Obviously we could come up with exuses; rain, we handed them about 21 points, etc. Regardless, could we consider this xFBD I?
chance of bowl: 13.6%
or, F-ing Beat Ourselves Down. The fact of the matter is that Notre Dame was good, not great, on both sides of the ball. I felt that Michigan's scheme and gameplan were superior, but the difference was that Michigan repeatedly shot itself in the foot while Notre Dame played relatively mistake-free.
I'm more mad about Michigan literally dropping the ball so many times than about how "well" Notre Dame played.
We outgained them by 50% (390-260), and that doesn't include the long TD pass to Mathews that the refs screwed us out of. Sheer luck was the biggest factor. ND was lucky as hell to get that play taken away, lucky to get a couple of drive-extending pass interference calls that were borderline, and lucky that all THREE of their fumbles bounced right back to them while four of ours squirted away to them.
ND Won. They weren't lucky. We dropped the ball all over the field. There is no way to overcome all of those turnovers.
Are there signs of life. Yes. But if we don't handle the ball better, its irrelevant.
They did win, but not b/c they played well. They forced only one, maybe two of those turnovers total. The rest was all on us. We gave them way too many easy opportunities. ND wasn't lucky, but they weren't remotely any good either.
No, they were lucky in many, many ways. Or do you think that all seven (!) Michigan fumbles were caused by ND? That ND caused all three of its fumbles to bounce back into its players' hands? That ND caused the officials to rule Mathews' catch incomplete? That ND caused Threet to cramp up and have to leave the game?
If we were to play them again tomorrow, do you think it would be anywhere close to 35-17?
hat, no i don't think that the result would be the same. Its just that calling them lucky sounds like sour grapes and attempts to remove the blame from us.
ND played decently. They protected the ball reasonably well. It would have been difficult for us to play much worse.
On the Threet note,did you hear that it was cramping and not something structural?
Three fumbles, two interceptions. Michigan just protected the ball way worse. ND was lucky in several respects, it could have been a much closer game. Not sure that we would have won, though.
My point is that I'm not going to say that it was poor luck that caused us to lose. (Obviosuly, certain things could have bounced better for us). But when we didn't take care of the things that were within our ability to control, implying that we lost due to ball breaks is a bit of a stretch.
But I didn't turn off the TV yesterday in complete disgust. There were a lot of things on offense that give me some hope for the near term.
Assuming ND is absolutely terrible, we were able to do a lot on O. We had nearly 400 yards in terrible weather while being, what -4 on turnoves? I can only recall winning one game as a -4, that being the Cap 1 Bowl, and it took 5 NFL draft picks on offense to do it.
There was some luck that played into it, as always, but we lost because of our own play. However, there were encouraging signs for the future.
I still contend that ND should feel lucky that Michigan played like crap on 7 or 8 plays. Similarly, 2007 Michigan should have felt lucky that 2007 ND played like much crappier crap even compared to their crappy 2007 baseline. 2006 was a different story, that was quite the dominant performance.
2007 was a physical beatdown in every sense. Michigan was not lucky. Perhaps luck changed a 31-point victory into a 38-point victory, but that game was total domination. Even more than 2006. The 1st quarter of the 2006 game was eerily like the first quarter of the last game.
In 2006, I only remember one unforced turnover: Brady Quinn dropped the ball sometime later in the game and Woodley returned it for a TD. The others were pressure and good defensive play.
In 2007, there were several unforced turnovers. I think there were at least two balls snapped over players' heads. They had at least 5 fumbles total with maybe one of them forced. Plus an interception. Now I doubt ND had a shot in that game anyway, but Michigan was still lucky to have it gift-wrapped with such a pretty bow on top.