Today we've seen from Dr. Saturday, yet another prediction for the upcoming season of 7-5. Most predictions seem to be around 6-6 or 7-5, with a mid-pack B10 finish and low tier bowl game. This is rapidly becoming a consensus opinion. If you follow the stock market, you know that contrarian bets against the current consensus often pay off big, as the majority opinion often turns out to be incorrect. For example, when a weekly poll of current institutional investors reaches a level where the majority are bullish, that is often a contrary indicator that the market is due for a short term drop.
So my question: if the consensus turns out to be wrong, and we finish either below (shoot me now) or above (muppets!) the prediction consensus of 7-5, which do you think it's likely to be? Better or worse than 7-5?
As for me I'll hedge a bit. I think the consensus is right, and am in the Phil Steele camp. But for the discussion I'll say "worse" because of 1-freshman QB(s) 2- potential injuries 3- defensive depth and 4- almost no one expects it