Big Ten Red Zone Efficiency, 2009

now can someone can make a CHART measuring the correlation between freshman/first-year starters & red zone efficiency?

OK.

Posts like this right before lunch are a great way to kill my appetite. Michigan football - helping me to lose weight and save money at the same time.

I still can't get that out of my mind.

Does Opp count number of possessions that begin with 1st down in the red zone, or all possessions that moved into the red zone? In otherwords, if it is 2nd and 10 from the 24 and you pick up 5 yards, you are now in the "red zone", but are facing 3rd and 5 from the 19. That's a big difference from 1st and 10 from the 19. There is a big TD expectation differential between the two scenarios.

we had trouble converting in short yardage and trouble stopping the other team in short yardage...

ugh...

I just said this to someone else, 'keeping my expectations low but my hopes high'.

THANKS FOR KILLING MY HOPES BRIAN!

jk

That's just painful to think we got less than half of the possible points last year on offense. I had an idea it was bad but that number is astonishing.

We were actually decent under ten yards last year if I remember correctly, but terrible between ten and twenty, when our lack of anything resembling a competent secondary hurt us... I wonder what those #'s look like in comparison. We were probably one of the better in the conference under ten yards, but the worst between ten and twenty.

I find it amazing that we had more opportunities in the red zone than every other team except for Wiscy and tied for second with Indiana. I don't think I would've believed, without seeing it in this chart, that those were the top 3 teams in red zone opps. It's depressing because it makes me think what might have been and encourages me to think what might be, this season. The defensive statistics-Good God, that all i can say there.

When does the 1st "that's why the spread won't work in the Big Ten" comment get posted?

This stat will change a "ton" with more experience at qb.

Paging the Mathlete:

What do Redzone turnovers look like in the Big Ten last year? I'm pretty sure I'll barf again if we see this data.

Should we be using 7 as the factor here?

8 points are possible.

I would consider removing the after touchdown uncertainty altogether and use 6 for the factor.

Defensively, we were worse still when you throw in all the big plays against that were scores outside the redzone. Greenzone scoring would be interesting as well.

I feel like if I keep coming back to these numbers or stare at them long enough they'll change.

But, did we really need this information in advance of a weekend

I dont think any of us here didnt think Michigan left a ton of points on the field last season.

Every improvement made on O last year was muted a bunch by true freshmen QBs....this stat, and a host of others, will take a leap forward in 2010 just from QB experience

Is there a chart for percentage of points earned from non-redzone sources? Maybe a measure of the relative explosiveness of the offense and opportunistic-ness of the defense would be the percentage of a team's total points come from drives that never made it to the red zone and defensive scores.

With enough long TD's and defensive scores, I could be perfectly happy if the offense doesn't even visit the red zone this year.

Although sickening to see just how futile our offense could be at times last year, this chart gives me tremendous hope for this season and beyond.

Yeah, we pissed away a lot of opportunities but at least we were in position to score. There is no way, NO WAY, we will be this futile this upcoming season when you consider that our QB's, O-line and WR's have much more experience running the offense than last year. One more year of Barwisizing can't hurt either.

Heads held high, gentlemen...we will see massive improvement this year.

The "scoring percentage" approach has driven me nuts for years. Average points per possession is far more relevant, so the approach here is far more useful.

So that means we were above average in the other 80 yards.

I'll take that, because in year 1 we were above average nowhere. At this rate, we'll be above average in all 100 yards in no time!

Of course, 8th in defensive opportunities is not good either. And part of that is a result of the turnovers in our end.

after seeing the "avert your eyes" in the 'File Under' bullet below the title? Because, obviously, I must've needed a good f-ing cry. That's why. Sonofabitch.

I'm going to the game next Saturday. Don't do this shit to me next Friday, Brian.

I'd like to know what our RZ efficiency on offense was when Molk was healthy, and what it was after he went down. I'd be very surprised if there wasn't a noticeable statistical difference.