Hokepoints Updates RYPR Comment Count

Seth

BLF_3124

Upchurch

Bill Connelly a few years back created a new uberstat for receivers called RYPR (receiving yards/total team plays *Passing S&P+). His description:

Below, you will find a measure that attempts to answer the following questions about a given pass-catcher:

  • 1) How much do you produce?
  • 2) How important are you to your team's passing game?
  • 3) How good is the passing game to which you are important?
  • 4) And how much is the forward pass featured in your team's offense?

The idea was to simply multiply the following four factors together: a player's Yards Per Target, his Target Rate, his team's Passing S&P+, and his team's pass rate. Target Rate x Yards Per Target x Passing S&P+ x Pass Rate = RYPR.

He last updated this in October. So I updated, using data made available by cfbstats.com, and Fremeau's S&P+ team rating. Here's all 1,167 guys with at least 10 targets in 2013:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rkk-xZfImYtSw-RSE2OJKatAayoPbUA_AdFsGSF9J8s/edit?usp=sharing

Let's skip right to Michigan

I went through several iterations trying to match exactly what Connelly had done, so this may not match the results I reported beforehand. Here's the breakdown of Michigan's targets with NCAA averages in parentheses:

Target # Receiver RYPR (NCAA avg) Yards/Tgt Target Rate
1 Jeremy Gallon 178.0 (102.6) 10 (8.6) 32% (23%)
2 Devin Funchess 97.0 (68.8) 8.1 (8.1) 21% (17%)
3 Drew Dileo 22.6 (49.5) 5.8 (7.8) 7% (12%)
4 Jake Butt 30.5 (36.6) 8.7 (7.7) 6% (9%)
5 Jehu Chesson 28.7 (27.0) 9.2 (7.2) 6% (7%)
6 Fitz Toussaint 26.3 (20.9) 10.2 (6.7) 5% (6%)
7 Jeremy Jackson 9.2 (17.1) 7.1 (7.0) 2% (5%)

Funchess's 97.0 was 22nd among teams' second targets though his yards per target were average for No. 2 guys. The max protect stuff in the season's third quarter (Indiana through Nebraska) bore out in the numbers, with that third receiver (Dileo) far under the typical third receiver's usage.

Best Receivers in a Bad B1G

Gallon wasn't the only long term top receiver to graduate last year, and the conference wasn't very deep on receiving talent to begin with. The result is not many wideouts left in-conference to have cracked that 100 (average for a team's best receiver) mark. In 2013 the Big Ten average RYPR for its teams' top three receivers was 69.5, last among major conferences and just ahead of the Sun Belt and Conf USA. When I removed all seniors the Big Ten was behind the MAC (Conference USA was still very worse). Here's the best among those that remain.

Receivers Team Tgt Rec Yds YPT Tgt Rt 1st Dn% RYPR
Devin Funchess Michigan #2 49 748 8.1 24.7% 36% 113.6
Christian Jones Northwestern #2 54 668 8.7 21.2% 52% 98.1
Tony Jones Northwestern #1 55 616 7.7 22.0% 39% 90.5
Shane Wynn Indiana #3 46 633 9.7 14.3% 35% 89.0
Devin Smith Ohio State #2 44 660 9.0 20.9% 34% 88.7
Levern Jacobs Maryland #1 47 633 8.8 18.2% 31% 88.1
Stefon Diggs Maryland #3 34 587 10.5 14.2% 43% 81.7
DeAngelo Yancey Purdue #1 32 546 7.8 18.2% 30% 78.9
Deon Long Maryland #5 32 489 8.9 13.9% 36% 68.0
Kenny Bell Nebraska #2 52 577 6.6 24.5% 34% 68.0

Maryland has lots of receivers. Northwestern's Joneses were pretty productive, and could be more so in a Trevor Siemian offense. The tight ends:

Tight Ends Team Tgt Rec Yds YPT Tgt Rt 1st Dn% RYPR
Tyler Kroft Rutgers #1 43 573 8.3 16.8% 45% 72.1
Jeff Heuerman Ohio State #4 26 466 12.9 10.3% 44% 62.6
Maxx Williams Minnesota #2 25 417 10.4 15.7% 50% 57.1
Dan Vitale Northwestern #3 34 382 6.7 15.7% 32% 56.1
Justin Sinz Purdue #2 41 340 6.2 14.3% 36% 49.1
Jesse James Penn State #3 25 333 8.3 10.2% 33% 39.0
Jake Butt Michigan #4 20 235 8.7 7.3% 48% 35.7

Remind me to draft Heuerman in the draft-o-snark.

Comments

ak47

May 20th, 2014 at 2:54 PM ^

Marylands is schewed by injury, I bet if you look at diggs and longs numbers from just the portion of the season when they were not injured they would be the two best returning wr's in the big ten.

dragonchild

May 20th, 2014 at 8:36 PM ^

Northwestern's Joneses were pretty productive, and could be more so in a Trevor Siemian offense.

Michigan has fallen so far we're now struggling to keep up with the Joneses.

Voltron is Handsome

May 21st, 2014 at 10:02 AM ^

I love Devin Funchess and he is my second favorite player behind Jake Ryan. I really miss the 19 jersey though.