Fee Fi Foe Film: Minnesota Offense Comment Count

Ace


BACKUP QB: CERTIFIED GOPHER TOUGH

We're finally heading into conference play, which means this hopefully will be the last film breakdown of a body-bag game, in this case Minnesota's 24-7 steamrolling of San Jose State. With starting QB Mitch Leidner sidelined due to a sprained knee and turf toe, injuries that could very well hold him out of this weekend's game, the Gophers turned to backup Chris Streveler to run the offense—and simply run, as he toted the rock 18 times to just seven pass attempts, of which he completed... one.

I'm not quite ready to deploy the "I have the sinking feeling this is totally useless" tag, which I waited until last year's Northwestern game to unleash for 2013, but it's getting close. The good news: Minnesota's run-heavy-to-the-point-that-run-heavy-doesn't-capture-it offense should play right into the strength of Michigan's defense, especially if Streveler is called upon once again to start.

Personnel. As you'll see in the formation chart, Minnesota almost exclusively ran their offense out of a one-back shotgun set with two tight ends. They still bring the beef—this is the list of their starters from their first four games, from Minnesota's game notes:

Yes, that features one WR who's started all four games, a FB/WR/TE spot, a TE/WR spot, and a dedicated TE spot. Spectacularly Gopher.

Anyway, here's the diagram from Seth, which now features Frank Clark and Jake Ryan getting their proper due as stars [click to embiggen]:

Minnesota's offense lacks experience, and it's even more glaring if you remove Maxxxxxx Williams (questionable, calf, didn't practice yesterday Tuesday).

[Ed-Ace: I wrote this up yesterday and there's been an update since. Williams practiced yesterday in a limited capacity, while Leidner has taken "about half" of the reps over the last two days, and Jerry Kill is "cautiously optimistic" he'll be able to play. Kill said he feels better about both players' chances to play compared to how he felt earlier in the week, for what it's worth.]

Spread, Pro-Style, or Hybrid? Pro-style. Even with the mostly shotgun look, well... see the section above.

Basketball on Grass or MANBALL? Basketball on grass. The vast majority of Minnesota's plays in this game were either inside zone or zone read. They mixed in some power, usually when running from under center or the pistol, and a couple outside zones, but they really could've won this game while running their two base plays.

Hurry it up or grind it out? This is Minnesota. They're in no hurry here.

The Gophers did go up-tempo to great effect on one first-half drive, covering 59 yards in eight plays while taking just 2:41 off the clock—and increasing the tempo as they went down the field—but the drive ultimately failed when running back David Cobb fumbled a first-and-goal carry into the end zone for a touchback. Other than that lone drive, Minnesota took their sweet time.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the breakdown.]

Quarterback Dilithium Level (Scale: 1 [Navarre] to 10 [Denard]): Streveler ran for 161 yards and a score on 18 carries, and he displayed solid speed with the requisite Minnesota QB ability to lower his shoulder and knock a defensive back silly. Those numbers are bit misleading, however, in that San Jose State showed absolutely no ability to defend the QB keeper on a zone read. I mean...

...somebody keep contain or scrape over the top?

No seriously stop bugging out for the running back and at least half-respect the QB.

Or not, I guess.

I was screaming "HOW THE HELL DOES A D-I COORDINATOR NOT KNOW HOW A SCRAPE EXCHANGE WORKS?" for a while, and then the mystery was solved in truly disturbing fashion:


I NEED AN ADULT

This is why you're terrible, San Jose State.

Anyway, Streveler gets a six. It's worth noting he made very good decisions in the read-option game—13 good ones to just three bad, by my count—and also that he fumbled once on a big hit near the sideline, but managed to recover.

Dangerman: The focal point of the offense, especially with top receiving option Maxx Williams, the tight end, out for this game and doubtful for Michigan, is running back David Cobb, who toted the rock 34 times for 207 yards and two TDs in this one—he averaged 6.1 YPC despite not breaking a run longer than 19 yards.

Cobb isn't a flashy runner, as that last stat indicates, but he's patient, powerful, and makes decisive north-south cuts in the zone running attack. He knows when to take it to the backside on inside zones and he can carry a pile upon contact. Essentially, we're hoping Derrick Green becomes a bigger, faster version of this guy.

Zook Factor: The Gophers punted both on a 4th-and-3 from their own 48 and a 4th-and-8 from the SJSU 39, but it's hard to blame Jerry Kill for those calls considering his quarterback did the following...

HenneChart: Yeah, when you go 1-for-7 for seven yards and a pick this isn't going to look pretty:

Opponent DO CA MA IN BR TA BA PR SCR DSR
San Jose State 1 1 1 2 3 2 -- -- -- 22%

Woof. As you can see, there are more "throws" charted here than Streveler had official pass attempts; this is because he had the habit of pulling the ball down and running if his first read wasn't open immediately, and often he did this directly into a pile of humanity, which isn't ideal—that got a BR when he had a man open and a TA when there wasn't an obvious place to go with the ball, since either way he was getting time to throw from his line.

Then there were the actual throws. Streveler got robbed of a long touchdown when KJ Maye dropped a dead-on streak that, in fairness to Maye, was played very well by the recovering defensive back, but still should've been caught. His lone completion came on a short hitch against soft coverage, and the marginal throw was directed at an open Maye but came late and led him into a hit that jarred the ball loose for an incompletion. The other stuff wasn't pretty:

The intended receiver, Donovahn Jones, does a pretty awful job against press coverage, but Streveler is looking right at this—doesn't really look off of it, in fact, save a cursory look towards the right flat, even though he's got time—and just kinda chucks it into no-man's land. Meanwhile, the pick was very much his fault:

#12 is all over this crossing route—out in front of it, in fact—and Streveler puts it right into his arms. If he's the quarterback and Minnesota falls behind in the second half, it'll be serious trouble for the Gophers.

OVERVIEW

So much inside zone, mostly from the gun. Formation chart:

Formations Run Pass PA
Gun 41 7 1
I-Form 2 -- --
Ace 5 -- --
Pistol 2 2 --

The Ace and I-form looks mostly came in goal-to-go or short-yardage situations; the pistol was their changeup outside the red zone, with two power runs and a couple downfield shots. The play distribution by down also paints quite the picture:

Down Run Pass PA
1st 28 1 --
2nd 18 1 1
3rd 5 7 --

(1) Establish the run.
(2) Continue to establish the run.
(3) Repeat unless third-and-long, in which case you're screwed.

Because of how Minnesota called this game, there's very little I can tell you about their offense that hasn't already been covered above. The offensive line looked quite good against an overmatched SJSU outfit, especially left guard Zac Epping, who nearly got the "dangerman" section above and is featured in the forthcoming play breakdown—he moved SJSU's defensive tackles pretty much wherever he wanted. In general, the O-line did well blocking for the run and getting those critical second-level blocks on their many inside zone plays.

With the lack of pass attempts—and how surprising they were—it's very hard to say how good this Minnesota team is at pass blocking. They gave Streveler a nice pocket to work with, though as mentioned above, he didn't always use it to good effect:

Streveler looks to his first read, comes off of it immediately, and barrels into the line even though he has a totally clean pocket; as he's pulling the ball down, the slot receiver running the stick route actually manages to complete his route and has nice separation, but it doesn't matter because Streveler went into panic mode for no reason.

There may be a weak spot at right tackle. Ben Lauer and Jonah Pirsig have both reportedly been dinged up at points this season, and Lauer took over the starting job after Pirsig took the first snap in the prior three games; right now they're both rotating into the game, which usually isn't a great sign when not going against the San Jose States of the college football world.

The receivers, in limited opportunities, didn't impress. Jones, the #1 wideout who has all of six catches this year (tied with Maxxxxx for the team lead!), got jammed silly by a SJSU corner in the play GIF'd earlier in the post. Maye, the nominal #2 wideout—he also plays the slot when back receivers Drew Wolitarsky or Isaac Freuchte enter, though Wolitarsky sometimes motions to the H-back spot—dropped two catchable, albeit tough, passes. The tight end totally disappeared from the offense as anything other than a blocker with Williams sidelined.

Michigan should be able to stop this team cold. The run defense has been stellar this year, and the Wolverines can safely put their corners on an island and key heavily on shutting down Cobb and Streveler (or Leidner, if he's healthy—the offense will get more pass-oriented with him in but not by much). Williams will be limited if he plays at all, which takes away Minnesota's only real receiving threat. If the offense comes remotely close to holding up their end of the bargain, the Gophers shouldn't find much success in terms of yardage or score.

PLAY BREAKDOWN

Minnesota did throw in the occasional zone stretch for good measure, and this one shows off Zac Epping's strength at left guard. The Gophers are in their usual shotgun with a less-usual trips look to the field side; as most teams prefer, they'll run to the boundary.

On the snap, the entire line steps in unison to the left, the telltale sign of a zone run:

Often the left guard—Epping—will get help on the defensive tackle via a quick double-team from the center before the center heads to the second level, but on this play the center goes towards the MIKE immediately while Epping is momentarily stood up by his mark. The tight end has already sealed the playside DE successfully, while the left tackle is headed towards the playside OLB; the right side of the line, meanwhile, has already created a crease by walling off the inside:

The left tackle gets his seal on the linebacker, while Epping recovers to start bulling the DT towards the numbers, creating a huge crease just outside the far hash:

Everyone holds their block, Epping ultimately drives his guy all the way to the numbers, and Cobb has a huge lane to waltz through for a first down pickup and more:

Video:

San Jose State or not, that's great blocking. Epping did this repeatedly; he'll be a major test for Michigan's interior D-linemen, who thus far have acquitted themselves very well.

Comments

brewandbluesaturdays

September 25th, 2014 at 12:06 PM ^

Thanks for doing these. I truly enjoy them and they help make me more in tune for the game with a good look at what I can expect the opposition to do. 

This is a game where I feel as our strength so far - Rush defense - can truly help us overcome our offensive ineptitude. Minnesota shouldn't really be able to move the ball on M in big chunks or consistently enough to come away with a W.

Here's to hoping for the team rallying behind the coach and coming out and making however strong a statement one can make against Minnesota. 

Space Coyote

September 25th, 2014 at 12:07 PM ^

But always be aware of the jet sweep. Jet sweeps and bubble screens are really the only way Minnesota can threaten the edge. If Edwards plays, he'll be the go to guy (I think he's been banged up a bit), but they'll include some other receivers as well. Cobb and the QB are pretty between the tackles guys, and the backup RB (who started last year before injury, who I didn't think was as good as Cobb or even close to it) is even more Power-ish.

Michigan ran quite a bit of Under front in the scrimmages (fall and spring) against their own personnel, which is closer to Minnesota's. I think the under front would cause quite a few problems for Minnesota's run attack, so it'll be interesting to see if and how much Mattison utilizes it this Saturday.

Ace

September 25th, 2014 at 12:09 PM ^

...they ran one jet sweep with Edwards in this game (very short gain) and faked one or two more. The other RB backup—Rodrick Williams, the aforementioned former starter—only saw action on special teams; he's been almost entirely phased out of their gameplan, it appears. Cobb took just about every snap.

Oh, and no bubble screens or even fakes in this game. I know they're in the offense with Leidner, so I can only assume Streveler isn't very comfortable throwing them; either that or with how well the run game was going they just didn't need a constraint play at all.

Evil Empire

September 25th, 2014 at 2:01 PM ^

That was one of the "security questions" just posed to me when I was setting up access to a work-related website.  I was tempted to pick that option and my answer would have been "Greg Robinson, J. Ira and Nicki Harris Family Head Football Coach."  Talk about a case of The Jibblies.

 

 

Space Coyote

September 25th, 2014 at 12:54 PM ^

But Miami isn't the worst team in the FBS this year, in fact, they probably aren't even in the bottom 10 or whatever. They just lost by 7 at Cinci 31-24 (their MAC foe, Toledo, lost by like 24 to the Bearcats), a game in which their total yards was within 6 of Cinci. Miami is far from being a good team, but they also aren't the team from the last two years. In other words, they're no SMU.

Now, SJSU isn't really any worse than Miami either, so there's that.

MI Expat NY

September 25th, 2014 at 1:34 PM ^

Who was high and mighty?  Didn't even say we'd win.  Just that I feel much better when examining Minnesota's resume and realizing that they may be even more inept on offense than we are.  And I feel pretty comfortable in saying that we're better on defense.  I feel better than I did immediately after the Utah game, doesn't mean I think we'll win by 3 TDs.  

Naked Bootlegger

September 25th, 2014 at 12:46 PM ^

I had no idea that we was gainfully employed by SJSU.  He can always hang his hat on those Denver Broncos golden years.  I guess this is how he gets any jobs after his UM - and Texas - tenure?

cjpops

September 25th, 2014 at 1:11 PM ^

"If he's the quarterback and Minnesota falls behind in the second half, it'll be serious trouble for the Gophers."

Given how Michigan has come out of the gate this year...I don't think this is a high possibility. Unless of course they pull together and play inspired to tacitly defend the public/media/former player assault on their head coach. Here's hoping! :)

treetown

September 25th, 2014 at 2:43 PM ^

Great pre-game piece.

The constant re-surfacing of our former DC at some quality places is a testament to:

a. His fine networking abilities - he may have some fans ready to chase him with torches and pitchforks but among the coaching fraternity he has support.

b. The insular nature of the coaching game - if you are on the inside of the right cliques you'll find a job.

This game isn't just about the Minnesota running game versus the Michigan run defense it matches a Gopher team that is inferior in talent but solidly behind Coach Kill against a Wolverine team (which on paper is much more capable) but who are in the middle of a real tough period for their self-confidence and faith in the team. I hope we get ahead early and force them to throw.

It looks like the third "test" game before MSU, PSU or OSU!

The Notre Dame game showed we aren't really to play a big name team away.

The Utah game was winnable but showed collectively the team isn't  strong enough to put away what looks like a 5th best team in the PAC-12 (after USC, UCLA, Stanford, Oregon).

Win this game and it shows we can still play a role in the Big Ten race. If the Minnesota game slips away I worry about the remainder of the season and getting to winning season would be an accomplishment.

Go Blue!

alum96

September 25th, 2014 at 2:59 PM ^

Utah is not the 5th best team in the Pac 12 fergodsakes.  This is like the people who said "maybe ND is really a playoff team - playing 19 FR and RS FR - missing 6 players due to suspenion or injury" just because they beat us.

I think 2 players from Utah would start for UCLA or USC.  Maybe 3 tops.

alum96

September 25th, 2014 at 2:55 PM ^

Leidner has a bum knee and a bum foot.  I do hope he plays at this point, he is probably 60% as mobile as the backup.  And throws at a sterling 48% completion rate.  A running QB who has injuries (multiple) to his legs works fine for me.

TCU held Cobb to under 50 yards.  If our run defense is all that and a bag of chips he should not get more than 70.