of the field, reads, reacts, and gets an impressive PBU. Comfortable pocket, albeit on a pretty quick throw. (Pressure -1).
M22 3 6 Shotgun twins twin TE 30 slide nickel Run N/A Power O RJS 7
This is on the formation more than anything, as it puts just Pallante and RJS to the strong side of the formation. RJS(-2) gets extremely blown out by the two TEs. Tough situation but he gets deposited seven yards downfield by non-OL; real bad. It’s so bad that Bolden(+1) reading and reacting well is not useful; he shoots into an OL after pointing pre-snap as if he was predicting run and gets off a block to chase Taylor; Stribling comes over to contain; neither can do enough because RJS got his ass kicked so badly. Pallante(-1) also fell down. RPS -1; this was asking for trouble.
M15 1 10 I-Form Big twin TE 5-3 bear Pass 4 Waggle wheel Godin INT
Same personnel in a run look, I think, as M gets stuck with their nickel package on the field. RJS(+1, pressure +1) does a good job not to bite on the PA and then extend to the sideline, where Harris is headed. Godin(+2, pressure +1) swims right around a UF DL and provides a threat of pressure up the gut, which sends Harris into RJS. He insanely chucks a pass into triple coverage that Wilson(+1, cover +1) fields like a punt.
Drive Notes: Interception, 14-7, 6 min 2nd Q. This INT and the ensuing TD drive for M are the beginning of the end for Florida.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O22 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Dime over Run N/A Inverted veer give Lewis 8
54 seconds on the clock to start the possession. UF runs an inverted veer at the shortside; no contain so give. Shortside of the field means not a lot of room, especially with two WRs over there; this appears to attack the DBs, who are in pass first mode. Lewis(-1) gets blasted back and only gets off his block late. Hard to imagine this happening to Peppers. Clark more or less never looks back for the runner the whole play as he’s shadowing the outside WR. Given the situation that’s sensible.
O30 2 2 Shotgun 4-wide tight Dime even Passc 4 Scramble Henry 3
Henry(+2, pressure +2) blows through the C like he’s an eighth grader and flies up the gut at Harris, who has to bug out. RJS can’t contain as he took a cut block that knocked him off balance; he does a reasonable job of chasing. Thomas finishes the job.
O33 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Dime over Pass 4 Sack Henry -15
Henry(+2, pressure +3) again clubs single blocking, this time the LG. He’s up the gut. This time RJS(+1) doesn’t get cut and is there to tackle as Harris flushes. Harris dumps it OOB again but this time they do hit him with the grounding call.
O18 2 25 Shotgun 4-wide 3-2-6 Dime Run N/A Power O Morgan 7
A give up and go to half run against five in the box that gets a reasonable amount while being reasonably defended. Hill(+0.5) and Morgan(+0.5) do a good job to come around downfield blocks and converge for a tackle.
O25 3 18 Shotgun 4-wide 3-2-6 Dime Run N/A Inside Zone Gedeon 21
Pretty disappointing here from Gedeon(-2, tackling -2), who misses a tackle that would have been the end of the half and puts Taylor into the secondary. That secondary is nowhere to be found because there are 12 seconds left.
O46 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Prevent Pass 4 Dig N/A 25
They don’t even try a hail mary, which OK.
Drive Notes: EOH, 17-7.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O18 1 10 Shotgun trips TE Nickel over Pass 4 Sack Henry -9
Henry(+2, cover +2) shows great awareness here. Instead of taking the bait and running right at the QB he feels the OL is passing him off too easily. Henry uses the OL to change his momentum and then more or less tackles the back as he tries to get into the screen. QB can’t throw and now he’s dead. RJS(+1) and Wormley(+1, pressure +1) were getting blocked the whole play here and do deserve some credit.
O9 2 19 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel over Run N/A Counter -2
Hurst(+1) drives the C back off the snap. This doesn’t quite pick off one of the pullers but does force both to awkwardly move around him. RJS(+1) takes a cut, gets up, and absorbs a second guy. Morgan(+1) reads the counter and hits the POA, taking advantage of the Hurst-induced delay of a guard to batter him and give the RB no space. Henry(+0.5) and Wormley(+0.5) help tackle.
O7 3 21 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel even Run N/A Power O Wilson 11
Give up and punt. Wilson(+1, tackling +1) tackles with authority, lifting the RB into the air and putting him in a spot where a fumble is more likely.
Drive Notes: Punt, 24-7, 6 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O22 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel over Run N/A Power O Lewis 2
Looks like inverted veer but there’s no real read element. Charlton is let go and moves down inside to pick off the puller and force the ball wide. Morgan(+0.5) runs up and pops a WR, shoving him back and giving the back a bleah choice early. He goes outside, were Lewis(+1) is strong in run support, beating a block and hewing him down.
O24 2 8 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel even Pass 6 Slant Lewis Inc
Rare six man pressure from M is getting home as Charlton(+1, pressure +1) is left with the back and that only ends one way. Harris does get the ball out before anyone hits him, throwing an accurate slant that Lewis(+2, cover +2) breaks under and breaks up.
O24 3 8 Shtogun empty Dime even Pass 5 Throwaway Thomas Inc
Morgan(+0.5) feints a blitz up the gut that dupes the pass protection; instead Thomas(+1, pressure +2) is sent off the edge. He doesn’t move presnap and still has the raw speed to force Harris to start moving and just chuck the ball away since he’s got nothing downfield (cover +2). RPS +1.
Drive Notes: Punt, 31-7, 3 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O19 1 10 Shotgun trips TE Nickel even Pass 4 Scramble Strobel 22
Strobel(-2) vacates his gap, gets pushed even further out of said gap, and is pancaked. Nobody else gets to Harris(pressure -3) and with man to man behind once Harris breaks the pocket it’s a big gain. Hill(-1) is in best position to hold it down and gets knocked over by the guy he’s trying to cover.
O41 1 10 Shotgun trips TE Nickel over Pass 5 Throwaway Godin Inc
Bolden(+1) doesn’t tip his blitz and times it well; Godin(+2, pressure +3) gets an excellent one on one pass rush win against the RG; with two guys bearing down QB rolls juuust out of the pocket and throws it away. Very close to another grounding.
O41 2 10 Shotgun empty TE 5-1 nickel Run N/A QB power Bolden 1
Bolden(+1) is sent off the edge and does a nice job to redirect once he perceives that the G is pulling to kick him out. He convinces Harris to bounce it out; Hill(+1, tackling +1) is left in space with Harris and makes one of his trademark open field tackles.
O42 3 9 Shotgun 3-wide 3-2-6 Dime Pass 4 Deep out Henry Inc
Henry(+2, pressure +2) at DE and beats the RT around the corner like he’s a WDE. Harris seems to have him in his peripheral vision and lets it go to avoid a sack; well overthrown over a guy who has maybe a step on Lewis.
O42 4 9 Punt twins Punt return Run N/A Fake punt sweep Gedeon -1
Houma(+1 but not charted) blows into a blocker and drives him into the feet of the up-back OL-lookin-guy carrying the ball to knock him off balance; Gedeon(+1) reads and impressively explodes to the ballcarrier.
Drive Notes: Turnover on down, 38-7, 10 min 4th Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O22 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide Nickel even Pass 4 Dumpoff Bolden 7
Pressure isn’t great but Hurst(+0.5) is gradually working his way through and seems to force a dumpoff. Either Marshall or Henry gets a fingertip on the ball but it’s still accurate enough to be caught. Bolden(cover -1, -0.5) is well away from this and gives up a chunk of YAC.
O29 2 3 Shotgun empty quads Nickel over Run N/A QB power Hill -4
RB motions out of the backfield; Bolden moves out with him and Hill(+2) moves down. He’s sent on a blitz directly into a QB power play and times it perfectly, getting across the LOS before the ball even gets to Harris. Neither puller goes for him, which is bad news for Harris. He gets plowed for a big TFL. RPS +2.
O33 3 7 Shotgun trips tight bunch Okie one Pass 6 Hitch Stribling Inc
M sends the house and gets Morgan(+1, pressure +3) home untouched; quick dump results that Stribling(+1, cover +1) has blanketed. Timing off here so Stribling had an easy time of it, which is why the +1 instead of the usual +2. Henry(+1) cleared the way for Morgan.
Drive Notes: Punt, 41-7, 5 min 4th Q. UF doesn’t get the ball back.

This was supposed to go up yesterday.

Cumong man, I'm making it all polished since I've got the time.

This had better be so polished I can see infinite reflections of myself spanning the width and breadth of space and time.

I... it is?

We'll see.

This wasn't quite as good a performance as the offense's, especially given the relative strength of the opposition unit. But it wasn't bad, either:

  • 12 plays, 55 yards, fake FG fails
  • 8 plays, 75 yards, TD
  • four and out
  • 6 plays, 48 yards, INT
  • three and out
  • three and out
  • four and out, fake punt fails
  • three and out

There wasn't much to learn here. Harris was so limited as a passer that the battle between Stribling and Clark never materialized, and UF's offensive line was not able to cope with the starting DL long enough to get to the increasingly depleted backups. Michigan put those backups out voluntarily and UF made no effort to keep them on the field with tempo. Aside from that wacky touchdown Florida didn't have many ideas to cope with their deficiencies. On their first snap they motioned in a 240 pound tight end to block Chris Wormley.

Analyzing that isn't much more complicated than "big man hit little man, little man folds up into origami poop emoji." Even though it was just 14-7 when Treon Harris threw his boggling interception...

...that felt like game over. It was.

The offense's grinding dominance gave the defense the luxury of watching the great bulk of the second half from the bench. After the break the defense saw a total of 13 play. As a result the numbers on the

CHA[finishes eating human heart]RT

chart are as low as the O's were high.

Defensive Line
Player + - T Notes
Henry 11 0.5 10.5 Rousing sendoff.
Glasgow       DNP
Wormley 7 2 5 Will miss him vs TEs
RJS 7.5 4 3.5 Solid player by the end.
Charlton 4 4 More SDE in this one and correspondingly lower impact.
Hurst 5 5 UF level OL can't contain him.
Godin 6 6 Whipped a couple dudes and didn't do anything bad.
Strobel 0.5 3 -2.5 Is what it is.
Pallante   1 -1 Same.
TOTAL 40.5 8.5 32 UF never had a chance.
Linebacker
Player + - T Notes
Morgan 9.5 3 6.5 Goodnight sweet thumpist
Bolden 6 4.5 1.5 Nice coverage moments, got blown off the ball a couple times.
Gedeon 1.5 6 -4.5 Missed a couple of tackles that resulted in big gains.
Ross 2 6 -4 Seemed to vacate his gap a couple times.
TOTAL 19 19.5 -0.5 Would have been nice if Gedeon had a strong outing.
Secondary
Player + - T Notes
Lewis 4 4 0 Decent run defender as slot corner. Think he vacated a zone once for –2 but YMMV
Stribling 3 1 2 Impressive PBU.
Peppers DNP
Wilson 4.5 1 3.5 Goodnight boring boring man
Hill 3.5 2 1.5 Nice open field tackles.
Clark 2 2 0 One PBU, one iffy play downfield.
Thomas 1   1 Safeties optional.
TOTAL 18 10 8 Free INT only +1 FWIW.
Metrics
Pressure 22 13 +9 Rampant after slow start.
Coverage 18 11 +7 Something of an off game for them, even so still positive
Tackling 4 6 -2 Harris got a couple of big chunks on broken tackles.
RPS 5 6 -1 Eh.

Michigan wasn't as dominant in coverage as they were for most of the season; they were still good but not +33 or whatever like they were against PSU. The DL was its usual self; the linebackers were middling. Pretty much the only thing Florida did well was have Treon Harris run around on broken plays. He had scrambles of 9, 17, 20, and 22 yards. Those four plays were almost 60% of the yards UF gained on the ground. A couple of their sizeable pickups on the ground were little dump routes on which offensive pass interference made the yards for 'em.

That Gedeon number is alarming.

Sample sizes were low, especially for non starters, and Gedeon had the misfortune to miss two tackles that collectively added 20-30 yards to UF's totals. You should keep that in mind but don't overrate the importance of those two plays relative to solid outings in the middle of the season when he was starting because of various ridiculous targeting calls. As always, the numbers are there to provide a baseline via which to discuss people and aren't a be-all, end-all.

The defensive line numbers were... not.

This was Penn State 2.0 with various Harris scrambles featuring in the role of "Saquon Barkley takes zone stretch 60 yards." UF did nothing else because they could not get the DL blocked and even when they did okay, Morgan was flying up into the lead blocker and giving sorta-blocked guys the time to rally.

Mo Hurst had a good game in the way he usually does:

There was a clear dichotomy between his performances against teams that couldn't handle that first step and those who could. Against the UFs and PSUs of the world Hurst crushed it. Against Indiana and OSU not so much. It's easy to lose sight of the fact that Hurst was a 280 pound redshirt sophomore and get fusty about the downsides; the upside is really good and not that far away. Earlier this summer he tweeted out that he'd hit 295. A little more responsible when people try to reach him and a little better able to stand up to double teams and that Pro Football Focus first round projection is very achievable. (After 2017, please.)

Charlton got a lot of playing time at a couple different spots and also did well. This is against a TE, so the DOD is low; still impressive instant zip around the guy:

This was aided by a fumbled snap but is still Charlton getting the LT off balance and then ripping down inside him:

(This was the grounding penalty they overturned for extremely dubious reasons.) His impact was limited by the scanty number of pocket passing snaps UF risked. On a per-opportunity basis this was about as good as the rest of his late-season surge.

Finally, I continue to think that Matt Godin can be a contributor even with the depth Michigan will field. He had a slick interior pass rush towards the end of the game; while he's never been good at holding up to double teams he should continue to improve, as players do. I'd be relatively positive about him if he was projected to start. As the #2/3 guy at three-tech or SDE he's an undeniable plus.

What did Michigan do in Peppers's absence?

They moved Lewis inside to slot corner and ran with both Stribling and Clark. Moving Lewis inside was an interesting experiment. He did all right against the run; he's no Peppers but here he helps out by driving his blocker into the RB:

The contrast between Lewis and Bolden there as they both take on size-appropriate opposition is instructive.

Lewis is highly unlikely to reprise that role much next year, but I could see passing down situations where Michigan decides to flip "linebacker" Peppers out to cornerback and puts Lewis's superior quickness against guys in the slot. Peppers is less likely to make this play:

Peppers has done that on a couple of outside routes when he can play press and line up to the inside; Lewis is playing off and with outside leverage and still gets there. Off coverage was not a Peppers strength a year ago, and that's usually what you're running in the slot. Or they could go with a quasi-dime with all four of Peppers, Lewis, Clark, and Stribling on the field simultaneously.

I clipped this item since it's incredibly rare: Lewis getting straight up beat.

That is one of the few completions he gave up all year on which he's not in position to make the throw and/or catch difficult. It happens even to the best of 'em.

Any clarity about the Stribling/Clark battle going on opposite him?

Not really, because Treon Harris. Clark was there to break up a pinpoint pass to the endzone:

That's a play on which Clark's unusual length serves him well. Unfortunately on a play earlier on that drive he drifted away from a pressure-induced pop-up and almost allowed a UF WR to come back to the ball.

Stribling meanwhile had an impressive play in zone coverage to take away a throw that seemed wide open:

Zone awareness is an open question for most of this secondary since Michigan was so heavy man to man last year. While they figure to be heavy M2M again, it won't to be such an extreme extent; there will be more opportunities to make—or not make—plays like this.

Something something safeties.

Safeties didn't have much to do; Hill did add to his reel of solid open-field tackles late on:

And his well-timed blitz put Harris out of his misery for good:

This concludes relevant safety play.

Don't you have anything else to say?

I mean... no? Michigan's DL was dominant in a game they were expected to be. The LBs played about like they did all year give or take a couple of missed tackles; the secondary was barely relevant. There weren't any new guys pushing through or dramatic changes in ability. There weren't even many plays. It was just kind of... there.

Heroes?

Pick a starting DL. Morgan had a nice sendoff as well. Godin may press for playing time next year despite the outrageous DL depth.

Maybe not so heroic?

Gedeon missed a couple of big tackles.

What does it mean for 2016?

Not much. More data that this DL will eat up any subpar OL they come across but I think we knew that already. Also there will be a new DC this fall.

Lewis is a potential slot corner on passing downs. He looked good in that role. He is not an elite run defender in space like Peppers, but on third and ten he's a better bet to stick in the pocket of a guy he has to play in off coverage because the slot's not lining up on the LOS. Meanwhile you can either stick Peppers outside—quite a luxury, that—or play a quasi-dime where he's covering a back or TE.

Gedeon is probably going to be fine. Again, the negative number there is based mostly on two plays where he missed tackles. Not ideal, not doom for his career.

Comments

JMo is my hero

July 29th, 2016 at 12:04 PM ^

Great send off for Henry. I'm sure this game was part of the reason his draft stock was boosted. Taco looks like an All-Big ten caliber player, caveats due to the abysmal nature if the Florida offensive line still apply



Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad

gwkrlghl

July 29th, 2016 at 12:08 PM ^

Sort of thought I'd see more dominating across the board but I guess when you have essentially no ability to pass and the D-line is crushing people, there's not a lot of plusses to be had

restive neb

July 29th, 2016 at 12:24 PM ^

Part of the trickery of that goofy touchdown play was due to illegal motion.  You can't see it in the first view, but the replay shows the RB shifting sides in the backfield, but not getting set before the QB starts moving around making his fake audibles.  The QB is still moving at the snap, so it is illegal motion.  The first player must be set for a full second before the QB starts moving, or the QB must reset before the snap.  Neither happened.  It may seem minor, but when they have an illegal shift, it further convinces the defense that the ball is not about to be snapped.

It clearly fooled the refs too, because they wouldn't normally miss that illegal shift.

J.

July 29th, 2016 at 12:56 PM ^

 

I was going to ask for a Refs -4 on that play, but I didn't even consider the illegal shift.  So, maybe, Refs -5?

It was basically the textbook definition of the Intent to Deceive rule.  (I thought it was actually the textbook definition, but it doesn't look like it made it into the rulebook itself.  You can see it in Play Situations #3 from 2009 though:

http://www.sccfoa.org/docs/2000%20to%202009%20FOOTBALL%20RULES%20BULLET…

"2. Second and 10 at the A-45. Quarterback A12 is in a “shotgun” formation. All players are stopped for a full second when A12 turns (no false start) and begins to trot toward his sideline in apparent confusion about what play is to be called or whether the coach wants to request a timeout. He is moving parallel to his end line and is almost to his sideline when the ball is snapped to A45 who is five yards behind the snapper. A45 then completes a forward pass to A12 for a long gain.

RULING: Unsportsmanlike conduct for an unfair act to deceive the opponents. The referee may impose any penalty he deems reasonable. In this case the penalty is for a live-ball foul, 15 yards at the previous spot and the down is repeated. Second and 25 at the A-30. (9-2-3-c)"

Considering the penalty in the Rutgers game, I find this particularly egregious.

1VaBlue1

July 29th, 2016 at 2:02 PM ^

Nice research!  When I watched that play on NY's Day, I was screaming for 'intent to decieve'!  Alas, what's good for anti-Michigan is good for anti-Michigan...  I'm not one to believe in conspiracy theories, but I do believe in craptastic officiating.

LJ

July 29th, 2016 at 2:26 PM ^

That is such a dumb rule.  Dumb against Rutgers when it worked against us and dumb here when it could have worked to benefit is.  Dumb dumb dumb.  And that's not even considering how difficult it is to consistently enforce.  Get rid of it.

IndyBlue

July 29th, 2016 at 1:34 PM ^

Exactly this.  I remember yelling at the TV that it should have been blown dead as illegal shift/illegal procedure because they were both moving.  Also, I believe Harris was moving towards the line of scrimmage at the time of the snap, which is also a penalty.  Couldn't believe more people weren't outraged at this blown call.

mikegros

July 29th, 2016 at 12:32 PM ^

..... and like slowly swimming through a pool of glass shards for Brian, I'd really like to see an OSU UFR.

 

Mainly because it would be informative for player and scheme strengths and weaknesses for the upcoming season, as well as good for adjusting expectations with respect to the OSU game this year. For instance, I'd like to get a feel for how much defensive blame can go to: (a) Durkin, (b) Bolden, (c) Lack of Glasgow.

 

Any chance it happens?

NoVaWolverine

July 29th, 2016 at 5:28 PM ^

I get it. Yes, it would suck to put together and suck to read. No one wants to re-live that; we're not masochists. And I know Brian needs a break from UFRs after OSU, because he's been grinding them out all season, for which the entire MGoReadership is grateful.

But you gotta learn from the bad games as well as the good -- and a UFR of the D vs OSU would tell us a *lot* more about what to expect in 2016 (and how realistic all the Big Ten/playoff hype around Michigan is) than looking at this performance against Florida's craptastic offense. For Harbaugh to get this program where we all want it to be, he's got to slay the dragons in Columbus and East Lansing. The biggest obstacle to that is slowing down Meyer's offense, which has dropped 42 points on us three years in a row. So a UFR of our D vs OSU last year, while painful, would be really useful. How much of that disaster was on Durkin/poor scheme/lack of adjustments? How much was on our injury-ravaged D-line? How much of it was on poor play by guys who are gone vs guys who are coming back?

Some might say, "But Durkin's gone and Brown's here, so how useful would it really be?" But you could say the same thing about the Florida UFR, and Brian still did it. Looking at what went wrong against OSU on defense would help us know what Brown needs to fix -- and maybe Brian could give us some insight on how likely it is that Brown will do better, based on what we know about his scheme already.

Pretty please, Brian?

michiganinmd

July 29th, 2016 at 12:49 PM ^

Is this the first confirmation that Peppers missed this game with a broken hand?  I feel like the coaches all dodged how he got hurt and the extent of the injury leading up to the bowl game.

dipshit moron

July 29th, 2016 at 1:09 PM ^

but thats the beauty of the game, doing what you should do given the competition. that doesn`t always happen.

dragonchild

July 29th, 2016 at 1:23 PM ^

There was a sacrifice in strongside pass rush but even lacking an elite pass rusher we didn't really miss it.  You just could not, could not block Wormley with a TE.  Your TE just died.  Michigan was content to crush the pocket from strongside in and Wormley on the outside was part of that.  I can't remember any decleating sacks but I don't think QBs were happy to take on this D-line anyway.  Instead of getting blindsided by a 270-pound human rocket, you watch your protection get ripped apart like cheap drywall and then get crushed by a 300-pound lineman.

My understanding is that Wormley's moving to 3-tech but Brown has to have watched this tape and know Wormley has the quickness to play outside.  We may see some stunts and such.

kevin holt

July 29th, 2016 at 2:37 PM ^

Wasn't that pick play actually legal because it was a screen? He receives the pass at the LOS but it wasn't CLEARLY a pass past the LOS. So is it legal to block/pick in that instance?

YoOoBoMoLloRoHo

July 29th, 2016 at 8:03 PM ^

RSS, Worm slides in for Henry with the NT's return - that's a solid DL shift in my opinion. UF would've been mauled even more with Mone, Glasgow, Mario and Peppers available. LB play could also very well improve in 2016 since Bolden and Morgan were unimpressive even when the DL whipped the UF opposition. This game really emphasized their limited physical skills. UF might be less than dangerous on O, but this rag-tag D outclssed them.