Coaching Candidates Part 1: The Power 5 Comment Count

Brian

WELP. When you're a four point dog to Rutgers it's time to start keeping an eye on potential new head coaches.

Pipedreams

Jim Harbaugh, John Harbaugh, Kevin Sumlin, and various others are not discussed because you know who those people are and it's unlikely Michigan secures them. They're passed over primarily because they're obviously desirable. You don't need to be told Jim Harbaugh seems like a good idea.

Too old

It's not worth the risk to hire anyone approaching retirement except in very specific circumstances like "this is the only head coach we've ever been any good under"—looking at you, Kansas State. So out go David Cutcliffe (60), Mike Riley (61), Gary Pinkel (62), and, uh, Kirk Ferentz (59), because it would be ULTIMATE MICHIGAN to go after Kirk Ferentz. I'd take Art Briles in a hot second even though he's 58, but he's also lumped in here or pipedreams since he seems impossible to pry out of Waco. 61-year-old Les Miles is also in this group. If he had a time, it was 2007. I'm not saying there's no chance… but there isn't much of one. And you already know all about him anyway.

Gentlemen of note, then.

Power 5 Head Coaches

Look before we name a name you're going to be all like "oh what if Michigan is a poor cultural fit with the spread shouldn't we go get a pro-style guy or something"… there just aren't many to consider. I included the obvious guy.

10987976-large[1]DAN MULLEN, MISSISSIPPI STATE

BASICS: 40-28 in his sixth season in Starkville. SEC record 17-24, which is actually rather good for a Bulldogs head coach. Was Urban Meyer's OC before that, and his QB coach at BGSU and Utah. 42.

PROS: Turned previously inept MSU into decent program. Young. High level experience in recruiting wars and as national-championship-level OC.

CONS: Has acquired a great deal of his wins against tomato-can laden nonconference schedule and still struggles to win half his SEC games. Reaction to recent suspension of starting OL for multiple in-game stomping incidents was from the Dave Brandon school of PR.

OVERALL: Desirability on a knife edge right now. If he follows up LSU win with season that sees Mississippi State end up a solid top 25 program he will be a hot name. Slip down to the 7/8 win level he's been at and it's questionable.

 

 

Mike-Gundy[1]MIKE GUNDY, OKLAHOMA STATE

BASICS: Is a man. Is 47. In his tenth season at Okie State, 80-39 record with one Big Twelve championship and Fiesta Bowl win; two other ten-win seasons. Before that was Les Miles's OC.

PROS: Good coach who can insert any sentient being at quarterback and see that guy/spaceplant pass for 300 yards. Young for a guy with a decade as a head coach. Knows what he wants his program to be.

CONS: Availability questionable. Is currently at alma mater and has T. Boone backing him. Last time Michigan pried a dude away from his alma mater things went poorly, partially because of the reputation a man acquires when he leaves his home base. May not have left Oklahoma except for road games in 30 years.

OVERALL: If you can get him, hell yes. Probably can't get him.

[After THE JUMP: the last manball unicorn]

TODD GRAHAM, ARIZONA STATE

810436197[1]

BASICS: Been a head coach since 2006 at four different stops including one-year stints at Rice and Pitt. Had three ten-win seasons with Tulsa, guided ASU to a 10-4 season with an 8-1 Pac 12 record last year. 21-10 so far in his career. Before that was the DC at Tulsa. 49.

PROS: Successful everywhere he's been that he was at for more than a year. Despite defensive orientation, runs effective, high tempo offenses.

CONS: Wears Britney Spears mic on sidelines. Inveterate job-hopper. Bad haircut.

OVERALL: Bo would die again if Michigan had a guy with that mic.

628x471[1]DAVID SHAW, STANFORD

BASICS: 37-8 in three years as Stanford's head coach with three BCS appearances. was Harbaugh's OC for four years prior to that and his WR/QB coach at San Diego. Before that was an NFL assistant with the Raiders and Ravens. 42. Seems poachable what with Stanford's attendance struggles and his relatively modest salary.

PROS: The last manball unicorn. Literally the only successful pro-style college head coach who might be available. Great record, has plenty of experience coping with spread offenses, and in year four concerns that he's just riding Harbaugh's coattails are minimal. Operates in high academic environment; already proficient at selling the kind of guys who want to go to Michigan.

CONS: Punted from his own 29 in the midst of dominating USC and still losing to them, a Lloyd Carr callback I would prefer not to relive. Stanford alum experiencing great success at his alma mater, remember last time we poached guy from alma mater, etc.

OVERALL: Despite the punting thing and the boggling USC loss would be a hire that checks every last box. I'd live with the offense, assuming he could in fact implement it.

 

20ee92f8b9b904d9835584952a5e411e[1]BUTCH JONES, TENNESSEE

BASICS: Took over for Brian Kelly when he left CMU for Cincinnati, then took over for Brian Kelly when he left Cincinnati for Notre Dame. Improved both of those programs, with CMU having an undefeated MAC season en route to a 11-2 record and taking Cincinnati to two Big East Championships. 5-7 in his first year at Tennessee, currently 2-2. 46.

PROS: Age. Michigan native. Good amount of experience at places that are not naturally successful. Seems to have made Tennessee a lot better this year—they just about beat Georgia.

CONS: RR/Kelly associations may poison well both ways. Leaving Tennessee after two years would be a hard sell. Vols could match any offer.

OVERALL: If he is amenable to courting, I would court. Relying on M's historical place in the firmament over Tennessee's somewhat more dubious place in the cutthroat SEC to do so.

Kevin-Wilson[1]KEVIN WILSON, INDIANA

BASICS: Longtime OC at Miami (Not That Miami), Northwestern, and Oklahoma got the Indiana job in 2011. After 1-11 opener has turned IU into a chaos team that can win or lose any game with their lightning speed offense and horrendous defense. 52.

PROS: Indiana's offense.

CONS: Indiana's defense.

OVERALL: I'm not seeing it. Offense is pretty gimmicky, hasn't actually gotten to a bowl game. While I'm usually skeptical of arguments that the things that happen when your defense is off the field have a major impact on it, the extreme tempo that Indiana uses to be competitive is an exception.

OTHERS

NW's Pat Fitzgerald seemed more attractive four years ago. So did TCU's Gary Patterson. If Paul Chryst could actually put together a nice season for Pitt he'd be a guy to look at, but he hasn't so far. Randy Edsall might not be the worst idea in the world and how depressing is that? Al Golden might get sick of Miami, but his tenure so far isn't amazing. If Gary Andersen's amenable I'm interested; don't think that's likely. Oregon's Mark Helfrich is only paid 1.8 million dollars so Michigan could sniff around to secure him a nice raise. Bret Bielema… nevermind.

*shudders*

Comments

robpollard

October 1st, 2014 at 11:32 AM ^

If you are, I'm not saying that all. Gundy (as opposed to Hoke) did have the advantage that he and his AD were on the same page. They issued statements that matched up saying "We do things the right way. However, we've formed a commission to look into it" and 'poof', it went away.

As noted elsewhere, no one at OSU cared b/c a) a few of these allegations were readily sketchy and b) much more importantly, Gundy is winning. That makes a lot of issues get swept under the rug.

However, if UM wanted to hire him, that rug will get pulled out -- so that's why I highly doubt (amongst other reasons; as noted, Gundy is an Okla. guy and has plenty of money there) Gundy is an option. I think it's more likely we get either of the Harbaughs (and I don't think that's very likely at all) than Mike Gundy.

robpollard

October 1st, 2014 at 11:46 AM ^

I agree with that. I still think Hoke should be fired, but b/c he's a bad football coach. This year was his chance to show he had the program in the right direction, and even before the Shane incident, he blew it.

I just wanted to point out I think this "con" for Gundy makes him (along with the other reasons) part of the "pipe dream" area. He's not coming here for many, many reasons.

APBlue

October 1st, 2014 at 11:51 AM ^

Yeah, Hoke should be fired for performance.  If people point to the Morris situation as an added example of Brady being in over his head (unable to manage properly and make good decisions in a hectic situation), fine.

It's Brady's overall performance against rivals and Power 5 conference teams that should be his undoing.  

Zarniwoop

October 1st, 2014 at 11:16 AM ^

This is more than slightly depressing.

I'll still hope for Harbaugh. Maybe he's visited at night by a ghostly image that snarls at him and tells him to get his ass to Michigan or he'll never play again (Bo used the "you'll never play a down here again" many times on Harbs).  Seriously, I've caught myself googling "Harbaugh to michigan" more than once. I need help.

My biggest concern is this:

Why would ANY big name couach come here to have an AD sit in his pocket?  I can just see Brandy sitting in the film session with a notepad checking boxes and doodling block "M"s.

Why is it always that the general public sees the disaster years before the powers that be finally accept it as the truth?

Prediction: We don't get anyone on this list.

TraumaRN

October 1st, 2014 at 11:16 AM ^

Kind of a bleak assessment of things if not accurate. Didn't realize Oregon is underpaying Helfrich so much, he is certainly due for a pay raise, but given the welling being still poisoned due to RR, I doubt that is a possibility unfortunately. 

stephenrjking

October 1st, 2014 at 11:30 AM ^

Oregon has a rather wealthy backer who will pay whatever it takes to keep Helfrich if Helfrich is worth it. If Knight doesn't pony up, that's a sign that Helfrich isn't thought to be the engine driving the train, and the way they encouraged Mike Bellotti to make way for Chip Kelly shows they have a track record of getting that right. If Helfrich is available, it is a good sign that he's not going to cut it here.

So Helfrich is a Catch-22: If you can get him, you don't want him. If you want him, you can't get him.

TraumaRN

October 1st, 2014 at 11:16 AM ^

Kind of a bleak assessment of things if not accurate. Didn't realize Oregon is underpaying Helfrich so much, he is certainly due for a pay raise, but given the welling being still poisoned due to RR, I doubt that is a possibility unfortunately. 

BornInAA

October 1st, 2014 at 11:19 AM ^

This is way premature in my mind.

Michigan is going to drag their feet and give "a second last chance" to everyone.

Hoke / Brandon won't be gone until end of year. I am not sure Brandon goes at all, no matter what we want.

Nobody is going to leave their current team mid-season.

Who knows if the coaches above are going to be stinkers or look even better in 8 games.

Come January, the "pipedreams" situations may change too. 

stephenrjking

October 1st, 2014 at 11:32 AM ^

Gus is one of many coaches that I would take in a heartbeat but that has no chance of coming here. Zero. Michigan is simply not a good enough job right now to draw someone who is succeeding at a high level at a top SEC program, unless that coach has an existing tie to the school. 

jadaSPW

October 1st, 2014 at 11:19 AM ^

Hopefully Teryl Austin and Adam Gase get some recognition in Part II (or whichever part) that includes NFL coordinators.

Would be curious to hear opinion from friends-of-MGoBlog Todd Howard and Marlin Jackson who were coached by TA while he was Michigan's defensive backs coach from 99-02.

http://www.detroitlions.com/team/coaches/teryl-austin/c1f399df-75c7-411…

http://www.denverbroncos.com/team/coaches/Adam-Gase/cc4c3c3f-8bb4-41b0-…

bronxblue

October 1st, 2014 at 11:20 AM ^

Mullen seems like the best option, but as has been said here and elsewhere Florida is going to be tough to beat for his services if he keeps winning.  Gundy would be interesting, but there's a little Boone Pickens smell on him that makes me worried.  Shaw's a good guy 15 years ago; I'm worried about a unicorn being able to pull it off twice.  Though he does seem like a better recruiter than I expected.

 

APBlue

October 1st, 2014 at 11:31 AM ^

Maybe I'm a little (or more than a little) cynical, but everyone bends the rules to some extent.  Other than the SI thing that seems to have gone away (yay for adeptly handling a PR mess), there's never been any real recruiting issues that I've heard of.

However, I'm no Magnus when it comes to following recruiting, so take that FWIW, I suppose.  

Big_H

October 1st, 2014 at 11:22 AM ^

Just not really sure I'm in love with any of these canidates.. I like the thought of giving a couple of the guys a shot, BUT that's not what we need. Michigan's next hire has to be a upper echlon type. A big name.

 

Just hard to see who it could be.. or wonder who actually has interest. There is a chance one or two of these guys have a good interest in us.

raleighwood

October 1st, 2014 at 11:23 AM ^

I wouldn't discount Les Miles because of age (Steve Spurrier, Bill Snyder.....).  There are definitely reasons to be concerned.......age is not one of them.  I think that this could be the right time for Les for several reasons:

1.  He gets out of Saban's shadow.  Let's face it, Meyer's shadow isn't nearly as intimidating.

2.  Michigan is desperate.  So desperate that they may even match Saban-esque money

3.  It's easier to win in the B1G than it is in the SEC.

4.  Michigan's roster is full players who would fit Miles system.

5.  He wouldn't have to do it forever.  4-6 years and he can walk off into the sunset.

Brandon (or the new AD) needs to hit a home run......or at least swing for the fences.  He absolutely can't take a flyer on an unproven coach.

All that being said, David Shaw is my favorite candidate for the job.  He's probably the closest thing to John Harbaugh that Michigan can get (without getting John Harbaugh).  Jim Harbaugh isn't a complete pipe dream either.....but it'll probably cost $8-9M per year. If he was willing to go to Cleveland, he should be willing to come to Ann Arbor.

 

 

biakabutuka ex…

October 1st, 2014 at 11:33 AM ^

You should add "has a coaching tree". This means he knows how to mold coaches and should have a smooth transition to the next guy. That's one of the most desperate needs right now. No more scandalous and divisive coaching searches. Let's know who's up next ahead of time for the first time since 1994. I don't know if he's the best candidate, but he's miles better than any other older guys.

APBlue

October 1st, 2014 at 11:35 AM ^

I agree with almost everything you wrote, except for paying Miles Saban-esque money.  I think the only two people we do that for are the Harbaugh brothers.  Hell, I'd even do that with David Shaw.  

I see the con of John Harbaugh not having college HC experience, but I think NFL HC experience - managing a team at a very high level - makes up for that; that and flashing around that big 'ol SB ring.

Michigan Difference

October 1st, 2014 at 12:03 PM ^

Not a fan of Les Miles, but I agree that age shouldn't necessarily be a diqualifying factor.

A coach that stays a few years but nurtures his assistants can actually lead to a relatively smooth transition.  I'm thinking Chip Kelly to Mark Helfrich and Jim Harbaugh to David Shaw.

Of course it's risky, but it strikes me as equally risky to hire an unproven coach.  Whoever takest he job will be walking into a mess, and having a few decades of dealing with ups and downs would be an advantage.

Brodie

October 1st, 2014 at 12:33 PM ^

I think realpolitik dictates that we make a splashy hire, no matter the cost. So guys like Jones and Shaw who come with readymade storylines (Michigan poaches two time Rose Bowl HC! Michigan poaches SEC up and comer!) will have a way better chance of getting a pile of cash thrown in their faces than coordinators who might be a better overall fit.

But I'd take Narduzzi. So hard. Set him up with a high priced OC, let him run this shit.

Michigan Difference

October 1st, 2014 at 11:25 AM ^

If we assume Dave Brandon and the mess that is the Michigan Athletic Department are likely to prevent us from getting a first choice like either of the Harbaughs or Sumlin, wouldn't that also preclude many of these other guys?

While Michigan is traditionally a job you would jump at if you're coaching Oklahoma State or Stanford, would these guys really leave to come to a place where the Athletic Director stands on the sidelines and sits in on your video sessions?  Where there's a very real possibility the guy that hires you is out within the year?  And when Florida may be a possible destination, which seems more stable at this time?

Basically, if Dave Brandon is still employed for the coaching search, aren't a lot of these guys also likely off the table?  And if Brandon is gone, don't the Harbaughs of the world become possibilities again?

Sideline

October 1st, 2014 at 11:25 AM ^

I'm not sure I completely understand why him being 61 makes him unattainable. I think this guy could coach close to 10 years... we really only ned 4-6 out of him at the rate we're going with Coaches... and if he coached until he was almost 70, couldn't he have an assistant take over? His Coaching Tree Track record isn't that terrible... Gundy, Fisher, Pelini...

kingblue

October 1st, 2014 at 11:27 AM ^

but realy if it not one of the first 3 coaches the harbaughs or miles or gruden. people will not want any body elce and the next guy will be gone in 3 or 4 years too . that just the way its going to be. so you better give the fans who they want. 

pearlw

October 1st, 2014 at 11:26 AM ^

Any concern that Gundy's team had an APR of 928 and was scheduled to have forced reduction of lractice time this year...until there was a late adjustment to their score which allowed them to just crack the threshold to be avoid the oractice sanctions. I dont think that would be a great selling point to the new president.


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Tagg

October 1st, 2014 at 11:26 AM ^

Todd Graham has a similar "problem" to Butch Jones with his Rodriguez ties. Graham was the linebackers and co-defensive coordinator at West Virginia in 2001-2002 therefor he is the devil in Schembechler hall. That and his Mr. Buzzcut (from Beavis and Butthead) hair.

Dan Mullin might be the best guy for the job but he "talks funny" and uses the word "ain't" which was an issue before. That's too bad because I think he is a hell of a coach and seem like a coach that kids will play hard for. Same goes for Shaw but I don't think he'll leave Stanford.

Whichever way this goes I'm fully prepared for a coaching search debacle.

creelymonk10

October 1st, 2014 at 11:27 AM ^

Butch Jones is the coach we want. Here in Tennessee, that's what they're worried about most is Michigan taking him away. He's an excellent recruiter and is turning Tennessee around with super young talent and 9 brand new starters in the trenches. Plus he knows how to build a great foundation, brick by brick!

 

delmarblue

October 1st, 2014 at 12:01 PM ^

I watched the Georgia game, and its amazing how Tennesee, with almost a majority of their players true freshmen or redshirt freshmen, played so hard and well.  Funny how around here its spoken as gospel that unless your team is completely redshirt juniors or seniors its impossible to be competitive in the mighty big 10.

ericcarbs

October 1st, 2014 at 11:29 AM ^

This article just confirms my belief that if Hoke can win 7-8 games this year, michigan should try to get either Harbaugh (not likely to happen) or just keep Hoke for another year.
There doesn't seem to be a "home-run" hire that is available and this fan base won't be able to handle a rebuilding.

Also I don't know why any coach would want to come here with all this media and fan base attacking the team.

GoBLUinTX

October 1st, 2014 at 12:12 PM ^

That'really the crux of the matter, which "name" candidate would willingly step into the toxic atmosphere that is now Michigan Football. I wouldn't be surprised if that group consisted only of Null and Void, so Michigan will likely be relegated to sorting through the one hit wonders, charlatans, and salesmen selling snake oil. I think it time that the Michigan faithful wrap their heads around the fact that Michigan is no longer a destination, it is to be avoided but if not, it is a stepping stone to be weathered. Isn't that right, Rich Rod?