Fee Fi Foe Film: Miami (NTM) Comment Count

Ace


this hat is rather uncomfortable

I won't pretend that I pored over extensive video of Miami (NTM), a team that hasn't won a football game since October of 2012 and last week lost to Eastern Kentucky, which as a result vaulted into the final spot of the Coaches Poll... for the FCS. I sat through a decent chunk of Miami's opening-week loss to Marshall before Brian told me to stop for my own good; by this point, I'd already heard the ESPN3 announcer talk up Marshall's chances of making the CoFoPoff, so the damage was already done.

So, yeah, this post is abbreviated this week, and as a result I've combined the offense and defense; if we're really at the point where poring over every snap of a team that's lost 18 straight games is meaningful, these posts are going to take a dark durn.

OFFENSE

Personnel. The diagram returns, thanks to Seth, and now includes a "key backups" section [click to embiggen].

Miami will empty their backfield on a regular basis; reserve receiver Rokeem Williams is second on the team in both receptions (9) and yards (204) by quite some distance.

Spread, Pro-Style, or Hybrid? Spread-to-pass. This would've been a really nice team to play in week one; head coach Chuck Martin served as Notre Dame's offensive coordinator and QBs coach for the last two years, and he'd prevoiusly been on Brian Kelly's staff at Grand Valley State before taking over as their head coach when Kelly left for Central. The offense Martin runs is stylistically and schematically very similar to Kelly's; it's effectiveness is a work-in-progress.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the breakdown.]

Basketball on Grass or MANBALL? Miami appeared to run a higher percentage of zone blocking than Notre Dame; they're not afraid to utilize the quarterback in the running game and they try to get the ball to receiver Dawan Scott—a high school running back—on jet sweeps. Marshall was all over those, though.

Hurry it up or grind it out? The RedHawks were one of the slowest teams in the country last year; now, in their first year under Martin, they've picked up the pace dramatically, running 85 plays against Marshall and 90 against EKU.

Quarterback Dilithium Level (Scale: 1 [Navarre] to 10 [Denard]): Grad-year Notre Dame transfer Andrew Hendrix finally has a starting gig, albeit not at the school he initially planned, and his legs are featured heavily in the offense. Despite this, he doesn't wow with his athleticism—I'd give him a five here. Hendrix is capable of taking what the defense gives him, but he's not a guy who's going to make many defenders miss in the open field, and he doesn't get much open field to work with in the first place.

Dangerman: In an offense that lacks weapons, I'll give this to top receiver David Frazier, who leads the team with 13 receptions and 215 receiving yards. He plays bigger than his listed 6'0", 180, and plays the ball well in the air even though he often has a difficult time getting separation from defensive backs—this is a pretty good example:

That works when Hendrix is on his game—Rokeem Williams had a couple similar deep catches against good coverage whe he put the ball in just the right place—and not so much when he isn't.

HenneChart: No actual chart this week, because that seemed excessive. Hendrix has been pretty erratic while getting a ton of work trying to make up for the lack of a decent running game; in just two games this season, he's 49-of-101 (48.5%) on 6.7 YPA, with 4 INTs offsetting his 4 TDs. Three of those four picks came against Eastern Kentucky; the interception against Marshall was a Tommy Rees throw-against-your-body-on-the-run special:

I guess that's to be expected from a quarterback who could not surpass Tommy Rees on the depth chart for four years.

OVERVIEW

It all starts up front, and that's bad news for Miami, since their offensive line isn't particularly effective. The RedHawks got blown up on a couple fourth down attempts because their line couldn't prevent Marshall from surging into the backfield:

That was actually a better effort than their first fourth-down attempt, when Hendrix got cracked by a free hitter after a play-action fake. Miami gave up four sacks for 27 yards, allowed 23 more negative yards on tackles for loss, and had a tough time opening up room for their running backs.

Even worse, the backs didn't look like they knew what to do when they had openings. This was actually third-and-five (ESPN3's scoreboard was, um, erratic), and RB Spencer Treadwell had this gaping hole on the left side of the line:

See the linebacker standing totally still on the far hash at the 12-yard line? He managed to pull down Treadwell (the guy in the giant hole) a yard short of the first-down marker at the 14-yard line. Last week, with sacks removed, the RedHawks averaged 2.8 YPC against Eastern Kentucky. It's an all-around effort.

Frazier is the most dangerous receiver, while Williams is also capable of utilizing his ball skills to make big plays down the field. Dawan Scott, who was the team's top non-QB rusher last season despite lining up as a receiver, doesn't threaten much downfield but is used freqently on jet sweeps and the like—his four carries against Marshall went for negative-two yards, however, as the offensive line couldn't prevent penetration even against three-man rushes.

DEFENSE

Personnel. Diagram goes here [click to embiggen].

Base Set? Miami plays a 4-3 over of sorts, though it's really a base nickel package with Notre Dame transfer Lo Wood listed as a hilariously undersized outside linebacker. Even when Marshall went four-wide—which was frequently—Miami stuck to their base personnel, shading safeties over slot receivers as necessary.

Man or zone coverage? Mostly zone until the red zone, when Miami ran more man and got burned routinely, mostly by the tight end matched up against the strong safety, Jay Mastin. If Jake Butt is truly healthy, we should know on Saturday.

Pressure: GERG or Greg? Miami got burned on an aggressive third-down zone blitz early and got pretty darn conservative after that, sending a lot of three-man rushes towards Marshall QB Rakeem Cato, who took the opportunity to pick apart an overmatched secondary.

Dangerman: DE Bryson Albright, though this is largely by default. Albright led the team last season with 11.5 TFLs and four sacks, and he came through against Marshall with a nice speed rush around the left tackle to take down Cato. The other bookend of the defensive line, J'Terius Jones, had far better numbers against Marshall, but that seemed like the result of the Herd running right at him on many occasions.

OVERVIEW

The line got pushed around by a Marshall squad much better known for its passing than running. That'll happen when both defensive ends weigh in the 245-pound range. This is a run off the left tackle and a solid representation of the type of movement Marshall got against Miami's line all day:

That's a defensive end getting buried six yards behind the line of scrimmage. As for the interior of the defense...

...oh. That's not good.

If Alright isn't the defense's top player, it's MIKE Kent Kern, who manages to be around the football a lot despite playing behind that line. He spends a lot of time cleaning up runs five yards downfield when he's not getting bashed in the chest by a free-releasing guard.

Miami's number one corner, meanwhile, started for the last four years... at point guard. On the basketball team. It's his first year on the football team. Their defensive backfield is pretty large—the former hoopster is actually the smaller of the two corners—but Miami isn't comfortable sticking them in press man. Here's a fun screenshot:

Marshall hit the slot receiver to the far side on a bubble screen that netted an easy eight yards on first down because look at all that grass.

This game should look a whole lot like the season opener, and if it doesn't, that should be a major concern.

Comments

reshp1

September 11th, 2014 at 1:43 PM ^

This game scares me not because I think we'll lose, but because Miami will exploit our weaknesses with their strengths and it will look probably uglier than it should for a 0-18 team.

On the flip side, the similarity to ND will be a good chance for the D to revisit and work on those said weaknesses. Like the Horror, you can't ever erase what happened last week, but if we look like we have an answer to spread to pass teams, it'll be a boost to the team's confidence, even if it isn't to fans.

maize-blue

September 11th, 2014 at 2:07 PM ^

I have the same thoughts and am slightly concerned that it could be a closer game than it should. I kind of actually hope Miami is tougher than their 0-18 record so that UM has to work hard to take care of business instead of rolling them easy and lulling us into another false sense of security.

In reply to by ijohnb

bronxblue

September 11th, 2014 at 2:03 PM ^

I know its fashionable to worry about games like this, but Akron has been pretty good under Tubberville since he showed up.  Miami is a trainwreck, and UM should roll them without breaking much a sweat.

ijohnb

September 11th, 2014 at 2:22 PM ^

there was no history to support such worry, I would not worry.  I worry not to be fashionable, but because "Oh my god we are going to lose to __________?!" has taken place one too many times in my household for me to think that any game is in the bag.

DonAZ

September 11th, 2014 at 5:31 PM ^

"Miami is a trainwreck, and UM should roll them without breaking much a sweat."

I think so too ... but I'm worried all the same.

My worry is not about the final score ... my worry is about whether this game is going to expose problems related to team cohesion, determination and focus.

We talk of whether Hoke has control of this team ... whether there's fire in the belly of the team.  Well, Saturday's game is going to be an indicator, I think.

Good sign: the players come out pretty focused ... not joking around ... but looking like a team with a job to do.

Bad sign: the players come out and seem too loose, with too much joking around.  If we see little things like being slow coming on and off the field, missed arm tackles, silly penalties, or players on the sideline not paying attention to the game ... then I get worried.

After the ND game last week ... and the -- let's be frank, the embarrassment on the national stage -- this team should come out with a look in their eye like they have something to prove.  Not with flashy plays and hot-dogging ... but with that cold, relentless focus on execution that mark the better teams.  If I see that, then there's fire in the belly and Hoke has this team in the right direction.

That's my worry.  I hope we see Michigan come out and destroy them in a way that Brian's UFR is mostly +'s with only a few -'s.  But I worry that maybe we won't.

MGolem

September 11th, 2014 at 1:49 PM ^

The d-line, especially Henry, is going to go HAM on this o-line and as a result Miami won't do much of anything in terms of offense. We are at home, chances are we will look very good.

reshp1

September 11th, 2014 at 9:09 PM ^

If their passing game can 1-2-3-gone it like ND did because our DBs still can't stick close in man coverage, it may not matter. I have a feeling they'll fix things in the week off. Any assertions of the game "passing Mattison by" are premature. One of my bets in the bets for charity thread (shameless plug) is that the secondary would have 2 or more picks this week. I'm banking on Miami rolling in with ND's game plan and playing right into our adjustments.

BlueKoj

September 11th, 2014 at 2:03 PM ^

I would have a star in front for JMFR. I know he's a year removed from that, and there are questions about his move to the middle...but he should have a star.

MGoRob

September 11th, 2014 at 2:58 PM ^

I tend to agree.  JMFR should have a star.  How could he not if he was considered the #1 LB for 2014 according to 247sports? Link.  I know, I know.  He's moved to MLB and has been sub-par at the new position.  But the season hasn't even finished, I don't think you can take away his "star" status quite yet.

A little less surprised that Frank Clark didn't get one, but I can understand that logic.

TheFugitive

September 11th, 2014 at 2:04 PM ^

Keys to victory:
O line, keep opening holes and the RBs will find them (TWSS)
D line pressures the QB
At least try press coverage

Yeoman

September 11th, 2014 at 2:07 PM ^

They lost three fumbles, threw three interceptions, missed two field goals. They had four drives of at least ten plays and out of those four drives they got three points total. They had a ten-play drive only go for 26 yards, they had a 12-play, 73-yard drive end in no points, they had a 16-play drive for their field goal.

On second look, one of those long drives was split into two, officially, when EKU fumbled a fumble return. By rule that's a zero-play possession for EKU and the next play for Miami starts a new drive even though the offense never left the field.

http://www.muredhawks.com/ViewContent.dbml?CONTENT_ID=971677&DB_OEM_ID=…

OxfordBlue24

September 11th, 2014 at 2:16 PM ^

After hearing about Miami's first game from friends who were there ( I was at home watching Michigan vs App St.), and sitting miserably through their second game against EKU, I'd have to say Miami very well could be worse than Appalachian State. I'd say expect a blowout worse than week 1, but who knows after last week's debacle. 

alum96

September 11th, 2014 at 3:23 PM ^

This was potentially the worst team in Div 1 last year.  If not the worst, bottom 3.  Yes new coach, new QB but child please if this  is even slightly competitive...