this may be of some local interest
I've done some initial searching an cannot find any point spread or over/under for this weekend's game. I realize UMass is an FCS team so perhaps there is no official point spread. If this is the case, can someone provide an estimate?
Or since THE_KNOWLEDGE already knows the final score, maybe he can chime in with his thoughts. THE_KNOWLEDGE is a great man and shall leave all doubters in a trail of dust.
Thank you in advance.
Michigan underdogs against Notre Dame (-4.0)
After watching both Michigan and ND play, I am surprised, but I guess that this is how Vegas odds seem to work. 3 points for being at home and 1 more just for the hell of it.
Either way, close odds like this mean nothing and I think that Michigan wins!
So, do any mgogamblers out there use accuscore or other computer program to bet? Accuscore looks pretty detailed, and from what I remember from last years NFL season, it was more accurate in predicting the outcome of games than the panel of experts. I want to say it was around 75%.
Does anyone use this or a similar program to bet? Is it actually profitable to do so?
I'm looking for a little bit of help finding old spreads, specifically spreads for [all] bowl games after 1997 (so, all the bowl games since the BCS has been around in some form). I'm looking to do a comparison of the conferences (obviously focusing on the B10 and other "Big Six" conferences) to see if the general perception of conference rankings is correct. Hopefully by finding how many teams beat the spread I'll be able to do some sort of comparison to see how the conferences have looked these past couple of years.
One of the reasons I'm doing this is because I'm wondering just how screwed the B10 actually gets (if you couldn't guess, I'm not going to be completely unbiased going into this study, but I will try to be more objective than that sentence sounds) by having 2 teams in the BCS. My thought is, instead of looking at W/Ls, look at how many teams beat the spread. If the underdog was supposed to be by 10.5 but only lost by 3, obviously they're doing better against a superior team than the team that lost by 14 in similar circumstances. Thus, if we look at W/L adjust with the spread, we can get a better idea of how good each conference is.
I'm going to develop the idea further and go into more depth now, but I didn't want to spend too much time thinking about it if it's impossible to find the spreads on each game.
I'd also do this with interconference games but that would add a lot more work and I don't have that much time.
I've done a few Google searches [to find old odds] but haven't found anywhere with a real extensive listing. And I haven't found really anything for years before 2007.
Thus, fellow MGoBloggers, help me to find old spreads for bowl games and I will write a diary to entertain and educate you in the future.