Big Ten Recruiting Update: Sleeping Lions Awaken Comment Count

Ace


bad at timeouts, still good at crootin [Fuller]

When this not-quite-monthly feature last ran at the end of June, Ohio State and Michigan occupied the top two spots, as expected, but Penn State languished in the bottom half of the conference rankings.

1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Rutgers
4. Iowa
5. Northwestern
6. Nebraska
7. Michigan State
8. Maryland
9. Wisconsin
10. Penn State
11. Purdue
12. Illinois
13. Minnesota
14. Indiana

Outside of the locked-in top two, the rankings saw considerable movement as many prospects looked to end their recruitment before the beginning of fall camp. No Big Ten program made more progress than PSU, which picked up seven commits since the last update. The current standings:

The conference is also settling into more clear-cut tiers, which I'll cover after the...

[JUMP]

...jump. Hello again.

Tier One: Yes, The Two Top-Seven Teams Are In A Tier, Please Stop Arguing About This

It was a relatively quiet month for Ohio State, which means they only picked up five-star MD DE Chase Young and four-star CB Amir Riep. They remain the #1 class in the country, though Alabama has closed the gap to only a couple points (practically nothing in this system). While the only thing that'll keep OSU's top-300-or-bust class out of the top spot is a lack of quantity, that looks like it'll be an issue—working off the numbers Cleveland.com provided this week, OSU would need considerable attrition off the current roster just to reach 20 open scholarships, and they're at 16 commits right now.

Michigan is at #7 in the country right now, but they're much closer to LSU at #3 overall than the next-best Big Ten team (PSU at #19), so if you're here to complain about tiers, please don't. We've been over this in two different comment sections.

Tier Two: Solid, Indistinguishable

As mentioned, Penn State vaulted up to #19 in the rankings due to seven recent commits. The headliner among that recent group, going by composite ranking, is four-star VA S Jonathan Sunderland, who like fellow Canadian import Luiji Vilain is playing out his high school career in Virginia. (Michigan offered Sunderland but he wasn't a take come announcement time.) The real headliner, though, is three-star IN WR Mac Hippenhammer, who is named Mac Hippenhammer.

Maryland is only two spots behind PSU at #21 overall after adding four commits (and losing one to Virginia) in July, led by in-state corner Deon Jones, who sits just outside the composite top-100. DJ Durkin has done an excellent job of recruiting the DMV area: counting five-star IMG transfer Josh Kaindoh, ten of the Terps's 15 commits hail from Maryland, Virginia, or Washington DC.

A mere eyelash (.06 points) behind is Iowa, which fell back to the pack a bit, only picking up two commitments since the last update. One of those, however, was the #102 recruit in the country, Texas corner Chevin Calloway. That gives the Hawkeyes two blue-chip recruits from Texas (RB Eno Benjamin), which is two more than I would've expected.

Tier Three: I Won't Make A Joke About MSU Being Rutgers Because I Remember Certain Things All Too Well

But seriously.

Rutgers is next up due almost entirely to volume. They have four commits in the top 700 overall, and the fourth is #689. Chris Ash added a legacy commit, three-star in-state DE Mike Tverdov, in July, and that was it. WV DT Darius Stills was a RU commit for all of a day until getting yoinked away by West Virginia, the offer he really wanted.

Michigan State got a head-to-head win over Michigan for four-star TE Matt Dotson to open the month of July and grabbed three-star Cass Tech OG Jordan Reid a couple days later. Since then, though, they've only picked up low three-star CB Josiah Scott. The Spartans are going to move up sooner or later as they fill out their class after the Rutgerses of the world are mostly full, but this still has to be a disappointment coming off a playoff berth.

Nebraska gained commitments from a pair of three-star prospects, FL DE Guy Thomas and LA FB Ben Miles. The Huskers have put together a sneaky-good class—30th overall despite only 13 commits—and could move up a decent amount if they're able to close on a couple of their top targets.

One spot behind the Huskers is Northwestern, which picked up only three-star GA RB Kyric McGowan since the last update.

Tier Four: Um... Wisconsin? You There?

I'm feeling even better about being vocally skeptical of Paul Chryst and Wisconsin on WTKA this morning after checking in on their recruiting class. Since early May, the only Badger commit has been a three-star corner who's heading into a year of prep school. Three of their top five commits are offensive linemen, which is promising for that particular position group and not so much for the rest of the program.

Tier Five: Bad

The most notable thing to happen between Indiana, Purdue, Illinois, and Minnesota over the last month-plus: the Hoosiers added jumbo DT Juan Harris, he of the the umpteen Iowa commits and decommits, on July 25th. It's August 18th, and remarkably, Harris is still on the Indiana commit list.

Comments

NittanyFan

August 18th, 2016 at 10:49 PM ^

There are only 14 (!!!) data points here.  Eye-balling things seems fully sufficient.  

Sure, once you get into hundreds and thousands of data points --- then a robust clustering algorithm is best.  Much harder to eye-ball.

FWIW, it's likely Ward's Method you are thinking of.

IlliniMichigan

August 19th, 2016 at 2:59 PM ^

As both an Illinois (undergrad) and Michigan (law school) fan who obsessively follows both programs (so yeah I usually have very mixed Saturday experiences, one generally pretty fun, one generally miserable) I can weigh in on this. Keep in mind Lovie and his staff didn't come on board until March so they were way behind everyone else in recruiting. Lately it's been picking up and I think they will move up in the recruiting rankings. I think Lovie is going to recruit pretty well. He's a good guy.

One thing to keep in mind as a Michigan fan (because I know you don't care about Illinois recruiting) is that Sparty has been recruiting really well in the Chicago area over the last few years, which disgusts me. MSU and Illinois are competing for a Chicago area DE right now and supposedly the guy is leaning to Illinois. It would be great for both Michigan and Illinois if Lovie can start getting the kids that have been going green lately.

GoBlueOH43017

August 21st, 2016 at 8:41 AM ^

Have to wonder just how long Franklin will be at Penn State. I dont see the appeal for playing for the guy and his W/L's are obviously not very impressive. I think PSU has to challenge for the conference this year or he is out of Happy Valley. That could open the door again for Schiano, but thatll be up to whether Meyer waves his whole "2 years of service" rule.

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