Unverified Voracity Refuses To Get Excited Comment Count

Brian

Jaylenbits? Maybe not quite but it is by far the most interesting thing going on right now. The latest:

  • Scout's Brian Snow has been saying this is a top two of UK and M for weeks and reiterated that, with Cal running third. Feels like the Bears would be a surprise but not an all-caps SHOCK.
  • Sam Webb did not offer a gut feeling on WTKA this morning but did reiterate that Michigan was very much in this recruitment; he's got an article coming up in the News on why that is. As a guy who's badgered him about this recruitment for months I can say that Sam is getting more hopeful as we move along here. He is not playing coy, though: nobody knows.
  • Kentucky offered 2015 6'6" wing Shaun Kirk yesterday just hours after he committed to NC State. Kentucky needs a lot of guys, yes; they already have a commitment from a 6'6" wing out of Chicago and are about to get a JUCO shooting guard, Mychal Mulder. A 247 Kentucky staff member suggested this was "more indicative" of where things are with Jaylen Brown than Cheick Diallo, the 6'9" power forward who is the other major prize Kentucky is after.
  • Even if Kentucky sweeps Kirk/Mulder/Diallo they will still have a spot for Brown, FWIW. Adding Jamal Murray, the Canadian combo guard who is considering reclassifying from 2016, and all those guys would fill them up but even then a guy like Marcus Lee could get Creaned.
  • Crystal Ball predictions continue to roll in for Michigan, including one from Jerry Meyer, 247's head of basketball recruiting. Michigan now has the last 13 picks, with 247 staffers at their Duke, Ohio State, Kansas, and UNC sites amongst those to pick M in the last couple days. Again, I wouldn't take this as gospel since this recruitment has been cloak and dagger. Somebody is hearing something.
  • College coaches don't seem to be among that group, as several said they have "no clue" and/or "no feel" for what Brown was going to do.
  • The OSU staffer told his message board that after some texts it looks like it's "headed UM's way" and that the Adidas thing was "huge". Steve Lorenz also mentioned something along those lines. I will call them Competent Germans for a week if this happens.
  • Rivals, which has been pessimistic the whole time, suggests that Kansas writers in their network are "beginning to believe" they have a real shot. That's at odds with what their 24/7 guys are saying.
  • There's no scheduled commitment time but people expect that that Brown will choose within the next couple weeks.

Meanwhile VA combo guard Kenny Williams is planning to take an official to Michigan. UNC and Virginia are the other schools he'll visit after using two of his officials earlier in the year; those schools and maybe VCU appear to comprise his list. Obviously if Brown does happen, Williams will no longer be an option.

Other basketball things. During the Hatch press conference, Beilein touched on a couple personnel matters. On DJ Wilson's position:

That is no surprise with Teske and maybe Davis scheduled to enter in 2016 (Davis may prep), but it is an indicator where Michigan stands this year. They may need a third C and it sounds like Wilson will be the guy playing Bielfeldt/Smotrycz when foul trouble looms.

On Spike:

That does not put talk about Spike redshirting to rest but it should at least dampen it considerably. Given the composition of the roster Michigan should want to add a point guard in 2016; a Spike redshirt prevents that. And having Albrecht available is a very good thing for a team with aspirations.

On other potential roster moves:

There was some speculation that Chatman might light out for greener pastures; happy that is not the case. He is still a guy who can develop into an excellent player. Just get that corner three down and get mean on the boards and we're in business.

1925 sounds exactly as fun as you would expect. The roaring 20s of football:

Several years later mud would obscure key numbers in the New York Stock Exchange, and the rest is history.

Nyet. Mike Spath reported a week or so ago that Michigan would look to add a grad transfer wide receiver or two over the coming months, space permitting, and thoughts naturally turned to Devin Lucien, the UCLA receiver who Michigan essentially turned down (they asked him to play D) days after Hoke took the job. Lucien is no longer available:

Ah well.

Cut to the chase. The Final Four—two spectacular games and Duke punking MSU—put the "COLLEGE BASKETBALL IS DEATH" meme to the sword, or it least it should have. But at the same time the tournament was going on, basketball was experimenting with a 30 second shot clock in their B- and C-tier postseason tournaments. Those increased scoring without a commensurate decrease in efficiency, so you may as well do it. It appears that people are going to do it:

Men's basketball is likely heading toward reducing its shot clock from 35 to 30 seconds, NCAA rules committee chairman Rick Byrd told ESPN.com on Monday.

Byrd, the coach at Belmont, said a year ago that there was a 5 percent chance of the change happening, but he changed his tone Monday.

"Now there's a real decent chance," Byrd said. "It's pretty evident a lot more coaches are leaning that way. The opinion of coaches on the shot clock has moved significantly to reducing it from 35 to 30. And all indicators are pointing toward that."

Byrd also said there was a 90% chance college basketball would adopt the NBA charge circle. It does sound like other changes are on the horizon:

Byrd said coaches have told him the game is too physical and too rough. He said that will come up quite a bit in the meeting.

Byrd also said there will be discussion about altering the timeout rule to create better flow. He said he would like to mimic the rule in women's basketball where if a coach calls a timeout within 30 seconds of a media timeout, then that becomes the TV timeout.

He said too often coaches will call a timeout, knowing they are getting a media timeout 15 seconds later, and that creates an even longer downtime for the fans in the stands and the TV audience.

"You can have the last few minutes take 20 minutes," Byrd said. "It doesn't bother coaches, but it does for those watching at home and in the arena. We need to try to get the games within two-hour windows."

All of that sounds excellent. From a selfish perspective I think the shot clock reduction hurts Michigan since they use their time on offense so well, but if it's part of a package that includes improving offensive flow by reducing the Spartanizing of the game I'll take it in a hot second.

Now just implement my coaches-must-cut-off-a-digit-to-call-timeout plan and we are cooking with gas.

The unbundling. ESPN has sued Verizon for attempting an end-around of their contract. ESPN thinks it says Verizon can't offer "basic" packages without its family of channels; Verizon is like nah.

Verizon Fios has just shy of six million cable subscribers -- making it the fourth largest cable company and sixth largest cable or satellite company in the country. Verizon recently announced a new cheaper alternative to a basic cable package. That offering allows consumers to subscribe to a basic cable package for $59.99. Unlike Dish Network's recent Sling TV offering which includes ESPN in its basic tier, the new Verizon Fios package doesn't include ESPN in its basic tier pricing. Instead ESPN -- along with ESPN2, FS1 and NBC Sports Network -- are included in a sports tier package which consumers can purchase for the additional price of $9.99 a month. That is, it's possible to subscribe to Verizon's new cable package without receiving ESPN.

That's actually a great deal for that sports package since ESPN and ESPN 2 alone cost Verizon seven dollars. I am not a law-talking guy but I can't see how this is going to fly in the courts; it is an indicator of where we're going. Right now sports is being subsidized by people who don't care about it at all. In an a-la-carte world that no longer happens.

Then what? Then ESPN takes a bath, with sports leagues next on the chopping block. ESPN costs 6 bucks a month for a channel 20% of people are interested in; it will not cost thirty bucks a month in an a-la-carte world because a lot of people will forgo it. There's only so much you can do by strong-arming customers in an environment where ten bucks a month gets you a virtually infinite pile of content. The people who don't care will opt out.

This is why adding questionable fanbases to the Big Ten in the pursuit of short-term cable dollars was so incredibly foolish even beyond the deleterious effects of adding a bunch of games nobody in the world cares about. Every time I see someone hail Jim Delany as some kind of visionary I want to laugh/cry.

Etc.: Jack Harbaugh on satellite camps. Quinn on Hatch.

Comments

michelin

April 28th, 2015 at 3:36 PM ^

UM previously was the only school that was labeled "warmer".

Oddly, this downgrade is probably good news for UM, as it adds to mounting evidence that UM will no longer have an available scholly (eg 18 straight crystal ball predictions for Brown to UM).

DomIngerson

April 28th, 2015 at 4:25 PM ^

If this means Williams has knowledge of Browns decision (?) then the coaches must also know. That's gotta be the case unless Williams and Brown are communicating directly. While 18 straight Crystal Balls doesn't necessarily guarantee anything, I've got to think there's some solid information from a family member or Michigan coach to have that strong of an influence. If he has committed and wants to announce before it's leaked I think we hear from him today or tomorrow at the latest. Buckle up.

bronxblue

April 28th, 2015 at 3:27 PM ^

My issue with the a la carte argument is that you are still bottlenecked by the same 3-4 service providers.  And last time I checked, cable companies are deathly afraid of losing money in any way, shape, or form, which means that if the cable bundling system disappears, they'll just find other ways to extract the same (or more) money.  So that means maybe your cable bill drops by $30 because you aren't paying for Bravo and TLC, but then your internet service charge goes up AND the cost of the popular channels you do want also goes up.  You might be able to live on this edge for a bit and save some money, but it doesn't seem likely that ESPN, USA, TNT, TBS, AMC, etc. are just going to accept less money for their content, or that Netfix/Hulu/Amazon will keep prices down and still provide top-notch content.  Heck, the untethered HBO option is fine and all, but it still costs approximately the same as a standard cable bundle and you have limits on where it can be played. 

And while I'm not a fan of cable bundling in any way, it does afford marginal networks the opportunity to take some risks on content (see FX and AMC 10+ years ago) and know they have a little runway because they are bundled into a large number of cable packages.  Without it, AMC may not have the money to take shots on Mad Men, Breaking Bad, etc., or cut them early when they aren't getting enough eyeballs, and we are left with a couple of premium channels and a whole bunch of lowest-common-denominator content on the major brands.  I feel like that's a loss, overall.

The footprint argument is admittedly a bit weak, but it gives you access to millions more people who might be interested in catching mostly-midwest teams, while also making inroads in other potential revenue sources such as games (the drive to Rutgers to see Michigan is quite a bit cheaper and shorter than to PSU, the then-closest B1G team).  It isn't perfect, but from a business standpoint it always made sense to me.

olis1ma

April 28th, 2015 at 5:44 PM ^

I have done a lot of research and I believe it comes down to Kentucky, Kansas, and Michigan. UNC is not getting any all-americans until their academic sanctions get figured out. Cal has a minor shot but I just don't think their program is established enough for brown to take the risk. Jaylen loves Kentucky and I think he would go there for sure if it was not for his family who apparently hates Kentucky. Kansas just lost kelly oubre so jaylen could fill in his spot right away, but Kansas was reported to be the only one who did not make an in home visit to brown so that should hurt them. Michigan is really the only team that has received all positive news with brown's recruiting process. They are adidas (I saw a video where he denied adidas had any influence), his family loves michigan and is from there, and crstal ball has completly shifted towards michigan in the past two days. He is by no means a lock to come to Michigan, but there is more than a chance.