Brady Hoke And The Nature Of Information Comment Count

Brian

brady-hoke-sdsu

Why is your name all wavy, Wade?

Three years ago when Michigan was waddling about gently poking jowly coaches of the Midwest in search of their next head football coach, I relayed a ton of different things that hit my inbox about Kirk Ferentz and Jim Grobe and Greg Schiano and, yes, Brady Hoke. Many of them seemed ludicrous even at the time, like Michigan offering Ferentz a massive paycut to become Michigan's coach or Greg Schiano accepting the job before changing his mind (twice!), but are now part of what passes for the unofficial history of those maniacal three weeks. It was a weird time.

I tried to balance the inherently contradictory reports by relaying the things I'd heard and laying out what I thought based on those things, but from a distance of three years I think I made a mistake in my coverage. That mistake was assuming that all information being passed was a good-faith attempt to help Michigan fans figure out where the search stood at that point. It did not occur to me that while that assumption was probably correct about the people directly emailing me I had no way to judge the sincerity or connectedness of the people passing them information.

So. Any Michigan message board you pick has both shadowy insiders and now moderators throwing out Brady Hoke's name a "very serious" candidate to be Michigan's head coach. I've gotten the rumor myself from someone I trust, citing solid sources within the athletic department. But this is not then. I'm not going to rush to my keyboard and spit out all the reasons Hoke is not a plausible candidate for the Michigan job like I did three years ago.

I would if I thought there was even the slightest chance Hoke would replace Rich Rodriguez in early January, because that would be the most insane coaching switch of all time. This is not going to happen. Brady Hoke is not a serious candidate for the Michigan job. He is not any sort of candidate. If Dave Brandon was willing to hire Hoke to coach Michigan, Rodriguez would already be out the door because there would be a dozen people he'd rather have coaching Michigan than Rodriguez. Unless meteors hit both Jim Harbaugh and Rich Rodriguez, the chance Brady Hoke is Michigan's coach in 2011 is zero point zero percent.

Period.

Yes, single sentence paragraph time.

Do you know how I know this? Because three years ago the rumors about Hoke were heavy enough that I scurried to the keyboard to point out this was a guy with one winning season, that 7-5, at a MAC school. While he's a plausible candidate for the Minnesota job now, back then he wasn't a plausible candidate for the job he was actually at. If Ball State's job was open they wouldn't have hired a coach with Brady Hoke's resume. And yet there were rumblings from within Fort Schembechler that had everyone panicked, just like today.

The obvious conclusion is that there are people who know and like Hoke in the athletic department, who hate everyone else who's ever been rumored for the Michigan job, and there are credulous people willing to relay anything that comes from a person with a job in Schembechler Hall. None of these people are Dave Brandon.

Brady Hoke will not coach Michigan in 2011. You may resume your day-to-day lives.

Comments

Ed Shuttlesworth

December 10th, 2010 at 3:53 PM ^

I must say I don't understand Brian's argument here.  (And let me preface it by saying I don't want Hoke to replace Rod).

Is Brian saying Hoke has no chance (i) because people who are better sources than other people are telling him that: or (ii) because in Brian's opinion Hoke would be worse than Rod and was mentioned when he was a worse candidate than he is today?

It sure sounds like it's only the latter ... but that's simply Brian's opinion.  And the fact of the matter is that Hoke has done very good work in 2008-2010.  I'm not sure revising how you played what you heard in 2007 does much telling as to what's going to happen in 2010.  Hoke as ridiculous and not quite ready in 2007 doesn't equal the same in 2010.  You know who else was ridiculous and not quite ready in 2007?  Jim Harbaugh. 

This is a new war; it's pointless to fight the last one.  And in this one there isn't a stitch of evidence suggesting that Dave Brandon doesn't think Brady Hoke would be a better Michigan coach than Rich Rodriguez.  If Brian has THAT evidence, we'd all love to hear it.

BRCE

December 10th, 2010 at 4:03 PM ^

The obvious conclusion is that there are people who know and like Hoke in the athletic department, who hate everyone else who's ever been rumored for the Michigan job, and there are credulous people willing to relay anything that comes from a person with a job in Schembechler Hall. None of these people are Dave Brandon.

This is almost definitely true, but the obvious question is now this - why do we seemingly have so many douchebags working in our athletic department. People spoke of getting rid of LaBadie and (given who you believe) Carr and said Brandon was "cleaning house." Perhaps he didn't clean it enough?

Whatever your feelings are on Rodriguez (I was a big supporter who recently lost a lot of faith) all signs point to the Carr country club as being a divise, meddling bunch that is toxic for unity and success at Michigan. I've never seen such abuse of the buddy system. I wish Brandon would identify them all and excommunicate them. That would really be cleaning house.

blueheron

December 10th, 2010 at 4:30 PM ^

Did you see the marvelously creative piece of writing from the Rivals board that was cited in numerous threads here?  (It seemed creative, anyway.  It's the only time I've heard anyone say that Coach Rod was considered a tool by internal types.)

In it, the author (Rivals name "jizzard19") claimed that it is, in fact, RichRod who is responsible for all the ill will in the athletic department.  To hear Mr. Izzard tell it, Rodriguez badmouthed Carr's regime repeatedly and rubbed the incumbents the wrong way.

The post was notable because parts of it seemed realistic.  Coupling a whopper with reasonable information is the best way to get it past credulous types.

- - -

Where's the truth here?  I still don't know.

Ed Shuttlesworth

December 10th, 2010 at 4:39 PM ^

Harping on pro-Hoke people in the AD implicitly denigrates the support he pretty clearly has from coaches he's coached with.  Like, for instance, Lloyd Carr, Greg Mattison, Jack and John Harbaugh, etc.  

The idea that Hoke's name in the papers and credible rumor millsin 07 and now is solely a product of low-mid-level factions in the AD is beyond silly -- the product of wishing and yearning, not objectivity. 

BRCE

December 10th, 2010 at 5:08 PM ^

The fact remains that Carr has been a toxic personality in the past. It would seem he has bad relationships with Rodriguez, Harbaugh, Miles, the media at large, etc. When you have that much beef, it's fair to question whether the problem is you, not them.

I'm wary of people held over from the Carr era because there was a lot of cronyism that went on here at that time. Hardly surprising since the buddy system is what got Carr his job to begin with. There's been a perverted concept of loyalty with this sect and I have little doubt it has hurt the program.

jmblue

December 10th, 2010 at 5:45 PM ^

This is unfair to Carr.  What Miles is reputed to have done to him (spreading rumors about Carr having Parkinson's to recruits) is beyond disrespectful, and I can't blame him in the least for being upset about that. 

Harbaugh, as far as we know, had an okay relationship with Carr until - after being informed that he wouldn't be a candidate to succeed Carr - he vented by making the comments three years ago.  It's not fair to assume any malice on Lloyd's part there; at the time, Harbaugh really wasn't considered BCS-conference material, having only coached a D-II school.  It was a major surprise when Stanford - after being turned down by its first 3-4 candidates - hired him.

As for RR, no one really knows what his relationship with Carr is like.  It evidently wasn't a problem three years ago, or else RR probably wouldn't have been hired.  People assume from Carr's reticence that he's anti-RR, but he's never actually said anything hostile to him.  If there is an issue between the two, I'd guess it would stem simply from RR letting all of Carr's assistants go except Jackson.  Both men have always been very loyal to their own assistants and it may have hurt Carr to see his guys depart.    

mackbru

December 11th, 2010 at 3:52 PM ^

I agree that it seems unfair to Carr. There's been scant proof of scumbaggery, and the guy has earned the benefit of the doubt.

Presumably, though, there is something amiss between LC and RR. I realize that LC would not want to appear to be meddling. But there's been nothing between the two of them. Considering that LC lives locally, and that he no longer keeps an office at the school, the silence seems pretty loud.

Rumors are rumors. I'd love to know where things really stand between the two of them, and why. 

 

 

 

Ed Shuttlesworth

December 10th, 2010 at 4:11 PM ^

I'm not sure exactly what there isn't to like about Hoke, other than "BCS conference" experience.  He's outperformed Rod from 08-10, the Mountain West is better than the Big East, so it is "BCS caliber," and he was the Mountain West coach of the year over coaches like Gary Patterson, who went undefeated and is playing in the Rose Bowl.  He played TCU and Utah very tough; SDSU was probably TCUs toughest game.

PTS

December 10th, 2010 at 4:23 PM ^

Lets keep RR for one more year and if it is still not working then lets go after JH or urban meyer who will be ready to come back to coaching after the lay off.  But if they announce Brady Hoke as the new michigan coach i might have to hold an open casting call for a new team to root for until he is sacked.

michgoblue

December 10th, 2010 at 5:32 PM ^

Why don't you start that casting call now, since you are obviously not a real Michigan fan.  I have a great idea - why don't you watch the NC Game and whomever wins can be your new team.  You seem like that kind of fan. 

Seeya.

chitownblue2

December 10th, 2010 at 4:34 PM ^

I mean, I understand that Hoke would be a non-sensical hire, but teams make non-sensical hires all the time. Thus, we shouldn't automatically preclude the idea.

Florida hired Zook with no HC experience, Alabama hired Mike DuBose with no HC experience, ND hired Davie with no HC experience, OSU hired a dude from FCS, Auburn hired a dude who failed miserably at Iowa State.

chitownblue2

December 10th, 2010 at 4:54 PM ^

Worked OK for OSU, Not so good for the others.

I dunno. I think trying to figure out who will succeed and who won't is reading tea leaves. Why did Urban Meyer turn into a destroyer of worlds and Dan Hawkins a laughing stock? Fuck if I know, but they both looked like real successful coaches leaving their small time jobs.

Why did hiring a position coach largely work for NW (Fitzgerald) but fail for Minnesota?

Ed Shuttlesworth

December 10th, 2010 at 5:00 PM ^

And why did hiring a coordinator (Lloyd Carr) work out for Michigan, but not for a bunch of other teams. 

Regarding Brian's writeup, you know who wouldn't have been hired at his current job with his existing resume?  Lloyd Carr, who did a dreadful job as DC in 1994.

gobluesasquatch

December 11th, 2010 at 9:08 AM ^

When the interim tag was removed. At the time people were drooling over former Michigan assistant coach and recently retired CU head coach Bill McCartney. He had turned a horrible CU program into a dominant Big 8 school and had won a national title and was close to yet another. (He was the Les Miles/Jim Harbaugh candidate of his time). No one thought he sincerely resigned for more family time and Promise Keepers.
<br>
<br>People also wanted Cam Cameron (pre- IU and Miami Dolphins disaster). There were also some calls to hire Tony Dungy.
<br>
<br>But anyone around Ann Arbor in fall 1995 remembers how the early season was filled with talk of who'd actually take over in 1996, which then lead to grumbling over Carr being given the job (followed by a bunch of losses after a good start) and all of which disappeared after Biakabatuka ran all over tOSU and some freshman DB from Ohio shut down Terry Glenn.
<br>
<br>Carr was elevated based on him being a long time Michigan assistant and very close friend of Gary Moeller (see his initial interview and the contempt he had with the whole situation - and Carr's time at Illinois with Moeller) and was then hired after a good start to the season. Brian would have run a profile in cronyism on LC at some point that fall - probably after the loss to Northwestern. (led by Pat Fitzgerald on D who should be at the top of anyones coaching wish list).
<br>

PurpleStuff

December 10th, 2010 at 5:32 PM ^

Hawkins wasn't the OC at BSU.  He held the title of Assistant Head Coach but his primary duties were things like organizing charity activities and all the other administrative rigamarole that goes into running a D-1 program so that Koetter could focus on actually coaching the team.

He is a great rah-rah guy with zero X's and O's competence. 

Kilgore Trout

December 10th, 2010 at 4:56 PM ^

For what it's worth, Hoke is probably more qualified for the job than Lloyd Carr, Gary Moeller, and Bo Schembechler were when they got it.  I agree with the timing issue.  If Brandon wanted Hoke, why would he not just go get him now?  But, I don't think Hoke is a ridiculous candidate or someone that should be mocked or have people consider not being fans of Michigan anymore. 

michgoblue

December 10th, 2010 at 5:25 PM ^

I rarely disagree with Brian, but in this case I do. 

We could do a lot better than a guy like Hoke. 

He is young, somewhat well established, has Michigan ties (which should not be a consideration ordinarily, but will if we make a change), and from what I hear, he is a good recruiter.

I know that JH is the flashy name now, but we could do a hell of a lot worse than Hoke.

jmblue

December 10th, 2010 at 5:35 PM ^

He's definitely more qualified than Moeller or Carr were, but I probably wouldn't go quite as far as Bo (whose winning percentage at Miami (Oh.) was considerably better than Hoke's to date).  But yeah, while he wouldn't be at the top of my list, he's not an entirely implausible candidate.  He has done well at two different schools.  I don't think he's ready for a job like Michigan yet, but he could prove me wrong - and I am a little nervous about facing his team next year.

papabear16

December 10th, 2010 at 5:18 PM ^

Period.

Yes, single sentence paragraph time.

The fact that neither of these is actually a sentence, yet would pass muster in certain sports sections, cracked me up.

Thank you for a rational, well-reasoned post on this topic, Brian.

Don

December 10th, 2010 at 6:12 PM ^

While I don't share Brian's complete disdain for Hoke at all, I don't think you're on firm ground when you assert that Hoke is more qualified now for the Michigan job than Bo was in 1968.

Hoke's record at BSU over six years was 34-38, with one conf. title in his last season. He's done well at SDSU so far, there's no doubt. If you look at the main coaching influences on him, you'd probably have to look at Michigan and his time under Carr.

Bo was 40-17-3 in six years at Miami, winning two conference titles, placing second three times, and finishing third in the conference the other year.

However, it's not just Bo's coaching record that might have recommended him to Don Canham, but who Bo played for and coached under was important. His first coach at Miami was the legendary offensive mind Sid Gillman. When Gillman left, he was replaced by Woody Hayes for Bo's senior year. When Bo was working as an assistant, he not only spent several years with Hayes but also worked for Ara Parseghian for two years at Northwestern. That's a pretty impressive list of high-achieving men who were at the top of college football in various ways that Bo worked for and learned from.

As far as Hoke being more qualified than Moeller or Carr when they took over, you're dismissing the value of those guys having spent so long in the program that when they took over, the transitions were relatively seamless. I will grant that Moeller's first stint at Illinois was a failure, but he was hardly an overall disappointment at Michigan during a time when the conference was dramatically more competitive than it was when Bo arrived. I've never understood the vitriol directed at Carr, considering his on-field achievements. Fritz Crisler is still regarded reverently by virtually all Michigan fans, and he won a grand total of two Big Ten titles, along with his NC in 1947. Carr won or shared the conference title six times, including four in a row, won a share of a NC, coached a Heisman winner, and his name still gets dragged through the mud by people here and elsewhere.

PurpleStuff

December 10th, 2010 at 6:21 PM ^

Hoke didn't win a conference title at BSU.  He went 12-0 in the regular season but lost the MAC Championship game to Turner Gil's Buffalo team 42-24.

Carr won at least a share of only 5 Big Ten titles, not 6, and never won more than two in a row.

Other than that I agree with just about everything you said.

Don

December 11th, 2010 at 3:37 AM ^

You forced me to check my source—my 2005 UM Media Guide—and I just realized there is an error in their entry for 1999. It's listed as "Big Ten Champions" at the top, but if I'd taken the time to look more closely I would have seen it also says "6-2 (2nd Place tie). Lousy proofing on the publisher's side of things. I'd forgotten that BSU gacked the MAC Championship game to Buffalo, too.

It's good I didn't put a bunch of money down on a drunken bar bet.

tybert

December 10th, 2010 at 7:19 PM ^

For the record, I'm in the Third Camp - keep RichRod but we'd better see more improvement next year (read: 7-5 ain't gonna cut it with 8 home games on tap).  If we do, then we made the right choice to keep him. If we don't, we will have at least ONE great candidate for the job (JH, Urban, etc.)

Nothing against Brady, but until he does for SDSU what Urban did for Utah (12-0), then he is not my choice for Michigan, now or next year.

My gut feel is that DB wants RichRod to put everything possible into fixing some of the issues during the bowl practices, show SOME improvement on D for the bowl game (anything under 30 pts would be a +), WIN the freaking game, and then show a mediocre D next year.

DB also expects a totally revamped D system or performance. RichRod will have to deliver the improvement on D, even if he has to scrap the 3-3-5 system. Whatever it freaking takes (3-3-5 with new DC, 4-3 system), it HAS to happen in '11. When you are HC at Michigan, you should expect as much support from your AD as your record deserves. It should be enough that DB didn't can him for the "so-called major" violations. He could have if he had wanted to and probably won in court.

On the bright side, I'm expecting a fully loaded offense for the bowl game, with everyone healthy. Plus, Martin at full strength will help on D. Remember how well we looked versus Florida with the right game plan and HEALTHY QB and TB. One guy I'm expecting more from is Michael Shaw. He hasn't been at full strength since getting injured in the BGSU game (I think). Just spurts here and there. I have no faith in Vincent, whether it's the ACL or not. He's fumbled in a few key situations and doesn't give us any 70-yd TD runs vs. OSU or MSU in return.

My main disappointment with RichRod was during an interview late in the season, being very non-committal about WHEN the D would get better. A reporter was pressing him and he made a comment like "if I tell you when the D will get better, then you'll hold me to it." The bottom line is that he might as well go out on a limb and make predictions about his D for '11. If he doesn't deliver in the W Column, it won't matter anyway! He has nothing to lose here.

I think the MOST intriguing games next year, will be in this order: (1) OSU at home, (2) at MSU, (3) ND at home with Kelly in 2nd year, (4) SDSU at home (Brady vs. RichRod).

If we lose to SDSU, it will take a whole lotta wins to keep the Lloyd moles from burrowing what firm ground is still under RichRod.

TBG

December 11th, 2010 at 8:46 AM ^

I doubt there would be the outcry for RR's head as there is right now, and being 9-3 with the 108th rated defense in the country would likely mean that our offense torched the upper level big 10 teams.  Sill, we'd be looking for a new D Coordinator (like I hope we are now) and still screaming about the 3-3-5.

Our offense is really fun to watch, but defense wins championships.

mackbru

December 11th, 2010 at 2:26 AM ^

I think Brian makes smart points. My one concern is that he seems entirely comfortable speculating and conjecturing -- based on no real information -- while, in other posts, blasting journalists for speculating and conjecturing.

Brian doesn't know whether or not BH is a candidate. He's just drawing a conclusion based on his own past experience. That's a perfectly valid thing to do. For anyone. But I sense a double-standard. And I don't think the Brian-isn't-a-journalist trope flies. Brian is a big-boy columnist.

Raoul

December 11th, 2010 at 2:39 PM ^

For the record, there was an article late yesterday in the San Diego Union-Tribune about Hoke and his definite interest in the Michigan job. Becoming Michigan's head football coach is his "ultimate career goal":

San Diego State President Stephen Weber said he anticipates that Brady Hoke still will be his head football coach next season but also knows that if the University of Michigan comes calling, Hoke almost certainly will leave SDSU.

...

When Weber interviewed Hoke for the SDSU job in late 2008, Weber said he asked Hoke, “How do you see this position at San Diego State fitting in with the arc of your career?”

“He said the end of that arc was head coach of the University of Michigan,” Weber said. “I don’t think I’d want a coach who didn’t have that kind of aspiration.”

From later in the article:

But does he think Hoke will be coaching at SDSU in 2011?

“Oh, I think he’s going to be here next year,” Weber said.

SDSU Athletic Director Jim Sterk said “no one’s contacted him or I” about job openings.