How many guys are projected to be in the 2014 class? Ferns looks like a good pickup btw
Hello From The Future: Michael Ferns
As first reported by TomVH, St. Clairsville (OH) linebacker Michael Ferns committed to Michigan on Wednesday, becoming their first commit in the class of 2014. Ferns had recently named a top three that also included Notre Dame and Penn State, and a very positive unofficial visit for the BBQ at the Big House likely pushed him to make a pledge.
|NR MLB||NR ILB||NR ILB||
4*, 93, #5 ILB,
Only 247Sports has released rankings for the class of 2014, so our lone national data point for Ferns has him pegged inside the top 100 prospects overall and top five at his position. All save ESPN list him at 6'3", 235 pounds—ESPN has him 20 pounds lighter, likely an outdated figure—which has him easily on track to be a college-sized strongside linebacker by the time he hits campus.
While the national services aside from 247 have not released rankings, OhioPreps already has a top 25 list for the class of 2014. Ferns is second, behind only fellow linebacker Dante Booker, and Marc Givler suggests that those two have separated themselves from the rest of the class.
Other information on Ferns is scarce, as he hasn't hit the camp circuit and St. Clairsville is a small school that hasn't produced much in the way of D-I talent*. We do get one player comparison courtesy of Scout's Dave Berk ($):
Standing 6-foot-3, 235-pounds, Ferns reminds some of current Irish inside linebacker Jarrett Grace, at least in terms of his physical stature. However, Ferns shows a unique skill set for a player of his size.
While St. Clairsville High School is far from one of Ohio’s top big-school programs, Ferns athletic ability could easily transfer to a bigger program as he shows on film the ability to play several positions on both sides of the ball.
Grace was a 2011 recruit on the 3/4-star borderline; at 6'3", 240 lbs., he's very comparable in terms of size. Grace's ESPN scouting report($) praised his athleticism and play recognition, and as you'll see in his film those are also two areas of Ferns's game that stand out.
Besides the above, most of the articles on Ferns focus on his intelligence both on and off the field. He's made it clear from the beginning of his recruitment that academics are the top priority—which he backed up with a top three of Michigan, Notre Dame, and Penn State, as well as an offer from Stanford—and he plans to study pre-med. 247's Steve Wiltfong details this side of Ferns in an article rather unfortunately titled "Ferns Is Freaky On & Off Field"($):
Growing up, Ferns always saw his parents on the computer messing around with this new sensation known as the internet. The two-year old didn’t want to be left out.
“He wanted to play on the computer so bad, and he’d keep asking us what words were,” the elder Ferns said. “It just got to the point where he taught himself how to read so he didn’t keep asking us. He was in diapers. We bought him reading programs for kids ages 4-5, and it wasn’t three weeks later we were buying the programs for ages 6-8. Over the course of a month, he was on the internet. At that time it was dial up, but he wanted to do it so bad.”
“I was always a little ahead of the time,” Ferns added. “I remember being in diapers on the computer. I’d say I was a little advanced back in day.”
Ferns has grown a bit since then, and now his intellect is paying dividends on the football field [emphasis mine]:
“He’s 6-3, 230-pounds and runs like a deer,” McClean said.
“Besides just his size advantage, he can do a lot of different things. We lined him up at three different positions on offense. On defense he’s an intellectual person, he can handle things a lot of people couldn’t do. He’s like a coach on the field from his linebacker spot.”
That astute play, when combined with impressive athleticism, could make Ferns a candidate for early playing time. According to Scout's Allen Trieu, who posted a scouting report on Ferns after his commitment, the only thing stopping Ferns could be Michigan's depth chart ($):
Upshot: He's going to come in college ready in terms of size and speed. If he adjusts to the speed of the game and learns the defense, he has the tools to play early. Not sure if the depth chart will allow that because there are so many linebackers, but he has what you look for in an early impact guy.
Trieu compares Ferns to freshman Joe Bolden, a 2012 Under Armour All-American who's already pushing for playing time at WLB, and says he's a "pretty safe bet" for four stars.
Magnus broke down Ferns's sophomore film and came away impressed:
I really like what I see on Ferns's film. He plays both ways for his high school team, although keep in mind as you watch that St. Clairsville is a small school with fewer than 700 students enrolled; the competition is not excellent. Ferns plays some fullback, tight end, wide receiver, and linebacker. He shows very good instincts as a linebacker. Ferns the younger plays downhill nicely, showing quick initial reads and stepping up into holes that open. He keeps his shoulders square to the line of scrimmage and is a very solid tackler. He also does a nice job of side-stepping blockers and using his hands to shed when necessary. His change-of-direction skills are also apparent as an offensive player, where he swivels his hips pretty well to slither past defenders.
So, while scouting on Ferns is still limited, what we see suggests he's got the size, athleticism, and instincts to excel at the collegiate level.
*The only other St. Clairsville player in the Rivals database (dating back to 2002) is 2013 3-star WR Dan Monteroso, a Boston College commit.
Ferns built up an impressive offer list for a junior-to-be, choosing Michigan over Notre Dame, Penn State, Boston College, Cincinnati, Illinois, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Purdue, Stanford, Virginia, Wake Forest, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and a handful of MAC offers.
Ferns tallied 136 tackles as a sophomore while also chipping in 441 yards on 31(!) rushes and 301 yards on 15(!) catches. He had 88 tackles as a freshman in 2010.
FAKE 40 TIME
No 40 time is listed for Ferns on any of the four recruiting sites.
As you can see, there's little not to like in the film, though the lack of high-end competition is apparent.
PREDICTION BASED ON FLIMSY EVIDENCE
While Michigan has recruited extremely well at linebacker over the last couple classes, Ferns could have a relatively clear path to the two-deep if he lands at strongside linebacker. That spot is currently manned by Jake Ryan and Cam Gordon, and Ryan will be a senior (I know, right?) when Ferns steps on campus. Unless Royce Jenkins-Stone bulks up significantly, at that point Mike McCray will be the only player standing between Ferns and a spot in the rotation.
It's also possible that Ferns ends up at middle linebacker, a position where he can better show off his instincts. While Joe Bolden and potentially Jenkins-Stone stand in the way there, Ferns could get a three-year separation from those two if he takes a redshirt year (assuming Bolden and RJS play this year, a much safer assumption for the former).
UPSHOT FOR THE REST OF THE CLASS
At this early juncture, it looks like Michigan is in line for a relatively small class in 2014, but with a year-and-a-half before signing day a great deal can change. One thing we're pretty sure of is that the Wolverines can afford, once again, to be picky at linebacker; unless there's unexpected attrition, Ferns will likely be joined by one other linebacker recruit, likely a guy who projects to the middle.
Matt Pargoff looked at the numbers a little while ago and came up with 13, but that figure is based on the current roster and there's always attrition. I didn't throw out a specific number because there's so much uncertainty (the projection for the 2013 class has grown from 21 or 22 up to 25 just in the last few months), but for now expect a class of around 20.
I'm not sure how Pargoff reached that number. I didn't bother clicking through. There should be at least 17, unless some true juniors redshirt this season:
Guys who are scheduled to graduate after 2013:
well, Lewan and Toussaint might be in the NFL next year, so that'd bring it down to 15.
Unless we use those spots for 2013 kids, they'll be free in 2014 anyway.
most projections are two from that list won't be invited back for their 5th year. Probably it's a smaller class, but so many things can change in 18 months that it's futile to try and project a number.
I thought Hoke said last year that it was the players choice whether they stayed for a 5th year?
It's a mutual decision; they player has to want to come back, and the coaches have to want him back. If either is not the case, no 5th year.
Gardner could be back as well so that' 14
From what I hear, Gardner's probably not going to get his redshirt. The coaches aren't counting on him being here in 2014.
I've had a feeling for a while this was the case with Gardner and it's unfortunate. Gardner is unfortunate but the worst redshirt burn in recent years was Campbell followed closely by Denard. Imagine both Denard and Campbell this year as redshirt juniors with another year to go.
Campbell was a real waste - given his current conditioning if he was looking at two more years he would be set up for a major impact - not that he can't be great this year.
Depending on how long Fitz's suspension goes, he might not be able to leave early
he has a kid, Fitz is our after this year.
Not sure why that would affect him unless he had some good tips on where he'll go in the draft. RBs outside the top 1 or 2 aren't going very early in the draft these days. If he wasn't going to be assured a roster spot by being drafted early it would make more sense to come back, try to improve his stock, and get a degree, thus guaranteeing some sort of stable job after he leaves. Wouldn't be great to be bouncing all over the country on practice squads with his kid in tow. That's my opinion anyway. If he improves over last season though you could very well be right.
Man, I thought we'd NEVER get started on the 2014 class.
I think we have more players in our 2014 class at this point than Indiana has in its 2013 class.
Unfortunate high school uniforms are unfortunate. Welcome aboard, Michael.
Between two ferns, clever. I love that this blog can make jokes like that.
+1 for the internetz.
it's early for me and I missed that....very nice!
One, I think Ferns will end up a top 30 kid on rivals, and a top 50 kid everywhere else. Two, you left out James Ross in the middle linebacker equation, Ace.
I expect Ross to end up on the weak side. He's one of my two or three favorite recruits from 2012, so I definitely did not forget about him.
Ross is a WILL. Mattison has repeatedly said that the MIKE is typically a bigger guy, and Ross isn't expected to get much larger than his current size of ~225.
If you (or Ace) are ever looking for a post topic, I'd love to see a write-up of the body type and player characteristics that are ideal for each position in Michigan's offensive and defensive schemes. I see things written here and there, but it'd be nice to have a full list somewhere.
For anyone interested, these are all good reads. Thanks, Magnus.
Magnus: what's the ideal body type for a slot corner? Is it more like a field corner or boundary type guy?
It depends. It can go either way. He has to be able to tackle, because he's usually replacing a linebacker. The Packers move Charles Woodson into the slot because he can blitz and tackle. Michigan's best slot corner in recent years (in my opinion) was Brandon Harrison, who I think was about 5'8" and solidly built.
Last year the 5'10", 175-ish lb. Courtney Avery was our slot corner. The other guy in the running for the job was the 5'11", 205 lb. Thomas Gordon.
i'd love to see all in one place that as well.....
I have to believe that at least a couple of these LB's from 2012, 2013 and 2014 are going to end up on the line, right?
I don't think so. No one is in that tweener stage from these last few classes, IMO. We have recruited the defensive line pretty well that last two classes, so I think that the DL that we recruit and the LBs we recruit will pretty much play where they were recruited for.
We live in the future.
I like the start to our 2014 Recruiting. Welcome, Michael.
Wow, you can tell he doesn't play against very good competition because he plays ALL THE POSITIONS. By my count he played returner, tailback, halfback, tight end, in the slot, outside, and linebacker all in one season. I be like dang. Really excited to see what he can do in the very distant future.
Welcome to the Michigan family Michael. What a great way to start off the 2014 class.
Considering he's a track guy and shows up such impressive athleticism... probably a two or three. 4.6 sounds like a perfectly reasonable hand-time for a HS linebacker and a fantastic electronic time, and since Ferns hasn't done any camps I'd have to think that's the former.
Jake Ryan, Joe Bolden, Ben "The Freak" Gedeon, McCray, and now Ferns. We take all your monster Ohio LBs
Ringer is sad now.
An intelligent, high character guy that happenes to be extremely athletic? Yes please!
I would just like to add that you cant "study pre-med" at Michigan. You can take premed requisites but there's no premed track. End of rant.
Is that really worth getting bothered over? I mean, so he will be taking all the pre-requisites that are needed to get into med school but it isn't really considered "pre-med". The goal and hopeful end result would be the same...med school.
I think I've just heard it a lot recently so i had to say something. Semantics really. I'd rather people say something like "he's going to Michigan and wants to go to medical school." same amount of words and much more accurate.
I think "study pre-med" is perfectly legitimate. He's just not going to be a pre-med major.
If by "study pre-med" you mean have a major called pre-med, that's correct. Loads of Michigan undergraduates go to med school, though, so in the more likely case that someone intends "study pre-med" to mean prepare him for med school, then the lack of that major isn't really relevant.
My gf is a great doc! UofM undergrad class of '01.
/cool story bro
Wow, impressive HS sophomore. Ferns has all the treasureables you want in an elite LB recruit.
I've seen 6'1" to 6"4'. 6'1" being the most recent at a camp. (He wears cleats instead of shoes?) Anyone with actual reports??
according to the Rivals Challenge.
RELEASE THE UPTONS!