Upon Further Review 2015: Defense vs Northwestern Comment Count

Brian

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New logo. That's very exciting. Got a house on it and maybe some larger buildings behind it, may be on the periphery of a nice town like Ann Arbor where you can buy ramen at 11 PM if that becomes necessary, albeit while wearing pants. You could live in one of those if you had a mortgage.

Wait a second… I have an idea. You could get one. From Matt. He's got a ticket offer going for a Michigan football or basketball game. If you're buying a home or refinancing, he's the right guy to call.

FORMATION NOTES: This is Joe Bolden as the deepest guy and dropping 15-20 yards back before the snap.

nickel LB S

"5-0 nickel LB-S"

M ran this a half-dozen times, usually against empty formations. The presumed goal was to get a DB in man coverage instead of a LB. Northwestern could not depend on enough time in the pocket to test Joe Bolden or Ben Gedeon as centerfielders.

Early Michigan ran fronts that were essentially regular even nickel fronts that had the buck off the line in a two point stance:

nickel even off

"Nickel even off"

That adds more flexibility in coverage, I guess? M shelved it after the first couple drives.

And they often showed a front with five guys on the line:

5-1 dime

5-1 nickel

Most of the time this featured the two guys on the end stunting inside the guys further inside.

PERSONNEL NOTES: Standard rotations at DL. I thought I saw a bit less Godin this week but they have six guys, all of whom play a lot. IIRC, Jenkins-Stone got every snap at buck until the last two drives when Michigan mixed in guys like Watson and Pallante. Lawrence Marshall got in then.

Ben Gedeon got a meaningful drive in the first half. Not sure if that's just trying to work him in or actual Bolden displeasure. Morgan did not come off the field. Ross got maybe a dozen snaps before his ejection; Allen Gant replaced him for a snap or two after.

Secondary lacked Stribling and was the usual Clark/Peppers/Lewis/Hill/Wilson combo, adding Thomas in dime packages.

[After THE JUMP: Durkin donut #3]

Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O20 1 10 Shotgun trips TE Nickel even off Run N/A Inside zone Glasgow 0
DL arranged in standard nickel even but RJS is off the LOS by a yard or two in a two point stance. Entire DL wins here. Wormley(+1) blasts Vitale back, that's not a fair fight. If that doesn't happen possible that Henry ends up sealed inside here but also possible that he's reading the RB. Glasgow(+1) stands up to a double and goes nowhere. RB runs up the back of his OL with nowhere to go; RJS is unblocked on the backside and finishes the play.
O20 2 10 Shotgun 4-wide Nickel even off Pass 5 Slant Peppers Inc
Peppers(+2, cover +2) is in the hip pocket after taking a small shove from the WR and gets a PBU as he wraps up the receiver as the ball arrives. Pass was out too fast for rush to mean much.
O20 3 10 Shotgun trips Okie one Pass 5 Seam Hill Inc
M sends a blitz, with RJS dropping out to a short spy zone in case of a screen. LT or RB busts, probably the LT since the RB ends up picking up Morgan; Hill(+1, pressure +2) has a somewhat looping route around the edge to the QB that causes Thorson to get rid of the ball way earlier than he wants to. RPS +1.
Drive Notes: Punt, 7-0, 14 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Pistol FB trips 30 nickel slide Run N/A Speed option Peppers -4
Covered slot WR, speed option at Peppers(+3, tackling +1). Peppers teleports past a WR as he does and TFLs. Why would you do this? It is not a good thing to do. Wormley(+0.5) and Morgan(+0.5) are stringing the play out for 0, probably, if Peppers doesn't do his thing.
O21 2 14 Shotgun empty 5-0 nickel LB-S Pass 5 Slant Wilson Inc
First play on which M drops a linebacker to safety. Wilson(-1, cover -1) is pretty easily beat on a slant that will get most of the yardage for a first down but the throw is low and the WR can't dig it out. Again the throw is out too fast to pressure.
O21 3 14 Shotgun trips 5-0 dime Pass 3 Y cross Hill 19
Michigan in straight up press man and here's a spot where they miss Stribling since that puts Hill(-2, cover -2) on a slot receiver; Hill lines up with inside leverage and still gets beat to the inside to the point where he can't tackle on a throw that's a little short of the sticks. Wormley(+0.5) was coming around the edge and would have forced movement at least if this throw wasn't there. RPS –1, S vs slot in obvious man.
O40 1 10 Shotgun trips TE 30 nickel slide Run N/A Pin and pull Godin 6
Godin(-1) gets turned inside and creased; NW pulls two linemen and sends them both through the gap between Godin and RJS, who is containing. That means they've got guys for both Clark and Bolden; Bolden(-0.5) forces it back but he gets bowled over by the OL and pancaked; if he at least stands up this block the back has to cut around it more than he does and that probably saves M a few yards. Morgan(+0.5) lined up outside the backside tackle and has to get on his horse to get to this gap, but he does, taking the right angle to mitigate damage and making contact with RJS peeling back.
O46 2 4 Shotgun trips TE Nickel even off Pass 4 TE hitch Clark 5
Dink and dunk with an immediate tackle. These kinds of completions are almost always a push but I did like Clark's read and explosion to tackle.
M49 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 30 nickel slide Run N/A Pin and pull Bolden 15
One of the three NW runs that pop for chunks on the day. This one is a cutback up the gut after another pin and pull. With two guys headed outside Morgan has to head out there; this is pretty bad news that doesn't get tested; Charlton(+0.5) did do a good job to drive and get to the outside of his blocker. That and a big damn lane induce a cutback. The big damn lane is there because Glasgow(-1) ended up sealed for a moment; he does end up chucking the guy who got him away and flowing down the line; he's about a step and a half away from making this play. Bolden(-2) seems to have lined up wrong—he ends up very close to Hill, who rolled down into the box, and when the gap forms he is in a lot of space with a pulling G. He goes inside of that block instead of getting to the outside shoulder and hopefully inducing a cut back to Glasgow.
M34 1 10 Shotgun empty 5-0 nickel LB-S Pass 4 Tunnel screen Lewis -2
Poor throw from Thorson forces the WR to stop and reach back outside for the ball, which means he's exposed to Lewis(+1, tackling +1) for a TFL. Morgan(+0.5) was the spy and probably nails this from the backside even if this throw is on point. RPS +1.
M36 2 12 Shotgun trips TE 30 4-3 slide Pass 4 Rollout Y Charlton 10
Thorson gets all the way outside the pocket and can make a comfortable throw running towards the LOS (Charlton –1, RPS –1, pressure -2). He makes a nice throw to a guy a step in front of Wilson right at the sideline. That's a cover push; long time to defend and the flight time of this ball was low because of the successful escape. Refs(+1) appear to spot this ball a yard short of where it should be, which is about to become very relevant.
M26 3 2 Goal line 4-4 under Run N/A Power O Godin 1
Godin actually on the nose here, with Wormley tucked right next to him and a big gap to the outside. Looks like an invitation to run at that gap, NW takes them up on it. Godin(+2) takes on the C and rips past him; he dives to the intended hole at the LOS and grabs Jackson ankles; Jackson falls over for just a yard. Glasgow(+1) also ripped past a blocker to help get Jackson down; he prevents any extension of the ball. RJS(+0.5) thunked back a WR type trying to block him and was kind of relevant as well.
Drive Notes: Missed FG(42), 14-0, 6 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O30 1 10 Shotgun twins twin TE 30 4-3 slide Run N/A Inside zone Wormley 3
Thorson misses a clear pull read as he's got an arc blocker and nobody is really in position to help Ross out. Jackson has no choice but to cut back as Wormley(+1) drives the RT back and fills the hole. Glasgow(+0.5) prevented a release. Jackson is exposed to multiple unblocked LBs now; Bolden(-1, tackling -1) sets up and falls over without really even touching Jackson. Ross(-0.5) almost overpursues to ill effect but does get enough of Jackson to slow him up enough for Morgan to come over and put him on the ground.
O33 2 7 Shotgun twins twin TE 30 4-3 slide Pass 4 Dumpoff Wormley 3
Wormley(+1, pressure +1) is initially blocked but rips through and then explodes upfield. It looks like everyone deep is covered(+1) but a wheel route dragged RJS, who's in coverage, back. This opens up a dink to Jackson. Hill rallies to tackle after a few.
O36 3 4 Shotgun trips TE 4-3 over Pass 4 Improv Wormley Inc
NW lines up in a weird two-back shotgun with two wingbacks and then motions a bunch of dudes around in an attempt to get M confused. This doesn't appear to work. NW runs a mesh underneath that M picks up well, with Bolden(+1, cover +1) undercutting Vitale and then shooting up at Thorson once he breaks the pocket and Peppers can take over the coverage. Thorson rolls because a stunt gets through. Wormley(+1) blows an OL back so Hurst(+1) can whip around and pressure up the gut; RJS(-1) vacates his rush lane and allows Thorson to escape for a moment. Thorson ends up turfing it in the general direction of a very covered Vitale.
Drive Notes: Punt, 21-0, 1 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O20 1 10 Shotgun 2-back Nickel 4-3 over Run N/A Pin and pull RJS 0
Really good job by RJS(+2) to get under the left tackle and drive him into the backfield. That holds up a lead block heading for Hill(+1) and makes it difficult for the RB to do anything but head all the way to the sideline. Hill comes up and hits the lead block and wins that; RJS extends to the sideline and the two tackle for no gain. Hurst(-0.5) ended up sealed, albeit with a bunch of push; Gedeon(+0.5), in for Bolden, extended off a block and was there in case he was needed.
O20 2 10 Shotgun empty 5-0 nickel LB-S Pass 5 Circle Henry 0
More stunts. NW does a good job to pick up both RJS and Morgan ducking inside the DEs, but the pocket gets pushed and Thorson resets(pressure+1) and then takes a dumpoff for little yardage that Henry(+1, pressure +1) puts back in his face. He catches it for some reason and runs back to the LOS.
O20 3 10 Shotgun trips 6-0 dime Penalty N/A False start N/A -5
Whoops
O15 3 15 Shotgun trips 6-0 dime Pass 5 Y cross Peppers 20
Excellent pickup by NW; clean pocket and Thorson can throw comfortably (pressure -2). Charlton does come off to prevent an “all day” situation, but Thorson doesn't need it because Peppers(-2, cover -2) is the victim on another deep crossing route against pure man coverage that gets the WR open enough to catch and run afterwards. RPS -1.
O35 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 30 nickel slide Pass 4 Scramble Morgan 3
M running some sort of hybrid zone. Lewis is locked up on the slot and follows him deep while other guys zone up underneath. Thorson doesn't like anything he can see (cover +2) and takes off after a decent pocket(pressure -1) and a crease as RJS get a little out of position. He does recover to slow the QB and Morgan(+0.5) fills unblocked to finish things.
O38 2 7 Shotgun empty Nickel even Pass 3 Circle Lewis 9
RJS lined up as a standup DT. He backs out into coverage. Godin(+1) and Glasgow(+1, pressure +2) run a stunt that gets Glasgow through to the outside; he hits just after the throw. Lewis(-1, cover -1) is about 8 yards off and bites on the slant portion of the circle route; he cannot recover in time to tackle on the catch.
O47 1 10 Shotgun 2TE twins Base 3-4 Run N/A Speed option Morgan 3
Ross(+1) ducks inside initially on a slant but reads the play and redirects outside to force a quick pitch, and Morgan(+1) gets the edge on the TE trying to lead block; he forces the play all the way to the sideline. M looked really prepared for this out of this look, with both LBs flowing fast on the snap. RPS +1. Refs(-1) somehow spot this two yards further than it actually went.
50 2 7 Shotgun 2TE twins 4-3 under Pass 4 PA Post Hurst Inc (Pen -10)
Speed option fake that backs out into play action. Hurst(+2, pressure +2) surges through the line and is tackled. Flag comes out.. Thorson has nothing(cover +2, Lewis +1, Wilson +1) and punts it long and harmlessly. RPS +1.
O40 2 17 Shotgun 3-wide 30 nickel slide Run N/A Speed option Peppers -3
Really bad on Thorson's part as he just pitches as soon as he sees a winged helmet. This leaves Gedeon(+0.5) free to pursue the back instead of committing to the QB; Peppers(+2) does his usual thing to flash into the backfield; he can't quite tackle but he feeds Jackson back to Gedeon and RJS(+0.5) who did a nice job of extending to the sideline.
O37 3 20 Shotgun trips 5-1 dime Penalty N/A Offsides Henry 5
Henry -1.
O42 3 15 Shotgun trips 30 dime slide Pass 4 Sack Henry -2
Coverage sack. Stunt gets picked up; Thorson goes through two or three reads (cover +3) without finding anyone and then bugs out; Henry(+1, pressure -1) disconnects from his man for the sack as Thorson flushes up in the pocket.
Drive Notes: Punt, 21-0, 8 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O8 1 10 Shotgun trips TE 30 nickel slide Run N/A Pin and pull Glasgow 3
NW has the numbers to block this but M just wins the blocks. RJS(+1) holds up well on the edge and ends up occupying two guys the whole play. Glasgow(+1) blows through the C to flow down the line and tackle; Bolden(+0.5) forced it back to him. Godin(-1) got sealed away, ending up well further away from the play than Glasgow, who was way farther away at the start.
O11 2 7 Shotgun trips TE 30 nickel slide Pass 4 Hitch Hill 13 (Pen -2)
Hill(-1, tackling -1) whiffs on a tackle after a five yard dink and gives up a chunk of YAC. Play comes back on a super weak block in the back call. Refs +2.
O9 2 9 Shotgun trips bunch TE 30 nickel slide Pass 4 Out Glasgow Inc
Reasonable amount of time for Thorson but Glasgow(+1, pressure +1) does come through to get a hit on the QB as he throws. It's an out that hangs up; Peppers has a shot at the INT, leaps, and it goes off his hands. Wilson(+0.5, cover +2) was in great position to make a play on this ball if it's actually accurate and I don't think anything was actually open.
O9 3 9 Shotgun trips 5-1 dime Pass 5 Fly Lewis INT
Hurst(+2) blows through the C and the G, as Henry is pressing the G and the C cannot cope with his quickness. Wormley(+2) obliterates the other G, running right over him. Hurst gets a hit on as Thorson makes a prayer of a throw. That throw is a very solid back shoulder attempt but Lewis(+4, cover +3) first is in perfect position for a SHORYUKEN pass defense and then finds the ball stuck between himself and the WR after the ball slips between the WR's hands. He grabs it and zips to the endzone. Pressure +4.
Drive Notes: Defensive TD, 28-0, 3 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Pistol FB trips 30 nickel slide Run N/A Inside zone Godin 2
Godin(+1) fires inside and nails the C back. That cuts off the outside. Glasgow(+0.5) holds up against the RG, Wormley is unblocked and checking the zone read; he comes down. Jackson has to burrow into all the defenders. RPS +1; this was a corner blitz and a slant that jammed the front.
O27 2 8 Shotgun trips Nickel even Pass 4 Throwaway Glasgow Inc
Straight rush this time, M gets a little unfortunate as Glasgow(+1) rips through the RG and up the middle at about the same instant Wormley(+1) discards the RT and shoots inside of him. I know I dinged RJS for getting out of his lane earlier but that was on a stunt, this is just raw rush and if Glasgow isn't already flushing the QB Wormley has a good shot at a sack. Pressure +2. Thorson rolls and ends up throwing it at the feet of two NW WRs who are in the same spot. Going to be charitable and say that's intentional. Cover +1.
O27 3 8 Shotgun 3-wide Dime buck Pass 4 Sack Henry -5
RJS(+1) presses upfield on the snap, drawing a guard way out of position; Henry(+1) loops around to sack; Charlton(+1) was likely to sack himself after driving the LT all the way to the QB and disconnecting; he helps bring the QB down. Pressure +3.
Drive Notes: Punt, 28-0, 2 min 2nd Q. Next drive starts with 1:43 on the clock.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O10 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide Nickel over Run N/A Inside zone Hurst 3
Hurts(+1) gets two yards of depth with his get off; Godin(+0.5) holds up reasonably well against a double. Charlton gets chopped but is in an annoying spot; RB has to cut back into an unblocked Bolden(-1, tackling -1), who gets stiffarmed and spun through; M lucky that Jackson falls over instead of turning this into a big gain that may spur an actual drive.
Drive Notes: EOH, 28-0. NW takes a delay penalty and then kneels out the half.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 30 nickel slide Run N/A Pin and pull Morgan 15
RJS(+1) delays a hair, then reads and fires up field inside of Vitale to cut off one of the Pullers. This should give M an extra guy and a nothing play; Morgan(-2) ends up losing contain. Bolden(-0.5) got cut and isn't there to cut it off either but this is mostly Morgan.
O40 1 10 Shotgun trips bunch Nickel over Pass 4 Drag Lewis 2
Glasgow(+1, pressure +1) gets loose up the middle and forces a throw; this is supposed to be a pick route, I think, but nobody gets in Lewis's way. So Lewis(+1, cover +1) reads and fires at the WR and tackles on the catch.
O42 2 8 Shotgun empty 5-0 nickel LB-S Pass 5 Throwaway Wormley Inc
Henry(+1, pressure +1) is driving on the usual stunt, and this time both guys leave him for RJS. Okay then. Wormley(+1) came through the other stunt and Thorson just chucks the ball away before he gets crushed between them. Pressure +3, cover +2.
O42 3 8 Shotgun trips 5-1 dime Pass 5 Fly Lewis Inc
Reasonable pickup this time from NW; Morgan(+0.5, pressure +1) is coming in after semi-shedding a back, Thorson again just seems to want to get rid of the ball. He again makes a pretty credible back-shoulder throw. Lewis(+2, cover +2) again in the hip pocket, again with SHORYUKEN, preventing the WR from getting a second hand on the ball and leading to a spectacular-looking but ultimately futile catch attempt.
Drive Notes: Punt, 28-0, 14 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Shotgun 2TE twins Base 3-4 Run N/A Pin and pull Glasgow 2
Glasgow(+2) is terrifying on this, ripping through the C and chasing the back all the way to the other hash. He actually gets in a tackle from behind. Morgan(+0.5) set up to contain on the pulling G and comes back to help tackle; Bolden(+1) shoves down an attempted cut block and is there to join tacklers.
O27 2 8 Shotgun twin TE twins Base 3-4 Pass 4 Rollout drag Ross 11 + 15 pen
Dink pass that'll be five yards between the two LBs in short zones. It goes through Vitale's hands and deflects to a WR for a first down. Bad luck. Pressure -1 for an effective rollout. Ross(-2) gets booted for a borderline but probably correct targeting call.
M48 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 30 nickel slide Pass 5 Seam Bolden Inc
Bolden(+1) times a delayed blitz well and shows his straight line speed to get around the corner in a flash; Godin(+1, pressure +2) powers through a guard to cut off escape lanes. Thorson throws a very bad idea ball to guy bracketed by Morgan(+0.5) and Wilson(+0.5, cover +2); it's overthrown. Wilson has a diving leap at an INT that he can't make.
M48 2 10 Shotgun 2TE twins Base 3-4 Run N/A Pin and pull Bolden -3
Gant gets his first meaningful snap here, IIRC. M blitzes Bolden(+2); Charlton(+1) surges up the outside; collectively they force a cutback. Henry(+1) is alert to this, shedding an OL zoning him and shooting upfield for a TFL that Bolden is also making and will probably succeed on without Henry's assistance. RPS +1.
O49 3 13 Shotgun trips bunch TE 5-1 dime Pass 3 Throwaway Morgan Inc
M rushes three and does not get there; Morgan starts a very delayed blitz after he reads max pro. Thorson's broken by this point, though and rolls out before he needs to before chucking the ball OOB. Nobody open anyway (cover +2). There was absolutely no hold on the Harbaugh freak out BTW.
Drive Notes: Punt, 31-0, 8 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O13 1 10 Shotgun trips 30 nickel slide Pass 4 Out Wilson Inc
M collapses the pocket but doesn't get there; throw necessary but unimpeded, pressure push. Throw is a dink out. Wilson likely to tackle immediately on; a bit wide and dropped.
O13 2 10 Shotgun trips bunch 30 nickel slide Pass 4 Out Clark 12
Virtually identical play on which M busts a coverage. Given presnap configuration assume that Clark(-2, cover -2) is the guy who needs to break to the flat whenever a bunch WR declares his route out there; he ends up trying to chuck the lead guy.
O25 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 30 nickel slide Run N/A Reverse Hill 11
Not great by M here. RJS overpursues but as a DE I think that might be okay. Bolden(+0.5) does read the play eventually, avoiding a cut block and then taking the correct panic pursuit angle that makes him potentially relevant. Hill(-1) doesn't read the T pulling outside of him and ends up sealed inside; ditto Clark(-1). That gives the WR the edge; Wilson(+1) comes down to hit the guy out at the sticks. Could have been worse, mostly players messing up.
O36 1 10 Shotgun trips 30 nickel slide Pass 4 Hitch Bolden 11
Glasgow(+2, pressure +2) tears through the line and gets pressure up the middle; immediate throw. Good timing; Peppers held outside by another route; Bolden(-1, cover -1) has no responsibilities other than this throw and lines up in a run prevent way when M rolls down Hill and has this DL. Peppers blows up the receiver after in a way that might force a fumble some day.
O47 1 10 Shotgun trips Okie one Pass 5 Drag Lewis Inc
Pressure(+1) coming hard; Thorson throws off his back foot at a guy Lewis(+1, cover +1) has step for step; throw is significantly behind, aiding a Lewis PBU that may have been possible even on a perfect throw.
O47 2 10 Shotgun trips Dime buck Pass 4 Dumpoff Charlton Inc
Charlton(+2) blasts the LT back and rips inside to hit the QB as he throws. RJS(+1) bashed the C to the ground on a stunt and also comes roaring to the QB. Hurst(+0.5) drives as well. Pressure +3.
O47 3 10 Shotgun trips Okie one Run N/A Inside zone Morgan 0
Hurst, Henry, and Charlton(+0.5 each) all blow the line back; Morgan(+0.5) leans up as the RB cuts back; NW would like to go home now.
Drive Notes: Punt, 31-0, 1 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O18 1 10 Shotgun trips 30 nickel slide Pass 4 Out Wilson 12
Pocket is collapsing but it's a little clean for my tastes; Thorson has to check down to a circle route that Wilson(-1, cover +1, tackling -1) does a good job to jump and should hold down to a minimal gain; he misses a tackle. Hill gets him OOB after the first down.
O30 1 10 Shotgun trips 5-1 dime Pass 5 Sack Glasgow -9
Glasgow(+3) is doing this thing where he starts pushing the pocket, grabs the jersey of the C, and then rips him off balance before exploding upfield. This time he leaves the guy in a heap and goes direct up the middle for a sack. Charlton(+1) also got a lot of drive and could have sacked if Glasgow didn't. Pressure +3.
O21 2 19 Shotgun 4-wide Dime buck Pass 4 Dig Morgan Inc
Pocket relatively clean(pressure -1); backup QB does have his WR just beyond Morgan's zone and in front of Peppers. WR drops the ball. Peppers may have helped but probably not. Cover -1, this was a pretty tight window.
O21 3 19 Shotgun 4-wide Dime Pass 4 Post Thomas Inc
Pocket absolutely collapses with Hurst(+1), RJS(+1), and Charlton(+1) all meeting at the QB. Someone hits on the throw by driving the OL back into the QB. Throw is still pretty good; Thomas(+1, cover +1) is beat by a step but in good enough position to get a PBU on a ball thrown a bit behind, which he does. Pressure +2.
Drive Notes: Punt, 31-0, 9 min 4th Q. Oh fine I'll do the last drive.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Rush Play Player Yards
O23 1 10 Shotgun empty Dime buck Pass 3 Out Thomas Inc
Thomas(+1, cover +1) does a nice job to drive on the out and get a separating hit on a WR when the ball is thrown a bit too far upfield; throw too quick for pressure to get home.
O23 2 10 Shotgun 2TE twins Nickel even Pass 4 Comeback Lewis 12
Half roll to the short side plus both TEs left in gets NW time. Lewis(-1, cover -1) gets beat on a comeback, but this was more pressure(-2) not disrupting this at all and a zone getting beat.
O35 1 10 Shotgun trips Dime buck Pass 4 Sack Charlton -7
Marshall(+1) slices up through the middle on yet another stunt; he disrupts the QB's feet and delays a throw; he also gives Charlton(+2, pressure +3) an object to trip the T he's blowing back. Charlton does so and sacks.
O28 2 17 Shotgun 2TE twins Dime buck Pass 4 Scramble Peppers 0
Another roll buys some time; Alviti doesn't like the coverage(+2) and bugs out for what he can get. Peppers(+1, tackling +1) makes sure that's very little.
O28 3 17 Shotgun 4-wide Dime buck Pass 4 Throwaway Marshall Inc
Marshall(+1) again threatens; he gets cut but hurls himself over the cut block and forces a roll; Charlton(+2) is likely to sack as a result but gets tackled, flag. Alviti just punts it OOB once he breaks the pocket. Cover +1, Pressure +2.
O28 4 17 Shotgun 2TE twins Dime buck Pass 4 Scramble N/A 5
Another roll gets a decent pocket(pressure -1) but does force Alviti to move; coverage(+2) means he sees nothing and scrambles for what he can get.
Drive Notes: Turnover on downs, 38-0, EOG.

D-picture of fence!

D-picture of fence!

D-picture of fence!

Indeed. Stop me if this sounds familiar: Michigan obliterated the opposing offensive line, causing the quarterback to go full 2013 Devin Gardner even when he had a half second to throw. By the end of the game it was clear the QB just wanted the ball out of his hand. The interception dominated talk about this play, but just look at the poor freaking QB as he releases this ball:

Three different guys are about to sack him.

Also

Also

That last one is less a pocket than a straightjacket.

Michigan isn't getting one guy through. They're getting two and three and four guys through, sometimes via stunt, sometimes straight-up. If they add a blitzer it's one guy and then one guy dropping off to spy on screens or scrambles. The sacks don't quite line up with the reality, and that is that Michigan has one of the most dominant pass rushes in the country.

Oh, and the opposition running game was lucky to get back to the line of scrimmage.

This is going to be pretty much the same as the other UFRs, isn't it?

It was almost the exact same result. The main difference was

the insertion of RJS instead of Ojemudia and now you're going to show me a CHART

Too fast. I feel like Clayton Thorson up in here.

Defensive Line
Player + - T Notes
Henry 5.5 1 4.5 Not as impactful as sacks implied.
Glasgow 15 1 14 This poor damn center.
Wormley 9 9 No negs in four weeks.
RJS 8 1 7 Very solid starting debut.
Charlton 11 1 10 Crushed both tackles on bull rushes all day.
Hurst 8 0.5 7.5 Poor damn center.
Godin 5.5 2 3.5 Had great play on third and short before the FG.
Marshall 2 2 Feisty late, but his points not in total.
Pallante DNC.
TOTAL 62 6.5 55.5 hahahahaha
Linebacker
Player + - T Notes
Morgan 5 2 3 Almost all half points, did get edged once.
Bolden 6 6 0 the usual
Ross 1 2.5 -1.5 Yeah, it was targeting.
Gedeon 0.5 0.5 Got one real drive.
TOTAL 12.5 10.5 2 Some up and down but they're fine.
Secondary
Player + - T Notes
Lewis 10 2 8 CORNER GIVES UP NINE YARD OUT NEWS AT 11
Stribling DNP
Peppers 8 2 6 Don't run at him.
Wilson 3 2 1
Hill 2 4 -2 Beat on a few routes.
Clark 3 -3 One busted coverage most of that.
Thomas 2 2 Nice plays late.
TOTAL 25 13 12 I mean.
Metrics
Pressure 52 11 +41 record, by a lot
Coverage 35 11 24 Y crosses and not much else.
Tackling 3 4 -1 A couple of first downs ceded.
RPS 6 3 +3 Barely any need to try to RPS.

All those numbers remain insane. Michigan is turning everyone they face into the shell-shocked version of Devin Gardner from the 2013 Michigan State game. Every QB, every game. If they can pull that off against Connor Cook it's time to start talking playoff talk seriously.

So, RJS.

Jenkins-Stone did pretty well for himself. I am a little less high on him than PFF was, but there wasn't much, if any, dropoff from Ojemudia. This in particular was a really nice play to string out one of the man pin and pull zones that Northwestern ran:

That's a lot of drive for a DE/LB. Other times he was tested on the edge he was largely superfluous, but he got a little motion, got control of the OL, and flowed to the sideline. He held up well against tight ends and even occasional doubles.

When rushing the passer he filled the same role as Ojemudia and was about as effective. He drove the stunt that got Henry one of his sacks:

He did not have the same organic pass rush ability that Ojemudia had showed over the last seven or eight games, but that's more of a bonus given what the line is doing.

Any other developments that might be relevant moving forward?

Taco Charlton has been the clear #6 guy amongst true DL this year, still making plays but at a lower frequency than the other guys. That changed a little in this game.  Remember how I said that four DL had cracked double digits in UFR and that I expected Henry to be the fifth after Saturday? I was right that someone would, but it was in fact Charlton.

Now, a healthy chunk of that production came very late. But Charlton consistently delivered offensive tackles into the lap of the quarterback, and on a few plays he ripped inside for profit:

He picked up a sack towards the end of the game when he thoroughly overpowered the RT.

I do wonder if they'll start giving him some more time by inserting him at buck. If, say, Rashan Gary (HYPOTHETICALLY) comes in next year he'll probably be playing the Henry or Wormley spot, and with RJS and Ojemudia out the door they'll need some competition at buck.

Also in physical marvels who should have redshirted but might be coming on, Dymonte Thomas had a couple of nice plays late. He had a PBU on a ball that was slightly behind the wide receiver, and then another on one slightly too far up the field:

I'll take that from him. If he can be in the right place on tunnel screens and make throws reasonably difficult he'll be important next year when Michigan needs to replace Wilson.

Let us revisit your silly Glasgow-Mike Martin comparison.

I feel ever more confident in that comparison, thank you. I mean, look at this:

That is a tackle on an outside run. Last NT I saw do anything like that was Martin forcing a pitch on a speed option play. Before that 404 file not found.

Meanwhile Glasgow's added some pass rush to his arsenal this year; a trickle became a stream and in this game a firehose. Glasgow's developed a rip move where he locks onto the opposing center and yanks him down. This wrecked Northwestern's center:

That was the main thing holding him back from being the Full Martin. Martin was a terrific pass rusher from the drop; Glasgow has now rounded into form, even when he's not getting helped out by stunts.

Glasgow was also un-moveable in the run game. Even when he wasn't able to throw the center into a heap of sadness he just ground through him to the POA anyway:

Dude is elite. I would have liked to see him go up against a healthy Jack Allen this year just to see how much that matchup would have changed. Doubt that happens given the nasty Rutgers injury.

Where did Wormley go?

As the grade shows, nowhere really. He and Henry are both making plenty of plays and are rarely handled adequately. It's been difficult for opponents to add guys to their run game in the hopes it might actually work because those guys are not OL and when you line up anyone under about 290 over Wormley he just shoves them backwards.

He'll do that with 300 pound guys, too. He consistently puts himself on the right side of the line of scrimmage, and that is half the battle right there. Henry does the same thing.

The cost for running out big guys like Michigan has all over the front is generally in pass rush, but with every guy contributing and the stunts getting home DJ Durkin has constructed a defense that has the best of both worlds.

Meanwhile Godin is probably the least powerful of any of the DL save maybe Charlton (and that is a maybe—this game featured a lot of rushes on which Charlton blew his man into the QB), but he is still capable of lining up a nose tackle on third and short and getting the job done:

Again: I have never seen a DL this deep and good.

They converted a couple of third and fifteens and that felt maybe like an Achilles heel?

This is an excellent analogy because Achilles was totally invincible except for that heel, and, yeah, if anyone before Ohio State is going to do anything on offense it's going to come on the slants and crossing routes and drags that have been open enough the last few weeks. Since the opening drive of the Oregon State game Michigan is literally undefeated when opponents try to test their man press coverage deep, but when Michigan safeties (including Peppers) get singled up in man coverage against slot types, they can be exposed.

Both of the long third down conversions were Northwestern hitting Y cross routes against man coverage. On the one above Hill lines up with inside leverage and still loses the matchup to the point where he can't tackle.

Getting Stribling back will mitigate these issues, as that will take Hill or Wilson out of the man coverage equation on the interior. Jourdan Lewis will step in there. No offense to either safety but that's a big upgrade.

Lewis did get beat on a circle route in this game but the mere fact that I decided to clip it is evidence enough of that. If this was 1942 I might have printed a newspaper with CORNER BEATEN FOR NINE YARDS ONCE in WAR-sized caps.

Lewis won't fix all the issues. For one, a crossing route like that is plain difficult for man coverage. On the one Peppers gave up you can see just before the two guys go off screen that Peppers has reasonable position; WR starts going vertically for a couple steps and then goes back to the cross. He knows he's doing that; DB does not, and you get separation.

Peppers did get a PBU in man coverage on a slant early.

His coverage remains one of the things opponents have most frequently tested successfully this year. While he is improving, that is likely to continue.

How do they mitigate these kinds of things? They can mix it up with some zones, maybe, but they way they are playing these downs they are declaring man coverage pretty emphatically. They can back off a bit—the Peppers Y-cross sees five guys in an all out rush with RJS dropping off into a short zone—and give their secondary a guy in a "robber" zone. That could be the best route, as Michigan gets so much pressure that they can probably afford it.

Or they can just let it ride, relying on their pass rush to prevent routes like this from developing consistently enough to move opponents down the field except erratically.

Deep balls seem all but impossible to hit what with guys playing trail position down the sideline spectacularly and Michigan playing a super deep safety who doesn't bother checking run. We haven't seen these safeties tested all year. Thorson gave us a slight window into what downfield throws look like on a speed option play action, though:

Check Peppers getting over the top of that from his starting position. Even when they don't have a deep safety they can get one after the snap. Combine that with the shots we saw against BYU where Michigan had two guys in deep halves with man under them and you'd better execute a 15 play drive if you want to score.

If he's not so hot in coverage than why is Peppers on the fringe of PFF's top ten players in the country?

I think you already know this.

I do but I want the clip.

Fair enough. Northwestern, what are you thinking?

Jabrill Peppers is too explosive to block in space, period, and when he arrives he brings a load. Just after Ross got ejected he drew an OHHHH from the crowd by leveling a receiver. He is going to cause some fumbles this year. In addition to the bits where he blows a guy up, he is athletic and strong enough to tackle guys while getting a rip at the ball in.

Peppers had another speed option destruction; on this one he popped outside the blocker too fast to be contained:

Thorson's not helping NW at all here but that's doomed no matter what. Running edge stuff to the field—the very core of the "horizontal stretch" stuff many spread offenses are based around—is asking for TFLs with Peppers on the field.

Speaking of PFF, who is the lone guy who gets a bunch of snaps who isn't way positive they mentioned in their article on Michigan's terrifying D?

I mean, you know this too.

I DO

Bolded alter-ego, sometimes I just…

I take after Harbaugh.

Indeed. I mean, you don't have to be a genius to figure it out just based on substitution patterns: Bolden is just okay. PFF and I (probably) both have him slightly negative overall, but because of the way UFR grading works linebacker is a hard gig. If you're near zero you're fine. He is near zero, and he is fine.

But as we go over The Five Plays That Were Reasonable Gains of the week, he does pop up a lot. One of the 15-yard gashes was a tough fill, but I thought he made it tougher by lining up wrong, and then when the items hit the fan he runs upfield of a block:

Glasgow got sealed for a second there but then he did his rip/argh/destroy thing and got on his horse; this could be five or so yards if Bolden mitigates the damage by taking a more conservative angle.

Bolden also got shook a couple times by Justin Jackson. On one Michigan cleaned up behind him; on the other Jackson lost his balance and fell. That latter was just before halftime and could have spurred a two-minute drill from the Wildcats if not for the fall:

So that's the bad, but Bolden did a number of good things as well. Here he undercuts a mesh route that comes to him and then contains Thorson when he perceives the route is no longer his:

He had a couple of good scrape-to-hole-hit-outside-shoulder-now-someone-else-tackles plays as well. He hit an OL on a blitz, moved him, and got off for a TFL. Sometimes he loses the plot and tries to do everything himself; sometimes he plays within his responsibilities. That's not changing. It is what it is.

I'm sorry if this is getting repetitive but, I mean… the games are repetitive. (And awesome.)

We did see Gedeon get a drive in the second quarter in place of Bolden. That didn't last; Gedeon didn't do anything that I thought was worth charting.

What even happened on the interception?

Inside Michigan Football had the correct angle, and Ace gif'd it:

Note that Lewis has his hand inside the receivers arms before the ball gets stuck between them—despite this being a very good back shoulder attempt there is approximately 0% chance of a completion. Lewis would reprise that technique later on a another pretty well-thrown back shoulder attempt:

You can't play that better. Michigan has still only given up one play of more than 20 yards, that against Delano Hill late in the UNLV game.

Heroes?

Again everybody but above the teeming masses stand Glasgow, Charlton, Lewis, and Peppers.

Maybe not so heroic?

Nobody.

What does it mean for Michigan State and beyond?

If Michigan State puts out hobbled versions of their OL they are going to die. Jack Allen on one leg is going to die. Jack Conklin on one leg is going to die. Kody Kieler… you get the idea. If MSU wants to play these guys they'd better be near 100%.

Ryan Glasgow is one game away from establishing himself as nationally elite. If they get a reasonably healthy version of Jack Allen that matchup is not going to go anything like the way it did last year. I guarantee it. He is playing out of his damn mind. Last year he'd flash talent and battle most of the time; this year he is violently discarding anyone put in front of him.

RJS is a fine replacement for Ojemudia. He's a half step behind, probably. Michigan didn't experience a dropoff to him.

Underneath coverage remains the weak spot of the D. Peppers can be had; the safeties can be had. Not all the time and you'd better pray if you want those Y cross routes to work before the pocket implodes, but you can move the ball a bit by dinking and dunking.

If you're going to hit a big play against this D it is going to be a spectacular contested catch. M is playing a deep safety with zero run responsibility, sometimes two, and their corners have been playing fades and fly routes perfectly all year.

The linebackers… eh. They're okay. I like Morgan. This is the millionth time you've heard that.

Bring it on.

Comments

ypsituckyboy

October 14th, 2015 at 3:51 PM ^

::Inhales deeply::

If Michigan State puts out hobbled versions of their OL they are going to die. Jack Allen on one leg is going to die. Jack Conklin one leg is going to die. Kody Kieler… you get the idea. If MSU wants to play these guys they'd better be near 100%.

::Exhales deeply::

Yep, that'll work just fine.

alum96

October 14th, 2015 at 8:29 PM ^

Remember when Glasgow was starting over Pipkins in spring 2014 and we all chirped and said it was just a motivational ploy for Pipkins?

That was cool.

I hope the Glasgows become our Allens and Bulloughs.  I know a 3rd is on the team but in 25 years I expect to see another 5.  Then in 50 years...

dragonchild

October 15th, 2015 at 7:07 AM ^

Pipkins showed way more potential and Glasgow was still growing in terms of strength & technique.  I mean, he was fine, but he wasn't Cthulhuesque when that happened.

Also, in 2014, our D-line was. . . good.  Not great, definitely above average.  Good.  No one, including Glasgow or Pipkins, was a "wow" player.  Glasgow's now a beast, but EVERYONE on the D-line is blowing up, so it's not just him.  If Pipkins was still playing here, who knows?

But Pipkins then kept getting hurt, while Glasgow kept gaining levels.  Kind of hard to predict from the outside, and it's not like Pipkins' dropoff was a matter of fault.  Poor dude has had some very bad luck.

Ricky from Sunnyvale

October 14th, 2015 at 3:36 PM ^

Not to be a jerk. Jack Miller played for us, Jake Allen is the Center for Sparty. 

These things you knew already, keep up the most excellent work. I brain fart often, so don't be comin for my crown. 

Wolverine In Exile

October 14th, 2015 at 3:38 PM ^

You win in the trenches. Michigan is winning in the trenches. If MSU doesn't have a reasonably healthy O-line, Michigan will win in the trenches and it'll be time to start rolling out the barrels of Pringles at half time.

Connor Cook gon' die.

FreddieMercuryHayes

October 14th, 2015 at 4:01 PM ^

Going to disagree.  All BYU had was downfield threats.  With 6' 5" dudes.  Yes, different downfield type threat than say a Devin Smith was, but that's their jam.  Burbridge is the only legit downfield type guy MSU has.  They could try it, but I think a smarter move is trying underneath stuff and getting YAC if they can give Cook the time.  He's good enough and experienced enough to work well and find the open underneath guy with even a little time.  He can also make time with his feet.  Will be the biggest passing test against this D all year probably.  OSU will test it in different ways.

alum96

October 14th, 2015 at 8:34 PM ^

Yep Kings is an underneath guy specialist who does the YAC.  Stribling (or Clark) vs Kings is probably going to emerge as a big theme as Lewis and Burbridge neutralize each other.  Which is fine.  Safeties just have to contain the YAC of guys like Kings and their TEs who are good in pass receptions and will be matched up vs Bolden etc.

dragonchild

October 14th, 2015 at 8:11 PM ^

There was an anonymous quote that was all but certain to come from an MSU player given it specifically referenced how they kept hitting Gardner.  He said they were literally trying to beat him out of the game.  They were amazed that he stayed in, but that was their plan -- they weren't trying to shake him; they were trying to damage him.  Combine that with their attempts to literally permanently cripple Denard and they deserve not an inch of quarter.  I mean, Lewan played dirty as well, and I don't condone that, but if Lewan was an outlier Michigan State was planning dirty.

Play clean, play legal, no targeting, but beyond that, there's no reason to be gentle with those pack of thugs.  They had their chance to be gracious but instead they've not only been punching Michigan in the face; they've been stepping on our necks every chance.

I don't just want to beat Michigan State.  I want pain.

gwkrlghl

October 14th, 2015 at 6:02 PM ^

I'll grant that Cook is possibly the best QB we've played this year (though he wasn't that great when he wasn't throwing against Rutgers 'secondary') but when's he going to have time to throw it deep? Our D-line is crushing and their O-line is a mess. I'm hoping we can get in the backfield early and start freaking out Cook. That will go a long way towards winning

AZBlue

October 14th, 2015 at 7:00 PM ^

I only watched the highlights of the game, but a lot of those MSU receptions were of the "Oh......WIDE open" variety.  It is worth noting that this is the same RU secondary that has lost 3-4 of its 2-deep to the legal system since Fall camp.

I expect we do a bit better than Rutgers in this area but doubt we will keep up our scoreless/red-zone-free streaks going in this game.

EGD

October 14th, 2015 at 7:17 PM ^

I watched the whole game, and the wide open throws were few and far between.  A lot of Burbridge's catches in particular were on contested balls.  The Rutgers DBs would do the sort of 2013 Channing Stribling thing where they would be in position but fail to actually prevent a catch.

FreddieMercuryHayes

October 14th, 2015 at 3:51 PM ^

That has been bestowed upon Glasgow a while ago.  If he can pull off this kind of performance against MSU, I think there needs to be a new Order.  The Order of St. Glasgow.  Reserved for walk-ons who become nationally elite, potential all-conference/all-american.  Even St. Kovacs at his peak was only a second team/honerable mention all conference player.  Glasgow might even be a step up from that.

1464

October 14th, 2015 at 3:42 PM ^

Brian, I think you're overlooking one glaring issue with this team.

If the defense keeps pitching shutouts, how can we get more practice on the kick return game?  I feel like Harbaugh has completely abandoned the kick return game, and I am nervous that this is just an indication that he lacks the decision making capabilities to maintain this run.

Should we not at least let MSU score once or twice?

I'll hang up and listen.

Thad_Castle

October 14th, 2015 at 3:53 PM ^

Ya and on that note, I hate that we are getting ranked higher and higher. I prefer this team to stay unranked and under the radar, that way our opponents don't see us coming. If Harbaugh actually knew what he was doing he'd throw the next couple games and get us back to under the radar status where we can thrive.