spoiler alert: i linked this
The B1G went a respectable 7-5 ATS last weekend; while Michigan did not obviously fare as well. Wisconsin is the only team left with a perfect record ATS.
|Michigan||-31.5||59-9 (CMU)||+18.5||-5||41-30 (ND)||+6||-37||28-24 (Akron)||-33|
|Ohio||-34||40-20 (Buff)||-14||-28||42-7 (SDSU)||+7||-13.5||52-34 (@Cal)||+4.5|
|Michigan St||-28||26-13 (WMU)||-15||-21.5||21-6 (USF)||-6.5||-23||55-17 (Young St)||+15|
|Indiana||-25||73-35 (Ind St)||+13||-12.5||35-41 (Navy)||-18.5||-2.5||42-10 (BGSU)||+29.5|
|Illinois||-17||42-34 (So Ill)||-9||+8||45-17 (Cinci)||+36||+10.5||24-34 (Wash)||+0.5|
|Northwestern||-6.5||44-30 (@Cal)||+7.5||-17||48-27 (Syr)||+4||-28||38-17 (WMU)||-7|
|Penn State||-8||23-17 (Syr)||-2||-28||45-7 (EMU)||+10||-4.5||31-34 (UCF)||-7.5|
|Nebraska||-31||37-34 (Wyo)||-28||-28||56-13 (S Miss)||+15||-1.5||21-41 (UCLA)||-21.5|
|Iowa||-3||27-30 (N Ill)||-6||-26||28-14 (Misso St)||-12||-1||27-21 (@Iowa St)||+5|
|Wisconsin||-44||45-0 (UMass)||+1||-45||48-0 (Tenn Tech)||+3||+7||30-32 (@AZ St)||+5|
|Purdue||+10.5||7-42 (Cinci)||-24.5||-17||20-14 (Ind St)||-11||+17||31-24 (ND)||+10|
|Minnesota||-13.5||51-23 (UNLV)||+14.5||-16||44-21 (N Mex St)||+7||-27.5||29-12 (W Ill)||-10.5|
Penn State is the big mover; the line has increased 7 points since the open. Indiana opened as the underdog, but the market has determined that game is a toss-up. We have our first B1G match-up with Purdue @ Wisconsin. Of course with a current spread 23.5 it doesn't really set off fireworks for the start of league play. Can Michigan recover and win by 3 TD's? They may be able to cover that O by themselves.
|Penn State||-14||-21||54||Kent St|
If MCalibur, or anyone else, has the missing O/U I'll update them as they come in.
Week 12 Opening Lines of interest:
Iowa @ Michigan - off the board
Minnesota @ Nebraska -19
Ohio State @ Wisconsin -1
Northwestern @ MSU -5
Wake Forest @ ND -22
Stanford @ Oregon -24
Kansas St. @ Baylor +10
Early betting coming in on Wisconsin (line moving to -2.5), MSU (moving to -6), Stanford (moving to +22), KSU (moving to -11 to -12), and ND (moving to -24).
While point spreads may be nothing but talking points and things to bet on, I always find it interesting to follow them as one facet to guage how people feel about our team. Saw that Michigan has opened as 45.5 favorites over the Minutemen. This is the largest recorded spread in school history according to the full article at AnnArbor.com. More than a 6 touchdown favorite? With our offensive line, I'm not too confident about that. If this game is close, I may hit the panic button.
The 17th-ranked Wolverines opened up this week as 45 1/2-point favorites against the Minutemen, the largest early point spread of any game in the country this week.
On top of that, Michigan's listing as more than a six-touchdown favorite this week is the largest recording point spread in school history, according to R.J. Bell, the Founder and CEO of popular betting site Pregame.com.
I've done some initial searching an cannot find any point spread or over/under for this weekend's game. I realize UMass is an FCS team so perhaps there is no official point spread. If this is the case, can someone provide an estimate?
Or since THE_KNOWLEDGE already knows the final score, maybe he can chime in with his thoughts. THE_KNOWLEDGE is a great man and shall leave all doubters in a trail of dust.
Thank you in advance.
We are a 13-point underdog in Las Vegas (and should be 15 pt underdogs according to Sagarin ratings and considering home field).
Most pundits give us little or no chance of winning. But a host of teams that have overcome 2-3 times that much of a point spread. Consider:
1985 Oregon State (+36) tops Washington, 21-20
1985 UTEP (+36) over BYU, 23-16
1972 Missouri (+35) beat Notre Dame, 30-26
1974 Purdue (+34) at Notre Dame, 31-20
1992 Iowa State (+29) over Nebraska, 19-10
1969 San Jose State (+29) at Oregon, 36-34
1995 Northwestern (+28) over Notre Dame, 17-15
1942 Holy Cross (+28) beats Boston College, 55-12
I guess that these underdogs forgot to listen to the pundits.
By the way, didn’t OSU tie Iowa in regulation at home last week (while Ricki Stanzi was injured), while UM lost by only 2 points on the road (when Ricki Stanzi was healthy, Tate suffered a concussion and DRob had to come in for the last 2 series)? Subtract home field (3 points) from OSU’s result and they lost by 3 in regulation. Add home field to UM’s result and we won by 1.
I’m not saying that the other games don’t matter as well. I’m not denying that we are an underdog vs OSU. But this UM team has a lot to play for on Saturday. And to say that we’ve got no chance is a bit of a stretch.
Yet, the pundits incessantly pick the team apart--like vultures stripping a carcass. All they can think of asking is WHY the team has fallen apart.
But, to paraphrase RFK's quote of George Bernard Shaw:
You see things as they are and ask, ‘Why?
But I see things that could be and ask, ‘Why not?’".