Preview 2011: Wrap, Hype, Hope Comment Count

Brian

It's the day before a Michigan football season, so there's an 80% chance you're about to see Bump, Canham, and Bo. Survey says…

bobumpdon_thumb

…bingo. Three years ago I posted it up to point out just how long it had been since Michigan had to think about who would be its head coach: forty years. They'd secured an A-list candidate but whenever you're trying something new after doing one thing forever, things can go awry. They did—you may have noticed.

I thought about Bump and Bo over the summer when Ramzy at Eleven Warriors took a brief hiatus from ripping Kirk Herbstreit* to survey the new enemy in Ann Arbor. He used a certain picture, which I'll put next to what seems like the most representative image of Rodriguez on the first three pages of a generic image search. I'm not sure what that will be yet. Let's find out:

Rich-Rodriguez-liphokesmug

Slotting the two coaches** into the image above is left as a bloody obvious exercise for the reader.

Hoke may not have a winning record but he's got bravado. That, the knowledge he's not a Super Genius, and his magical intestines plus Denard Robinson is a pretty good start. When Hoke was hired I said "sometimes having an identity feels like having a ceiling," but thanks to Jim Tressel kindly donating his career and most of the meanest kids in Ohio to the cause that ceiling is a lot vaguer than it was in January. Let's go find it. In Pasadena, preferably.

*[Ramzy : Kirk Herbstreit :: Brian : punting from the 34]

**[In re: selection. For one, this shows up three times. It's not the best but it's far from the worst and it's not plain boring. Seems as good a choice as any.]

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THIS CONCLUDES the 2011 edition of the MGoBlog season preview. Every year I tell myself I'm going to get ahead of the curve and start posting these things two weeks before the season; every year something comes up and I spend this week eating microwaved dinners and staying up until 5 AM. At this point it would feel wrong to do it any other way (but I'm definitely doing it some other way next year).

The Recap

The Story, 2011

Mitigating William Caines

OFFENSE

  • Offensive line: 4.5. Excellent if allowed to zone block, more than two injuries and it's time to panic
  • Receivers: average of 3.5. Good depth, few stars, a lot rides on Hemingway.
  • Running backs: 3. Six bullets (for now) instead of two; everyone's older.
  • Quarterbacks: 5! Denard.
  • Offensive questions: Verdict is basically last year's offense minus 5-10 Denard carries per game.

DEFENSE

  • Secondary: average of 2.5. A little depth, no freshmen, look out for Avery.
  • Linebackers: average of 3. Demens bustout.
  • Defensive line: average of 4. Top end is sexy except for SDE; depth is precarious.
  • Defensive questions: tackling how much the GERG effect can help us. Survey says: lots.

MISCELLANEOUS

I would have bumped some fantastic diaries if doing so wouldn't caused everyone's heads to explode with word overload. If you're just dying for 3:30 tomorrow and need more, the Communist Football Almanack finishes in spectacular style, Jamiemac previews Western with prop bets a-plenty, and Michael Scarn drops a personal essay.

Now it's time for a hype video.

Here's to less drinking during UFRs. Go Blue.

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Comments

HoldTheRope

September 2nd, 2011 at 11:11 PM ^

"Here's to less drinking during UFRs. Go Blue."

Amen, but if the last few years have taught us anything it's that we can't have nice things (hopefully that changes with Mattison). This will be the first home game since 2006 that I won't be in the Big House for...depressing, but I'll be doing my fair share of yelling at home. For all those that are going, BE LOUD. 

MMB 82

September 3rd, 2011 at 12:07 AM ^

I will be driving in the middle of nowhere during the WMU game. The last time that happened, I missed The Horror. I will assume this can only happen once in a lifetime (there is water underground.....).

M-Wolverine

September 3rd, 2011 at 12:49 AM ^

To link to that "feels like a ceiling" abortion of a post. But I'm glad you did - hey JamieMac, where's the MGoTailgate you promised there because you lost a bet? I'm in.
<br>
<br>And also in the "funny how things change after a few months" category- "the reciprocal manner that Tressel has used for years to beat Michigan for players" and other musings on Tressel in that 11 Warriors post, after all that has transpired down there since, is out-loud laughable.

NateVolk

September 3rd, 2011 at 7:00 AM ^

It has been a great week of content on the blog. Took it up a notch. Also, how good have the new writers been?  Awesome. This blog is the best. Capped by that killer hype video.   

Now it is time to dial up the intro press conference for a quick viewing of Hoke's response to the opinion that Michigan is no longer an elite program.   That should wire me up for game time. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sKqed2m1l6U 26:00

 

909Dewey

September 3rd, 2011 at 9:07 AM ^

Yesterday was Christmas Eve. Today is Christmas morning. Though you know you have to wait and go to grandma and grandpa's to open your presents. You will get there at 3:30 EDT.

I had the same feeling three years ago. I was out to breakfast before the Utah game. I told my buddy that we would see things from the offense that we could not currently conceive.  Two years later, that inconceivable offense eventually took the field and it was a juggernaut.  By conventional metrics it was very good, by advanced metrics it was a world-beater, by the scoreboard it could not generate enough points to compensate for a defense that existed in the same way that you could call any group of eleven people a “defense”.  Also, GERG.

If one were to sum up Lloyd Carr’s career at Michigan in a single sentence, one would need two sentences.  The first would be “Losing two stupid games in September is only ameliorated by the record against top ten opponents.”  The second is “If both Jim Tressel and USC never existed, one would only need a single sentence.”  And so like Bo, the tragic flaws of Carr were his struggles in the Rose Bowl and his lack of undefeatedness.  Also, The Horror.

At the end of Carr’s tenure, the program found itself at a crossroads.  The time had come for a change.  Most Michigan fans knew what was needed.  It would be difficult, but necessary.  What was needed was to take the 40 years of football foundation laid by Bo, to take the player development of Mo, to take the leadership of Carr, to keep all of that and to not lose anymore.  Enter Rich Rodriguez.

The 2008 season was the bad sign under which the RR era was born.  Brian has held the position that another win or two would not have made any difference in the grand scheme of things.  Perhaps this is true.  I do think however that there may have been great difference between a three win season and a more than three win season.  Utah, Purdue, Toledo, and Northwestern were all “coulda-shoulda” type winnable games.  Even if one was to acknowledge Utah had a special season, and that the honorable thing to do would be to give back the Wisconsin game, a 5-7 record is nowhere near the historical embarrassment that a 3-9 record is.  With five wins the Michigan football establishment merely thinks “this is troubling”.  Whereas with three wins the establishment thought “My God he has steered the ship onto the shoals!  Sick upon him a dying newspaper!  Stretching?  I do not care the charge!”

Now that is all in the past and we would do well to forget about it except insofar as to learn from it.  What have we learned?  We have learned that what is needed is to take the 40 years of football foundation laid by Bo, to take the player development of Mo, to take the leadership of Carr, to keep all of that and to not lose anymore.

Godspeed Brady Hoke.  Go Blue!

 

Wave83

September 3rd, 2011 at 9:25 AM ^

Thanks, Brian, for everything you do with this blog.  I have never been so prepared for a season as I am today after following the offseason on MGoBlog.  I'll be at the Stadium and screaming my head off, while at the same time monitoring the ebbs and flows of the two-deep.

Thanks also for your recent restaurant reviews.  Although I am a big fan of Angelo's, we branched out this morning to the Northside Grill (which I confess I had never heard of before you mentioning it).  It was great -- a terrific find.

Okay, let's all say it together:  Let's Go Blue!!!