This is a cool comparison tool, but Michigan's tempo can't really be 339th, right?
Seth’s 2017 Bracket Assist Tool
Tourney sponsor reminder: HomeSure Lending is that. NMLS 1161358.
This began as a tool I made to fill out my brackets, then a few years ago I shared it and it became a thing. Much of the data are from Kenpom, though this year I also included ThePowerRank.com’s rankings, which Ed determines by expected margin of victory over an average opponent. Both he and Kenpom wound up pretty close, but it’s a bit more data when you’re deciding things like which should-be-a-6-seed do I choose in this 7-10 matchup? Alex Cook will have a thing later today that shows which teams got screwed the most in this year’s rather whacky seeding. Spoiler: Maryland and Minnesota shouldn’t be over the BTT championship participants.
The Tool The Tool The Tool:
To use this you:
- Follow this link to make a copy of the spreadsheet.
- Select the two teams you want to compare.
The site will be pulled from Team 1, fyi, so if you pull a match that doesn’t exist you’ll still get the distance each team will have to travel to their real site.
Thanks also go to the guy who wrote a google script to pull drive times with a formula.
We're pretty glacial. That's why we're in the middle of the pack as far as points scored despite being one of the most efficient offenses.
Michigan has always been one of the slowest teams in the country. Only JB's first team (228th) and the National Runner-up (218th) were not in the 300s.
I mean I knew we weren't an up-tempo team, but never realized we were THAT slow. Now I can't stop picturing horrible 3's being hoisted as the shot clock buzzer goes off and it all makes sense.
and outstanding. I love you man
Awesome! Thanks as always, Seth!!
in being ever greatful that you've shared your thing with all of us.
Thanks Seth for the Tool. Just did the pairwise comparisons for each matchup and strictly took the results (no interpretation or additional analysis) and have Gonzaga over UNC for the win (3 1-seeds make it - no Kansas). Intriguing.
Me too, however I am a little concerned with Saint Mary's making it to the Elite 8.
How could I turn this data into a win probability simulator?
When you copy it you will find the raw data sheet. Then go on Kenpom and grab all of the % to wins from all these tourney games except not those playing quasi home games. Match that to the differential in efficiency and then you can work backwards to find approximately Kenpom's win% calculation formula from efficiency differential, which you have already. Share with your friends.
I'm rolling with the Shockers for a 2nd round KO of Kentucky. Is it just me or does this year seem to be one of toughest brackets to pick? Seems to be a lot of parity and not any dominant teams that are just head and shoulders better than everyone else.
I love this thing. Two words: Saint Mary's.