Isn't it fun to be at this point? We should get some subs.
chance of bowl: 13.6%
Media Day Wrap: Beilein transcript + interviews with Horford, Morgan, Walton, GRIII
Position Previews: Bigs, Wings, Point Guards
Preview Podcast: With special guest John Gasaway
A Whole Damn Book: A whole damn book
What: Michigan vs. UMass-Lowell
Where: Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, Michigan
When: 7pm, Friday (Banner raising ceremony at 6:40)
Line: Michigan -25 (KenPom)
TV: Big Ten Digital Network (subcription required)/MGoBlueTV (ditto)
Radio: 950 AM (Detroit), 102.9 FM (Ann Arbor), Sirius Channel 92, MGoBlue stream
UMass-Lowell is making their Division I debut after finishing 15-13 (10-12) as a member of the Northeast-10 (Division II) last year. A full-blown game preview is rather unnecessary.
"If a man will begin with certainties, he shall end in doubts; but if he will be content to begin with doubts he shall end in certainties." — Sir Francis Bacon, The Advancement of Learning
As Michigan opens its season tonight against UMass-Lowell, I'm certain of two things about this team: they're raising a Final Four banner tonight, and they will be good.
The first is indisputable fact, not to mention a significant reason why it's easy to state the second: John Beilein's squad returns eight players (three starters, four more rotation guys) from a team that came within a half of requiring a bigger, fancier banner. Among those are two players garnering preseason All-American consideration, arguably the best shooter in America, a backup point guard who dropped 17 points in the first half of the title game, two experienced big men, and a sophomore oozing so much potential that he forced his way onto the court last year despite appearing malnourished.
On top of that, Michigan boasts one of the best coaching staffs in the country and bring in two top-flight recruits who will contribute immediately, one of whom (PG Derrick Walton) has already secured a starting role. They will be good, even without Trey Burke and Tim Hardaway.
How good depends on a number of factors, however, and for every certainty there is an equal and opposite uncertainty.
Certainty: Mitch McGary is one of the most skilled, impactful centers in college basketball.
Uncertainty: When will he be able to return from his back "condition", and will it hamper him once he returns? (Also: how much do we weigh his tournament run versus his regular-season output?)
Certainty: Glenn Robinson III is an incredible athlete who had an exceptionally efficient freshman season.
Uncertainty: Can Robinson create his own shot, and can he stay so efficient with a bigger role?
Certainty: Beilein will try to play more two-big lineups this year.
Uncertainty: Will this work, especially with all the practice time McGary has missed? With all the talent on the wings, is it even worth trying?
Certainty: Caris LeVert is getting massive practice hype for the second straight year and looks like a potential breakout star as a shooting guard and part-time point.
Uncertainty: Will his practice/exhibition exploits translate to actual production against real opponents this year?
Certainty: Nik Stauskas is a great shooter; also: Not Just A Shooter.
Uncertainty: Can his lethal efficiency as a three-point shooter and pick-and-roll ballhandler continue when he's the team's first or second scoring option?
Certainty: Michigan is starting an extremely talented freshman point guard.
Uncertainty: Michigan is starting an extremely talented freshman point guard.
The list goes on and on*, and I'm okay with this. The uncertainty surrounding the football team this year has largely stemmed from "can this non-functional unit become functional"-type questions. The uncertainty surrounding the basketball team, on the other hand, is more of the "can this good thing become great" variety.
If the pieces all fall into place, Michigan is a national title contender once again. If they don't, this is still a team capable of winning the Big Ten (so long as Michigan State doesn't go full juggernaut, at least), and barring a rash of injuries they'll be a fun team to watch. None of us have any idea what's going to happen; it's still all but guaranteed to be more rewarding than watching this year's football team. Sit back and enjoy Michigan's status as one of the nation's elite programs, one that reloads instead of rebuilds, and savor that banner. We'll worry about certainties another time.
*Will the team's added functional size and experience on the wings equal better defensive performance, for example.
Isn't it fun to be at this point? We should get some subs.
A solidly good team that has the potential to excel if the pieces come together. Worth enjoying the ride as I will miss the abundance of alley oops we will not get next season (in all likelihood) from GRIII.
I'll allow it.
And the coaches look positively bored. Perhaps captions are in order for that shot.
But the malnourished one looks even tinier next to McGary-in-tie. Now that Denard's gone, Caris gets the bounty of my maternal instinct. (From a distance. No surrogate-child stalking here.)
Not worried about the uncertainty of starting a freshman PG it seems every two years we do the same thing. Morris then Burke now Walton if recent history is any indicator we'll be just fine there. Plus Spike is a solid backup not a world beater but a great ball handler, good passer and a shot that will keep defenses from sinking in to the paint. Can't wait for our game at Cam Indoor should be able to get an idea of how our freshmen will handle the pressure of playing in big games. Actually I can't think of a better way to mature a freshman then to play at Duke.
Wonderful that we got it, but also a perpetual reminder of how close we were to winning it all. I imagine every Final Four banner in the world has a certain element of 'What if'
Obligatory question about streaming the game...doesn't seem likely, does it?
This says a link is going to be up near gametime (though I've had that fall through before): http://forum.wiziwig.eu/threads/86086-Week-1-2013-14-NCAA-Men-s-Basketball-Streaming-amp-Discussion
This one looks like it'll work:
Nice write up.
The football team is so dysfunctional, it's nice to watch a coherent and super talented team! Go Blue!
Agreed and your pic of Meyer and 1 alleged serial killer is classic.
Among those are two players garnering preseason All-American consideration, arguably the best shooter in North America, a backup point guard who dropped 17 points in the first half of the title game, two experienced big men, and a sophomore oozing so much potential that he forced his way onto the court last year despite appearing malnourished.
The guy is canadian, after all.