Blogpoll Final Ballot: Week 9
Rank | Team | Delta |
---|---|---|
1 | Texas | 3 |
2 | Alabama | 1 |
3 | Florida | |
4 | Iowa | 2 |
5 | Cincinnati | |
6 | Oregon | 4 |
7 | Boise State | 2 |
8 | TCU | 1 |
9 | LSU | 1 |
10 | Georgia Tech | 2 |
11 | Houston | |
12 | Penn State | 1 |
13 | Southern Cal | 7 |
14 | Pittsburgh | 2 |
15 | Notre Dame | 3 |
16 | Ohio State | 1 |
17 | Oklahoma State | 2 |
18 | Virginia Tech | 4 |
19 | Arizona | |
20 | Miami (Florida) | |
21 | Wisconsin | 1 |
22 | California | 1 |
23 | Utah | 2 |
24 | Auburn | |
25 | Texas Tech | |
Last week's ballot |
Why yes, that does indeed look very similar to the first draft
Only one big change from the draft ballot. As someone mentioned in the comments, Texas's resume looks better than Alabama's now that all of Alabama's opponents have waned in recent weeks (OMG the SEC is just too strong to have any good teams other than the top two). That pushes the Longhorns to the top of the poll.
The other major quibble people had in the comments was where to rank Boise and Oregon in relation to each other. A lot of people said "Head to head, Boise must be first," and the counter-argument is "You can't rank teams based on one game." I clearly fall into the latter camp, as you can see by the ballot to your left.
Despite Boise head-to-head victory, and even their better overall record, I am of the opinion that the Ducks have put together a better overall resume to this point. Ironically, many of those pushing for Boise State to be moved past Oregon were saying things like
"In those cases, you have other data points,"
which, dude, that's an argument against your position, not for it. The two teams' respective resumes are below, along with the Sagarin ratings and records of all their opponents. You can decide for yourself what you think, I say it tips in favor of the Ducks. If enough people can put together MULTIPLE DATA POINTS and come up with legit reasons for Boise to take the crown, I'm all ears. "They stay ahead until they lose" is not legit, it's idiotic AP Poll-ism.
The only other qualm people brought up in the comments was potentially moving TCU past Boise State. For now, the main reason I left it as-is was that I didn't want to separate Oregon and Boise by more than one poll position. This week, they play relatively similar opponents in San Diego State and Louisiana Tech. If there's a big enough difference in their outcomes, I'll consider a move.
Oregon | Boise State | Edge | |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 47-20 #9 USC 6-2 | 19-8 #2 Oregon (7-1) | Slight Boise |
2 | 42-3 #16 California (6-2) | 51-34 #32 Fresno (5-3) | Big Oregon |
3 | 31-24 #20 Utah (7-1) | 49-14 #88 Bowling Green (3-5) | Medium Oregon |
4 | 43-19 #38 Washington (3-5) | 28-21 #92 Tulsa (4-4) | Big Oregon |
5 | 24-10 #45 UCLA (3-5) | 45-7 #98 San Jose State (1-6) | Big Oregon |
6 | 38-36 #79 Purdue (3-6) | 54-9 #123 Hawaii (2-6) | Push |
7 | 52-6 #119 Washington State (1-7) | 34-16 #136 UC Davis (4-4) | Big Oregon |
8 | 8-19 #6 Boise (8-0) | 48-0 #145 Miami NTM (1-8) | Big Boise |
H2H | L @ Boise, 8-19 | W v. Oregon, 19-8 | Medium Boise |
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I fear that if Oregon jumps Boise, then there is almost no way ever a non-BCS school can ever compete for a national title.This is why Boise MUST stay in front. If they'd lost a game elsewhere, duh. I'm not a head-to-head purist when both teams have a loss. If Oregon's loss had been to some other Boise-level team and BSU had beaten some other Oregon-level team instead, there's at least an argument as to which resume is stronger (and I might well come down on Oregon's side there). But if a team can win out for an entire season and still end up behind someone they beat, then what was the goddamn point of them playing the games at all? They did everything in their control to prove themselves better, and you ignore it. Might as well split the MWC, WAC, MAC, Sun Belt, and CUSA off into Division 1-One-and-a-half-A and let them have fight for their own national title, because you've already shown that under no circumstances are they going to be allowed to compete for this one, events on the field be damned.
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