I'm alternating between encouraged and Henri/kitten about ten times a second. I really hope this works.
...says Denzel Valentine of Big Ten Tourney favorite MSU, which is 5-7 in its last 12 games. Cumong, man.
Now that Mississippi State has been pointlessly scouted to death, Michigan fans have set to finding fans of every team Al Borges ever coordinated. Maize 'n' Brew put Cal up first despite the fact that Borges's tenure there consisted of a single star-crossed year; this is the view from the plains.
So, Al Borges. I won't bury the lede: after watching him for four years at Auburn, I don't think he's a particularly good fit for Michigan's current personnel, Denard Robinson most especially. He is as advertised: a veteran, pro-style, pass-first West Coast disciple. But there's a reason he's that veteran, namely that he's a whip-smart, clever, above-all solid offensive coordinator.
He might not be a Malzahn or Kelly-style miracle worker, but I can assure you he's not a Jeff Mullen or Steve Addazio or Patrick Nix, either. (No, I wouldn't expect the return of the Avalanche anytime soon.) Given the right tools to work with and a quality defense on the other side of the ball, there's no reason Borges couldn't be the coordinator for a championship-caliber Big Ten team.
Auburn fans would argue he proved that in 2004; it's a testament to how dominant that offense was (and how wretched it had been the year before*) that even after his final two teams finished 76th and 97th in total yardage, he remains universally respected and admired among the Tiger fanbase. Yeah, a well-trained sugar glider [ed: ?] could have turned Campbell, Williams, Brown, Marcus McNeill, etc. into a competent offense, but that 25th-place finish in total offense you mentioned doesn't come close to doing that unit justice. They finished fifth in yards-per-play, first in yards per-pass attempt (at 10.0 a pop), second in passing efficiency, all against an SEC schedule and all with Tuberville's Carr-like insistence on downshifting into clock-killing mode as soon as the lead hit two scores. (Which it did a lot that year.)
Before that year Campbell had been a head case who'd already gone through three coordinators in three seasons. Borges got his head on straight, deployed the two-headed monster of Williams and Brown to maximum efficiency, and even added in the occasional gimmick play to good effect. It really was a terrific coaching job, and a lot of Auburn fans will tell you his 2005 effort -- in which Auburn finished 24th in yards per-play and scored 27 or more points 9 times, despite replacing Campbell with Brandon Cox and and not discovering a running back until Kenny Irons emerged at midseason -- was even better. (They're exaggerating, but it was still awfully nice.)
So what happened after that? Certainly Tuberville's conservatism and the lack of help from the world's most mediocre set of position coaches (the same ones who eventually got Tony Franklin fired midseason) didn't help, but the principal problem IMHO was the collapse of the passing game. Cox's myasthenia gravis—a debilitating muscle disease—seriously reduced his effectiveness, a series of recruiting busts meant that there were no replacements for the two departed NFL receivers on the outside, and the loss of McNeill opened up huge problems in pass protection. For a coordinator who set up his running game with the threat of an efficient passing game (even in 2005, Cox threw 44 times against Ga. Tech, 40 times against LSU, 33 times vs. Wisconsin, huge numbers for a Tuberville team), this was DEATH.
So how much blame does Borges finally share for the downturn? Not that much; the lack of player development from the position coaches, Tubby's handcuffing, and plain old bad luck in Cox's downturn hurt more than anything Borges did. Nevertheless, he does share some blame for things getting as rocky as they got, there's some lessons for Michigan's expectations for Borges here:
To that same point, Borges did precious little work at Auburn with a "dual-threat" quarterback, but what little he did wouldn't be very encouraging where Denard is concerned. That work came with Kodi Burns, who came to Auburn as a true freshman in 2007. Cox began that season completely out of sorts and Burns was brought off the bench in Weeks 2-4 to stop the bleeding. It didn't seem like Borges had made much of an effort to teach Burns the offense or develop a functional package to put his running skills to use; Burns seemed to mostly just take the snap and run around. A true freshman Kodi Burns might not have been able to do much more than that, but it still just didn't seem like Borges had much of an idea about what to do with him at that stage. Obviously Robinson is miles and miles ahead of where Burns was (or ever got to) as a quarterback, but maybe it's something to keep in mind all the same.
Again, none of that is to say Borges can't succeed at Michigan ... but the current situation just isn't in his wheelhouse. Based on the last half of 2005 (when Cox, Irons, and the AU receivers were at the height of their powers) and what he's done at SDSU this season with the Lindley-Hillman-senior wideouts package, I'd say the prototypical Borges offense is one with an accurate (and not necessarily strong-armed) pocket passer, big NFL-type receivers on the outside to stretch the field, and a single stud running back as a home run threat out of the backfield. It seems like aside from Darryl Stonum, Michigan doesn't have any of those things.
What's ironic, says Alanis, is that Michigan used to have those things in bunches. Give Borges Henne, Hart, Long, and Manningham/Arrington, and you're going to have one of the best offenses in the country, hands-down. And maybe he can work some magic with Denard (or Gardner), and Hopkins, and Stonum/Miller/Jackson/whoever. But I can't shake the feeling that Borges is the right guy in the right place at the wrong time.
*[Since you asked, sort of, and because it shows how deeply, deeply flawed Tuberville's understanding of offense is, in 2003 Auburn used co-offensive coordinators: quarterbacks coach Steve Ensminger and offensive line coach Hugh Nall. Tuberville asked them to operate the identical scheme run by Bobby Petrino in 2002, but with a twist: he would ask them for either a running play or a passing play as the situation demanded, and then Nall would make the playcall if Tubby had requested a running play, and Ensminger the playcall in the event of a pass. (I don't think this has been officially confirmed, but it's a matter of general understanding amongst Auburn fans.) And that is how you take Campbell, Williams, Brown, and like four other NFL players and wind up with a lousy offense. Nall wound up as a trucking company executive when he left Auburn; Ensminger's next job was as an assistant coach with a local high school.]
Jerry walked back what pessimism existed in the above—there but under the "this guy is pretty good" bit—in a brief addendum:
So I read back over what I wrote yesterday and it's too far on the negative side, I think. I don't mean to imply Borges can't/won't succeed at Michigan, I'm just worried it's going to take a couple of seasons for
1. Hoke and Co. to recruit the missing pieces for the offense (especially a load-carrying RB)
2. Borges to coach up the pieces he's got, like (hopefully) Gardner.
Given the state of the defense, I wonder if he'd really be given the necessary slack to survive a Rodriguez-like transition period. But Mattison ought to help. If he's Hoke's Malzahn, there's no question Borges can be his Ted Roof.
I think Borges will be all but forced to adapt when there turn out to be things that work with Denard and things that don't. In the Cox case above criticisms about not adapting to the situation might overlook the fact that there's no adaptation that turns suck into not suck. See Michigan's 2008 offense—when you don't have anything you can adapt all you want and you're still going to be hilariously bad.
I'm alternating between encouraged and Henri/kitten about ten times a second. I really hope this works.
Why no love for Hemingway as a big receiver? He's not even mentioned.
Our offensive personnel consists of 10,000 (very quick) spoons when all Borges needs is a knife.
I hope to see some kind of hybridization. Plenty of passing, RBs going down hill and Denard running when it is necessary to convert that 3rd down.
of the fans. I think that our staff is definitely something to get excited about, I just don't want the bar to get set where people expect the world next season. it will take time to return to prominence
I expect improvement on the defense...with all the returning starters and (likely) better coaching. I see a lot of people believe we have a dearth of talent on defense, but we will find out if it was the coaching this fall. On the offense, I would like to think that we will have less turnovers, more red zone scoring, but less YPG. Hopefully the running backs will run effectively, Shoelace will make lots of short/medium completions, and run when he should run. I am optimistic but we will have to wait and see...
Many of you all might not like to hear it: but this offense only has to be average in efficiency, execution, holding onto the ball, and red zone conversions for all 4 quarters against good competition, and it slays anything we saw any of the last 3 years.
Those are coaching issues as much as anything and just being decent in those areas makes this year's offense a sure improvement.
Those are coaching issues as much as anything
Minor point: might it also have to do with having a QB who is a multi-year starter? That is, despite the progress the RR offense made, and despite the caution about just how ZOMG AWESOME it was, let's remember that we have 9-10 returning starters, depending on how you count Dorrestein and Webb. If the offense improves in the way you suggest, then the unobserved counterfactual would be what would have happened if RR had stayed.
The last three years of railroading/building our offense toward a different scheme was so much fun... let's do it all over again!!!
Fuck brandon for not even interviewing other spread coaches instead of plan C, Brady Hoke.
You happen to know everyone he interviewed during those six days?
I love that jmblue is the rational police. It is important to have that on a sports blog. I'm just surprised I haven't been arrested by you yet.
and dan mullen was not one of them.... And if he did interview more, only to decide on Hoke, I predict that the underachiever award still belongs to DB. I would take another year of RichRod over this.
negbang me to 0, the fuck if i care.
Just think about how RR was treated by the athletic dept., former players and coaches etc. and ask yourself who would want to come and coach at this school. We got Hoke because no one else would take the job. That said, lets just hope Hoke can get it done.
we have all the pieces the writer deems necessary to run a successful offense. Its not the writers fault, but he doesn't have a good understanding of our roster. Our NFL quality receivers are Stonum and Hemingway (I think he is just as good as Arrington. again, if healthy). We also have Roundtree and Odoms as slot receivers. We have two NFL quality qbs and then we have a few running backs who I think fall into that "homerun" category, again if healthy, like Shaw and Touissant. Add in 4 returning starters on offensive line with solid back ups and as long as Borges doesn't tell Denard to stand still, our offense should kick ass.
The key to it all will be can this offense be disciplined and efficiient against good defenses. Thats the area that wasn't addressed in the OP's analysis.
We have the talent and coupled with a better D that lets Denard and Co relax a little bit and not feel they have to score on every possesion will help, but it remains to be seen if Borges (and Hoke) can instill a confidence and a discipline to not self-destruct at key points in games whether it be penalties, turnovers, dropped passes yada, yada that plagued us last year.
We were very undisciplined on both sides of the ball last year and I'm confident that can get a lot better but would have liked to see Borges stats on turnovers, penalties and 3rd downs. But comparing a frosh brought in at game 2 to Denard is useless to me.
It didn't seem like Borges had made much of an effort to teach Burns the offense or develop a functional package to put his running skills to use; Burns seemed to mostly just take the snap and run around.
The above observation is nuts. Burns was a true frosh-OFF THE BENCH in game 2. I don't think Bill Walsh could have done much there. OP says thats not encouraging for us in regards to Denard. I say its irrelevant.
I can't wait for the positive one, because this one was a pretty good review. If "very good" is negative, a positive review must be glowing.
There is a huge question mark about whether Borges can be flexible enough to work with the current talent on Michigan's offense. But there is one thing he needs to really understand.....the fan base love Denard. Regardless of what fans haves said positively or negatively about Rich Rod or whether they wanted a change or not, every fan wanted one thing. They wanted Denard to stay. The point is, Borgess doesn't have to "try" to fit his offensive approach to the current Michigan players skill set......he has to. Fans will not appreciate Denard being left on the side line or sitting in the pocket and dumping passes that aren't there. The fans want to see him mix the offense and they want to see Denard run the ball when it is the best choice. And Borges needs to prescribe plays that make it the best choice. Winning is still most important, but winning and Denard shining...with a chance at the Heisman.....Hoke will be a hero.
When he looks around, he's probably more excited about DG than Denard given the offense that you know he wants to run in his heart of hearts.
And he'll get that chance. But if he's smart, he'll suck it up for 2 years and run some kind of hybrid that may be a little ouside of his comfort zone to utilize Denard effectively.
I wish RR would have done this a little with Threet.
I've lived in Alabama for a while so I have a lot of friends that are Auburn fans...they all pretty much echo the sentiments of this post. He's perhaps not a "flashy" hire but he should be solid. Give him talent (yes, he probably won't be a big factor in recruiting) and he'll do a respectable job. How he will adapt to Denard is the big question mark. I'm sure most coaches believe they can adapt, but when push comes to shove a lot of guys just go with what they know. We'll see.
Either way, I'm feeling a LOT better now that we have some coordinators in place. Things are looking up.