Searchbits VI: Panic! Panic Even More! Comment Count

Brian

RATS. You're no fun, N582CJ.

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HARBAUGH HARBAUGH HARBAUGH. First, this is completely false:

Multiple sources I spoke with told me Jim Harbaugh has already told Michigan that he is not a candidate.

I know from people who have talked directly to Harbaugh that he has interest in the job and is telling Michigan that. The concern previously was that Michigan was not reaching out in any sort of semi-official manner. 247 reported earlier this week that bridge-mending was going on between Carr and Harbaugh.

This may be a he-said-she-said battle of the sources, but look at it from Harbaugh's perspective (or possibly his agent's). Harbaugh is under contract; the 49ers may try to trade him; any trade necessarily hampers his ability to win at the new place; the possibility of leaving for Michigan brings the price down and improves his leverage. Even if Harbaugh had 0.0% interest in returning to college he would not be telling people that.

And unless he's flat out lying to multiple former teammates that's not the case. If so, this is the appropriate GIF.

With that in mind, I'm not inclined to take the rest of Scott Roussel's alarming post seriously. His previous report about Hackett informing the regents he had not found anyone who could do the AD job at Michigan was 90% crap. It is a funhouse mirror version of the truth in which Michigan has decided that they should use Hackett for a transitional period specifically because football has a hiring season and they don't want to throw a guy in right now and expect him to get the thing right. Hackett's timeframe here is not likely to last past the summer.

But, FWIW:

The feedback I heard isn’t going to excite many at Michigan; in fact, one source was very blunt, saying “Michigan is struggling to find their next head coach.”

Michigan athletic director Jim Hackett and senior assistant athletic director Mike DeBord have spoken with a number of potential candidates is the what I’m told; and the reception thus far hasn’t been positive. We are told that the Michigan administration was hoping to have largely have their man identified by now and that does not appear to be the case as calls were ongoing yesterday.

This is how coaching searches go, and this year was particularly likely to end up with a lot of thanks-but-no-thanks calls as Michigan checks on Stoops, Patterson, Gundy, and maybe Shaw or Richt just in case. Florida got a head start and has already passed through this phase. Check out the names for Gainesville later in this post; they are not exactly A-listers for a job that's at least on par with Michigan.

After this period Michigan will get down to identifying a real set of candidates that are not ensconced at stable programs. Roussel does say that Michigan check on Butch Jones and he "won't be a candidate," and I believe that. It is a specific piece of information that I have not had directly refuted to me multiple times.

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ON LES MILES. That story also has a bit on Les Miles. It is correct that there's a great divide in the program alumni about Miles, but it also asserts that Michigan would avoid him because of the chance they get turned down humiliatingly. That would not happen. If Miles is offered the job he would come.

Personally, I'm not enthralled with a 61-year-old who's been the subject of an OTL episode about cutting players, coming off a meh year and possibly the downside. But he'd come. Assertions to the contrary are from the camp that doesn't like Miles because of the way he and Carr have butted heads over the years.

THINK OF THE THE SCION IN CHARGE. Last week's deflating loss against Seattle caused the 49ers' owner to tweet something about how it was "unacceptable," leading to a veritable e-kerfuffle. Jed York was seen talking to the GM! A teenage girl said something nasty about Greg Roman! Dark days. Speculation about an immediate firing was faintly ridiculous then and more so a few days later.

In the aftermath Adam Schefter reported that Harbaugh's fate would be determined after the season and that the Raiders and Jets were the favorites to land him.In general, NFL sources are swearing up and down that nobody leaves the NFL on purpose. Historically, they're correct. But I roll my eyes when they start making those assertions about Harbaugh staying on the West Coast because his wife likes In And Out.

There is a large complicating factory with talk about the Raiders that national guys completely overlook. Tim Kawakami:

I doubt York wants to see Harbaugh coaching the Raiders, wherever they end up playing in 2015–and remember, there is a possibility the Raiders play in Santa Clara for a few years.

Harbaugh coaching the Raiders in Santa Clara? That is NOT what Jed York wants, though who knows, he might Tweet something to clarify all this.

Underestimating the petulance of the extremely rich is never wise. Where would York prefer Harbaugh to be: Oakland or Michigan?

PLAN B? With Harbaugh uncertain, Michigan is going to need to do groundwork to have a set of alternate candidates in place to prevent a repeat of the 2007 search, in which ideas after Les Miles ranged from "uhhhhhhh" to "wellllllll". Oh, and the 2011 search, in which ideas after Jim Harbaugh ranged from "welllllll" to "welllllll". Who might those guys be?

I think you can strike everyone who may or may not be available. Early returns from not only the Michigan search but the Florida search indicate that the Petersen will-he-or-won't-he types are firmly in the NOPE camp. So who might Michigan look at after you excise the Gundy/Patterson types? I have no idea. I hope Jim Hackett does.

I don't think Les Miles is going to be the guy. There is a ton of opposition to him that would be difficult to overcome. After that you're outside the realm of guys who got yelled at by Bo.

Obviously, Dan Mullen is a guy you have to kick the tires on. The recent issue with a QB getting his offer pulled looks bad; you have to get Mullen's side of that, as he's prevented by NCAA rule from offering it publicly. Lloyd Carr had a few incidents in which he got blasted by recruits that I don't think were entirely, or even mostly, on him. In this case Mullen asked the guy to grayshirt out of the blue, which is not kosher but isn't as bad as a total kiss-off.

After Mullen it's down to flier types and coordinators. And extremely angry unemployed guys. You know me: I prefer the coordinator/innovator route to a guy with veins permanently etched on his forehead.

WHAT'S GOING ON AT FLORIDA? A reported 4 million dollar offer to Ole Miss's Hugh Freeze resulted in a raise and extension for—surprise!—another Jimmy Sexton client. Florida sources are chalking that up to Ole Miss getting Sexton'd; the SBNation reporter who broke the news is standing by the report since these days a coaching 'offer' is only definitively given to the guy that gets the job. And I see his point.

But whatever, Freeze seems off the table. The current names are:

New England Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels is a consideration, according to one source, confirming a report by Football Scoop, although there is concern regarding McDaniels' availability to join Florida immediately upon his hire. The Ohio native and longtime Bill Belichick assistant has not coached in college since a stint as a graduate assistant at Nick Saban's Michigan State, and his only head coaching experience came in 2009 and 2010 with the Denver Broncos.

Yahoo! Sports' Pat Forde reports Colorado State's Jim McElwain is a "leading candidate," and the Gainesville Sun's Pat Dooley says TCU's Gary Patterson shouldn't be ruled out.

This is good news from our perspective since none of those names seem like they would become prominent here in the event M strikes out on Harbaugh. I'd be shocked if Patterson was available for anyone; McElwain's reported $7.5 million buyout is offputting when there are guys with better track records who would require less outlay.

And then there's Josh McDaniels. That is particularly bats. He's barely coached in college and has made his name coaching Tom Brady from 2004 on, after the point at which Tom Brady's QB coach was himself. His brief foray as the Broncos head coach ended before two years were up; he had one year as the Rams' OC, and now he's back under Belicheck's wing. He is 1000% flier.

Etc.: Mike Gundy and the Heisenberg uncertainty principle of coaching. Mike Hart, now at WMU, has a highly successful first-year back.

Comments

death by wolverine

December 2nd, 2014 at 1:05 PM ^

Brian- what do you think-or know- what happened with the Herbstreit calling Miles to Michigan? Was it a done deal at one point and somebody blocked it? Or was it just made up? I've always wondered.

Chaz_Smash

December 2nd, 2014 at 2:08 PM ^

Remember, LSU ended up in the national championship game that year because RichRod and WVU choked away a game vs. Pitt when they were ranked No. 2. Miles couldn't walk away from a spot in the title game and pressure was on to say no to Michigan. Meanwhile, RichRod didn't have that pressure. And in hindsight, I wish RichRod stayed for that fourth year.

Bluebyyou23

December 2nd, 2014 at 1:17 PM ^

 

1. JIM HARBAUGH: Apparently before Brandon was fired the UM plane went west to SF and Harbaugh said no to UM again.  Harbaugh has too many options, was on the hot seat at Stanford for a while until the end when he put it together. Started out like gangbusters at SF and now that is falling apart and he can't get along with anybody. This is not a long term solutions UM needs and he burned his bridges with comments about UM. Forget about his brother as well.

2. BUTCH JONES: As already said no to UM.  Tenn is a good job.

3. LES MILES: At one time Miles would have given his left nut to Coach at UM and Jim Hackett loves him but he may be long in the tooth and his better days behind him.

4. DAN MULLEN: He built Miss St from scratch and seems like he has firm southern roots. He may look at Florida first, and if Alabama or Auburn opened up  he would be gone and leave UM even if you could get him here.

5. GUS MALZAHN: Why would he leave Auburn and the SEC?

6. DAVID SHAW: Would not likely leave Stanford

7. PAT NARDUZZI: Strikes me as a carreer assistant like Bud Foster. No head coaching experience , may not know enough about offense or special teams to make adjustments. Defense broke down against Oregon and OSU.

8. GREG SCHIANO: No.1 A-hole, players in Tampa hated him.

Reasonable Candidates:

1. TYRONE WHEATLY: Buffalo Bills assistant coach is a student of the game and a good recruiter.

2. MARK STOOPS: HC Kentucky, Good track record, and good resume'

3.  DANA HOLGORSEN: WVU HC  Understands offense.

4. SKIP HOLTZ: (LOUIS TECH) Has learned a lot from his old man.

5. TOM HERMAN: Ohio State Offensive Coordinator will be the next big name coach. I would pay big money to pull him away from Urban legend.

MDwolverine

December 2nd, 2014 at 1:39 PM ^

I've been saying this for the last two days...everytime one of the big name program HC jobs opens up, the fans/media speculate about A-list candidates and it almost never happens.

I think a lot of UM fans should come to terms with the idea of landing a "Plan C" level guy and they should be OK with that.

Harbaugh would be ideal, but he's not the only guy out there who can lead this program back to prominence.

nashwolverine

December 2nd, 2014 at 2:29 PM ^

See, I think he is the only guy that can save this program at this point in time. I would want Harbaugh even without his Michigan ties because he is a proven winner. I am also going against the grain on this, but we need a bit of healthy arrogance at the head coaching position and someone who isn't afraid to ruffle the feathers of those around him. Harbaugh would bring that as well as his trademark intensity and the players would buy in.  I'm personally tired of the Mr. Nice Guy, "Michigan Man" BS (though I know JH is one). Michigan just needs someone who wants to win and can win.

Whatever happens, happens. Mark my words on this though, if Jim Harbaugh comes to Michigan, Mark Dantonio's glory ride in the mitten is over and Urban Meyer will have a run for his money sooner than later.

Hope springs eternal...

RockfordMaize

December 2nd, 2014 at 1:49 PM ^

Scott RousselDecember 2, 2014 at 12:15 PM: My sources were wrong about Michigan’s search for the next head coach. I apologize to everyone who I misinformed. Reply Edit: Sorry x 2

blueinbelfast

December 2nd, 2014 at 2:00 PM ^

Brian is 100% right on this, and this was my first thought on seeing that FootballScoop nonsense.  Why would Harbaugfh give away long term bargaining leverage by announcing that he's not interested in the one viable competitor to whatever NFL team would acquire him in a trade.  Answer: He wouldn't.  We may not get Harbaugh, but nobody (other than Harbaugh himself) knows that for sure at this point.

michigandune

December 2nd, 2014 at 3:02 PM ^

Until the 49ers season ends, Jim Harbaugh is not going to say anything nor should he.  He is under contract with them.  So they have to buy some time between now and January 1 unless the 49ers make the playoffs.

Playoffs!!??  

vablue

December 2nd, 2014 at 5:01 PM ^

Saban and Petrino come to mind as two guys that left the NFL for college. Mattison too, though not a head coach. It's a myth that the NFL has better coaches than college and tough for NFL guys, or anyone not from the south or Midwest, to understand that some think college is just a more enjoyable version of football.

MosherJordan

December 2nd, 2014 at 7:09 PM ^

I don't know what Harbaugh is thinking or wants, but from what I've read about him, IF he were very interested in returning to UM, he doesn't seem like he would want to let it look like some 34 year old rich kid gave him the boot back to college, where his shtick would work better. He seems like he'd want to let NFL teams offer up draft picks to get him, simply to prove a point; that he's still very much a hot commodity. That would allow Harbaugh a chance to save face a bit when he then took the UM job. It would make it a choice he made out of love for his alma mater, and leave the NFL on his own terms, not York's. Not saying that's what he wants, but IF his mind were made up and terms basically reached with UM, this is exactly how it would play out in the media before then end of the season.