The Derby is close and R. Coon lives!!!!
this week in unintentionally grim-sounding recruiting headlines
Hi. Ace is off for the next week and I, Brian, am piloting you through the interstellar gulf that exists between your brain and those of extremely talented young football players who haven't instantly chosen to play at Michigan, which like come on man.
Shall we take stock?
Michigan's scholarship count stands at 15 right now. Technically it's 14 since Michigan is at 86, give or take a long snapper scholarship and Will Hagerup's existence. It'll be 15 by August. From there normal levels of attrition will see them reach 20 or so. Assuming 20:
QB(1): Wilton Speight, check.
RB(1): Unknown. Michigan has a few offers out to three-star sorts. Colorado Kalen Ballage may be your leading candidate; more likely Michigan's RB in this class will be someone you haven't heard of yet.
WR(3): Drake Harris is in the barn, mid-four-star KJ Williams is still saying Michigan is his leader after the post-visit glow has worn off. Instater Maurice Ways is reputedly on the verge of an offer he won't take long to accept. Mason Cole teammate Artavis Scott has backed off the promise of a package deal but is still high on Michigan and just visited for spring. Childhood M fan Corey Holmes is another possibility.
TE(1): Whoever it is, he'll probably be from Illinois. Daniel Helm has backed off after announcing Michigan his leader and now maintains a top four with Michigan and a few Southern schools. Alarmingly, Ole Miss is amongst them. Ian Bunting may favor Notre Dame at the moment but will visit USC and Michigan before a forthcoming decision. Nic Weishar is also coming up on a decision.
OL(4): Mason Cole is in the barn. Jabrill Pepper's teammate Juwann Bushell-Beaty maintains Michigan as his leader; Blake Bars's brother Alex Bars is a top 100 prospect at tackle; Drake Harris's teammate Tommy Doles has seemed to be on the verge of dropping for months but recent scuttlebutt has him holding off despite the possibility of a crunch.
NT(1): Bryan Mone in the barn. With Hurst/Pipkins/Henry(?) in front of him Michigan can be done. Mone could play three tech, but if Michigan gets Hand and McDowell, he's the nose in that group.
SDE/3T(2): Michigan trails VT for #1 overall player Da'shawn Hand… probably. See below. Instate star Malik McDowell is rumored to be a Michigan lean.
SAM/WDE(1): Ferns barn, likely a SAM. With Ojemudia and Charlton they could skip a WDE. If they don't there's an obvious candidate in instater Lawrence Marshall. He was briefly an OSU commit; he'll come down to those guys and the two in-state schools.
ILB(2): A spot where OSU has held onto some in-state stars Michigan was after; now M is on to plan B. Those appear to be IL LB Kyron Watson and PA LB Chase Winovich. Winovich is a big guy a 6'4" and may end up a SAM type; Watson is more of a WLB. Both are three stars, but Winovich also has an OSU offer.
CB(2): If Michigan can hold off Stanford they'll reel in consensus five star Jabrill Peppers. Todd Howard protégé Parrker Westphal seems likely to join up. Californian Adoree Jackson is another five-star who has Michigan high on his list.
S(2): Californian Juju Smith has Michigan a solid member of a top five that leads you to believe a CA exit is possible; he could play WR but Michigan's in on a bunch of those. Pennsylvanian Montae Nicholson is another option.
K/P(0): With Wile, McGrath, and Allen on the roster next year they can go without. Would not be surprised to see them look for a quality walk-on kicker to compete with McGrath.
ESPN has put out its top 300. Players of interest (bold: commit; italics: have at least a 50-50 shot):
That's a pretty long list of targets, one that includes every Michigan commit so far in their top 150. Michigan has a good shot at bringing in ten to twelve of the ESPN 150. Pants? Off.
ESPN has just released preliminary rankings—remember when they were supposed to be getting rankings out before these kids' junior year?—and we're getting a look at their usual idiosyncrasies. One to the good is Wilton Speight, who makes Tom Luginbill's top ten quarterbacks:
7. QB-PP Wilton Speight
Richmond, Va./Collegiate School
This guy has some juice to him. The more you watch Speight, the more subtle, savvy traits show up. Physically he reminds us of Brock Osweiler (the Arizona State Osweiler, not the high school version). He possesses great size and adequate bulk. He's strong with deceptively good mobility and athleticism. Stands tall and is balanced in the pocket. Drop speed and set up is quick and steady. Plays with poise and confidence in his abilities.
Luginbill says the position is down a bit nationally. FWIW, he's the #4 pocket passer in their rankings. Last year the #4 pocket guy was 64th overall (Stanford commit Ryan Burns). Shane Morris was 8th; the top 10 were in their 150. Ballpark Speight around 100th, it would seem.
On the other hand, while two Michigan WR targets do appear in Luginbill's take on the WR class Drake Harris does not. Luginbill on Holmes:
7. WR Corey Holmes
Fort Lauderdale, Fla./St. Thomas Aquinas
Holmes is a lean and lanky prospect with ideal height and long limbs. He is flexible and plays primarily on the inside as a slot in high school, but could be an outside threat for the next level. He is shifty and fluid, which makes it difficult to gauge his deceptively good speed and acceleration.
Complete eval | Highlights
9. WR Artavis Scott
Tarpon Springs, Fla./East Lake
Scott has very few physical weaknesses, but he also lacks ideal measurables in terms of bulk and strength. Given his frame, he still needs to add strength to aid his physicality. He displays good straight-line burst off the line of scrimmage. This is a very fluid and smooth player in his overall movements. Does not show breakaway speed on tape, but does have good enough downfield speed and quickness to be an adequate outside route runner at the next level.
Complete eval | Highlights
Harris must have been #11.
If aforementioned MI WR Maurice Ways does pick up an offer that means a couple things: Michigan is ready to take his commitment and they like the kid quite a bit since they've got higher rated guys on the hook and are willing to push one of them elsewhere. The offer situation as of ten days ago($):
"They said I'm very high on their radar," Ways explained. "I've been their most talked-about recruit the past two weeks. They're saying just to be patient. They're going to watch my film again as a staff Monday, and make a decision from there."
Monday was, uh, Monday, and the chatter out there indicates that offer could be forthcoming soon. Other candidates include Pick A Tight End and the aforementioned Parrker Westphal, who will also be in this weekend.
More on that Ian Bunting kid: the small-forward-sized Illinois TE did just go to Notre Dame and came back speaking thusly:
“I found out that Notre Dame is a special place,” Bunting said. “It’s really cool with all the history. There is something special there with all the tradition they have and I love the way they use their tight ends. I’m definitely higher on them than I was before.”
He's at USC today; tomorrow he will be at Michigan. A decision "could come shortly after." Bunting's been reticent about stating anything more than a vague top group. ND is probably the team to beat given the above quote; his only other visits since last year's football season were to Oregon, Wisconsin and Northwestern, and I can't find anything similarly positive on those trips. Hoke and company have shown an ability to flip kids' minds once they get on campus, which I think we say every week but you're probably not tired of that fact yet. It is thus concluded we will keep saying it.
IL TE Daniel Helm's timeline is getting shorter($) as well:
"Originally I was hoping to take official visits, now I am realizing positions fill up and sometimes the scholarship you may want might not be there. So, I am pretty confident I will make a decision before the season, but I'm not sure when."
Helm's been to each of his top four schools (Michigan, Tennessee, Ole Miss, and Florida); Michigan may have an advantage since they just got a second, this one with his dad. Helm also publicly favored Michigan not too long ago($), and was telling Nebraska sites it was M.
Meanwhile, IL TE—they're all IL TEs—Nic Weishar will visit($) the twin spires of Mordor this weekend, whereupon he'll sit down and come out with a short top list. Weishar visited Michigan a month ago($), and hit up a few other schools earlier. Dollars to donuts this comes down to an old-fashioned Midwestern three corners match between ND, M, and OSU.
Michigan also has AZ WR/TE Mark Andrews coming in. He's ranked as a WR by most of the scouting services despite actually being heavier than Bunting and Helm; he's checking Michigan out as part of a ND/OSU/M Midwest swing. He grew up an Oklahoma fan($) and has a brother there, so they're the tentative favorite. Michigan will either be in a leading group or out after the weekend.
Da'Shawn Hand demonstrating the fish story coaches who do not successfully recruit him will tell.
That would be #1 overall player VA DT Da'Shawn Hand, who Michigan is after in a serious way. Hand talked to Yahoo radio recently, and declaimed thusly:
He hasn't been down to Florida yet and his statements about the other SEC teams in his top five (South Carolina and Alabama) were considerably more lukewarm than the two I transcribed above. Everyone says VT is on top, but if you had to pick from the quotes above…
From Wolverine Nation, an article on the potential for guys to hop aboard($) the class before their spot gets full. MI OL Tommy Doles:
“I’d like to know by the summer and whether or not I’d have to [decide] before then, I guess I’d have to think about that when it came around,” Doles said. “But yeah, it could accelerate things if it were to happen.”
A couple of the WRs pop in to say similar things. We could see some quick movement at the catching positions if Ways is offered and commits as KJ Williams, Artavis Scott, and possibly Corey Holmes think it over.
MI WR Drake Harris's recruiting process took a major turn during the course of his junior year, when he found out he was a capital-E Elite football prospect and only a good basketball prospect. He changed what sport he was going to play; thus the decommit. This is not an eyebrow-cocking Gunner Kiel saga.
“Drake is firmly committed to playing at Michigan, and I would be absolutely shocked if he didn’t follow through it,” Fellows said. “People forget that Drake was going to Michigan State to play basketball and football, and MSU was the best choice for him to play football and basketball. …
“Once he decided to play just football, that all changed, so it’s unfair to compare the two scenarios. Drake told me his heart is at Michigan, and I am taking his word at it. I’ve known Drake since the eighth grade, and he has never lied to me. He went to Ohio State on Friday and Michigan on Saturday, and he told me that’s all he had to see.”
Never say never and all that; Harris is no more likely to decommit than anyone else Brady Hoke's picked up in his three years. He in fact got his re-recruitment done early because he's sick of the song and dance. You have a 2% chance, decommit-chasing guys. Have fun storming the castle.
Michigan has an offer out to OH S Erick Smith, who is at Glenville and thus has visited OSU all the time($). He is planning a Michigan trip in the near future along with visits to Alabama and Tennessee; in general prospects with a Glenville kid who has an OSU offer are always going to be dim. This is a hill to climb for a guy who hasn't been on M's campus:
He’s seen the Buckeyes more than once and always walks away feeling good. His last visit was nine days ago at student appreciation day, where he brought his parents along for the ride. All three liked what they saw.
“It’s the atmosphere and the people,” Smith said. “When you go there, they’re all for real.
“My dad is getting used to it, so he enjoyed himself. My mom loved it. She talked about getting down there and getting to know them better.”
Michigan offers TX RB Vic Enwere, a three-star with middling offers. Unless it was actually Michigan State who offered. The usual with three-star sorts from far away: he'll be on the radar once he visits. [UPDATE: Rivals's Tim Sullivan passes along a note that the Enwere offer was erroneously reported; it's actually an MSU offer.]
2015 KY RB Damien Harris, you have the power:
It would be pretty tight if me and Drake Harris both committed to Michigan!
Harris, regarded as one of the top tailbacks in his class, already has an offer and mostly tweets 1) things about how he likes Michigan and 2) retweets of other people telling him to go to Michigan (which is an NCAA violation, don't do that). If he doesn't end up in the next class it'll be a surprise.
Malik McDowell offered by Alabama and LSU. M offers LA S Mattrell McGraw, says he'll visit soon with teammate and consensus top 100 prospect Malachi Dupre. McGraw's rankings haven't caught up to a booming offer sheet. NJ OL Juwan Bushell-Beatty says he's "getting closer to a decision($)," possibly after visits to offerees Florida and Tennessee. An early decision is better for Michigan.
The Derby is close and R. Coon lives!!!!
things are going well? We're probably around 50/50 or better for the #1 and #2 guys this year, plus there's a whole flurry of 4-star guys who are 50/50 or better, and one of the top RB's (or the top RB) for 2015 is in love with Michigan
So yes, pants: off
2014 is off to a great start with tons of interest from the very good to great/elite players. 2015 already has some top players visiting and talking up Michigan. Harris, Campbell, DeBerry and others. Very exciting.
Anyobdy else check to see what day it is? (headline says Friday Recruitin) Definately thought I put my trash cans out a day late.
At the Outback Bowl this year we went deep sea fishing and happened to get seated next to Alex Bars, his dad and his older brother Brad. Besides being like the nicest family ever, Alex said his top two choices were Michigan and Georgia and he didn't have a clear favorite at the time.
Given that his dad played for Notre Dame, his oldest brother plays for Penn State and Blake is with us, it doesnt seem like the family plays "favorites" when it comes to school selection.
Cool story. Just curious, where did you guys go fishing and did you guys catch anything?
Was it a small charter or more of an open party thing? I just ask because I regularly go deep sea fishing from the west coast, but have no idea what kind of boats/charters they have on the east coast.
Clearwater beach and yes we caught a ton of Grey Snapper and the coolest thing of all was they cleaned them for us and then we walked about 100 yards to a bar that cooked them for us. Had a couple or three cold beers, fries, cole slaw and our own very fresh fish for lunch.
That was a good day.
What kind of man can't clean his own fish..
/s what the hell right?
Awesome amount of info, beats the heck out of paysites.
I love the recruiting write ups on here...I love the good news, but appreciate the straight talk when it comes to recruits.
Thanks to Brian for throwing this quick little post together.
If I remember correctly, Hand's change of major to sports managment really started after his UM visit when he spent a bunch of time talking to some big-wig in the UM sports management program and loving it. So plus for UM? Someone also brought up that Florida also has a good sports management program I believe.
Little surprised to see Alex Bars not in itallics. I get I assumed we'd have at least a 50/50 with him.
Anyway, fantastic info and my word, what a list of prospects.
For a second... I thought it was Friday, and my heart dropped a little with excitement. Now, I want to bury myself under my desk and pout until tomorrow, when it will actually be Friday. Nonetheless, thanks for awesome and free information.
Exactly. My normal existence on this Thursday was okay. Then, "Friday Recruiting". HOLY SHIT IT'S FRIDAY! Except it's not. And now this Thursday feels like a Monday. I have been trolled.
I don't blame Brian for convincing me it's Friday, I blame all you assholes for reminding me it's not.
the fact we now know the espn 300 michigan related rankings, without having to wait for espn!
I was wondering about was that in an ironic way adding Maryland and Rutgers to the B1G might be helping us with Peppers. Our major competition for him looks to be Stanford, and from what I have heard about his family, going to the West Coast for games actually could be cost-prohibitive for them. Given that we will most likely be in the same division as PSU, Rutgers, and Maryland, and we ourselves are probably about a 10 hour drive from home, that's a decent number of games his family could drive to, as opposed to not going to, or flying to.
Good observation. If UM is in the "East" division, that potentially helps open up a couple of key areas in NJ and VA. Lots of talent there, and the coaches have recently dipped into that talent pool for some big names, with a few more still on the horizon.
Virginia, in particular. I don't know if my memory is just crappy, but I don't remember Virginia being nearly as loaded as it has been over the past few classes (2013, 2014, and apparently 2015). If this keeps up, then UVA, come on down.
I feel very Spiritualized reading this.
Because absolutely every Michigan writer seems to think that Michigan leads for Da'Shawn Hand, but they're all terrified to say it and be wrong, so most of them put down Virginia Tech leads.
I'm not trying to be a jerk so apologies if that comes across, but I think most writers have Hand as a VT lead because VT actually is the team to beat in his recruitment. Hometown, Bud Foster and so on. Michigan is doing well to even be in the conversation but it's still VT in front.
You don't come across as a jerk at all, I think it's reasonable assumption that they could lead. I just know that a lot of the Michigan writers think that Michigan very well could, and I do tend to agree with them.
I'm a firm believer in reading into the quotes that players give after a visit. They all say positive things because most of the schools have their act together, but you can tell based on the verbs and adjectives they use whether or not they truly loved it. I just think he gives off better vibes about Michigan than about VT.
I do agree about the quotes bit, some of the things he has been saying indicate some degree of "over-the-moon"-ness.
I think it's sort of silly to designate whether Michigan or VT is "leading" at this point. Keep in mind that we're trying to project the result of a decision a 17-year-old will make almost a year from now. I think it's amazing that he has even narrowed it to a top two by now. Heck, I had absolutely no idea where I wanted to go to school when I was a HS junior, and I changed my mind twice in the two weeks leading up to my decision, and I wasn't even being recruited for anything.
Valid point, but in this case i think a leader is fair. It's his 'hometown' school where his family can see him in every home game without a flight. He can visit his family on off days no problem. I don't think it's a stretch to say that the school he's been most comfortable with, and the coach he has the best coach-player relationship with to date is leading.
but like, when UVA and UNC join the B1G in like a year, what then?
Every non-Michigan writer also has Virginia Tech leading. I think that where we are sitting is a good spot. VT has been his leader for a while. He loved his trip to Michigan, but has not come out and said that Michigan is his new favorite. There is abviously reason to be excited. If there was a sizable gap before it has narrowed. Should be fun to follow.
And VT a few times, and they are essentially even. That's much better for Michigan, than VT IMHO.
Just took a look at Jabrill Peppers junior season highlights. MY GOD.
Watched them the other day and came away equally impressed. Considering his ability to return punts and kicks, he'd be like a Woodson 2.0. Which like, yes please.
He's seriously so fucking good. He'd be the best M player since, I don't even know. Maybe Woodson.
I think Woodson is a solid comparison. The ability to be a lock down corner, play both ways, and be an electric return man. Hell, they are even both 6'1"
"Holy shit" was about my reaction to his highlights. The accelerations, speed, and suddeness with which he runs is ridiculous. His acceleration seems more than Denard's even was. And he's really well built to boot. He's going to be dangerous anywhere a team puts him. If we land him, I would like to see him get time on O as well.
He actually reminds me of Tripp Welborne more than Charles. Peppers is already pretty thick and plays WR on the offense. Both from the atlantic coast area as well. Tripp was also a WR his freshman year and then switched to safety and returned kicks and punts. Tripp is still one of my all-time favorites at UM, back to back All-American '89-'90, 238 tackles total. If he didn't blow out his knee he would've been a great NFL player. Peppers has the same tangibles - thick, fast, thumper. Go Blue! Please.
I don't see Peppers playing much receiver in his highlights. He seems to mostly play RB and he runs the wildcat. I think he has as many passes as receptions in his highlights.
Right, he's listed as CB/WR by Scout. Most media publications indicate that he plays CB/RB/WR. I just don't see the Charles comparison besides the potential for greatness. He already seems too big to play corner, maybe some nickel. What corner have we had that is 200+? He's listed anywhere between 205-210 as a junior in HS, if he gets any bigger you'd have to think he's playing Safety or maybe even WILL. He's extremely talented obviously, would love to have him at any positon.
This is really great update. I needed my recruiting fix.
Is UM really in good shape with Lawrence Marshall? I haven't gotten that vibe from him at all. Seems more likely to end up at MSU or even go back to OSU to me.
NOTE: I am not really worried about not landing Marshall, as there are numerous players I am more interested in seeing UM land.
Well, he visits Michigan quite a bit, so that's sort of a good sign. You can't be in much better shape without being the favorite, but I have also heard that he's more likely to end up at MSU. I guess it depends on your definition of "in good position."
U can tell if paying close attention hes going to msu. And during our spring game i heard he visited msu instead
Highly doubt he goes back to OSU.
Peppers isn' blue and he's recruiting for Michigan. I'd like for Bo Scarbough and him to hookup,too!!!
Michigans in on alot of very good players, I almost can't keep track. This is going to be a great class.
When you take the thirty thousand foot view of the current state of Michigan athletics, you quickly realize that you are actually levitating 71 feet above the 29,029 foot summit of Mt. Everest, next to a space whale, geting to watch Coach Hoke climb the greatest mountain with a bunch of athletes in Winged Helmets.
This is really happening, and we are about to absolutely take it to the opposition, under the lights, in the World's largest football stadium.
Wouldn't that be the 29,100 foot view? Is that better or worse than the 30,000 foot view?
I am confuse.
We are actually levitating 971 feet above Everest, to be exact.
Good stuff. Sounds like Barrs is a solid lead for UM. If this staff can pull in one of the top 2 kids, that would be amazing. And as for the Drake Harris situation, only a couple of reactionary MSU people think there is anything wrong with the situation beyond the usual hatred for UM. MSU should be used to soft commits given the past couple of years.