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Opponent Watch: Week 13

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By Heiko — November 29th, 2011 at 4:40 PM — 57 comments
Filed under:
  • 2011 eastern michigan
  • 2011 illinois
  • 2011 iowa
  • 2011 michigan state
  • 2011 minnesota
  • 2011 nebraska
  • 2011 northwestern
  • 2011 notre dame
  • 2011 ohio state
  • 2011 purdue
  • 2011 san diego state
  • 2011 western michigan

I said I would write a final opponent watch to recap the season. This is not it. I'll have that one next week.

About Last Saturday:

Bad guys - 0, Good guys - a billion

HELLO.

(more after the jump)

Objects in Mirror:

Western Michigan (7-5, 5-3 MAC)

Last game: Akron 19, Western Michigan 68 (W)

Recap: I think I missed this last week: Western Michigan QB Alex Carder separated his throwing shoulder against Miami (NTM), so he ended up sitting out against Akron. In his stead, backup QB Tyler Van Tubbergen -- sweet name -- completed 19 of 21 passes for 252 yards and six touchdowns. He also added seven carries for 60 yards and another score. The Zips aren’t exactly competitive; they’re 1-11 on the season and 0-fer in conference play, but holy pants. You still have to work for those numbers, even against a scout team.

Next game: The Broncos have finished their regular season and are 3rd in the MAC-West division.

No. 22 Notre Dame (8-4)

Last game: Notre Dame 14, No. 6 Stanford 28 (L)

Recap: If you ignore the points, Notre Dame’s defense held Stanford QB Andrew Luck and the Cardinal offense in relative check for much of the game. Horrific turnovers however proved once again to be as much a part of the Irish’s identity as three-leaf clovers and butterscotch pants. Notre Dame QB Tommy Rees threw an early interception, lost a fumble, and suffered a bruised rib before getting permanently benched. Backup dual-threat QB Andrew Hendrix gave the offense a spark in the second half by running zone reads and speed options effectively, but it was nowhere near enough to overcome a three-score deficit.

If Brian Kelly can adapt his passing spread to a running quarterback, look to Hendrix to be the future starter. Both he and Rees seem to have the “it” factor that QB Dayne Crist doesn’t, but Hendrix stands alone with minimal “derp” factor. Even his one interception looked well executed.

Next game: The Irish have finished their regular season and have no ranking.

Eastern Michigan (6-6, 4-4 MAC)

Last game: Eastern Michigan 12, Northern Illinois 18 (L)

Recap: Eastern Michigan put forth a valiant effort but fell to a Northern Illinois team playing for the division championship. Regardless, the Eagles put together their first non-losing season for the first time since forever. Kudos.

Next game: The Eagles have finished their regular season and are 4th in the MAC-West division.

San Diego State (7-4, 4-3 MWC)

Last game: San Diego State 31, UNLV 14 (W)

Recap: San Diego State RB Ronnie Hillman returned from injury to rush for 192 yards and two touchdowns against UNLV. The Aztecs spotted the Rebels a 14-0 lead at the beginning of the second quarter but went on to score 31 unanswered points.

Next game: Fresno State

Minnesota (3-9, 2-6 B1G)

Last game: Illinois 7, Minnesota 27 (W)

Recap: Six weeks ago, who could have guessed that Minnesota would end up on the winning side of a Non-Game-Of-The-Week against Illinois?

Next game: The Gophers have finished their regular season and are 6th in the B1G Myths division.

They are not the worst team in Big Ten history, however, because Second Half 2011 Illinois is. (In the underachieving category, at least)

Northwestern (6-6, 3-5 B1G)

Last game: No. 14 Michigan State 31, Northwestern 17 (L)

Recap: Northwestern trailed Michigan State 17-3 at halftime, and despite putting up some points in the second half, they were never really in this game. Think Michigan at Illinois.

Next game: The Wildcats have finished their regular season and are 5th in the B1G Tall Tales division.

No. 14 Michigan State (10-2, 7-1 B1G)

Last game: Michigan State 31, Northwestern 17 (W)

Recap: See above.

Next game: No. 15 Wisconsin

Purdue (6-6, 4-4 B1G)

Last game: Purdue 33, Indiana 25 (W)

Recap: Indiana led for most of the first half until an 81-yard Raheem Mostert kickoff return set up the Purdue tying score. Then the Boilermakers field-goaled the Hoosiers to death to win (and forever engrave a goofy score on) the Old Oaken Bucket, in the process they became bowl eligible for the first time since 2007.

Next game: The Boilermakers have finished their regular season and are a whopping 3rd in the B1G liters division.

Iowa (7-5, 4-4 B1G)

Last game: Iowa 7, No. 20 Nebraska 20 (L)

Recap: The inaugural “Heroes” game was a defensive struggle that Iowa lost because they couldn’t convert any third downs. Hawkeyes WR Marvin McNutt got shut down by Huskers CB Alphonzo Dennard, and the Iowa defense got pounded into submission by Nebraska RB Rex Burkhead, who carried the ball 38 times for 160 yards, one touchdown, and a record-breaking 29 white guy synonyms, similes and metaphors for toughness.

Next game: The Hawkeyes have finished their regular season and are 4th in the B1G Fables division.

Illinois (6-6, 2-6 B1G)

Last game: Illinois 7, Minnesota 27 (L)

Recap: Oof.

Next game: The Illini have finished their regular season and are 5th in the B1G 13373125 division.

No. 21 Nebraska (9-3, 5-3 B1G)

Last game: Iowa 7, Nebraska 20 (W)

Recap: See above.

Next game: The Cornhuskers have finished their regular season and are 3rd in the B1G … wait for it … division.

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November 29th, 2011 at 4:47 PM
#2
Yinka Double Dare
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 6247
Wait, I thought George Carlin

Wait, I thought George Carlin was dead, what the hell is he doing on the field next to Roundtree?

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November 29th, 2011 at 4:55 PM
(Reply to #2) #3
Wine Country Wo...
Joined: 06/28/2010
MGoPoints: 110
That's not Carlin . . .

. . . It's the guy who ran Shaman Drum bookstore back in the 80s. Strange . . . . he hasn't aged at all.  Stranger . . . he didn't strike me as a football type.

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:04 PM
(Reply to #5) #4
SirJack II
SirJack II's picture
Joined: 11/15/2011
MGoPoints: 1457
Karl Pohrt? He does look a

Karl Pohrt? He does look a little like Bob Currie, I have to say....

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November 29th, 2011 at 4:51 PM
#5
PeterKlima
Joined: 08/24/2008
MGoPoints: 4360
So...Michigan is 10-2

...and the schedule included only ONE team that has a losing record?  That seems nice for Hoke and Co.

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:01 PM
(Reply to #3) #6
dragonchild
dragonchild's picture
Joined: 10/13/2011
MGoPoints: 16812
Not Hoke, but the team

Hoke isn't the type to care, if he's true to his word, all indications so far being that he is.

My smug is more directed at all the naysayers who talked our ears off about how Michigan "has yet to play a real team".  Before the season Notre Dame was considered a legitimately talented team, projected to win about 8-9 games. . . they were, and they did.  Oh, but their story HAD to change as soon as they played Michigan, because the narrative was that Michigan is a fraud.  ND was suddenly nobody; after all, they'd just lost to South Florida and Michigan.  ONE MONTH later critics were still insisting Michigan was stuck in preseason.

Michigan didn't play too many seriously intimidating teams this year (yes the B1G is weak), but the meat of the schedule was respectable.  Actually it's remarkable how bleh the schedule was.  I'd usually expect a schedule to turn out being one third tough, one third decent and one third cupcake.  Nine out of the 12 teams Michigan played* were "decent".  Any ranked team should beat any of the first six schools Michigan played and for the most part they did, but for fark's sake people were crapping on Michigan's schedule back when Alabama was playing Kent State and North Texas, not Arkansas or LSU!

*Exceptions are Michigan State (good), Nebraska (good) and Minnesota (bad).

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November 29th, 2011 at 7:13 PM
(Reply to #28) #7
mikoyan
mikoyan's picture
Joined: 09/06/2010
MGoPoints: 2784
It seems like they say that

It seems like they say that every year.  Even in the years when Michigan picked some pretty decent off conference schedules.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:03 PM
(Reply to #4) #8
denardogasm
Joined: 09/11/2011
MGoPoints: 7964
I've never understood the

I've never understood the scheduling of FCS teams.  If you somehow manage to lose you look horrible, and if you win you look like you just beat an FCS team.  There's really no benefit.  Why not just schedule low level D1 teams for your warmup games like we did this year?

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:07 PM
(Reply to #6) #9
Tacopants
Tacopants's picture
Joined: 07/06/2008
MGoPoints: 2714
money

they make less of it.  Eastern probably walked away with a million dollars this year.

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:01 PM
(Reply to #8) #10
denardogasm
Joined: 09/11/2011
MGoPoints: 7964
I know the punching bag team

I know the punching bag team rakes it in for those games, but the home team makes the same amount either way don't they?

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:29 PM
(Reply to #27) #11
Jon06
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Joined: 09/19/2009
MGoPoints: 9457
who do you think pays the

who do you think pays the punching bag?

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November 29th, 2011 at 7:40 PM
(Reply to #33) #12
denardogasm
Joined: 09/11/2011
MGoPoints: 7964
I'm clearly not voicing this

I'm clearly not voicing this question well.  We do not get more money by playing an App St. vs. a CMU. So why do it? If we lose it looks worse if it's an FCS team.  If we win it looks better if it's a D1 team.  We do not get more money with one vs the other.  So where is the benefit of playing an FCS opponent? 

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November 29th, 2011 at 8:04 PM
(Reply to #38) #13
ZooWolverine
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Joined: 02/27/2009
MGoPoints: 1918
The point was that, while we

The point was that, while we make the same with an FCS team, we pay them less, so we get to keep more of the money.

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November 29th, 2011 at 8:26 PM
(Reply to #41) #14
denardogasm
Joined: 09/11/2011
MGoPoints: 7964
Ah at long last I have

Ah at long last I have clarification.  Thanks.  Sorry for being thick.  I still don't think that justifies ever scheduling them though.

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November 29th, 2011 at 11:11 PM
(Reply to #38) #15
MaizeNBlue_Kzoo
Joined: 01/09/2011
MGoPoints: 168
We do get more money playing an FCS team

...bEcause we do not have to pay them as much to be our punching bag as we do a low FBS team. Thus we keep more of the roughly similar gross revenue. Doesn't make it right , but that is the answer to your question.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:12 PM
(Reply to #4) #16
joeyb
joeyb's picture
Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 14048
FCS used to be D I-AA, not

FCS used to be D I-AA, not D-II. The "S" in FBS and FCS stands for "Subdivision", i.e. divisions of Division I. D-II and D-III still exist.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:05 PM
#17
Section 1
Section 1's picture
Joined: 06/29/2009
MGoPoints: 16556
According to this:

http://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/strength-of-schedule-by-team 

We are ranked 36th on Strength of Schedule.  Pretty much in the middle of the B1G.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:17 PM
(Reply to #7) #18
Baldbill
Baldbill's picture
Joined: 04/09/2009
MGoPoints: 3579
This site has us higher at

This site has us higher at 25th and that is 3rd in the B10 only behind Ohio and Minnesota.

http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/current_congrove_rankings.html 

 

 

 

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:29 PM
(Reply to #16) #19
San Diego Mick
San Diego Mick's picture
Joined: 05/11/2011
MGoPoints: 18323
ohio

Isn't that the worse state ever?

Their fans are the worse ever, that's for damn sure. Have you guys been reading their whining about our grenade celebration and Denard motioning that he was feeding himself, they're all up in a tizzy about it, comical.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:38 PM
(Reply to #16) #20
Blueph
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Joined: 07/08/2008
MGoPoints: 12756
strength of schedule

Minnesota gets a big bump by virtue of not playing themselves.

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November 29th, 2011 at 8:04 PM
(Reply to #16) #21
Indiana Blue
Indiana Blue's picture
Joined: 09/19/2010
MGoPoints: 4915
I like this computer rankings ....

because Wisconsin should be ranked ahead of msu (regardless of head to head).  Wisconsin lost 2 games on "hail Mary's which are "freak" plays anyway.

How about Houston's SOS rank ... 104th !

Go Blue!

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November 29th, 2011 at 9:49 PM
(Reply to #40) #22
gwrock
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Joined: 10/05/2010
MGoPoints: 4577
Sagarin

Michigan's overall ranking, according to Sagarin, is #23 when margin of victory is not part of the calculation (This is the ranking used in the BCS calculation).  However, when margin of victory is included, Michigan's rank is #9.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:08 PM
#23
San Diego Mick
San Diego Mick's picture
Joined: 05/11/2011
MGoPoints: 18323
What does FTW stand for

I saw Brian write it on an earlier thread and on many others as well,. I checked the abbreviation dictionary and they didn't list it.

Sorry to have to ask a seemingly dumb question, I just want to understand what I'm reading, thanks.

 

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:12 PM
(Reply to #9) #24
quigley.blue
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Joined: 03/01/2010
MGoPoints: 4212
You must be, like, ancient

For the Win

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:23 PM
(Reply to #11) #25
San Diego Mick
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Joined: 05/11/2011
MGoPoints: 18323
I hope not

I hope 48 is not ancient, I still feel young, yo!

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November 30th, 2011 at 7:36 AM
(Reply to #21) #26
GoWings2008
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Joined: 01/26/2011
MGoPoints: 48651
Holler

Holler

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December 1st, 2011 at 3:47 AM
(Reply to #52) #27
San Diego Mick
San Diego Mick's picture
Joined: 05/11/2011
MGoPoints: 18323
Holla

As in "Holla at your boy"

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:13 PM
(Reply to #9) #28
ryanfourmayor
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Joined: 12/06/2010
MGoPoints: 3202
1)www.google.com 2)search:

1)www.google.com

2)search: FTW

3)?????

4)profit

 

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:14 PM
(Reply to #12) #29
joeyb
joeyb's picture
Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 14048
I figured if he doesn't know

I figured if he doesn't know what ftw stands for, he probably doesn't know what lmgtfy stand for either.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:14 PM
(Reply to #9) #30
joeyb
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Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 14048
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=what+doe

http://lmgtfy.com/?q=what+does+ftw+stand+for%3F

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November 30th, 2011 at 11:25 AM
(Reply to #13) #31
Lionsfan
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Joined: 06/03/2011
MGoPoints: 1962
Actually the first result

Actually the first result from Google is "F.T.W. (aka Last Ride) is a 1994 film about Frank T. Wells, an ex-con rodeo rider who becomes involved with a woman who's a bank..."

So Google has failed us.....

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November 30th, 2011 at 2:56 PM
(Reply to #53) #32
joeyb
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Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 14048
Failed you. It brought all

Failed you. It brought all sorts of slang definition sites for me. Besides, if he can't figure out to go to the second result, then he failed google.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:16 PM
(Reply to #9) #33
Huntington Wolverine
Joined: 10/26/2009
MGoPoints: 2586
For The Win

For The Win

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:19 PM
(Reply to #15) #34
Marvin
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MGoPoints: 4634
San Diego Mick doesn't do

San Diego Mick doesn't do acronyms.

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:38 PM
(Reply to #17) #35
M-Wolverine
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Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 42199
That's why he's not

SDM.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:21 PM
#36
San Diego Mick
San Diego Mick's picture
Joined: 05/11/2011
MGoPoints: 18323
Thanks guys

Let

Me

Google

That

For

You

 

See, I have a sense of humor

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:21 PM
#37
stopthewnba
stopthewnba's picture
Joined: 06/07/2011
MGoPoints: 594
Records of opponents

Season: 81-62 (.566)

When UM played them: 41-23 (.641)

Record after we played them: 40-39 (.506)

 

Often thought of this back in the Navarre days when teams seemed to be regulary 4, 5, 6 - 0, or 5, 6, 7 - 1 when they played us, only to have a downslide after we finished with them.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:40 PM
(Reply to #19) #38
Blueph
Blueph's picture
Joined: 07/08/2008
MGoPoints: 12756
to be expected

Most major conference teams play at most one difficult game out of conference.  Thus, a lot of B1G teams start at least 4-0 or 3-1.  It doesn't take much to stretch that out to 5-0 or 6-0, but most teams will lose a few games somewhere in their conference schedule.

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November 29th, 2011 at 9:09 PM
(Reply to #25) #39
MichiganTeacher
Joined: 10/06/2011
MGoPoints: 7586
More

It's more than that. I'm not sure how much more, but given the quasi-tournament nature of college football's regular season, there's clear psychological pressure to continue a downward spiral after a deflating loss. Eg us after the Horror, Wiscy after Sparty this year, etc. I'm not sure how much of an effect that pressure has. But it's non-zero. The opportunity cost of practice time spent by coaches working against that psychological pressure is one way to quantify it, I suppose (not that practice time breakdowns are available for us to chart... can you imagine if they were?).

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:23 PM
#40
James Howlett
Joined: 06/22/2009
MGoPoints: 92
On Iowa.

They lose because they couldn't pass. They ran pretty effectively.

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November 29th, 2011 at 5:31 PM
(Reply to #20) #41
Heiko
Heiko's picture
Joined: 08/19/2011
MGoPoints: 9972
Yeah, Vandenberg was less

Yeah, Vandenberg was less than 50% on the day, so fair enough. I was looking at total rush (88) yards rather than YPC (4.8).

I only saw highlights of this game so I went mostly by the stat sheet.

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:12 PM
#42
Bosch
Bosch's picture
Joined: 04/03/2009
MGoPoints: 6680
Dear haters:

So our schedule was easy?  We played 11 bowl eligible teams.  How about you?

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:19 PM
(Reply to #30) #43
BraveWolverine730
BraveWolverine730's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 4122
Not that it detracts from

Not that it detracts from your overall point, but two of Eastern's wins are against FCS schools so they are not bowl elifible.

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November 29th, 2011 at 10:24 PM
(Reply to #31) #44
allintime23
allintime23's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 15063
posted from iPhone

It's time for English to move on after getting six wins at Eastern. Talk about a statement. That's like winning 45 games with the clippers.

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November 29th, 2011 at 10:36 PM
(Reply to #48) #45
truferblue22
truferblue22's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 6204

English to Illinois??

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November 30th, 2011 at 11:39 AM
(Reply to #49) #46
GoWings2008
GoWings2008's picture
Joined: 01/26/2011
MGoPoints: 48651
It'd be interesting

...but English is a defensive minded guy, and Illinois defense is already decent enough...well, statistically better than the offense.  I think they need someone to open up their offense a little more, not that English is incapable, but he is more of a defensive guy.

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:25 PM
#47
oriental andrew
oriental andrew's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19793
wow you weren't kidding about

wow you weren't kidding about the haplessness of EMU.  This is just their 2nd non-losing season since 1990 (6-5 in 1995), compared to 13 seasons of 3 or fewer wins.  Youch!

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:46 PM
#48
treetown
Joined: 11/10/2010
MGoPoints: 2240
Suggest instead of Tall Tales divsion

Why not stick with the pattern? One division is Myths and the other is Fables.

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November 29th, 2011 at 6:52 PM
#49
uminks
uminks's picture
Joined: 11/10/2009
MGoPoints: 10595
We were a better team than IA.

If the offense was playing well we would have taken IA. Overall, this was a great first season for Brady Hoke, his staff and his players. It is nice to see a 10 win season again!

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November 29th, 2011 at 7:46 PM
#50
ST3
ST3's picture
Joined: 09/11/2010
MGoPoints: 31853
Iowa-Neb

Might I suggest we call that the Corn Bowl?

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November 29th, 2011 at 8:26 PM
(Reply to #39) #51
M-Dog
M-Dog's picture
Joined: 07/06/2008
MGoPoints: 147119
The Cornfrontation.    

The Cornfrontation.

 

 

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