Basketball Recruiting: The Thousand-Foot View
Michigan's annual College Practice Camp is this weekend, and is followed shortly by Michigan Offers Juniors Day—the first day coaches are allowed to officially offer scholarships. John Beilein is the only guy in the world who follows this guideline; in doing so he's created a mid-summer event in the deadest portion of the Michigan sports calendar year. For this, John Beilein, we salute you.
Now is a good time to get an overview of what's going on.
Roster And Needs
Assuming Robinson and McGary enter the NBA draft, this is what the roster will look like next fall:
PG: Derrick Walton (So.), Spike Albrecht (Jr.)
SG: Nik Stauskas (Jr.)
SF: Zak Irvin (So.), Caris LeVert (Jr.)
PF: Mark Donnal (So.), Max Bielfeldt (Jr.)
C: John Horford (Sr.), Ricky Doyle (Fr.)
Michigan needs a shooting guard and would like someone to compete with Donnal and Bielfeldt at the four. The other two slots are flexible depending on talent. It is unlikely Michigan uses one on a point guard—they are heavily after a bunch of PGs, but all in the class of 2015—and I would guess Michigan banks one so that 2015 class in which the run to the title game is truly paying off will start from a baseline of two slots.
Shooting guard candidates
Everyone all together now: Devin Booker is the leading candidate. From Missouri, mom lives in Saginaw, blew up at Michigan's camp two summers ago to put himself on the radar, may show up again since he's in Michigan for the summer anyway. Booker now has offers from Every Damn Body U, and though a couple of the truly elite schools have taken kids at his position Michigan State and Kentucky are formidable opposition. Still, Michigan seems to lead.
Michigan is also after Indiana SF Trevon Bluiett, who holds an offer and is being hotly pursued by Indiana, Butler, and plenty of others. Bluiett is having an outstanding AAU season. Michigan was thought to be trailing Butler as of a month or two ago, but Bluiett appears to be in no hurry to make a decision.
Power forward candidates
Michigan trails Duke and others for Wisconsin stretch four Kevon Looney, a top ten player who would be a crazy good fit for Beilein's system. Unfortunately, Duke can point to Ryan Kelly and say "you are also a crazy good fit for our system." Acquiring a visit from him is required before anything serious goes down. Looney did just call Michigan a "great school" in an interview with 247:
"Actually Michigan's been there from the beginning, since my freshman year," he said. "I've been talking to (John) Beilein, coach (LaVall Jordan) ... they're a great school.
"They were in the championship (game) this year. They're a great school."
Looney plans on taking his five officials. Michigan should make the cut.
OH combo forward Vincent Edwards is down to Purdue and Michigan and is waiting around to see which one of them showers him in more rose petals. He's more of a defense-and-rebounding guy than a shooter, but he's good enough at that bit to be around the top 50 most places.
Michigan is emerging on the lists of a number of highly-touted players. The hottest name at the moment is CA SF Kameron Chatman, who's coming up for the camp. Dave Telep says Michigan is a "big player" with Chatman and praises his overall game:
One of my favorite guys on the circuit is small forward Kameron Chatman. There’s something about this kid. Few have his overall feel for the game.
“I hate losing; just mean being an unselfish player with a high IQ,” Chatman said. “I want to do whatever it takes to win. [Whether] that’s scoring or rebounding or getting my teammates going.” When you hear these words, often times they are hollow, but not with this young man. He plays exactly how he speaks.
Beilein guy yo.
Chatman will take an unofficial visit and get an offer this weekend, and while he's not expected to commit flying across the country is a sign of serious interest. Chatman's a consensus top 50 recruit with a loose top three of Michigan, Oregon, and Washington. Distance isn't much of a factor for a kid from Long Beach, then, and neither Washington or Oregon is a Duke-level threat. USC and Arizona are also involved.
Only Horford graduates, though given the way Michigan has been developing point guards Derrick Walton may be the top pick in the draft by then; Zak Irvin is also a threat to leave early. It's tough to project specific positional needs this far out but no matter what Michigan will be looking for at least a big and a point guard.
Offer day is just two weeks away. We'll get a better view then of who the main targets are, but Beilein has a second requirement to get that offer: a visit. Some of the guys on the list haven't made it to campus and thus won't be officially offered.
IN PG/SG Jalen Coleman. Camping, has offers from Indiana and Purdue already, is probably a shooting guard right now, top 50 player:
“North Carolina State and Texas have also been in contact,” Coleman said. “A lot of schools. But also the ones like Michigan State, IU and Purdue have been coming in and staying in contact. Michigan and Michigan State have said they are looking forward to having me up there as soon as possible and doing something, which could be an offer.”
Coleman may not get a June 15th offer as he is probably not a point guard and Michigan may want to see where there roster stands before offering SGs.
IL PG Hyron Edwards.
Also camping, in possession of Purdue, Indiana, and Illinois offers, Edwards is going to play somewhere in the Big Ten. He told IU site Inside The Hall that he's pumped about potentially getting that M offer:
The Illini and Boilermakers have offered and the Wolverines, who won’t offer class of 2015 prospects until June 15, seem to be heading in that direction. He said he hopes to work in an unofficial visit to Bloomington when in town for the adidas May Classic and will be in Ann Arbor on June 1 for Michigan’s elite camp.
“(Assistant) coach (LaVall) Jordan has been talking to me about it,” he said of a potential scholarship offer from Michigan. “If I do get the offer, that would be pretty great.”
CA PG Sedrick Barefield. Barefield has widely varying rankings, from unranked three star to top fifty kid. UConn, KState, Arizona, and Cal are also involved. He needs to get up for a visit before an offer.
FL PG Corey Sanders. Sanders told UMHoops he gets compared to Trey Burke and has a positive relationship with Michigan's coaching staff:
“I love Michigan’s coaching staff. They’re nice, they work with me,” Sanders said. “When we talk, it’s usually like business, how everything will work out, the school, the system, all the players who were there before me — especially with the point guard position how Trey Burke was there. Looking at his game compared to mine and things like that.”
Sanders is less hyped than just about everyone on this list, currently an unranked three star most places.
FL SF Dwayne Bacon. A top 20 kid in the 2015 class, Bacon can't make this weekend's camp but has scheduled an official visit($) for the Central Michigan game. He's a teammate of Sanders and they are talking about being the proverbial package deal.
OH SF Luke Kennard. Kennard, a sweet shooting wing with a wonky Shurna-style release, has been on Michigan's radar longer than anyone else in the 2015 class and has seemed like a good bet to commit at points. These days Ohio State folks are feeling about as confident as the Michigan ones are. Kennard has already been on campus multiple times($) and is almost certain to get a June 15 offer. He plans summer trips($) to Michigan and Ohio State.
TX C Elijah Thomas. Just profiled by Sam Webb in the News, Thomas is an early five star who claims he's "always been a Michigan fan"—we are finally reaching the point where high school kids only remember the Beilein era, self high five—and jokes about his close relationship with LaVall Jordan:
"The relationship is really good," Thomas said. "I call him all the time. I don't call him too much because he has a family (laughter), but I call him every now and then. We talk academics, we talk basketball -- we just talk about why I want to be great and everything else."
OSU, Indiana, and Illinois have already offered and he says distance won't matter; he wants to visit M, Duke, and Kentucky.
WI C Diamond Stone. Stone was on campus for the Michigan State game last fall and as a top ten player in the 2015 class will get offered with prejudice on the 15th. His dad is from Flint, which helps. Everyone on earth will get involved shortly, however. He told the Baltimore Sun that Maryland's entry into the Big Ten is an asset, which says something since they're leaving the ACC.
NV C Stephen Zimmerman.
The third five-star center Michigan's involved with in the 2015 class, Zimmerman told Scout that he planned a trip out to Ann Arbor($) sometime this summer:
Based on Zimmerman’s range of ability, Michigan is one of the schools in consistent contact, spotted courtside over the weekend. Wolverine assistant lavall jordan has continued to build on his strong bond with Zimmerman over the past year, connecting on the phone as recently as Monday evening.
“It was great,” said Zimmerman. “He’s a really great person. I like talking to the people from Michigan. They’re like me. It seems like a great program and they want me to go on an unofficial down there sometime this summer. And I think we’re going to.”
Once that visit happens Zimmerman will become a serious target. The planet is after Zimmerman as well, but Zimmerman's mom dropped a Michigan reference unprompted($) when talking to Duke's scout site:
Post touches is a thing that many people like to talk about when evaluating programs, do you feel like there are programs that have set themselves apart in how they utilize their bigs and post touches they give?
Why are three five-star centers talking up Michigan? Mitch McGary's tournament explosion. I like Mitch McGary.
The post mentioned FL SF Dwayne Bacon.
Are a big deal for our continued success....
He seems wide open. It seems correct to say that Duke is the leader right now, but I don't think he's anywhere near ready to decide...This is all just from reading UMHoops.
With all these great centers considering Michigan, if we could just land one it would be huge!
Austin Hatch is worth mentioning. I know conventional wisdom is he gets medicated, but don't count him out. He's got an offer, he's verbally committed, and if Beilein thinks there's any chance he could play at this level he'll honor that commitment.
Medicated should read "medicaled"
Beilein said that he will honor the commitment and scholarship even if he isn't able to play basketball.
His Mom still lives in Grand Rapids and he's gonna be there this summer training with Derek Fisher's brother.
I think his dad went to Missouri...right? For some reason I thought his Michigan home was in Grand Rapids. I know he is friends with a lot of those GR kids. Oh well, hope he goes blue.
I think Maryland joining the Big Ten is an asset because Mom and Dad will be able to go see him play at Wisconsin, Minnesota, Northwestern, Illinois, and Purdue easier than say, Miami (FL). Even though Maryland's campus didn't move, proximity to home just became a lot closer for the Stone family.
4 openings, I agree that we will probably not offer a point guard and try to get one player for each of the other positions. I think that a quality big man is the most important need.
It's too bad that one of the trio of Thomas, Stone, and Zimmerman aren't in the 2014 class. Because does anyone else feel really secure at the center position that year with Horford and freshman Doyle? (And a sophomore next to them). I think the tournament did a good job of showing everyone how a great player in the middle takes you from "good" to "contender."
I am pleased with a combo of a senior version of Horford, and Ricky Doyle. You are leaving Max Bielfeldt out of the equation at the 4; He will be a 4th year junior at that point, and a player who I think will be an able contributor and a nice compliment to Donnal.
I actually think 2014 shapes up nicely. Coach B will have a very experienced and talented group. I will approach this under the assumption that McGary and GRIII are gone and Irvin is still around
Ricky Doyle and who knows who.
Another 2015 visiting this weekend: 6-8, 245-lb power forward Noah Dickerson, per HoopSeen (Dickerson about to embark on busy visit tour).
The 6-foot-8, 245-pound class of 2015 big man is headed to Michigan this weekend to participate in the team's elite camp and stay a day later for an unofficial visit. The trip to Big Ten country marks the first of four visits to major college basketball programs.
The North Atlanta High School product will also participate in elite camps at Virginia, Stanford and Tennessee in June. First up is Michigan.
"They saw me play in Virginia against Cliff (Alexander). That's when it really started," Dickerson said. "They talked to my mom for two, three weeks. That's when they asked if I would like to come up to the elite camp. We haven't developed a deep relationship yet. I really just started."
Dickerson played well against Alexander, a consensus top 10 player in the class of 2014 and a major Michigan target. A host of coaches were watching this match-up. That's when the Wolverines took interest.
"I was like 'wow'. My mom has always been a fan of Michigan, ever since I was young. It is one of her favorite schools ever," Dickerson said. "So, I'm glad they like me enough to have me fill one of their elite camp spots."
I do believe East Chicago is considered in Indiana. Stupid detail I noticed about IL Hyron Edwards. I could be wrong though.
Other than Booker and Looney (whose probably a long shot), I like Chatman the best of the '14 prospects. Kid has a lot of tools he brings to the table.
Brian, you didn't mention Brunson, whose getting a really hard look in the '15 class at PG.
Also, Zimmerman is the truth!
I wish i hadnt seen zimmerman play because that kid is gonna be a star