Fall Camp Storylines: Offense Comment Count

Brian

It's submarine time. Yea, the beat writers will rend their garments and republish articles about Clayton Richard from ten years ago. Insider rumblings of wildly varying utility will leak out in drips and drabs. Half of them will be outright falsehoods. A quarter will be somewhat true. A quarter will be very true.

As per usual, I enter this month of the season frantically assembling data for the season preview; fall camp chatter will factor in as it always does. Here are the things I'm hoping to hear, the things that I'm hoping are never said, and ridiculous things I'll dismiss out of hand.

QUARTERBACK

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[Bryan Fuller]

STATUS: Wilton Speight exited spring with a slight lead on John O'Korn, at least per spring draft and practice snap order. Even if that means more than "we want to motivate a guy" it's a 51/49 situation. It's all up for grabs.

THING YOU WANT TO HEAR: Someone is taking the job forcefully. Which guy doesn't matter so much. One of them grabbing the job by the throat, whoever that happens to be, is preferable. I'd prefer that gent is O'Korn since I think his mobility and arm strength gives him greater upside but if Speight is going to defy the Curse of Borges with authority, fine. Authority. This is the goal.

THING YOU DON'T WANT TO HEAR: "Brandon Peters really has a shot!" No offense intended, but the two leaders coming back to the pack would not be a good sign. Meanwhile true freshman anything is never great. I am open to hearing further encouraging things about Peters's future. Present not so much.

THING I WILL DISMISS OUT OF HAND: "Shane Morris really has a shot!" Morris was at best equal to Speight going into last season when Michigan agreed to redshirt him; Speight now has an extra slice of on-field experience and should improve more since he's younger. Also they put him at WR in the spring game.

RUNNING BACK

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[Eric Upchurch]

STATUS: It's De'Veon Smith's job. Not his job to lose, his job. Smith's injury history—he was banged up all last year—and Harbaugh's tendency to play multiple tailbacks at once mean that the #2 and #3 guys will still be important.

THING YOU WANT TO HEAR: Ty Isaac remains on a rampage. With Smith getting he's-the-man rest, the story of spring practice was the emergence of a "rougher, tougher" Ty Isaac. His outside burst picked up piles of yards in the spring game, culminating in a run where he tacked on an extra 15 by outrunning Jabrill Peppers in the open field. That's something nobody managed all of last year, off balance or not. There's still a five star in there somewhere. The best possible news from camp would be Isaac looking like it.

THING YOU DON'T WANT TO HEAR: Smith is banged up and not practicing. It's not a coincidence that Smith's killer Citrus Bowl came after a month off. He missed the Maryland game and was limited in a few others because his pounding style racks up nagging injuries. His absence in the spring was as much precaution as triumph.

THING I WILL DISMISS OUT OF HAND: Someone insisting that Drake Johnson did not have a) a house land on him, 2) a gang of radioactive bikers abduct his dog, c) a mouth that spews nothing but sass grow on his finger, or d) all of the above.

WIDE RECEIVER

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[Eric Upchurch]

STATUS: Darboh, Chesson, and Perry are your dudes, with a side of Peppers no one will talk about.

THING YOU WANT TO HEAR: "Gotdang, Moe Ways can play." The two outside starters are established so nothing we hear about them will mean much relative to all the stuff we've seen on an actual field. Ways is coming off a lot of spring hype we didn't get to see ourselves thanks to a foot injury late in spring practice. He's the best bet for a solid #3 this year and a smooth transition to the next generation in 2017.

THING YOU DON'T WANT TO HEAR: There are lingering Chesson PCL issues. Chances of this are low since the injury happened eight months ago, but WR is one of a couple positions where an injured starter is a big big deal.

THING I WILL DISMISS OUT OF HAND: Freshman X is going to have a big role. He ain't. Darboh, Chesson, Perry, and Butt are back. Michigan had no slot receiver a year ago and Grant Perry caught 105 passes as a high school senior and it still took him until the bowl game to be a major contributor. Freshman wide receivers suck.

I will accept "Eddie McDoom looks like a guy who can play a lot in 2017."

TIGHT END

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[Bryan Fuller]

STATUS: lol all the dudes

THING YOU WANT TO HEAR: "Ian Bunting's Citrus Bowl was no fluke." Bunting flashed a surprising ability to whack dudes in the bowl game, and if he can continue that he'll be on the field with Jake Butt a lot. That is a tent-your-fingers situation there.

I have a runner up here, and that is "Ty Wheatley Jr has re-emerged from the sea after destroying Tokyo."

THING YOU DON'T WANT TO HEAR: "Henry Poggi is still missing blocks." To clarify, I expect to hear almost literally nothing about Poggi during fall camp because he is a fullback/H-back. I expect to hear even less about his specific ability to ID the man he should go hit in the chaos of camp. But if we were to hear that I would not be having a good time. Poggi has high upside as a blocker; the main thing that prevented him from hitting that a year ago was finding the right guy.

THING I WILL DISMISS OUT OF HAND: Further chatter about Sean McKeon playing this year. There was a consistent drumbeat that this was a possibility during spring; one glance at the depth chart should dispel all such notions.

OFFENSIVE LINE

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[Eric Upchurch]

STATUS: Harbaugh announced Grant Newsome as a sure starter at media day. Oddly, he still maintained that the rest of the line—three fifth year seniors and Mason Cole—wasn't set. But, I mean, it's basically set.

THING YOU WANT TO HEAR: Year two in the same system with the same coaches is a revelation. Michigan had a lot of problems executing their assignments in front of the ever-shifting fronts defenses will throw at them. Some of this is expected. They've had three offensive coordinators over the last three years. This is the first time in their playing careers that they have an opportunity to build on something they already know.

THING YOU DON'T WANT TO HEAR: "Rueben Jones is tearing Grant Newsome up." Newsome got worked this spring. Getting worked by Taco Charlton is one thing. Getting worked by a Chase Winovich freshly moved from offense is another. Both happened. Newsome has the frame and mental ability to get there at left tackle; there are going to be hairy moments. Newsome getting negative reviews would be alarming since it appears there are few or no alternatives.

THING I WILL DISMISS OUT OF HAND: One of the three seniors is going to get benched. I know that possibility is the direct implication of Harbaugh's media day press conference, but I'd be flabbergasted if Dawson, Kugler or Bredeson managed to slide past any of them. Dawson and Kugler have had their shots the last few camps, and true freshmen are true freshmen. You can point to Mason Cole if you like but as a reminder, Mason Cole's main job as a freshman was to survive by the skin of his teeth. He did that; his performance wasn't any better than Kyle Kalis's projects to be this fall.

There is a version of this that wouldn't be dismissed and would be another thing you want to hear: a couple guys are pushing the seniors and are at least some threat to unseat a guy. Michigan's OL depth right now is questionable and it's more questionable going into next year. Being able to pencil someone in at a couple of the vacancies would be reassuring.

Comments

skurnie

August 9th, 2016 at 12:14 PM ^

Brian mentioned Asiasi on Friday night at the HTTV thing at Circus and I believe he mentioned he could play simply based on size/ability. Feel free to correct me if I didn't get that right, Brian. 

I'd be surprised if he was redshirted, especially given Harbaugh's love for TE's. 

ND Sux

August 10th, 2016 at 10:24 AM ^

(presumably) ahead of him, a redshirt sounds likely, barring injury.  I would not be surprised to see Wheatley deployed as a goal-line / short-yardage William "the fridge" Perry type fullback. 

Gobluecheese

August 9th, 2016 at 12:14 PM ^

Kingston Davis is huge, and fast (apparently). Any chance he plays special teams, and if he does, does that make him more likely to get a snap or two in the backfield? What do you think the playing chances are for other young backs?

EGD

August 9th, 2016 at 12:29 PM ^

Any chance Newsome starts at right tackle and Magnuson moves to LT?  I am just wondering because it seems like Newsome's strength is his run blocking and his weakness is pass pro.

Lanknows

August 9th, 2016 at 12:43 PM ^

Last year's OL was "left-handed", so if you put the better run-blocker on the right would you then also flip Braden and Kalis so that you can run "right-handed"?

I think there's something to be said for having consistency along the OL.  It would be ideal if Newsome could lock down the LT spot for the next 3 years, even if he takes a few lumps early in 2016.

L'Carpetron Do…

August 9th, 2016 at 12:29 PM ^

Really fun post.  Got me psyched!  I would like to see Drake Harris get more into the mix, but I guess it'll be nice to have him, Mo Ways and McDOOM for next year.  I'd like to see them get some time on the field this year, especially if we're going to see some early season blow-outs...

Prince Lover

August 9th, 2016 at 12:38 PM ^

I ask for an apparel version. Status: we are Nike/Jordan now. Things you want to hear: football. Nothing but football. A healthy scoop of basketball is good too, and sprinkle in some of the other sports. Things you don't want to hear: anything that deviates from things we want to hear. Things I will dismiss out of hand: anything that deviates from things we want to hear. We are soooo close! Hallelujah! Go Blue!!

Santa Clause

August 9th, 2016 at 12:41 PM ^

I disagree with Brian's assessment that everything true freshman is bad. Henne and Hart worked out pretty well, and a modern example being Calvin Ridley for Alabama and Miles Garrett for Texas AM.

Lanknows

August 9th, 2016 at 12:50 PM ^

While examples of freshman WR being successful at Michigan are limited (Odoms, Manningham) there are plenty across the country every year.  Darboh and Chesson aside, Hoke's WR recruiting was weak and last year's class thin.  The 2016 class meanwhile is loaded with not only numbers but talent and speed.

Perry looks like a lock to be a major contributor over the next 3 years but it has to be noted that he didn't face much competition. Even after his Utah screwups he hung around the lineup (contrast with post-fumble Ty Isaac treatment).  Perry's a quality contributor, but he's not a game-breaking playmaker.

There's an opportunity for dangerous threat to emerge.  With so many speedy freshman added to the roster the probability of one of them making an instant contribution is high.  How quickly they contribute may boil down to how enthusiastic (and reliable) they are as blockers.

I'll be looking for reports about Crawford, McDoom, Johnson, etc. and hoping we hear that one of them WILL play a role this year.

dragonchild

August 9th, 2016 at 12:56 PM ^

Harbaugh likes competition everywhere so no freshmen are ruled out, but I don't see them catching Perry even midway through the upcoming season.  The guy most likely to push Perry for SLOT snaps out of Fall Camp is Jourdan Lewis.

Lanknows

August 9th, 2016 at 1:04 PM ^

But if you have a freshman who can produce on that level you spare them the risk and save that for MSU.

This incoming class is on another level from the Hoke-recruits. I think people are sleeping on them a bit because our recent recruits have either been raw, unimpressive, or both.  Crawford and company have the talent of Chesson and Darboh and the ready-to-play polish of Perry.  And since we should have a lot of snaps available to backups in the early season, I would guess those guys get an immediate opportunity to impress.

There's not going to be a lot of receptions to go around, but I think Perry will face a real challenge for the 3rd WR spot and the 4th WR spot could see Ways/Harris get leap-frogged quickly.

dragonchild

August 9th, 2016 at 1:20 PM ^

REAL challenge is exactly what Harbaugh wants, though.  "Iron sharpens iron."  He wants a dude behind Perry.  As long as the threat of competition motivates Perry to practice & play at a high level, though, I don't think Harbaugh's in a hurry to get a freshman out there.  If a freshman happens to outplay Perry then Harbaugh won't hesitate, but I don't think he'd be happy about it either because that more likely means Perry plateaued than a freshman blew up.

I think it's Lewis because while I agree that Harbaugh would prefer to avoid the risk early in the season, he's likely to be a more immediate challenge while the freshmen are still getting used to the college game.  He has basically nothing left to learn as a college CB so he's probably repping quite a bit on offense already.

Agreed that you may see some rotation in blowouts just to keep the freshmen hungry but I wouldn't read much into that.  As you say, we don't go 3-/4-wide much and if the score's close they'll go with the proven hand.

Lanknows

August 9th, 2016 at 1:55 PM ^

Perry will have a year on the incoming freshman, but their recruiting profiles are significantly more impressive.  That doesn't mean anything necessarily, but there's also the quantity factor that increases the probability of Perry getting passed by a bigger talent.

We'll see, but that issue may be beside the point for freshman playingtime. I don't think Perry vs Freshman (or Lewis/Pepeprs) is the real issue in that regard. It's up to Harris/Ways to show that THEY deserve to be the guy projected to start next year (alongside Perry).  As with J.Wilson, they'll want to get somebodies feet wet for a potential starting job next year, unless the heirarchy is well enough established to make it clearly unncessary.

So to me it's about Harris/Ways vs. Freshman in these presumed blowout situations.  (which keep in mind will also be an opportunity for the backup QB to impress as well - I don't think we'll see as much clock-killing run run run as we saw in the Carr era.) 

Ways and Harris have to step up. Perry has to dig in.  The freshman are coming for 'em.

 

dragonchild

August 9th, 2016 at 2:15 PM ^

"Behind" Perry is an assumption, yes.  I think it's a safe one though.  No matter how polished or talented the freshmen are, it's their first year in a new and very complicated offense.

Outside I think is more wide open, but less interesting in a bad way.  I don't see Lewis or Peppers lining up out there except for some frippery, while Harris and Ways are running out of time to become dudes.  Darboh and Chesson are excellent but we can't just have "depth" behind them.  If the freshmen get PT there, it'll be most certainly because they're looking for someone and not because they found a dude.

Pepto Bismol

August 9th, 2016 at 2:13 PM ^

http://mgoblog.com/content/media-day-8-7-16-jim-harbaugh

Jourdan wants to play offense.  Harbaugh addressed it and talked about Lewis being a "3-way" player.  Asked if anybody else has potential to play both ways, Harbaugh basically said "Just Peppers and Lewis right now".  Nothing definitive, but if I were a betting man, I'd put money on Lewis getting some snaps on offense.